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Gold Value Rotation & Lack of ConvictionFOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 COMEX:GC1! Traders. Context update for the remainder of the week. Market Context (The Rotation): The auction has rotated back into yesterday's Value Area and POC (Point of Control). • The Driver: This move was primarily driven by mechanical short covering rather than initiative buying. • The Problem: There is no evidence of "new money" (OTF) entering the market to sustain a directional trend. The auction is simply balancing. Structure & Inventory: • Balancing: Price is chopping between the GEX levels (Gamma levels), finding acceptance around the 4244 POC. • Momentum: Stalled. The market is waiting for a catalyst from the Dollar (DXY), which is currently consolidating at lows. • Behavior: Every breakout attempt is failing to find follow-through, confirming a mean-reversion environment. Plan & Execution: Given the lack of conviction, I am not looking for trend trades this week. • Stance: Range Bound / Two-Way Trade. • Tactics: Fade the edges of the balance. Expect price to remain tethered to the POC until new information enters the market. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
by Ken_Kissaki
Gold with technical analysis and its key support and resistance Gold with technical analysis and its key support and resistance Gold is in a rising parallel channel on the 3‑hour chart, currently reacting lower from the upper boundary, so short‑term bias is for a pullback within an overall uptrend. Key levels to watch are supports near 129,175–127,120 and resistance around 131,200–131,500 and the channel top. ## Trend structure - Price has been respecting a well‑defined ascending channel since early November, with higher highs and higher lows confirming an uptrend on this timeframe. - The latest swing has reached the upper band of this channel and shows rejection candles, indicating supply pressure and possible short‑term exhaustion of buyers. ## Support zones - Immediate intraday support is near the mid‑channel and prior breakout area around 129,100–129,200; a hold here keeps the uptrend structure intact. - Deeper support sits at 127,100–127,200, aligning with the channel lower boundary and previous demand zone; a sustained break below this area would signal a potential trend change or larger correction towards 125,000 and then 122,000. ## Resistance zones - The first and most important resistance is the recent high and channel top region near 131,200–131,500, where repeated rejections suggest strong sellers. - If price can close firmly above this band, the channel’s upper projection opens room for further upside, with next resistance coming from measured channel extension and recent technical levels around 133,000–133,500. ## Trading view - As long as price stays inside the rising channel and above 127,100–127,200, the primary trend remains bullish and dips into support can be treated as buy‑on‑dip opportunities with tight risk control. - A breakdown below the lower channel with volume would favor a shift to sell‑on‑rise, targeting the lower horizontal supports mentioned, while any fresh breakout above 131,500 would invalidate the short‑term bearish pullback idea and resume the up‑leg.
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by ktra_commodities
1
Balancing Range & The 4190 PivotCOMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Traders. Update on the current auction structure. Market Context (No New Money): We have yet to see any "New Money" or Initiative Buying enter the market. Yesterday developed as another Balance Day, capped by some late-session liquidation. The Reality: The auction remains range-bound between 4,290 (High) and 4,190 (Low). Without a fresh catalyst, price is simply rotating within this established bracket. Structure & Key Levels: Bullish Scenario: If Gold can hold acceptance above Yesterday's Low, the rotation favors a re-test of the upper distribution around 4,260 – 4,270 later this week. Bearish Scenario: The line in the sand is 4,190. A breakdown and acceptance below this level changes the context significantly, likely dragging the auction down to repair the November Balance Area (~4,100). Plan: Stance: Neutral / Range Trading. Execution: Fading the extremes of the 4290-4190 range until we see a breakout with volume confirmation. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
by Ken_Kissaki
Gold MCX Future - Weekly Analysis - 1 to 5 Dec., 2025MCX:GOLD1! Gold MCX Futures — Chart Pathik Weekly Levels for 01 to 05 Dec. 2025 (If these levels add value to your trades, a quick boost or comment goes a long way in supporting this free content and keeping our trading community thriving!) Gold Futures are trading near 129,893, pulling back from early-week highs and hovering just below the Weekly Neutral Zone at 130,220, signalling a balanced tug-of-war between continuation bulls and mean-reversion bears. Price remains above key weekly long reference levels, keeping the broader structure constructive but vulnerable to deeper dips if supports fail.​​ Weekly Bullish Structure Weekly long bias remains active as long as price holds above the W Long Entry zone at 128,641 and the W Add Long Position level at 128,126, where prior demand and breakout structure align.​ Upside targets sit at 132,919 (W Long Target 1) and 134,587 (W Long Target 2), marking zones for positional booking if buyers regain control above the Neutral Zone.​ Control: Positional longs can trail or define risk below the W Long Exit at 129,066 and more structurally below 128,126, where bullish weekly structure starts to weaken.​ Weekly Bearish Structure If price breaks and sustains below 128,126, focus shifts to the W Short Entry band around 127,610–127,518, where fresh selling pressure and failed retests of broken support can set up downside continuation.​ Weekly downside targets lie at 127,521 (W Short Target 1) and 125,853 (W Short Target 2), providing zones for profit booking on swing shorts.​ Control: Bears need to stay cautious on any sharp reclaim back above 129,066–130,220, where failed breakdowns can quickly flip back into a squeeze towards the weekly long targets.​​ Neutral & Trading Plan Context 130,220 acts as the Weekly Neutral pivot—while gold trades between roughly 129,066 and 130,220, expect range-bound swings suitable for tactical intraday/swing trades rather than aggressive weekly trend plays.​ Every level is designed to give structure for both positional and intraday traders—plan entries around these zones, manage exits at targets, and let the chart work for you, not your emotions.​ Boost or comment if these weekly levels support your preparation—help Chart Pathik keep delivering structured, high-quality analysis to more MCX traders!
MCX:GOLD1!
by ChartPathik
Symmetrical Triangle🟦 Symmetrical Triangle Behavior It represents a volatility contraction and indecision. It usually follows a strong prior move — and in this case, the run-up before November 27–28. Because the run-up was bullish, statistically the probability leans slightly toward a bullish breakout, but breakouts must be confirmed, not predicted.🚨 What Matters Most 🧾 Levels to Watch (approximate) These need validating as price evolves, but based on your drawing: Breakout Zone (Bullish): ~4,260–4,270 Breakdown Zone (Bearish): ~4,190–4,200 📉 If It Breaks Down Targets could be measured using the height of the triangle: Rough move target: 40–60 points from breakout/breakdown.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by SteveGold325
1
Gold (GC1!) Forecast: The Squeeze & Release Path via DSRTL MatriCategory: Trend Analysis / Chart Patterns Symbol: GC1! (Gold Futures) In this analysis, we use the DSRTL-ML (Dynamic Support & Resistance) engine to map the current structural context for Gold. The indicator is tagging the state as “TESTING RES – Bias: Neutral”, highlighting a consolidation phase right underneath a major resistance band. Structurally, this is a spot where static friction meets dynamic momentum. 1. The Current Structure: Compression Phase The Matrix currently sits at S2 | D3 (Testing Resistance). - The Ceiling (Static R): Price is capped by a high-volume resistance node (orange zone: ~4.24K–4.31K), acting as a lid on price action. - The Floor (Dynamic S): At the same time, the rising DSRTL trend line (dynamic support) is pushing the lows higher inside the channel. Taken together, this can be viewed as an early ascending-triangle–style squeeze: price is consolidating between a flat static lid and a rising dynamic floor, while DSRTL keeps the official bias neutral and labels the state as a resistance test. 2. Path of Least Resistance The dashboard shows a positive Net Delta of +8.36K, suggesting that buyers have been active right below the resistance band. - Projected Path: In the absence of a clear break, price can continue to oscillate within this narrowing pocket between static resistance and the rising channel. - Breakout Vector: The combination of constructive volume flow and an upward-sloping dynamic channel creates a supportive backdrop if an upside break occurs, even though DSRTL itself still prints a Neutral bias here. 3. Scenario & Structural Objectives - Trigger: A confirmed close above the top of the Static R band (~4.31K) would move the Matrix out of its S2 “testing” state toward an S1-type breakout environment. - Next Structural Area: Above that level, the next area of interest becomes the upper rail of the DSRTL dynamic channel (pink line), where the system could start migrating toward its higher “extension” states. Invalidation: If price breaks and closes below the rising pink dynamic support, the bullish squeeze thesis is invalidated. In that case, the Matrix would likely rotate toward Neutral/Bearish or Bearish-Pullback configurations, depending on how price interacts with the underlying static support band. Disclaimer: This forecast is based on structural scenarios derived from the DSRTL-ML engine and is provided strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
COMEX:GC1!
by ata_sabanci
GOLD - H12Since October 27 Gold is recovering into an upward move. The chart is still respecting the Major Blue ascending channel. But recently a new Purple one evolved inside the Blue channel. The Strong support zone was retested twice pushing the chart into a favorable bullish momentum. The 2nd Support zone is actually being confirmed as solid, right now. If it holds, we will have a strong upward move inside the purple channel, or a less powerful one potentially respecting the middle blue line. Both Scenarios will be eventually on the way to breach the red zone & making a new Top. If the actual support zone is weak, Gold will breach down the purple channel, back to the Blue one, closing in again on the Strong Support zone. I still favor an Upward move even if it might go a bit sideways 1st. Trade Safe.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Texsla
Gold | Zone-Based High-RR Long Setup | Bullish BiasGold | Zone-Based High-RR Long Setup | Bullish Bias I currently carry a bullish bias on Gold. Price is approaching a pre-defined demand zone marked on the chart — this is a reaction area, not a prediction. I only engage after confirmation from within the zone. If the zone holds, continuation toward the marked resistance is expected. If it fails, the idea is invalidated immediately. IT WORKS 90% OF THE TIMES THOUGH! This setup is independent of session or time. Execution, risk management, and psychology decide the outcome — analysis only provides the framework. Risk is always predefined. No chasing. No emotional trades. Trade the zone. Manage the risk. Let the market do the rest. Happy Trading.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by ankibnsl
Short Covering vs. New Money (Waiting for the Catalyst)COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Traders. Mid-week context check as we wait for institutional commitment. Market Context (The Mechanical Bounce): As noted in the previous update, yesterday's rotation was driven by Short Covering—old money exiting profitable shorts—rather than Initiative Buying (New Money) entering fresh longs. The Trap: Short covering can lift the auction, but it lacks the sustained energy to break new highs. We are seeing price drift without aggressive volume. Inventory: We are currently balancing above the Previous Week High (PWH). This zone is holding, but the auction feels "heavy" without fresh inflows. The Fundamental "Hold" (Why Big Funds are Waiting): "Big Funds" are likely sidelined ahead of the tier-1 data dump. They need clarity before deploying serious capital for the week. Today (Wed): ADP Payrolls & ISM Services. Friday: The NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls). The Reality: Until these numbers drop, we may remain in a "chop" or "balance" phase as institutions hedge rather than commit. Plan & Execution: Bias: Slightly Long, strictly conditional on holding above the PWH. The Trigger: I need to see Follow Through. We need a volume spike (Initiative Buying) to confirm that "New Money" has arrived to defend this breakout. Caution: If we fail to find acceptance higher and lose the PWH, expect a rotation back inside the previous balance to find liquidity. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
by Ken_Kissaki
Liquidation Break & The "New Money" TestCOMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Following up on the previous context regarding the "Thin Structure Repair." Market Context (The Repair): As anticipated, the auction corrected lower to repair the thin profile left behind by the holiday drift. Monday: Developed as a Balance Day, digesting the recent move. Today: We saw a Liquidation Break early in the session, effectively flushing out weak hands, followed by a rotation back up. Structure & Inventory (The "Tell"): The current bounce is characteristic of Short Covering (old money exiting winning shorts) rather than Initiative Buying (new money entering longs). The Trap: Short covering can rally price, but it is mechanical and temporary. It creates a "hollow" move if not supported by fresh volume. The Requirement: To re-test and break the All-Time Highs, we need to see "New Money" step in. Without this sustained buying flow, the auction will lack the energy to hold higher prices. Plan & Execution: Stance: Cautious / Monitoring for flow confirmation. Scenario A (Bullish): If we see aggressive Initiative Buying absorbing offers above the short-covering highs, we target the ATH. Scenario B (Bearish): If the rally stalls and "new money" fails to show up, expect the market to rotate deeper to find supportive bids (value) at lower levels. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
by Ken_Kissaki