I see a short term bounce here.This maybe the start of wave 5. I see some bullish divergence on the MACD chart, which I first noticed yesterday. I think I mentioned it in a previous post. The price is going down, but MACD is going up. This is typically following by a sharp upward price movement which we saw today. The late day rally confirmed in my mind that others also view the recent dip as a bit overdone. We have earnings season kicking off today and JP Morgan posted good results, so FANG should have a bounce before there is any real threat of a recession. Now, if the Fed starts lowering interest rates, then maybe people should worry. But the economy is strong and profits should continue to fuel growth in the U.S.
TQQQ trade ideas
TQQQ still has room to drop.MACD Line just turned negative one the 1D chart, which it hasn't done since March. Bond prices are soaring out of nowhere as the fed continues to raise rates. Yes, the economy is booming, but I think we are seeing the autumn slump here. Buying these loftily-priced FAANG stocks does not have a good R/R ratio. There will be a great buy opportunity coming soon. This is just the kind of volatility boost the market needed in order to move forward in a positive direction.
Oh the virtue of leveraged ETF during a bull market!! Nasdaq100 (NDX) Vs ROM (Double leveraged US tech ETF) Vs TQQQ (Triple Leveraged US Tech ETF).
To all the naysayers.. that leveraged ETFs don't track their underlying index by the amount they're leveraged to. Look at the following long term chart. In a bull market, they more than adequately do!!
NDX- x3 return since march 2010
ROM- x8 returns since march 2010
TQQQ- x33 returns since march 2010
Normalized RSI on Leveraged Index Fund shows dip - Swing TradeNasdaq 100 is looking oversold after a bad week for tech. However, after a big selloff the RSI over multiple time frames shows oversold levels. On top of being below the standard 30 level, the RSI dips below the lower adjusted (50 period, 2.1 standard deviations) bollinger band for a more accurate reading of oversold. Over the past 6-months, the combination of the RSI dip below 30 and a dip below the lower band has been an excellent buy signal. Tech isn't going away anytime soon...