Real Estate vs Gold, Bitcoin, Stock MarketThis chart illustrates relative performance of Real Estate, Stock Market, Gold & Bitcoin through the critical Covid timeline up to recent time
Trade ideas
Assets priced against the Fed Balance Sheet.Percentage change of Gold, S&P500, NASDAQ and Case Schiller Index denominated in Fed Balance Sheet terms. Positive % means the asset is increasing in value against the Fed Balance Sheet, a minus % means the reverse.
Housing and labour market about to crash like in 2008?The Fed has stopped hiking rates and the yield curve is flipping. This was the time when the housing and labour market started crashing in 2008.
Time for a repeat?
U.S. Case Shiller Home Price Index in contraction?As you can see from the Monthly Chart, U.S. Case Shiller Home Price Index could experience an interesting price contraction in short-medium term, could this also be a clear sign of a potential economic contraction, recession? If this happens, we shouldn't be surprised, the Fed is doing everything to fight inflation in the United States...
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When to Buy Real Estate Investing in 2023This video is my strategic analysis for when I will be looking to buy my next real estate investment property. I use the Cash-Shiller Index, CPI, and charting techniques of mean reversion to create indicators I will follow in the years ahead as real estate trends downward following the rise in mortgage rates and fall in home prices.
Case - Shillerhome price slump seems in effect, real estate is overvalued. might be a good time to scoop shortly
Downfall in US housing market.US Housing showing potential wave 4 pullback after euphoric 10 years bull market.
Prospective housing buyers having next opportunity in future.
The Next Housing Crash will be Catastrophic - Prepare Now!American and international corporations are keeping a large number of properties off the market as investments. These unoccupied flats limit supply in sought locations, creating an artificial scarcity as a result of central bank policies that finally caused an Everything Bubble. The number of corporate purchases of houses has increased dramatically. This has fueled demand in market, but if rental income fall as a result of the recession, corporate purchasers will start liquidating those same assets.
As mortgage rates are rising, people are having a difficult time to allocate their income towards mortgage payments especially in times where rising food inflation is also a major problem for majority of Americans and if unemployment rates goes slightly higher then mortgage default will occur on a national scale, leading to another catastrophic housing crisis.
In one of our previous analysis we stated, how inflation will peak at 12% and in case of a recession it is certain that inflation will stay on it's trajectory to peak while, Home prices will start correcting.
Demand and Supply comparison between U.S Population growth and overall Nonfarm payroll employees against total housing unit supply
Listing count of houses actively on sale have increased significantly in June by 18.74%
According to the MBA's Refinance Mortgage Applications Index, applications for mortgages refinance fell 5.7% in June and have fallen by 70% year on year to the lowest level since 2000.
PPI for Construction material have increased by almost 50% since 2021, forcing builders to shrink margins by 10-12%
Conclusion: Since owning a home is becoming increasingly costly, it is prudent to rent one because real estate prices will soon begin to correct.
NOTE: Cost of Farmland which have adequate water supply will continue rising due to current geopolitical situation.
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To this wonderful community,
Be safe and be prepared,
Thank you. ❤️
USCSHPI Shiller Home Price Index 6 Month Chart Seems like my conservative guess would be Jan 2028 for housing prices to settle to a relative medium.
That would be the soonest If we are at the top now and followed the decline in the same way as 2006-2011.
I guess I have a few more years to save up!
God Bless those reading this
Genesis 7:11 KJV
In the six hundredth year of Noah's life, in the second month, the seventeenth day of the month, the same day were all the fountains of the great deep broken up, and the windows of heaven were opened.
