BREAKOUT CONFIRMEDBreaking Lower. Eyes on 7500 for first target. Break of 7500 could open doors for a lower, weaker AUX over the next few weeks.
Trade ideas
AUS200 - OPPORTUNITY ARISETeam, earlier today as I mentioned that AUS200 could go down to 8700
current price is 8711 - good for entry ranges
unemployment data is great - from 4.5 down to 4.2
Inflation is 3%
NOT A chance for rate cut this month.
STOP LOSS at 8660
Target 1 at 8730-45 - DO NOT FORGET TO TAKE PARTIAL AND BRING STOP LOSS TO BREAK EVEN
target 2 at 8765-80
lets GO
AUS200 Wave Analysis – 10 November 2025
- AUS200 reversed from support level 8700.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 8936.00
AUS200 index recently reversed up with the daily Hammer candlesticks reversal pattern from the support area between the key support level 8700.00 (which has been reversing the price from September), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse from June.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous short-term impulse wave iii of the C-wave from October.
Given the clear daily trend, AUS200 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 8936.00 (top of the previous correction ii).
AU200AUD LONGPrice pushed away from value area, we then have had momentum and looking for continuation to go higher, took a risk entry on the 15m candle to play long.
AUSSIE To Go Under? With only 5 trading days left before the monthly close; 7000 will be an important psychological level to watch. A strong break and close below 7000 could potentially trigger shorts and the resumption of the overall down-trend which could see the Aussie sink lower between today`s session into early next week?
Bears Make Money; Bulls Make Money; Pigs Get Slaughtered!
7000 Break or Bounce?In our previous analysis we mentioned how 7000 was an important level in the ASX market and how the breach of the level could trigger a shift in the market sentiment to bearish and signal continuation of the overall downtrend. Round numbers are of significant psychological importance and act as areas of interest attracting a lot of liquidity including stop and limit orders. As price now approaches 7000, the question now becomes, what happens next? As we know, it takes a "large candle to break a large psychological number". Break or Bounce?....
Bears Make Money, Bulls Make Money, Pigs Get Slaughtered!
ASX200/AUS200 LETS RIDE THE WAVETeam
LONG aus200 at current market 8830, STOP LOSS at 8780,
Target 1 at 8845-65
Target 2 at 8872-86
Once it break above 8845, bring stop loss to BE
LETS GO
ASX200 to find buyers at market price?AU200AUD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
The overnight dip has been bought into and there is scope for further bullish pressure going into this morning.
50 1day EMA is at 8904.
Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low.
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
We look to Buy at 8904 (stop at 8849)
Our profit targets will be 9069 and 9099
Resistance: 8931 / 8970 / 9000
Support: 8865 / 8829 / 8800
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUS200/ASX200 - RETEST OLD HIGH, TIME FOR A SHORTTeam , last week we short the AUS200 at this level and it drop almost 200 points
But we pocket at 9000 ranges only
Time to reshort at 9110-9120 ranges
STOP LOSS at 9160
Target 1 at 9080-67 - take partial and bring stop loss to BE
Target 2 at 9032-26
NOTE: The DOW rate announce next week, and Chinese tariff apply on 1st of November. Trump is meeting Xi next two weeks at South Korean.. market will likely volatile.
LETS GO - KILL THE BEAST
AUS200 Long Trade PEPPERSTONE:AUS200 Long Trade
Entry: 8816-8858
TP-1: 8900
TP-2: 8967
This is good trade.
Don't overload your risk like Greedy gambler!!!
Be Disciplined Trader, risk what you can afford.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky, only idea, not advice.
AUS200 Long Trade to hit 9100PEPPERSTONE:AUS200 Long Trade
Entry: 8910 - 9000
TP: 9100
This is good trade.
Don't overload your risk like Greedy gambler!!!
Be Disciplined Trader, risk what you can afford.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky, only idea, not advice.
AUS200/ASX200 - NEW ATHTeam
The Australian unemployment rate increased from 4.3 to 4.5 but the market is speculating and pumping
also reach new high
we are shorting at 9075-85 -
for Scalping you can target at 9036-28 - take 70% partial and bring stop loss to BE
SECOND Target at 9015-08
For SWING trade, i suggest you hold until it drop between 120-180 points
LETS GO
AUS200 / ASX200 - ANOTHER OPPORTUNITY TO SHORTTeam, yesterday we short the AUS200 and target hit
today we have much better price at 9026-9035 to short at the current price range
Target at 9002-8996 - take partial and bring stop loss to BE
Target 2 at 8986-8972
LETS go
ASX to continue in the upward move?AU200AUD - 24h expiry
Short term bias has turned positive.
The primary trend remains bullish.
8910 has been pivotal.
20 1day EMA is at 8905.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
We look to Buy at 8913 (stop at 8863)
Our profit targets will be 9063 and 9093
Resistance: 9011 / 9046 / 9075
Support: 9842 / 8910 / 8829
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
SHORT AUS200Entry: 8,872.50 (current price)
Stop Loss (SL): 8,926.59
Take Profit (TP): 8,769.59
Set up: bearish rejection below EMA
AUS200/ASX200 - TIME FOR A KILLTeam, I am going to SHORT THE AUS200 at 8985-9015 ranges
STOP LOSS at 9050
Target 1 at 8962-56 - take partial and bring stop loss to BE
Target 2 at 8936-12
LETS GO
ASX Weekly Market Wrap: XJO, LYC, CBA, BHP, CSL, ANZ, WDS, EOSIn this week’s market analysis of the Australian market , we break down key price movements and trends across the #ASX, with a close look at the XJO and standout stocks like Lynas Rare Earths (#LYC), Commonwealth Bank (#CBA), BHP Group (#BHP), CSL Limited (#CSL), ANZ Bank (#ANZ), Woodside (#WDS), and EOS (#EOS).
We explore current momentum, trend direction, and price action indicators to help you understand Aussie market developments. Whether you're paper trading or keeping track of market trends, this is your essential guide for the week ahead.
*Apologies for the incorrectly dated chart of 2027! We are not there yet! 😅
ASX200 to find buyers at previous support?ASX200 - 24h expiry
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
50 1day EMA is at 8792.
Short term bias has turned positive.
Support is located at 8780 and should stem dips to this area.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
We look to Buy at 8794 (stop at 8761)
Our profit targets will be 8894 and 8914
Resistance: 8835 / 8850 / 8890
Support: 8806 / 8780 / 8717
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AUS200 LongAUS200 in now net long on the regression break.
I have enter with my EA's to get the entry, if it comes.
Bears Feast at 8,867 - Complete Distribution Confirmed📍 To see my confluences and/or linework: Step 1: Grab chart 👉 Step 2: Unhide Group 1 in object tree 📊 Step 3: Hide and unhide specific confluences ✨ Double-click the screen to reveal RSI, MFI, CVD, and OBV indicators alongside divergence markings! 🔍
Title: 🎯 AU200: Bears Feast at 8,867 - Complete Distribution Confirmed
The Market Participant Battle:
Overconfident bulls who chased the falling wedge breakout from point 3 (8,720) to point 4 (8,867) have been decisively beaten by institutional bears. The volume footprint reveals the truth - despite 1.86K positive delta, price couldn't advance, confirming massive absorption by hidden sellers. This lower high at point 4 versus point 2 (8,876), combined with hidden bearish divergence across RSI/MFI/CVD and harmonic pattern completion, confirms smart money has distributed into retail buying. Price will collapse below 8,720 as trapped longs capitulate.
Confluences:
Confluence 1: Failed Wedge Breakout with Footprint Absorption
The falling wedge from points 1-2-3 appeared bullish, but the breakout to point 4 is failing spectacularly. The last two green candles show NEGATIVE delta despite rising price. Footprint data confirms this - 434 buyers vs 359 sellers, 421 vs 283, yet price REJECTED. The wedge breakout trap is complete with institutional iceberg orders absorbing all buying.
Confluence 2: Hidden Bearish Divergence Across All Indicators
Price made a lower high from point 2 (8,876) to point 4 (8,867), while RSI, MFI, and CVD all made HIGHER highs. This hidden bearish divergence screams continuation. The oversold RSI/MFI readings are irrelevant - they can stay oversold for weeks in strong downtrends. Footprint delta divergence (-275 on green candle) confirms the divergence.
Confluence 3: Quadruple Resistance Rejection with Volume Confirmation
Point 4 perfectly rejected from: (1) 0.62 Fibonacci retracement, (2) 2nd VWAP deviation, (3) Volume Profile POC at 8,856, (4) Descending trendline from point 2, (5) Linear regression channel upper boundary. Footprint shows failed auction here with only 29-32 contracts at highs = buyer exhaustion.
Confluence 4: Harmonic Pattern Triple Convergence
Three bearish harmonics align: Double Top at 8,892-8,894 (neckline 8,707), Descending Triangle with flat support at 8,707, Non Star reversal pattern. Measured moves converge at 8,530. The footprint absorption at these levels confirms distribution before breakdown.
Confluence 5: Bollinger Band & Volume Divergence with Delta Confirmation
OBV touched upper Bollinger Band at point 4 - classic reversal. Volume declining on rally shows no conviction. Footprint reveals the truth: Total delta of -268 despite more buy orders (981 vs 821) = pure absorption. The -61, -67, -157 delta progression shows increasing selling pressure.
Confluence 6: Anchored VWAP & Volume Gap Magnet
VWAP anchored at point 1 shows point 4 touching the 2nd deviation - statistically significant rejection level. Volume profile shows massive gap below point 3 acting as magnet. Footprint confirms with 1.07K imbalance zone pulling price lower.
Web Research Findings:
- Technical Analysis: Overbought signals everywhere, resistance holding, bearish divergences multiplying
- Recent News/Earnings: Premier Investments -17% profit, weak retail sector dragging sentiment
- Analyst Sentiment: "Bulls exhausted at resistance," "hesitancy to push forward" - professionals turning cautious
- Data Releases & Economic Calendar: RBA tomorrow unlikely to cut with inflation concerns - hawkish hold crushes bulls
- Interest Rate Impact: Market overpricing cuts, reality check incoming as RBA stays restrictive longer
Layman's Summary:
Every single indicator screams "GET OUT!" The chart pattern shows a failed breakout (bearish), momentum indicators show exhaustion (bearish), the footprint reveals big players selling to small players (bearish), and tomorrow's central bank won't help bulls. When everything aligns bearish at resistance, that's when bears feast on trapped bulls.
Machine Derived Information:
- Images 1-7 (Wedge/Patterns): Falling wedge with points 1-2-3-4 showing lower high - Significance: Failed breakout, bearish structure - AGREES ✔
- Volume Profile: POC rejection at 8,867, gaps below - Significance: Distribution zone confirmed - AGREES ✔
- Footprint Chart: 1.86K delta absorbed without price advance - Significance: Textbook institutional distribution - AGREES ✔
- Harmonic Patterns: Double top + descending triangle converging - Significance: Multiple bearish patterns aligned - AGREES ✔
- All Indicators: RSI/MFI/CVD/OBV showing bearish divergence - Significance: Unanimous bearish signals - AGREES ✔
Actionable Machine Summary:
Integration of ALL data confirms perfect storm short setup. Original wedge analysis showing lower high (point 2→4) now validated by footprint absorption (1.86K delta trapped). Hidden bearish divergence across RSI/MFI/CVD confirmed by delta divergence in footprint. Multiple resistance factors (Fib/VWAP/POC/trendline) validated by failed auction at highs. Harmonic patterns provide clear targets at 8,707 and 8,530.
Conclusion:
Trade Prediction: SUCCESS
Confidence: Very High
The convergence of failed wedge breakout + hidden divergence + footprint absorption + harmonic patterns + multiple resistance rejection creates the highest probability short setup possible. Every analytical method points to the same conclusion - distribution is complete, bulls are trapped, bears control the market. Minimum target 8,720, likely 8,530.
AU200 to breakdown?ASX200 - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
8727 has been pivotal.
We look for losses to be extended today.
Short term momentum is bearish.
A break of the recent low at 8727 should result in a further move lower.
We look to Sell a break of 8719 (stop at 8759)
Our profit targets will be 8601 and 8571
Resistance: 8800 / 8850 / 8890
Support: 8726 / 8700 / 8650
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
