COPPER trade ideas
Copper vs Dollar | Institutional vs Retail Sentiment Analysis🔥 XCU/USD – Copper vs U.S Dollar | Thief Money-Making Plan (Swing/Scalping Trade)
🎯 Plan & Thief Entry Style
Bias: Bullish ✅ (Re-Accumulation Buy Setup)
Entry Style: Thief strategy = multiple limit order layers 🧩
Suggested Layers: (4.4600) 🟢 | (4.4700) 🟢 | (4.4800) 🟢 | (4.4900) 🟢 | (4.5000) 🟢
You can always increase limit layers depending on your own strategy.
Stop Loss (Thief SL): 4.4200 ⚠️
Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — always adjust SL to your own plan & risk appetite.
Target Zone: 4.6700 🎯
Resistance + overbought zone + possible trap → steal the money & escape! 🏃💰
📊 XCU/USD Market Snapshot (Copper vs U.S Dollar) – Sept 5, 2025
Real-Time Change: -0.8% 🔻
Retail Sentiment: 45% Long 😊 | 55% Short 😟
Institutional Sentiment: 60% Long 🚀 | 40% Short 🛑
➡️ Retail leaning bearish, while institutions show cautious optimism.
😨💰 Fear & Greed Index
Score: 48/100 (Neutral) ⚖️
Market mood balanced → no extreme fear/greed at the moment.
📊 Fundamental Score – 6/10
Stable global copper demand ✅
Risks: US economic slowdown ❌ & weaker China industrial output ⚙️
Key Watch: industrial production data + trade policy shifts
🌍 Macro Score – 5.5/10
US Dollar strength 🦅
Global PMI data + US jobs report 🏭
Tariff talks & supply chain risks add uncertainty
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
Neutral ➡️ Slightly Bullish ⚖️➡️🚀
Short-term pressure from USD strength 📉
Long-term supported by institutional buying & steady industrial demand 🏗️
Watch: US Nonfarm Payrolls + China economic updates 📡
🔎 Quick Take – Why This Thief Plan?
Copper is stable but under macro pressure.
Institutional flow is bullish compared to retail → signal of hidden strength.
Neutral sentiment = less volatility now, but data events may unlock momentum.
Swing/Scalp opportunities exist with layered buy entries → thief escape at 4.6700! 💰
📌 Related Pairs to Watch
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold)
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver)
PEPPERSTONE:USDX (Dollar Index)
$CLUSD (Crude Oil)
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#Copper #XCUUSD #Metals #Commodities #TradingView #SwingTrade #Scalping #Forex #ThiefStrategy #Layering #CommoditiesTrading #XAUUSD #XAGUSD #USDIndex #CrudeOil
Copper testing bullish trend lineWith copper prices easing over the last few days, it has now reached a key short-term support area in the shaded region. Here a bullish trend line meets prior support/resistance range. Can we see a bounce here today? Or are we inside a bear flag pattern? Either way, we will soon find out, and then one can trade copper accordingly. We prefer the long side give a positive long-term macro backdrop for copper.
Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Copper on a possible breakout retest, resumption of a half-cycleCopper on a possible breakout retest, resumption of a half-cycle low.
28 days of what appears to be a weekly and daily cycle low. There could be significant gains until the end of October.
Entry: 9.984
Stop Loss (SL): 8.520
(The chart may look slightly different for you depending on the instrument you use.)
Slow and steady wins the race for Copper - yea right!In June I started a Target for Copper at 10,677.
THe result - nowhere slowly.
Now if one was holding this trade, it would have been costly.
Not only opportunity cost but also actual daily interest charges...
So why is Copper moving nowhere slowly?
🏭 Oversupply outweighs demand
📉 Tariff hype fizzled out
🌍 U.S. & global prices misaligned
🇨🇳 China demand cooling
⏳ Market in wait-and-see mode
The target is still on but it can take a while and you might need to read Vogue or something.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Copper establishing a baseFollowing the big drop in copper prices on the back of news at the end of July that Trump's tariff excludes refined metal, prices have started to stabilize near the lows, suggesting a potential recovery could be on the cards.
Copper prices dropped by the largest on July 30 after Trump excluded refined metal from his planned import tariff.
Dip-buyers are starting to step back in now, with prices now finding their footing around $4.40 area, which itself was a prior demand zone from early April.
Short-term resistance around $4.50 has provided a short-term ceiling but if that breaks then we could see a quick recovery towards the 200-day average first, ahead of potentially $5.00 in the coming weeks.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Copper Long Swing TradeCAPITALCOM:COPPER Long Swing trade, with my back testing of this strategy, Copper is bullish
This is good trade.
Don't overload your risk like Greedy gambler!!!
Be Disciplined Trader, what what you can afford.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Copper Stabilizes: A Tactical Long OpportunityAfter pulling back from recent highs, copper is showing signs of stabilizing. In my view, this move is more likely a correction within a broader uptrend rather than the start of a deeper decline.
I remain optimistic about the commodity sector in the near term, and copper is no exception. From current levels, the odds favor a resumption of the uptrend over a continued drop.
On the monthly chart, the broader bullish trend remains intact as long as the price stays above the 4.00 level. There’s a possibility that copper may dip toward 4.20 before rebounding, but the current price zone already looks attractive for initiating long positions — we might not get a deeper pullback.
Friday’s candlestick adds confidence to the bullish case, and similar constructive setups are appearing across other industrial metals, such as silver, palladium, and platinum.
📝Trading Plan
🟢Entry: Current levels (~4.45)
🔴Stop: Below Thursday’s low — 4.35
🎯Target: 4.67 / 4.87 / 5.24
What a turnaround on copper futuresManipulation? Smells like it, but of course, this is just the market we are currently living in.
Let's dig in.
MARKETSCOM:COPPER
COMEX:HG1!
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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COPPER TECHNICAL ANALYSISCopper spiked into 5.8750 but is now consolidating just below short-term resistance at 5.6448, showing signs of a bullish continuation pattern. Price remains supported at the 5.4864 zone.
Currently trading at 5.4864, with
Support at: 5.4864 / 5.3157 / 4.9929 🔽
Resistance at: 5.6448 / 5.8750 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Break above 5.6448 could push price toward 5.8750 and beyond.
🔽 Bearish: Loss of 5.4864 may trigger downside toward 5.3157.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Copper Eyeing Key Reversal Point – Will It Break Above 4.68152 ?Copper is currently hovering near the 4.68152 🔼 resistance after rebounding from the 4.50280 🔽 support. Price is reacting to the 50-period SMA, which is slightly above current levels and may act as a dynamic resistance. The overall structure remains mixed with recent lower highs, but bulls have stepped in at key support.
Support at: 4.50280 🔽, 4.27241 🔽, 4.04129 🔽
Resistance at: 4.68152 🔼, 4.83230 🔼, 4.95323 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A breakout and retest above 4.68152, and ideally a clean move above the 50 SMA, could signal bullish continuation toward 4.83230 and 4.95323.
🔽 Bearish: A strong rejection at 4.68152 or a drop below 4.50280 could send price back toward 4.27241.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Long the copper for a potential breaking upWith the expectation of PPI bouncing back from the deep valley because China is launching a 1.3 Trillion infrastructure plan to build the largest hydro dam in the Yarlung Tsangpo Grand Canyon on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, the long term global demand of industrial copper is more bullish than last time.
In the aspect of currency, the bullish steepener yield curve of US T-bill is giving a continuous momentum to industrial commodities.
Imma entry in the bottom of the current consolidation and add position as the breaking in the next weeks
Bullish Consolidation After the copper market exploded higher on the Trump Administration’s 50% tariff headline, the market has been quietly consolidating above the breakout level at 5.33. While above this level the risk is higher, and in case of a break back below the 5.30 level, the risk would be a larger retracement. This would likely be caused by the Trump Administration abandoning that threat of a 50% tariff.
XCU/USD: Low-Risk Loot Opportunity!🔥 THE COPPER HEIST: XCU/USD Robbery Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 🔥
🌟 Attention, Market Robbers & Money Makers! 🌟
(Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!) 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, here’s our master heist plan for the XCU/USD "The Copper" Metals Market! This is a high-probability long setup, but we must escape before the police (bears) set their trap near the red zone! 🚨📉
📌 THE HEIST BLUEPRINT
✔ Entry Strategy (Breakout or Pullback)
✔ Stop Loss (Protect Your Loot!)
✔ Target (Escape Before the Cops Arrive!)
🚀 ENTRY: TIME TO STRIKE!
"The heist is ON! Wait for the ATR breakout (5.00000) before moving!"
Option 1: Place Buy Stop orders above the Moving Average.
Option 2: Use Buy Limit orders on pullbacks (15m/30m recent swing lows).
📢 ALERT! Set a breakout alarm—don’t miss the move!
🛑 STOP LOSS: PROTECT YOUR LOOT!
"Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're entering on a Buy Stop, DON’T set your SL until AFTER the breakout!
📍 Thief SL Placement: Recent swing low + Moving Average (5H TF) → 4.80000
⚠️ WARNING: If you ignore this, you’re playing with fire! 🔥 (Your risk, not mine!)
🎯 TARGET: CASH OUT & ESCAPE!
🏴☠️ First Take-Profit: 5.25000 (or exit early if the market turns!)
💰 Scalpers: Only trade LONG—use trailing SL to lock in profits!
📊 MARKET STATUS: NEUTRAL (But Bullish Potential! 🐂)
Fundamentals? Check COT Reports, Macro Data, Geopolitics, News Sentiment!
🔗 Links in bio0 for full analysis! 👉🌎📰
🚨 TRADING ALERT: NEWS = VOLATILITY!
⚠️ Avoid new trades during major news!
🔒 Use Trailing SL to protect open positions!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST PLAN!
Hit 👍 LIKE & 🔄 SHARE to strengthen our robbery squad!
🚀 More heists coming soon—stay tuned! 🤑💎
🎯 FINAL WORD:
"Take profits, treat yourself—you deserve it! 💸🏆"
Copper Holds Above 14-Year ResistanceFrom a monthly time frame perspective, copper has broken above a major resistance zone defined by consecutive highs dating back to 2011.
The breakout above $5.40 marks a significant technical milestone. A clean move above the $5.87 high could open the door for further upside, potentially targeting $7.00 and beyond as bullish momentum continues to build.
On the downside, if copper fails to hold this breakout and closes back below the 14-year trendline, support may be retested near the $4.60 and $4.20 levels.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
US COPPER: is the technical breakout a trap?The unexpected announcement of a dramatic increase in US copper tariffs triggered a bullish impulse in the copper price, which reached a new all-time high. The question is whether this bullish technical signal is reliable, or whether it could be a false signal and therefore a bullish trap. So let's review the technical analysis message on the price of copper (copper which is listed in New York) and take a look at the fundamentals.
1) 50% US tariff on copper imports!
President Trump has announced a 50% tariff on imports of this strategic metal, triggering an immediate price surge in the US and a pullback in the London-listed copper price. This decision is part of a wider move to reduce the country's dependence on foreign suppliers, following similar measures on other industrial metals. Faced with the prospect of trade barriers on such a scale, international traders rushed huge volumes of copper to US ports to protect themselves against an imminent surcharge. However, this rush has added to the confusion, as no one knows precisely when the new taxes will come into force, or whether certain companies will be granted exemptions. We must therefore remain cautious, as Trump's trade announcements are highly fickle, and the price of copper in the US could fall back if these 50% tariffs are not finally implemented.
It takes many years to bring new mines on stream and build copper processing plants, while imports continue to dominate the US market. This could exert sustained upward pressure on prices, penalizing the competitiveness of US industries.
At the same time, the timetable for implementation remains unclear. The Secretary of Commerce mentioned the end of summer as a likely horizon, but without detailing which types of processed or raw products would be affected. This uncertainty fuels speculation and maintains volatility on commodity markets. We therefore need to be fully aware of the speculative aspect of copper's behavior on the stock market at present, and therefore of the risk of false technical signals.
2) In terms of technical analysis, if the breakout is confirmed, bullish potential may be limited by the top of a long-term Chartist channel.
In terms of chart analysis, a bullish technical breakout has therefore taken place, with the overrunning of resistance at $4.70/$5. It remains to be seen whether or not this bullish technical break will be confirmed at the weekly close at the end of the week.
But if it is, the upside potential will be limited by the upper part of a long-term Chartist channel which runs towards the $6 price. If the market were to break back below support at $4.70/$5, then the bullish technical signal would be invalidated.
3) The relative strength between the copper price and the gold price should be kept under close watch
On the other hand, I would like to highlight the presence of major long-term support on the ratio between the copper price and the gold price.
The current bounce off this long-term support suggests that copper should outperform gold over the coming months.
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