GER40-DAX 4H – Waiting like a lion, no move till the level hits📊DAX/GERMANY40 | GER40 - 4H Analysis: Buy Setup
Hello Guys,
Here’s my 4-hour GER40 analysis for you.
These are the exact buy levels I’ll be watching:
🔵BUY level: 23918.2
🔴 Stop level:23590.6 (or adjust based on your own margin)
🟢 TP1: 24046.1
🟢 TP2: 24260.7
🟢 TP3: 24539.6
Risk-to-reward ratio on this setup: 2.00
If GER40 reaches these levels, I’ll definitely take a buy position.
Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to everyone supporting me!
Trade ideas
DAX: Positioning to move higherGerman DAX: Price currently inside a possible support zone within internal liquidity. I would like to see Friday (24th) push past 24.350 and a break of structure which would then see a reach for the external daily liquidity resting at 24.800.
I like:
- The current support level
- Recent sweep of liquidity
- Bullish divergence
I don't like:
- Current RSI level
- Fundamentals
DAX Technical Forecast: Bullish Momentum Faces Key ResistanceGER40 (DAX) Technical Forecast: Bullish Momentum Faces Key Resistance
Analysis as of 18th Oct 2025 (Close: 23,971.7)
Market Context: The DAX exhibits robust bullish momentum, but is now testing a critical juncture. A confluence of technical factors on higher timeframes suggests the next move will be decisive for both intraday and swing traders.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis (Top-Down View)
Swing Bias (D1/4H): Bullish Above 23.7k
The daily chart reveals a strong uptrend, with price holding firmly above key moving averages (50 & 200 EMA). However, we are approaching a significant Wyckoffian Supply Zone and a potential Bullish Crab Harmonic pattern completion near the 24,200 - 24,300 resistance cluster. The RSI on the D1 is in bullish territory but not yet overbought, leaving room for further upside.
Intraday Bias (1H/30M): Cautiously Bullish
The 4H and 1H charts show price consolidating in a bullish flag formation. The Ichimoku Cloud on the 1H acts as dynamic support, while the Anchored VWAP from the recent low confirms a strong bullish trend. A break above the 24,050 level could trigger the next leg up.
Key Chart Patterns & Theories in Play
Elliott Wave: We are likely in a Wave 3 extension on the daily chart. A pullback to the 23,700 support would be a healthy Wave 4 before a final Wave 5 push.
Gann Analysis: The Square of 9 highlights 24,200 and 24,450 as potential time/price resistance targets for this swing.
Head and Shoulders? No traditional pattern is present. The primary risk is a Bull Trap if price rejects from the 24.3k resistance without a significant volume breakout.
Actionable Trade Setups
🟢 Swing Trade (Buy the Dip)
Entry: 23,700 - 23,800 (Zone of confluence with 50 EMA & Fibonacci 0.382 retracement)
Stop Loss: 23,500
Take Profit 1: 24,200
Take Profit 2: 24,450
🔴 Intraday Long (Momentum Break)
Trigger: A confirmed break and close above 24,050 on the 1H chart.
Entry: On retest of 24,000 as support.
Stop Loss: 23,900
Take Profit: 24,250
⚫ Intraday Short (Counter-Trend)
Trigger: A clear bearish rejection (e.g., Bearish Engulfing candle) at the 24,200 resistance with RSI divergence.
Entry: Upon rejection signal on the 30M chart.
Stop Loss: 24,350
Take Profit: 23,900
Key Levels
Resistance 3: 24,450 (Gann Target)
Resistance 2: 24,300 (Harmonic Completion)
Resistance 1: 24,050 - 24,100 (Immediate Hurdle)
Support 1: 23,850 (Recent Swing Low)
Support 2: 23,700 (Critical Bullish Defense)
Support 3: 23,500 (Trend Invalidation)
Conclusion
The DAX remains in a firm uptrend. The optimal strategy is to seek long entries on pullbacks towards key support. Be vigilant for a potential reversal at the 24.2k-24.3k resistance zone. Trade what you see, not what you hope.
Risk Warning: Trading carries significant risk. This analysis is for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk and conduct your own due diligence.
Long DaxPossible long entries on the Dax.
Fundamentals & correlations:
- Positive commentary from Trump surrounding the US China tariff deal has seen a shift in risk sentiment today with precious metals down and equities rebounding
- US earnings have shown positivity this week with banking sector concerns fading
- EUROSTOXX, NL25 and US indices have broken previous bearish structure and are back towards previous highs, paving the way for the Dax
- German GDP did turn lower in Q2 to -0.3% but is forecasted to rebound to 0.1% amid lower interest rates and stable inflation
Technical setup
- Price has broken previous downtrend channel and lower high
- Mondays volume profile printed a POC higher than the previous showing a shift in price acceptance
- Tuesday price opened higher above Monday VA again support the shift in price acceptance
- Price has retraced back to Mondays VAH and low volume cave as support
- Further confirmation could be taken on the break above the current high and retracment back to a fib 50-61.8% level
- If price pulls back further from current level and fib retracement could be taken from 1hr low to provide further support areas
- Eurozone PMI's and US inflation data due to release on Friday so in trade management would be needed ahead of these
DAX key trading level at 23970 The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential overbought pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23970 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23970 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24490 – initial resistance
24580 – psychological and structural level
24770 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23970 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23870 – minor support
23770 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23970. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
German DAX 30 Rally Ahead? Strong Pullback Signals Momentum💎 DE30 (German DAX 30) — Thief Trader’s Market Profit Playbook! 💎
📈 Bias: Bullish Play Confirmed
⚙️ Strategy Type: Layered Limit Order Entries (Thief’s Signature Style)
🧠 Game Plan:
The German DAX 30 (DE30) shows strong bullish momentum after a clean moving average pullback — confirming a short-term continuation setup on the 4H and daily charts.
We’re loading our Thief-style layering entries to ride this momentum wave! 🏄♂️
Layered Entry Zone (Buy Limits):
💰 23,800 | 23,900 | 24,000 | 24,100
(Add more layers if you’re managing dynamic scaling — this is the Thief style of playing smart, not hard!)
🛑 Stop Loss (Protective Zone):
🚨 23,700 (Thief’s guard line!)
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), this SL is not a must-follow — manage your risk wisely. This is an educational plan — trade at your own discretion.
🎯 Take Profit Zone:
🎯 24,500 — realistic first exit zone.
💥 24,700 — Electric Shock Resistance Wall ⚡️ (strong resistance area + overbought + potential trap zone).
⚠️ Note: Again, dear Thief OGs — take your profits when you’re happy! Targets are reference points, not financial advice.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Strong MA Confluence: 20EMA and 50EMA crossover support the bullish bias.
Volume Uptick: Smart money rotation visible on hourly accumulation bars.
Momentum Recovery: RSI rebounding from mid-zone (40–50), eyeing bullish breakout potential.
🌐 Correlated Assets to Watch:
Stay sharp — DAX often dances with global indices and major USD flows:
CAPITALCOM:US30 (Dow Jones) — correlated risk sentiment, bullish tone confirmation.
FX:FRA40 (CAC 40) — follows European equity momentum.
💵 FX:EURUSD — inverse correlation with DE30 strength during USD volatility.
Tracking these helps confirm whether the bull party 🎉 continues or the market bouncer 🚫 shows up early.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#DE30 #DAX30 #ThiefTrader #IndexTrading #GermanDAX #BullishSetup #LayeredEntry #PriceAction #SmartMoney #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #ThiefStyle #ForexCommunity #RiskManagement
DAX/GER40, technical analysis 1DHello traders,
We bring you another important technical analysis on the DAX index.
We can see that according to Elliott Wave theory we have completed corrective ABC structure, also taken liquidity and started the bullish 12345 structure in smaller timeframe as u can see on the chart.
So the next outlook is that the value of the DAX index will increase.
But be careful!
It is necessary to respect the invalidation level in this case.
We also have to take into account the war in Ukraine, all of President Trump's statements, interest rates, and other stimuli that can change the market instantly!
WavePulse
Falling towards 38.2% Fibonacci support?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 24,093.96
1st Support: 23,765.54
1st Resistance: 24,675.83
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish momentum to extend?GER40 could fall towards the support level which is pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 24,103.96
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 23,715.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 24,759.38
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level
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DAX is approaching the decision point 24000 LevelDAX 40 drop from ATH 24770 to recent lowest 24000 and keep above the this support zone for a week. DAX40 is now in a short term downtrend and if it breaks 24000 level. it will break further downside to 23500 level.
if not, It may rebound from 24000 level and continue to break above.
It will be more cautious to look at the lower timeframe change in 24000 level.
Happy Friday!
DAX Extends Gains in Five Wave Diagonal FormationThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for the DAX Index indicates it is nearing the completion of a cycle from its April 2025 low, unfolding as wave (5). From the June 19 low, wave (5) has developed as an ending diagonal Elliott Wave structure. The rally from this low saw wave 1 peak at 24639.1, followed by a wave 2 pullback concluding at 23284.67. The Index then advanced in wave 3, structured as a five-wave impulse. From the wave 2 low, wave ((i)) reached 23785.24, with a corrective dip in wave ((ii)) at 23383.84. The subsequent wave ((iii)) climbed to 24524.11, followed by a wave ((iv)) retracement to 24269.94. The final wave ((v)) culminated at 24771.34, completing wave 3.
Wave 4 unfolded as a double zigzag structure. From the wave 3 high, wave ((w)) declined to 23986.93, wave ((x)) rebounded to 24339.27, and wave ((y)) fell to 23682.73, finalizing wave 4. The Index has since turned upward in wave 5. From the wave 4 low, wave ((i)) reached 24384.24. A wave ((ii)) pullback is expected to correct the cycle from the October 17 low before the Index resumes its ascent. As long as the pivot at 23682.73 holds, pullbacks should attract buyers in a 3, 7, or 11 swing, supporting further upside in the near term.
BUllish bounce off major support?DAX40 (DE40) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which acts as a swing high resistance that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 24,093.96
1st Support: 23,765.54
1st Resistance: 24,675.83
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DAX | Accumulation Phase Validating Countertrend BreakTechnical Overview
Weekly:
The broader trend remains bullish, maintaining higher-high and higher-low structure. Price action continues to trade above the weekly pivot zone, confirming medium-term trend alignment to the upside.
Daily:
A valid countertrend structure is present. The last daily breakdown has been broken by a clean impulsive wave that also pierced the countertrend line, suggesting early transition from correction toward potential expansion.
Bias remains constructive as long as price holds above the lower daily pivot at 23,990 .
H4:
The structure shows price consolidating beneath the broken countertrend line, forming a short-term base around the 24,050–24,100 zone. A sustained close above 24,324 would confirm trigger alignment and open path toward 24,625 (EXP) and 24,850–25,100 Fibonacci extensions.
Trade Structure & Levels
Bias: Long above 23,990
Trigger Zone: 24,324–24,625
Invalidation: Daily close below 23,990 or H4 close below 23,750
Path → 24,625 → 24,850 → 25,100
Phase: Accumulation (pre-expansion)
Risk & Event Context
The GER40 remains in a technical accumulation phase within a bullish weekly structure. Volatility is moderate, and continuation depends on reclaiming upper trigger levels.
Conclusion
As long as the structure holds above the active daily and H4 pivots, the setup favors an eventual continuation toward expansion.
DAX Bullish breakout retest?The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential overbought pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23970 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23970 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24490 – initial resistance
24580 – psychological and structural level
24770 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23970 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23870 – minor support
23770 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23970. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 24,153.59 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 24,035.02 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Bearish drop off?DAX40 (DE40) has rejected off the pivot and oculd drop to the 78.6% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 24,182.71
1st Support: 23,718.92
1st Resistance: 24,455.09
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DAX Bullish as long as the 1D MA50 holds.DAX (DE40) has been trading within a 1-month Channel Up and tested today its 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the 3rd time in the last 6 days.
As long as this holds, we expect a rebound targeting at least the bottom of the Resistance Zone at 24530. A break (and 1D candle close) below the 1D MA50 however, targets at least the top of the Support Zone at 23480.
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GER30 H1 | Bearish Drop-Off FormationGER30 has rejected the sell entry of 24,224.16, which is a pullback resistance and could potentially drop from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 24,478.17, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 23,773.65, which is a swing low support.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.






















