Dow Eyes 45,700-Resistance for Breakout ConfirmationDespite consistently beating market expectations with strong earnings, Nvidia’s Q3 outlook is under pressure. China’s restrictions on importing Nvidia’s H20 chips due to security concerns have weighed on the stock, preventing it from reaching new highs.
Both Nasdaq and Nvidia shares are still trading below their respective record highs, limiting upside potential for the Dow and S&P 500, especially in light of ongoing US-EU political and economic instability.
While the Dow Jones holds above the 45,000 mark, it now faces key resistance at 45,700, which must be comfortably breached to confirm further bullish continuation toward 46,200, 47,100, and 48,000. These levels align with the upper boundary of a well-respected ascending channel in place since May 2025.
On the downside, should political and economic pressures dampen risk appetite, and if overbought RSI conditions resurface, a drop below 45,000 may open the door to further losses toward 44,500 and 43,800.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
US30 trade ideas
DowJones Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45766
Resistance Level 2: 45920
Resistance Level 3: 46080
Support Level 1: 45050
Support Level 2: 44900
Support Level 3: 44730
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow Jones Rejected at 45,680 Ahead of GDP DataUS30 – Overview
GDP Data in Focus After Rejection From Resistance
The Dow Jones reached the 45,680 resistance level mentioned in the previous outlook and has since stabilized below it. Today, price action will likely be influenced by the upcoming U.S. GDP release, which could increase volatility.
🔹 Technical Outlook
As long as the index trades below 45,680, bearish momentum is favored toward 45,450.
A confirmed 1H close below 45,430 would strengthen the bearish move, opening the way to 45,285 → 45,110.
However, if price closes a 1H candle above 45,680, bullish momentum could resume, with upside targets at 45,860 → 45,980.
🔹 Key Levels
Pivot: 45,680
Resistance: 45,860 – 45,980
Support: 45,450 – 45,285 – 45,110
✅ Summary:
US30 has rejected resistance at 45,680 and remains under pressure ahead of the GDP release. Watch 45,680 as the pivot: staying below keeps the bearish bias intact, while a breakout above would signal renewed bullish momentum.
US30 Pullback Toward 45,100 as DXY Weakens on Dovish Fed ToneHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around the 45,100 zone. Dow Jones (US30) remains in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias is bullish, though price is retracing after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 45,100 — acting as a key zone within the ongoing trend.
Fundamentals: The US Dollar Index (DXY) faced strong rejection at 98.700 following the Fed’s dovish stance at the Jackson Hole symposium. This bearish dollar sentiment could support US equities due to their negative correlation.
Next move: Holding above 45,100 may keep US30’s bullish momentum intact, while a decisive break lower would suggest deeper retracement.
Monitoring price behavior at this level to gauge whether buyers step in.
Trade safe,
Joe.
US30 Technical Breakdown – 08/28/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 08/28/2025
US30 pushed higher overnight, reclaiming 45,600 and now pressing right into 45,761 resistance. Price is trending bullish, with higher lows holding above 45,400 support.
Bulls want a clean breakout above 45,761 for continuation, while bears will try to fade this rally back toward 45,400–45,200.
📊 Current Market Behavior:
📈 Strong uptrend since 45,200 breakout
🔄 Coiling just under 45,761 key resistance
📊 EMAs aligned bullish (trend intact)
⚠️ Overhead supply could trigger a pullback
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
45,761 → Major breakout test
45,900 → Next upside target
46,100 → Expansion level
🔹 Support Zones:
45,600 → Immediate intraday support
45,400 → Key demand + EMA zone
44,894–44,704 → Strong floor
🧠 Bias:
📈 Bullish Intraday
Trend favors buyers above 45,400
Break above 45,761 = upside momentum continuation
DOW JONES assisted by the 4H MA50 this Bullish Leg targets 47200Dow Jones (DJI) has turned its 4H MA50 (red trend-line) into Support and following the August 01 (Higher Low) bottom on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it is extending the new Bullish Leg of the 4-month Channel Up.
With the 1D RSI also bouncing on its medium-term Support, this is a strong short-term buy signal. The previous two Bullish Legs both rose by a little over +9.00%. This gives us a 47200 Target on the short-term.
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UPDATE ON LONG DJ / US30 READING Continuation after a PullBack On H1 timeframe
Another Entry can be done on the current Trend Line to the upside.
After a Breakout to the upside which is still valid for a Buy trade
Entry Price .... $45,230.00
DJ / US30... $45,230.0
S/L ...$45,100.00
T/P ...$45,320.0
First Take Profit with Price $45,320, has been hit in huge profits
Trade is still running in more profits to hit final target price of $46,000.0
Also looking at a final touch to $46,000.0 LEVEL.
And More
Dow Jones Breaks Out of Inverse Head & Shoulders, Eyeing FurtherThe Dow Jones Index has confirmed a breakout from the classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal to the upside. The neckline breakout, supported by rising trading volumes, adds strength to the bullish outlook and paves the way for a more sustained upward move. If the index holds above this key level, further capital inflows could drive the Dow toward higher targets in the medium term.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) – Daily timeframe🔹 Chart Observations
Resistance Breakout
Price has broken above a long consolidation resistance (~46,000 region).
The breakout candle is strong, but history shows such moves can turn into false breakouts.
Volume / Price Action
Recent candles show strong upward momentum but also long wicks, hinting at supply near highs.
Breakouts without strong follow-up volume often fail.
Trend Structure
From April lows, the index has made a clear higher-high, higher-low structure.
This short-term uptrend is intact unless price falls below ~44,500.
Probability Factor
Your annotation (“Such breakouts 8 out of 10 fails”) is correct — historically, consolidated range breakouts in indices often retrace.
A retest of breakout zone (~45,000–45,500) is possible.
🔹 Medium-Term Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case (Green Path in Chart)
Sustains above 46,000 → momentum could extend toward 47,800 → 49,500 (ATH zones).
Requires confirmation with volume and follow-through buying.
Support at 45,000–45,500 must hold.
⚠️ Bearish Case (Red Path in Chart)
If price fails to hold 45,000, breakdown may drag index toward:
42,500 (first major demand zone).
40,000 (psychological + structural support).
A false breakout could trigger a deeper correction, especially if global risk sentiment weakens.
🔹 Medium-Term Outlook
Bias: Cautiously bullish, but watching for false breakout signs.
Key trigger levels:
Above 46,000 → bullish continuation.
Below 45,000 → correction likely toward 42,500–40,000.
🔹 Trading View
Swing Traders:
Enter only on confirmation (daily close above 46,200 with volume).
SL below 45,000.
Options Traders:
Iron condor/strangles around 45,000–47,000 range could work short term, since volatility may compress after breakout.
Medium-term investors:
Better to wait for a retest of breakout zone before adding fresh longs.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a technical view, not financial advice. Always combine with macro factors (US rates, Fed outlook, earnings).
we can see a sell entry here.....as we can see us30 already was on resistance area and try to break down before fed news there is also a trendline here and fed news just pump the market now they will come to break the trendline so bias is also bullish but it may give us a bearish movement from order block set ur target depend on ur risk reward
Dow Jones Regains Momentum After Pivot BounceUS30 – Overview
Rebound From Pivot, Testing Higher Levels
The Dow Jones reversed from the 45,110 pivot line mentioned previously and has now stabilized above 45,410, signaling renewed bullish pressure.
🔹 Technical Outlook
As long as price trades above 45,510, the bullish trend is expected to continue toward 45,690.
✅ A breakout above 45,690 would further strengthen upside momentum, with potential to extend higher.
⚠️ However, if the index closes a 4H candle below 45,410, this would confirm a bearish correction toward 45,285.
🔹 Key Levels
Resistance: 45,560 – 45,690 – 45,860
Support: 45,285 – 45,110
✅ Summary:
US30 has regained bullish momentum after rebounding from the pivot zone. Holding above 45,510 keeps the upside intact, but a 4H close below 45,410 would shift the outlook toward a correction.
DowJones uptrend supported at 45050Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45766
Resistance Level 2: 45920
Resistance Level 3: 46080
Support Level 1: 45050
Support Level 2: 44900
Support Level 3: 44733
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow Jones Index Analysis (US30 / Dow Jones)The index is currently trading in an overall uptrend and recently bounced from the support area at 45,180.
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario:
The index may retest the 45,300 level, and if bullish momentum continues with a breakout above 45,500 and holding above it, the price could head towards 45,700, and later open the way to 46,000.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
If the index breaks below 45,200 and holds beneath it, it may head to retest the 44,900 level.
US30 Technical Breakdown – 08/27/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 08/27/2025
US30 bounced strong off 44,900 support and ripped back above 45,300, reclaiming momentum after yesterday’s pullback. Currently sitting at 45,421, price is consolidating just under the EMAs and eyeing another push higher.
Bulls want continuation toward 45,600–45,761, while bears need to force price back below 45,200 to regain control.
📊 Current Market Behavior:
📈 Strong recovery bounce from 44,894 support
🔄 Consolidation between 45,200–45,450
📊 EMAs starting to curl bullish again
⚠️ Momentum cautious after sharp rejection from 45,761
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
45,450 → Intraday pivot resistance
45,600 → Pre-breakout supply
45,761 → Major rejection high
🔹 Support Zones:
45,200 → EMA support & intraday demand
44,894–44,704 → Strong support cluster
43,982 → Deeper demand zone
🧠 Bias:
📈 Slightly Bullish Intraday
Above 45,200 keeps upside structure intact
Failure back below 45,200 flips bias bearish
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bullish Move Continues
In the yesterday's video, I explained how to buy US30 from a key support.
We can see that the market nicely respected the underlined structure
and bounced.
I believe that more growth is ahead.
Next resistance - 45640
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bullish bounce off?DJ30 has bounced off the support level, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 45,120.64
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 44,647,61
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 45,703.35
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
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