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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

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$SPY– Multi-Year S/D Zone & Riding a Parabolic ChannelAMEX:SPY AMEX:SPY on the monthly chart continues to respect a long-term ascending channel that began after the 2020 crash. Price has now re-entered the multi-year supply/demand zone from 2021–2022, which previously acted as strong resistance and may now serve as a key support base. AMEX:SPY Since late-2023, momentum has accelerated within a steeper rising channel, hinting at potential overextension as the two channels converge near the 690–700 area. Key points: Primary trend: bullish since 2020 within the orange channel. Multi-year S/D zone: 2021–2022 highs acting as structural support. Secondary (steep) channel: signals short-term momentum that could face exhaustion soon. Watch for either a breakout continuation above 700 or a pullback toward the mid-trendline for mean reversion. Bias: Neutral to mildly bullish short term, but watching for signs of exhaustion as SPY approaches long-term resistance. #SPY #S&P500 #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingViewIdeas #PriceAction #SupplyDemand #ChannelPattern
AMEX:SPY
by Saanda
SPY: Post-Breakout Bullishness Meets Fed Caution – What's Next?SPY: Post-Breakout Bullishness Meets Fed Caution – What's Next? Hello everyone! Let's take a look at SPY (S&P 500 ETF) on the daily timeframe, which has had quite an eventful October! After some significant volatility earlier in the month, we've seen a strong surge, particularly after the positive U.S.-China trade news. This momentum has helped SPY to decisively break above a key resistance area. Current Situation: We've just cleared the recent breakout zone between 670 to 675. This is a very positive sign, indicating strong buying interest. However, price has moved up quite rapidly, creating a "Fair Value Gap" (FVG) – an area where price moved fast without much trading, which often acts like a magnet for future price action. Now, with the upcoming Fed interest rate decision on October 29th and other economic data releases, we need to consider two main scenarios: Scenario 1: The Ideal Bullish Continuation (Dotted Blue Line) Our ideal outlook suggests that the market will continue its upward trend. For this to happen in a healthy way, we'd like to see SPY: Retest the Breakout Zone: A small pullback to retest the 670 to 675 zone would be constructive. This confirms that the old resistance has now become strong support. Continuation to the Trend: If this zone holds firmly after the retest, it would provide a solid base for the bullish momentum to continue, pushing SPY to potentially new highs. This retest is a common and healthy pattern after a strong breakout. Scenario 2: Volatility & Potential Pullback (Dotted Orange/Blue lines and FVG) We must also be prepared for increased volatility and a possible pullback. This could be triggered by: Fed Decision & Economic Data: The Fed's interest rate decision and comments on Wednesday, October 29th, along with other key economic data, can introduce significant uncertainty and market swings. FVG Fill: The rapid move up has left a "Fair Value Gap" (FVG) below. Price often retraces to fill these inefficiencies. A pullback to fill this FVG is very possible, especially if the Fed's stance isn't as dovish as hoped, or if other economic data disappoints. Key Support Levels: If a deeper pullback occurs, we'll be watching: Intermediate Support near 660: The first key area to potentially halt a decline. 650 to 655 Clear Support Area: This is a stronger support zone that has held previously, reinforced by the longer-term green trendline. In Summary: The overall trend is bullish following the breakout, but current levels are extended. Traders should closely watch how SPY reacts around the 670-675 level, especially in light of the upcoming Fed announcement. A successful retest and bounce would reinforce the bullish case, while a failure to hold, especially on negative news, could lead to a deeper correction towards our highlighted support levels. Trade wisely and stay tuned for the Fed! Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
AMEX:SPYLong
by ManiMarkets
SPY and QQQ Macro outlook for 27 to 31 Oct 2025Macro map for 27 to 31 Oct 2025 Concentration of policy and inflation prints means policy expectations and real yields will drive the United States dollar, global equities, bitcoin, and gold. The hinge events are Wednesday FOMC, Thursday US GDP advance and German data, Friday US Core PCE and Chicago PMI. Secondary drivers are BoJ policy guidance and ECB tone, plus BoC. Watch list Real ten year yield and the DXY dollar index after FOMC and PCE EUR front end versus USD front end after ECB and FOMC VIX around the FOMC window and into PCE US liquidity windows around 14:00 Eastern on Wednesday and 08:30 Eastern on Thursday and Friday SPY and QQQ outlook for next week Set up US equities enter a policy and growth triad. Wednesday brings the FOMC decision and press conference. Thursday brings the first look at Q3 growth. Friday brings the price index that the Fed emphasizes. The path for real yields and the earnings tone are the first order drivers. Valuation sensitivity is higher in QQQ due to the weight of long duration cash flows. SPY has more cyclicals and defensives and therefore reacts more to growth beats or misses. Baseline view A patient Fed message combined with growth that is solid but not hot and inflation that continues to ease supports a grind higher. The market prefers falling real yields with inflation in check. A hawkish shift in the balance of risks, or a hot inflation print that lifts terminal pricing, pressures multiples and skews returns lower. If messages conflict, expect a whipsaw week with heavy rotation. Scenarios and probabilities Relief grind higher with QQQ leadership. Probability thirty eight. Triggers are a patient tone on Wednesday, a growth print that shows resilience without overheating, and Core PCE that validates disinflation. Breadth improves and volatility stays contained. Air pocket lower. Probability thirty two. Triggers are a firmer Core PCE or a hawkish shift in the statement language that pushes real yields up. Valuation compression hits QQQ first and deepest. SPY holds better if staples and energy carry. Two way chop with wide intraday bars. Probability thirty. Triggers are mixed messages across events and sectors. Expect quick moves around 14:00 Eastern on Wednesday and 08:30 Eastern on Thursday and Friday with mean reversion later in the day. Key confirms Watch the ten year real yield and the curve. A drop in real yields with stable breakevens favors a risk appetite day. A jump in real yields with a firm dollar and tight financial conditions favors de‑risking. Also watch VIX and the put call ratio into Wednesday afternoon to gauge dealer positioning. Risk notes Large cap earnings that land between FOMC and PCE can add idiosyncratic gaps. Respect prior week high and low as regime markers. If the market opens outside that range and fails to re enter on a retest, trend day odds increase.
AMEX:SPY
by exlux
Fib Extension ZoneMarkets are still climbing, stocks only go up blah blah blah... I believe a proper correction is well overdue. That little pullback we had was nothing and just the beginning to whats to come. price is bouncing off both my transparent line and my parallel trend line that being respected so far. Price has finally reached my Fib Extension Zone. I will be WATCHING for a correction to begin from this point on... if you haven't locked in any profits yet. my opinion, you should... not all, but something. If price continue to rise. I will continue to dollar cost. Hope is helps and God Bless....
AMEX:SPYShort
by straightrawmedia