ASIA: s618/L-ATRTime: 19:45 GMT
4H Setup: REV/IBM
4H Confluences: EMA13, RSI reversal break, Weekly Level
15m Setup: s618/L-ATR
15m Confluences: EMA13, EMA89, EMA Cross
Target: 5R based on 3 Session Setup
Trade ideas
Liquidation Break & The "New Money" TestCOMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Following up on the previous context regarding the "Thin Structure Repair."
Market Context (The Repair): As anticipated, the auction corrected lower to repair the thin profile left behind by the holiday drift.
Monday: Developed as a Balance Day, digesting the recent move.
Today: We saw a Liquidation Break early in the session, effectively flushing out weak hands, followed by a rotation back up.
Structure & Inventory (The "Tell"): The current bounce is characteristic of Short Covering (old money exiting winning shorts) rather than Initiative Buying (new money entering longs).
The Trap: Short covering can rally price, but it is mechanical and temporary. It creates a "hollow" move if not supported by fresh volume.
The Requirement: To re-test and break the All-Time Highs, we need to see "New Money" step in. Without this sustained buying flow, the auction will lack the energy to hold higher prices.
Plan & Execution:
Stance: Cautious / Monitoring for flow confirmation.
Scenario A (Bullish): If we see aggressive Initiative Buying absorbing offers above the short-covering highs, we target the ATH.
Scenario B (Bearish): If the rally stalls and "new money" fails to show up, expect the market to rotate deeper to find supportive bids (value) at lower levels.
Talk to you for the next update.
15 min wow 1 min nested daily 4h up , here we have a 15 min demand. This demand removed opposing zones and broke trend line
our entry is at the 1 min nested in the 15 min, the market is high in the range so that goes lowers odds. were targeting 3R
Part 2 12/1/25Part 2 of previous post, did excactly what needed to be done! Gold 12/1/25 take profit
Switched to Futures 12/1/25 Switched to Futures from Options 12/1/25 2 contracts of Gold. 1,2,3 Lets go!
How to Trade with Bollinger Bands in TradingViewBollinger Bands are a volatility indicator that helps traders identify market extremes, trend strength, and potential breakout setups by measuring how far price moves away from its average.
What You’ll Learn:
• Understanding Bollinger Bands as a volatility-based trading tool built around a moving average
• How the middle band represents the 20-period simple moving average (SMA)
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• Why expanding bands signal rising volatility — and tightening bands signal market compression
• Recognizing overbought and oversold conditions when price touches or moves beyond the upper or lower bands
• Why these signals aren’t automatic buy or sell triggers, and how to confirm them with other tools like RSI or MACD
• Identifying the “Bollinger Band squeeze,” a setup that often precedes major breakouts
• Spotting potential mean-reversion trades when price closes back inside the bands after moving outside
• How to add Bollinger Bands on TradingView via the Indicators menu
• Understanding the default settings (20, 2) and how adjusting the period or deviation affects sensitivity
• Practical examples using the E-mini S&P 500 futures chart
• Applying Bollinger Bands across daily, weekly, and intraday timeframes for volatility analysis and signal confirmation
This tutorial is designed for futures traders, swing traders, and technical analysts who want to integrate volatility dynamics into their trading approach.
The methods discussed may help you identify breakout conditions, trend continuation signals, and potential reversal zones across multiple markets and timeframes.
Learn more about futures trading with TradingView:
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Disclaimer
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only.
Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools — not forecasting instruments.
15Min Rally-Base-Rally Long Setup | Daily & 4H Demand in Controlaily and 4H remain bullish with demand in control. Price is reacting at the base of a 15-minute Rally-Base-Rally demand zone that removed opposing 15M supply and is nested within 4H structure.
Despite being high in the range, execution is only for longs in alignment with HTF demand. Patience and risk management first.
Gold/Silver Ratio - Monthly Close on Bear FlagExpect higher moves in Silver as it hits new ATHs, i expect gold to have a sympathy rally alongside Silver, however the break in the gold/silver ratio to the downside (silver outperforms) would signal a higher % move in Silver to follow.
Gold futuresOver the past four weeks, gold futures fell to the 3900 level, before resuming their upward move. They may be now be preparing to retest the all-time high at 4400. Formally, the trend remains bullish, however, from a historical perspective, it has already lasted for more than 1000 days, leaving limited room for further upside.
Long-term trend: Up
Resistance level: 4400
Support level: 3900
GOLDGold right now is still and inside bar in the monthly chart. The weekly chart just hit TP1 off a 22 strat combo to the upside. We are waiting to see if price will have enough strength to continue to go outside on the month or will we stay inside? I'm ready for either let see what she does
You don't see that everyday 3 triangles -beautiful to watch. I think this is a continuation of the main trend up ,it's latter stages of the rally so very short term indeed.
MGC Long Setup – 15M WOW Demand Aligned with 4H & Daily Trend15M WOW demand has formed from a trendline break, showing a shift in order flow.
Even though the 15M structure is currently bearish, the 4H and Daily trends remain bullish, keeping the higher-timeframe bias to the upside.
Entry plan:
• 15M demand wick entry
• Or refined entry using 1M nested demand
This is a lower-timeframe entry aligned with higher-timeframe continuation.
MGC ShortElite analysis
Shorting from 4h structural liquidity zone> 1m TS, 3m TS, 5m TS confirmed. Executed Short.
Targeting lower liquidity pools. 1st Session low, 2nd 4h bottom structural liquidity zone, grey rectangle.
Gap up on GC- Big gap up on the opening
- Left behind an low volume zone
- Quite over streched the daily
- Looking for short term downside
GOLD/ SILVER RATIO - Quarterly FlagBeautiful looking quarterly flag present on the gold silver ratio, should this break down, which would be likely to play out over the next 12-18 months (at most) then expect much higher silver prices.
I would expect to see the ratio hit between 50-30 should this flag pattern materialize.
The Truth About Timeframe Analysis – Chapter 2FAFO – F*-AROUND-FIND-OUT FRAMEWORK”**
If timeframes misalign, the market punishes you — every single time.
1️⃣ Trend / Impulse Check
Last impulse >2× previous → momentum, not trend.
Momentum alone = FAFO
Check last candles → volume continuation or fade
Context decides survival.
2️⃣ Zones Only Count With Confluence
Align with:
✔ Trend
✔ HTF
✔ Clean break/retest
✔ Rejection candle
✔ Multiple TFs clean
No confluence = decoration, ignore.
3️⃣ Candles = Evidence, Not Setups
Single candles ≠ signal
Must fit context + confluence
Wrong context → FAFO
4️⃣ Confluence = Survival
2 variables aligned + 1 neutral = potential
Any contradiction = dead setup
No guessing. No opinions.
5️⃣ Timeframe Conflicts → Wait
H1 bullish, M15 bearish → NO TRADE
Waiting = capital protection, not inactivity
Force a trade → FAFO
6️⃣ Context = Weapon
Strong trend + HTF resistance + fading volume = conflict → do not trade
Market shakes out amateurs here
Respect context or get cleaned
7️⃣ Golden Rule
Never trade against HTF unless MTF confirms reversal:
✔ Structure shift
✔ Volume shift
✔ Rejection candle
✔ Alignment
Trade anyway → RR small, execution precise
8️⃣ 10-SECOND CLASSIFICATION CHECK
HTF → bullish / bearish / conflict
MTF → aligned / challenging / opposite
LTF → entry / noise
Zone → fresh / retested / dead
Candle → supportive / neutral / invalidation
Confluence → 2 aligned + 1 neutral = tradeable
Contradiction → NO TRADE
9️⃣ FAFO Examples
Bearish M15 at HTF demand = FAFO
Momentum into dead zone = FAFO
Giant candle in consolidation = FAFO
10️⃣ Rule Stack
HTF owns the market
MTF decides opportunity
LTF executes only
Two variables aligned = potential
One contradiction = dead setup
Momentum ≠ trend
Zones need confluence or they don’t exist
MGC / GOLD 15/4h/D🧠 Multi-Timeframe Alignment – XAUUSD
Daily + 4H demand are in control ✅
15M structure is bullish ✅
Although price is currently high in the range, this 15M demand is valid because it just displaced and removed the opposing light red zone.
With lower timeframe confirmation and HTF alignment, I’m projecting price to continue higher and remove the 4H opposing zone.
Possible MGC BuyPrice broken structure and formed a HH:HL retesting the level. Momentum continued then stalled into consolidation, so I'm waiting for a break of the inside before I look to buy again.
GOLD directional trade with this week Analysis + ORB Pro entryGold is heading up to the previous OB. We are using our Rapid ORB indicator to entry. This a live update.
Recovery phaseFollowing a "Double Bottom," currently testing key resistance levels within a broader bullish context (indicated by the large green Ichimoku cloud).
The price has successfully reclaimed the 0.618 level (4,149.1). Holding above this level is crucial for the bullish thesis to continue.
The price is approaching the 0.786 level (4,193.5). A breakout here usually opens the door for a retest of the previous high.
If the price breaks the previous high (Level 1 at 4,250), the chart projects targets at the 1.272 extension (4,321.8) and the 1.618 extension (4,413.2).
The price is trading well above the Green Kumo (Cloud), which acts as a major dynamic support zone. This generally indicates a long-term bullish trend.
The Tenkan-Sen (Blue, 4,123.7) is currently below the Kijun-Sen (Red, 4,147.5), which is technically a weak signal. However, the current price (4,167) has moved above both lines, which is an early signal of renewed momentum. The status box at the bottom right notes "Status: Consolidation," likely waiting for the Tenkan to cross above the Kijun for a confirmed "Strong" buy signal.
A clear "Double Bottom" pattern formed around the 3,985 level (the 0 Fib line). This is a classic reversal pattern that provided the floor for the current rally.
There is an annotation for a "Bear Asc. Head and Shoulders." However, the price action has pushed up through the right shoulder, largely invalidating this bearish setup.
Current Move: A breakout from the consolidation zone between 4,080 and 4,150.
Short-Term Pullback: The projection anticipates a small dip or retest (likely bouncing off the 4,250 resistance initially).
Breakout: The projection implies a final surge breaking the 4,250 high, aiming for the Fibonacci extensions at 4,321 and 4,413.
Pivot/Support 4,149 (0.618 Fib) Must hold to maintain immediate bullish momentum.
Major Support 4,118 - 4,123 Confluence of 0.5 Fib and Tenkan-Sen. Loss of this level turns the trend neutral/bearish.
Key Resistance 4,193.5 The 0.786 Fib level; the next hurdle to clear.
Breakout Target 4,250 Previous High. Clearing this confirms the resumption of the macro uptrend.
Insight
The chart suggests a Bullish Bias. The "Double Bottom" provided a strong floor, and the price reclaiming the 0.618 Fibonacci level is a sign of strength. The primary risk is the "Consolidation", watch for the Tenkan-Sen (Blue line) to cross above the Kijun-Sen (Red line) to confirm the next leg up.
Upper zoneMight break out or break in to the zone on GC
Volume traded looks very thin on the upper level
We also filled in the gap from the sell off earlier this month.
Pre Open heads up on Gold. And overall draw. Bullish it isCOMEX:GC1!
Looking for higher prices on Gold. It should deliver towards the buyside and successive highs from here on. Need a CISD on the 4H timeframe
