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Tesla - The massive triangle breakout!🪩Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is breaking out: 🔎Analysis summary: Last month, we witnessed an incredible but expected rally of about +35% on Tesla. Furthermore, with this move Tesla is attempting to break above the previous all time highs. After bullish confirmation, this would also lead to a massive triangle breakout. 📝Levels to watch: $400 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
11
TSLA Elliott Wave Count with ABC Harmonic or Flat Corrective Tesla (TSLA) is forming a potential Wave 4 correction that aligns with an ABC harmonic structure. Price action suggests a possible deeper retracement into the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci support zone (436–449 area) before resuming its larger uptrend. If Wave 4 completes near the harmonic “D” zone (highlighted support box), the next leg higher could target the 1.236–1.414 Fibonacci extensions around 488–501, in line with Wave 5 projection. Key levels to watch: Support: 436.9 (0.618 retrace), 425 psychological, 397 strong support. Resistance: 444.7, 470.8 (previous high), 501–505 (Wave 5 target). Bullish scenario: Wave 4 completes soon, leading to a strong Wave 5 breakout towards 500+. Bearish scenario: Breakdown below 425–397 support could invalidate the bullish count and extend correction lower. The other possibility is that it is actually unfolding a flat correction in Wave 4 after completing Wave 3 near the recent high. The structure suggests price may continue to consolidate within the corrective channel before setting up the next impulse leg. Bullish scenario: Flat correction completes, setting the stage for Wave 5 rally toward 490–505. Bearish scenario: Breakdown below 397 invalidates the bullish count and signals deeper retracement.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by msezng
17
TSLA – Mild Pullback Before Resuming Its Upward TrajectoryHello everyone, Tesla (TSLA) is showing a healthy technical pullback after an impressive rally, yet the broader bullish trend remains intact. The stock is currently hovering around $438.69, down 4.5% in the latest session — a move that reflects short-term profit-taking rather than a shift in market sentiment. On the news side, Tesla has just unveiled lower-cost versions of the Model 3 and Model Y — a strategic decision aimed at expanding its mid-range customer base. However, the market’s reaction has been somewhat cautious, possibly due to concerns over shrinking profit margins as prices drop. Nevertheless, this move allows Tesla to strengthen its global footprint and improve competitiveness, particularly in key markets like China and Europe. At the same time, the company continues to advance its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology and the Robotaxi project — seen as Tesla’s long-term growth pillars. Once fully realised, autonomous mobility services could unlock significant recurring revenue, reinforcing investor confidence even amid short-term corrections. From a technical perspective, the 4H chart indicates that price remains well above the Ichimoku cloud, confirming that the uptrend still dominates. Shallow Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have been filled, hinting that price might retest support before rebounding. The $430–$420 area serves as a critical support zone, while resistance stands near $440 and $445. A clear breakout above $440 could open the path toward $450–$460. Overall, Tesla appears to be consolidating within a natural pause rather than reversing. As long as the $420 level holds, the bullish structure remains valid. What about you — do you see this pullback as a springboard for new highs, or the start of a longer consolidation phase for TSLA?
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by EmmaChartist
21
SMA 20: The most used, simple, and useful indicatorThe 20-period Simple Moving Average ( SMA 20 ) is easy to calculate and widely used, though often undervalued by traders eager for novelty. Its presence is notable in popular technical indicators like Bollinger Bands and Donchian Channels. Even the most purist price action traders include it on their charts, valuing its ability to identify trends and key support and resistance levels. Today, I want to explore the practical uses traders can derive from this versatile indicator. Behavioral Patterns Technical Analysis emerged from the detection and study of repetitive patterns or phenomena. These patterns are intrinsically tied to investor psychology, and their influence on decision-making is fundamental. Repetitive patterns around an SMA 20 typically indicate that a trend has strength and stability, attracting investors and paving the way for highly effective systems or methodologies. One of my favorites involves identifying entry points in strong trends that have clearly respected the SMA 20. Figures 1 and 2 illustrate this type of approach: Figure 1: Figure 2: Price Overextensions A price overextension in trading refers to an extreme price movement that significantly deviates from its average or reference level. This phenomenon often indicates that the price has moved too far, too fast in one direction (bullish or bearish) over a short period, suggesting a potential reversal or correction. The SMA 20 is extremely useful for visually detecting these phenomena. Moreover, when trading in high-volatility contexts like overextensions, the SMA 20 can serve as a safe exit zone. In Figure 3, you can observe how the price extends twice, significantly diverging from the SMA 20. The first overextension wouldn’t have been sufficient for an entry, but the second overextension generated a clear bearish divergence, which, combined with price action, would have validated a short entry. The SMA 20 is a discreet target for taking profits without excessive exposure. This leverages a widely applied statistical concept in markets: mean reversion. Figure 3: Breakout Trading Breakout trading involves entering the market when an asset’s price breaks through a key support or resistance level, with the expectation that the movement will continue in the breakout direction. A price action phenomenon that significantly increases the likelihood of a successful breakout is pre-breakout tension , a state of compressed supply and demand characterized by a narrow range, low volatility, and order accumulation at key levels. The SMA 20 is extremely useful for clearly identifying the dominance between buying and selling forces, as well as visually highlighting pre-breakout tension. In Figure 4, I use a 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA 20) to increase sensitivity to the indicator’s changes. Notice how the EMA 20 seems to compress the price against the range’s boundaries, as if trying to push it out. Figure 4: Retest Patterns A retest occurs when, after breaking a significant support or resistance, opposing forces push back to test the strength of the prior level. In Figure 5, you can see how, after a bearish breakout from an exhaustion pattern, bulls attack strongly but encounter resistance at what was previously a breached support. An SMA 20 aligned with this zone increases the level’s robustness, which is defended by sellers who see an excellent profit opportunity. Figure 5: Figure 6 shows an opposite example. Figure 6: Conclusions With this brief overview, I aim to demonstrate that it’s not necessary to rely on novel or complex technical indicators to make sound market decisions. In Technical Analysis, simplicity, combined with deep understanding, often yields significant results. Final Note If you’d like to take a look at my analysis record, you can find my profile in Spanish, where I transparently share well-defined market entries. Send your good vibes if you enjoyed this article, and may God bless you all.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Especulador96
4
TSLA maybe retest support near 360$ but target is 700$Price is near channel resistance and red trendline sell pressure zone so we can expect short-term fall here like the red arrow but soon after that short-term fall we can expect heavy gain here like the green arrow on chart and targets like 600$ and more also if the red trendline break valid to the upside without that correction target can hit. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by MMBTtrader
1
Breakout Incoming!Tesla remains within a well-defined channel range, consolidating near lower channel support on declining volume, which reflects healthy consolidation after prior momentum. The recent action has formed a symmetrical triangle, with price compressing between rising support and descending resistance — a classic setup for a volatility squeeze and potential breakout. Despite short-term weakness, TSLA has consistently held above prior support levels within the channel. With bullish sentiment building ahead of earnings, it’s unlikely the stock breaks below existing support (~$416–$420). The key resistance to watch is at $455, aligning with the upper boundary of the current structure. A decisive breakout above this level could trigger a move toward $470, which coincides with the previous high and marks a potential continuation of the bullish trend. Notably, the price breakout between September 11 and September 22 offers a useful reference; that move demonstrated TSLA’s ability to accelerate rapidly once volume returns and resistance levels are cleared - this stock is a freight train once it gets moving. Given the technical compression, low-volume consolidation, and improving sentiment, I’d expect a breakout as early as tomorrow or early next week, especially as we lead into earnings. Key Levels: • Support: $416–$420 • Resistance: $455 (breakout trigger) • Target: $470+ (prior high / upper channel objective) • Future Target: Liftoff?
NASDAQ:TSLA
by M0neyMatters2Me
1
Why Most Prop Traders Fail (Even the Skilled Ones)When speaking with Prop Traders, we have found the issue was not about bad setups; it’s emotions under pressure that is the problem Fear after a loss. Greed after a win. That’s when discipline slips and accounts die. Here’s what helps: Before each session, ask ? “Would I take this trade if I weren’t trying to prove something?” This one question has saved more accounts than any indicator I’ve been helping traders stay calm when it matters most. If you’ve ever blown up knowing exactly what you should’ve done, DM me and I’ll show you what’s been working.
BMV:TSLAEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
2
Tesla (TSLA) – RSI Signals New Bull Cycle, Not Near the TopTechnical View: Trend intact. Momentum constructive. Cycle still maturing. The RSI roadmap suggests the story is far from over — and the most explosive phase may still lie ahead. Summary: Back in April , we identified the $270–$320 region as a decisive long-term support zone — a confluence of the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels and the lower boundary of Tesla’s decade-long rising channel. That analysis has played out perfectly: TSLA retested this zone, built a solid base, and resumed its uptrend. Today, with the stock trading above $430 and advancing toward the channel median — already within proximity of the next resistance zone around $480–$500 — the most powerful signal comes from momentum rather than price. The monthly RSI tells us something crucial: we are not near a cycle top. In fact, historical patterns suggest Tesla is entering the expansion phase of a new multi-year bull cycle , with much higher prices still ahead. RSI and Market Cycles: What History Tells Us Tesla’s two previous major bull markets — in 2013–2014 and 2019–2021 — followed a remarkably similar script before topping out: The first euphoric peak of each cycle coincided with a monthly RSI above 90 , not in the middle of the channel but as price pushed into — and slightly above — the upper boundary. After that first RSI > 90 event, the stock posted two higher highs with lower RSI peaks , a textbook sign of momentum exhaustion (bearish divergence). The result each time: a sharp correction of 45–75% . Today, RSI sits near 56 — nowhere close to overbought extremes. This strongly implies that Tesla is still in the mid-cycle expansion stage — a phase historically associated with sustained institutional accumulation, accelerating price gains, and multiple expansion. Even more importantly, if history repeats, RSI > 90 will not occur until price reaches the upper boundary or slightly breaks above it . Based on current channel geometry, that implies a potential first euphoric peak in the $1,200–$1,600 range — far above where the stock trades today. My Prediction and Trade Idea I believe Tesla is now in the second phase of a new multi-year bull cycle, likely playing out over the next 18–30 months . The technical setup — price structure, channel dynamics, and RSI behaviour — all point to continued upside. My base-case roadmap: Near-term: Tesla approaches the $480–$500 resistance area (upper half of the channel) in the coming months. Mid-term: A breakout above $500 could trigger a sustained expansion leg toward $650–$700. Late-cycle: As momentum peaks and RSI nears 90, price could accelerate into the $1,200–$1,600 zone — the area historically associated with euphoric tops. For long-term investors and swing traders, the current risk-reward profile remains compelling. As long as Tesla holds above the $320 accumulation zone, the path of least resistance remains higher. Profit Targets and Stop Loss First Target : $480–$500 (upper half of the channel) Second Target : $650–$700 (mid-cycle breakout extension) Third Target : $1,200–$1,600 (historical RSI > 90 / euphoric top zone) Stop-Loss Strategy: A sustained monthly close below $320 would invalidate the mid-cycle thesis and suggest a deeper corrective structure. For traders, this remains the technical “line in the sand.” Risks to Consider While the technical backdrop is bullish, several risks could challenge this thesis: Macro Shifts : Higher-for-longer rates or a global recession could compress growth multiples. Execution Risk : Delays in autonomy, robotics, or the energy business could dampen investor enthusiasm. Valuation Pressure : Tesla’s premium valuation makes it sensitive to changes in growth expectations. Momentum Signals : If RSI fails to advance significantly during the next leg higher, it may signal internal weakness and an earlier-than-expected cycle peak. Conclusion Tesla’s long-term uptrend remains robust, key support has held, and momentum indicators show we are still early in a powerful new bull cycle. Historical RSI behaviour strongly suggests that the first euphoric phase — where RSI exceeds 90 and a true cycle top begins to form — will occur at much higher levels , likely $1,200–$1,600 . Until then, price action, structure, and momentum all point to continued appreciation. As long as support holds above $320, the base-case scenario is clear: Tesla’s next major move is higher — and the market is still writing the early chapters of this bull cycle .
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by tex071173952
1
Smart Money Support/Resistance + ATAI Volume Analysis —PracticalApplication When these two indicators work together — Smart Money Support/Resistance (Lite) and ATAI Volume Analysis with Price Action — the chart begins to speak a clearer language: one defines where the reaction zones form, and the other explains what happens inside them. The purpose is not prediction but understanding the balance between smart money pressure and retail momentum. 1. Parameter Alignment On the right side of the chart, the green info panel confirms that both indicators share identical configurations. In this example, the lookback period is set to 52, chosen deliberately because it must be smaller than the total number of LTF coverage bars (65). For the Smart Money Support/Resistance indicator, the projection is set to 26 — extending the detected zones forward without adding excessive visual noise. This alignment is crucial; mismatched parameters can desynchronize volume readings and structural boundaries. 2. Reading the Chart In this sample chart, the upper red area represents a Smart Money resistance zone — a region of concentrated selling pressure detected from lower timeframe volume. Simultaneously, ATAI Volume Analysis signals an Overbought (6/7) condition, meaning multiple oscillators confirm exhaustion while seller volume (S.Max) begins to outweigh buyer volume (B.Min). This overlap suggests that liquidity has shifted and the prior bullish impulse is weakening. From here, price may consolidate within the zone or initiate a structured retracement toward the blue support area, previously defined by accumulation volume. The red projected path simply visualizes one potential structural scenario; it is not a prediction or trade signal. 3. Broader Context This example serves only as a demonstration of how these two tools interact when properly tuned. Different assets and timeframes naturally yield unique structures and behaviors, yet the principle remains consistent: define the territory first with Smart Money Support/Resistance, then interpret market behavior within it using ATAI Volume Analysis. This content is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. User feedback and practical observations play a key role in refining future versions of both indicators.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by ata_sabanci
2
Tesla: Top Established!Tesla initially hit a new high before quickly reversing course with a notable move to the downside. As a result, we now view the corrective upward movement of beige wave x as complete and anticipate further sell-offs as part of wave y. The stock is expected to gradually break below the support levels at $297.83 and $215.01, ultimately reaching our blue Target Zone between $157.88 and $46.70, which we have identified for the final corrective low of blue wave (II). However, there remains a 40% chance that TSLA will not reach the blue zone at all but instead will break out directly above resistance at $532.92. In this case, we would consider blue wave alt.(II) already complete and locate the stock in a sustained (magenta) upward impulse. Even in our primary scenario, the new uptrend of the regular wave (III) is ultimately expected to surpass the $532.92 resistance.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by MarketIntel
1
Telsa - NEW ALL TIME HIGHS INCOMING (price action simplified)Here's a simplified version of my short term targets. On July 29th Tesla was around $321 and I suggested that after a long downtrend, Tesla would breakout, retest and continue up ("without any major retraces)", to between $400-$600. Tesla has now hit my T2 (currently $460) and I am anticipating a small retracement, before new all time highs in the near term. Congrats to all of you who have made gains from my charts. May the trends (continue) to be with you.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Strangely-accurate
2
A Top for Tesla?Tesla ended the third quarter on a strong note, but some traders may see risk of the EV maker stalling. The first pattern on today’s chart is the $463 price area. TSLA peaked at that level twice last December before reversing lower. Sellers appeared around the same level this month, which may confirm resistance is in place. Second, the rejection day featured a higher high and lower low. That bearish outside candle is a potential reversal pattern. Next, MACD has turned lower. Notice how previous downward reversals corresponded with deeper price declines. (Marked by white arrows in the lower study.) Finally, TSLA is an active underlier in the options market. (Its average volume of 2.7 million contracts in the last month ranks first in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options. Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com . TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradeStation
You will ask yourself "how did he know Tesla would do that"?On July 29th I suggested Telsa would follow a predicatble path. Price action has unfolded as anicipated every step of the way. After a long run up, on Oct 1st I suggested that Tesla had topped at my green T1 and would retrace into my red support zone and bonce. Now that this has played out, the only question that remains is Tesla going lower into my red T1...or simply all time highs from here? Either way, Tesla may be about to melt faces (few & small retracements). For the next 2-10 weeks Tesla may form a blow off top (*"IF" Telsa continues this pattern). This blow off, will be the end of this bull pattern that I have been following since the April lows. Once Tesla hits my next range ($570-980) I expect a huge dump. I will monitor price action closely, once Tesla is in this next range. May the trends be with you.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Strangely-accurate
TSLA - Tesla - Possible Pull-Back to 400 or 365Hello Everyone , Followers Tesla is the second one that i would like to mention today. It hit the Resistance level of 451 and then it did not achive to break this level. Now i am expecting 2 possible scenario Yellow pattern : pull back till 400 and get power from this level and try to break 451 again. Or Red Pattern : pull back till 365 then get support from trend line and go up again and try to break 451. If it breaks the 451 then next station is 515 - 516 . All in all , i am expecting the Pull-back next week and you could follow the price levels that you can see in Chart. I am neutral in Tesla for the time being. This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis. Have a lovely Sunday to all.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by streak35
$TSLA | Premium Rejection → Gap Fill WatchNASDAQ:TSLA ⚡ | Premium Rejection → Gap Fill Watch We’re sitting right at the previous premium sell zone (~$454) — liquidity likely being tested. Volume rising into resistance, RSI >70, and volatility increasing — signs of distribution. If bears hold under 454, I expect a retracement toward $420 → $405 to fill the gap zone this week. Only a confirmed close above 456 invalidates the bearish setup. Gap fills usually move fast once liquidity flips — and this one has the volatility fuel to do it. #TSLA #WaverVanir #VolanX #SMC #LiquidityMap #AITrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #Tesla
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
TSLA Roadmap: $563 ABCD Compl → Bat Harmonic → $631 Three-DriveTesla (TSLA) appears to be completing its final impulsive wave toward the $563 region, which also aligns with the D point completion of the ABCD harmonic pattern. Once this move is finished, the expectation is for a corrective phase that forms a Bat harmonic. This retracement would also work to fill in the untested gaps left behind during the recent rally, with a potential bottom around the 78.6% Fibonacci level. From there, the next bullish leg could initiate, targeting the 127.2% extension at $631. This move would not only confirm the harmonic reversal but also complete a larger Three-Drive pattern that originates from the initial ABCD structure. Key Levels to Watch: ABCD Harmonic D point: ~$563 Bat Harmonic completion zone: ~78.6% retracement Next rally target: $631 (127.2% extension, Three-Drive pattern confirmation) Invalidation Scenarios: A clean breakout above $563 without corrective rejection would invalidate the Bat harmonic setup and suggest an extended bullish run. A failure to hold above ~$367 (channel/structure support) would weaken the harmonic roadmap and risk a deeper bearish continuation instead of a Three-Drive completion. This roadmap suggests a critical short-term top before a deeper correction sets the stage for a much larger rally.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by msezng
$TSLA — Structural Forecast + Macro & Catalysts ContextNASDAQ:TSLA – Macro, Technicals & Institutional Confluence ⚙️ 📍 Current Price: $429.83 📊 Timeframe: 1D 🧠 Model Context: VolanX Institutional Forecast v2.3 Technical Setup Tesla has been moving inside a well-defined ascending channel, currently testing the upper boundary near $460–$470, consistent with a premium liquidity sweep. Price is slightly below its 10-day SMA ($437.99) but remains well above the 50-day ($363.66) and 200-day ($335.19) — confirming a strong medium-term trend. RSI (~59–60) cooled off from overbought levels, suggesting a healthy pause rather than reversal. The near-term risk is a retracement to the equilibrium zone ($414–$376), matching structural and moving-average support. Macro & Catalysts EV Demand Pulse: Q3 deliveries boosted by expiring U.S. EV tax credit — short-term tailwind but may front-load demand. Robotaxi & FSD Expansion: Pilot rollout in Austin marks long-term disruption potential, but regulatory friction remains. Next-Gen Platform: New low-cost “Cybercab / Model 2” architecture expected to reshape Tesla’s cost curve into 2026. Competition & Margins: BYD, NIO, and European EV makers pressing pricing power; tariff impacts remain a headwind. Macro Headwinds: Higher rates and policy uncertainty could compress valuations in growth sectors. Institutional View (VolanX DSS) Short-term bias: Controlled pullback to equilibrium (414–376). Medium term: Reaccumulation phase as institutions rebalance. Long term: Expansion target near $514+ once liquidity resets and RSI re-enters strength above 60. “My models can project structure — not human emotion. If fear overshoots $414, it may mark the next institutional entry before expansion.” 🧠 Structure always rebalances. Emotion never does. #TSLA #VolanX #SmartMoney #AITrading #LiquidityZones #Macro #FSD #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC