DOGE/USDT — On the Edge of a Major Reversal or a Deep Breakdown?DOGE is currently standing at the most critical zone of 2025. The price is testing the key confluence support area (0.171 – 0.190), reinforced by a mid-term ascending trendline.
This isn’t just a line — it’s the last stronghold for the bulls since early this year.
Each time DOGE has touched this yellow zone, buyers have stepped in aggressively. But this time feels different — selling pressure is intensifying, and the latest 2D candle shows a weak reaction at support.
The market is waiting for a major decision: reversal or deeper collapse.
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🔹 Structure & Pattern
The chart shows a clear ascending accumulation base that has been forming for nearly a year.
The ascending trendline has acted as the backbone of accumulation since October 2024.
The horizontal range between 0.171–0.190 forms a macro demand zone that has repeatedly absorbed selling pressure.
However, the failure to break above the 0.258–0.306 resistance range reveals weakening bullish momentum.
At this point, price action is “dancing on the edge” — where just one decisive candle close could determine DOGE’s direction for the next few months.
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🟢 Bullish Scenario: “The Bounce from the Abyss”
If the 0.171–0.190 zone holds and triggers a strong rejection, DOGE could launch a sharp reversal move.
Bullish confirmation:
Strong rejection from the yellow zone + 2D candle close above 0.2128.
Rising buy volume indicating re-entry by mid-term buyers.
Upside targets:
1. 0.2128 (initial confirmation)
2. 0.2583 (mid-range supply)
3. 0.3061 (key resistance)
4. 0.3958 – 0.45 (mid-term euphoria zone)
A breakout above 0.306 would likely trigger a trend continuation phase, targeting 0.45–0.48 as a mid-term expansion zone.
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🔴 Bearish Scenario: “Crack in the Foundation”
If the price fails to hold above 0.171 and closes below the ascending trendline, this could signal the start of a large-scale distribution phase.
Bearish confirmation:
2D close below ~0.165 with strong sell volume.
Failed retest attempt back into the 0.171–0.190 zone.
Downside targets:
0.14 (minor support)
0.12 (final demand zone)
<0.10 (macro structural low at 0.0865)
If this scenario unfolds, DOGE may enter a long-term re-accumulation phase, awaiting fresh participation from institutional or “smart money” buyers.
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⚖️ Technical Summary
DOGE is now at a macro trend decision point.
The yellow area (0.171–0.190) represents the last defensive wall for the bulls.
A breakdown below this zone = red alert for deeper correction.
But a strong rejection from this level could ignite a multi-week reversal rally toward 0.30+.
For swing traders, this is a golden zone to wait for confirmation.
For scalpers, this is a high-volatility range to capture short-term bounces.
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