US100: Short setup using fib levels from flash candleIG:NASDAQ m30 chart analysis: short action!!
The chart signals a potential short opportunity after breaking the previous bullish structure and printing a strong bearish flash candle. The strategy focuses on shorting the pullback using fibonacci retracement measured from that candle.
🔺 1. Structure break and flash candle confirmation
The price broke below the rising trendline supporting the bullish move from sep 26 to sep 30.
Immediately after, a large bearish flash candle appeared — signaling strong selling pressure and a potential trend reversal.
This candle becomes the reference point for measuring the retracement and anticipating a continuation to the downside.
📏 2. Measuring fibonacci from the flash candle (high → low)
Apply fibonacci from the high to the low of the flash candle.
This technique identifies potential resistance zones within the context of that specific bearish move.
Key fibonacci levels to watch:
0.5: 24,472.0 | 0.618: 24,486.4 | 0.786: 24,506.9
🎯 3. Ideal entry zone: from 0.382 to 0.786
After a strong bearish flash candle, price often pulls back moderately before continuing lower.
The optimal short zone is between fibo 0.382 and 0.786:
This respects the integrity of the bearish impulse.
A retracement smaller than 0.382 may be too shallow to confirm a strong rejection.
A retracement beyond 0.786 might indicate loss of bearish momentum and invalidate the flash candle setup.
🎯 4. Bearish scenario and targets
If price reacts at the 0.382–0.786 zone and resumes downtrend, a potential ABC bearish correction forms:
A: Flash move down
B: Pullback to fib zone
C: Next impulsive leg down
Suggested take-profit levels:
🎯 Target 1: 24,322.1
🎯 Target 2: 24,248.5
🛡️ Stop-loss: above the flash candle’s high (around 24,533)
✅ Summary
After a structure break and a decisive bearish flash candle, us tech 100 is showing a clear bearish setup.
Using fibonacci measured from the high to low of the flash candle helps identify high-probability pullback zones.
📌 Entry zone: between 0.382 and 0.786 retracement — outside this range, the flash candle's power may be invalidated.
This is a momentum-following trade with defined entry, stop loss, and take profit zones.
Wait for confirmation from price action within the fib levels before entering.
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Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
US100 trade ideas
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
NAS100 -Head and Shoulders Formed. Price Sitting at the NecklinePrice had been climbing steadily and consistently till now. See my previous analysis:
Or click on the attached idea on my chart.
But momentum is starting to be fading.
And if we look closely, we could recognize a head and shoulders pattern. We have the first peak, the left shoulder. Then a taller peak, the head. And finally, a lower high, the right shoulder.
And right now, price is sitting right at that neckline. So the market is at decision point:
A strong break below would confirm the Head and Shoulders and trigger the reversal.
- If price will break below this neckline with momentum, the pattern is confirmed. And that would be our short signal anticipating a move down, towards 24.400.
- But if buyers step in here, the pattern could fail.
The target is measured from the head to the neckline, and projected below the breakout.
It’s a key moment and the next move will decide the outcome.
NAS100 - TRADER EDGE🎯 KEY PIVOT ZONE
SUPPLY ZONE: 24,580-24,620
➡️3 POC lines cluster with dense VRVP node creating resistance ceiling
➡️High-volume consolidation area with multiple rejections
➡️Price currently AT pivot zone - decision point
📊 PRICE TARGETS-
UPSIDE TARGETS ⬆️
T1: 24,680-24,710
T2: 24,740-24,780
DOWNSIDE TARGETS ⬇️
T1: 24,400-24,440
T2: 24,280-24,320
⚡💎⚡ EDGE - HIGHEST PROBABILITY PLAY
Short from 24,580-24,620 rejection targeting 24,400-24,440 then 24,280-24,320
🔍 PRE-ENTRY CONFIRMATION SIGNALS
✅ Price reaches 24,590+ with bearish rejection candlestick (long wick/engulfing)
✅ Lower high formation below 24,620 with momentum shift
✅ Volume spike on rejection candle confirming seller presence
📈 TRADE SETUP
🔴PRIMARY BIAS: BEARISH
Short Setup:
Entry: 24,590-24,610 after confirmations
Stop Loss: 24,655
🎯Target 1: 24,400-24,440
🎯Target 2: 24,280-24,320
Risk/Reward: 1:3.3 / 1:6.2
🔄 BIAS FLIP CONDITIONS
🟢TURNS BULLISH IF:
Clean break and 2H close above 24,630
Volume expansion on breakout (1.5x average)
Retest of 24,600-24,620 holds as support
Then Target:
🎯24,680-24,710
🎯24,740-24,780
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT
Max Risk: 60 points per contract
Position Size: Risk 1-2% account per trade
Time Stop: Only trade within NYSE's peak volume segments
USTEC, NASDAQNasdaq price is still in a strong uptrend, there is a chance to test the 25014-25124 level. If the price cannot break through the 25124 level, it is expected that the price will have a chance to go down. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Beyond the Chart - NAS100 Through Technicals & FundamentalsCAPITALCOM:US100 Update 📉
The trendline I drew yesterday played out perfectly. After the Bearish FVG + rejection, the trend broke and a second Bearish FVG formed right after.
NASDAQ Daily Analysis 📊
On the daily chart, the FVG formed on Sep 15th has been revisited, but price couldn’t hold in this zone and was quickly rejected. The trendline I’ve drawn is still active and guiding the move.
👉 If a bullish candle forms above the trend, I’ll be looking at 24,543 as a buy point.
👉 If sellers take control and push price below the trend, we could see a move down toward the FVG region at 24,340.
⚡Bottom line:
• If Core PCE cools off → bullish continuation fits.
• If Core PCE runs hot → expect sellers to take control.
Beyond the Chart - NAS100 Through Technicals & FundamentalsThe trendline I drew last week played out perfectly. Price has carved out a fresh trend on the lower timeframe and is breaking to the upside. But the real confirmation comes only if the FVG is fully filled and we get a strong bullish close above 24,700.
NASDAQ Daily Analysis 📊
👉Hold above 24,500 – 24,520 → BUY targeting 24,700 (upper FVG). Break & hourly close above 24,700 → room to push toward 24,850 – 24,900.
👉24,700 – 24,750 → strong SELL zone (Premium PD Array + FVG overlap). First downside target: 24,400 – 24,350.
⚡️Bottom line:
• Bullish case→ If inflation comes in lower and the Fed takes a softer tone → buyers could step in and push levels higher.
• Bearish case → If data runs hot and the Fed signals more tightening → selling pressure kicks in, and your short levels become key.
US100: Bullish Momentum Pauses at Resistance4H Technical Outlook
All-Time High Barrier
The all-time high overhead is a clear psychological resistance. Chasing longs directly into this level is not attractive from a risk/reward perspective. Only a confirmed breakout and acceptance above would open “uncharted territory” and establish fresh bullish momentum.
Zone 1: Overhead Supply / Yesterday’s High
This area marks an immediate supply pocket, coinciding with yesterday’s high. Price action has shown hesitation here, and buyers are struggling to establish acceptance above. As long as price remains capped under this zone, it serves as a short-term sell area. A clean breakout and consolidation above would invalidate the supply and potentially trigger continuation toward the all-time high at 24,754.
Zone 2: Key Intraday Demand / Yesterday’s Low
This zone represents the first meaningful demand layer below spot price. Yesterday’s low aligns with intraday consolidation, making it a pivot area where responsive buyers could step back in. If bulls defend this zone, it may form the base for another push higher. A decisive break below, however, would shift near-term control back to sellers and expose deeper liquidity pockets.
Zone 3: High-Impact Demand Area (4H structure)
This is a more significant demand zone where aggressive buyers previously absorbed heavy selling and initiated the latest upward leg. If tested again, it could attract strong dip-buying interest. Failure to hold this zone would represent a structural breakdown on the 4H chart and likely accelerate downside momentum toward lower liquidity pools.
The sentiment around the Nasdaq100 is cautious and slightly bearish at the moment. Macro risks dominate the narrative, with the looming U.S. government shutdown creating uncertainty and threatening to delay key economic data releases. At the same time, consumer confidence has weakened, signaling softer demand ahead, while interest rate policy remains uncertain.
On the positive side, the tech and AI boom continues to provide structural support, but valuations are stretched, and many traders are positioning defensively. Technically, the index is consolidating below resistance, with support levels in focus.
Overall, the market remains supported by long-term growth themes, but near-term sentiment is clouded by macro headwinds and the risk of a deeper pullback.
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
NASDAQ W Formation Bullish PatternNow that we have a confirmed double bottom rejection on the H4 TF, this means we can expect NQ to continue to rally to new ATHs for a bit longer than we all anticipated. Even if it first pulls back slightly to retest one of those lows.
You are better off as a buyer in this market.
Beyond the Chart - NAS100 Through Technicals & FundamentalsCAPITALCOM:US100 The trendline I drew on the lower timeframe yesterday worked perfectly, and price is still respecting it. We did see a break, but right after that, a Bearish FVG and a Breaker Block formed. This trendline will remain my pilot line for analysis.
NASDAQ Daily Analysis 📊
On the daily chart, the FVG formed on Sep 15th has been revisited, but price couldn't hold in this zone and was quickly rejected. The trendline I've drawn is still active and guiding the move.
⚡️Volatility note: Daily volatility is starting to compress (blue print on my model), meaning the next breakout move could expand strongly. If price breaks above the trendline with momentum, buyers may look beyond 24,650 toward 24,720–24,800 before reevaluating. If rejection holds, compressed volatility could fuel an accelerated drop into the 24,520 → 24,440 FVG zone, and possibly 24,300.
🦖 If a bullish candle closes back above the trendline, I’ll be looking at 24,650 as a buy trigger. A confirmed break here could open the door toward 24,720 → 24,780 liquidity levels.
🐼 If sellers keep control below the trend, downside targets remain at the FVGs around 24,520 → 24,440, and potentially 24,300 (Discount PD Array).
⚡️ Bottom line:
Today’s US data (Chicago PMI, JOLTS, Consumer Confidence) + multiple FOMC speeches will likely decide direction.
📉 Hot data or hawkish tone → sellers push deeper.
📈 Softer numbers or dovish Fed comments → bulls may retest higher levels.
NAS100 - TRADER EDGE
🎯 KEY PIVOT ZONE
🟧SUPPLY ZONE: 24,480 - 24,520
Multiple session POCs clustered in this range
Highest volume VRVP node concentration
Critical resistance where price is currently struggling
📊 PRICE TARGETS
UPSIDE TARGETS ⬆️
T1: 24,650 - 24,700
T2: 24,750 - 24,800
DOWNSIDE TARGETS ⬇️
T1: 24,350 - 24,400
T2: 24,250 - 24,300
⚡⚡ EDGE - HIGHEST PROBABILITY PLAY
Short from 24,480-24,520 supply zone targeting 24,350+ with stop above 24,550
🔍 KEY CONFIRMATION SIGNALS
✅ Rejection at current supply zone with volume
✅ Break below 24,450 support with momentum
✅ Volume expansion on downside moves
📈 TRADE SETUP
🔴PRIMARY BIAS: BEARISH
Short Setup from Supply Zone:
Entry: 24,480 - 24,520 (on rejection/weakness)
Stop Loss: Above 24,550
Target 1: 24,350 - 24,400
Target 2: 24,250 - 24,300
Risk/Reward: 1:4+ ratio
🔄 BIAS FLIP CONDITIONS
🟢TURNS BULLISH IF:
Clean break above 24,550 with strong volume
Hold above 24,520 on any pullback attempt
Volume expansion above pivot zone indicating fresh buying
⚡Then Target:
24,650 - 24,700 (first)
24,750 - 24,800 (extension)
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT
Max Risk: 40 points per position
Position Size: Adjust to 1-2% account risk
Time Stop: End of 4-hour session if no movement
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
US 100 Index – Upside Momentum to be Put to the TestThe US 100 registered its first down week of September when it closed at 24507 last Friday, a weekly loss of 0.4%. Hardly a collapse but a warning that no market moves in a straight line, especially one so sensitive to many of the key drivers that traders are focused on, namely AI and Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate moves.
It seems that last week’s dip may have been driven by some profit taking into the end of what has been a strong third quarter performance for this technology heavy index (8%, July 1st to September 26th). That drop has already been unwound by yesterday’s 0.4% rally which has continued this morning to current levels around 24640 (0730 BST), as traders’ position for some key economic data on the US labour market, which could clear up whether the Fed has room to cut interest rates again when they meet next on October 29th.
While there is a US labour market data release scheduled for every day across the remainder of this week, the focus could be Friday’s Payrolls update, where traders are anticipating a modest gain of around 39k and the unemployment rate to remain at its current level of 4.3%. Any deviation from these expectations could impact the market’s pricing of around a 90% chance of an October Fed rate cut, and a 60% chance of another December rate cut, with knock on implications for the direction of the US 100 at the start of Q4.
One obstacle impacting Friday’s Payrolls could be the possibility for a US Federal government shutdown from October 1st, which could delay the release of the labour market data, creating an extra level of uncertainty into the end of the week. Congressional leaders met with President Trump at the White House yesterday and talks to avoid a shutdown are on-going, although the latest updates provided by Vice President Vance suggests that a funding agreement is still some way off.
It may be worthwhile monitoring progress on this throughout the day ahead, just in case an agreement isn’t reached, and it leads to some extra US 100 volatility.
Technical Update: Price Decline Finding Support
Price corrections are a natural part of a broader uptrend and often reflect a healthy reaction to recent upside extremes. Following last week’s sell-off in the US 100 index, traders may now be assessing whether the latest weakness is simply a limited pullback ahead of renewed attempts to extend what still appears to be a constructive trend, or the beginning of a more extended price decline.
While it’s impossible to confirm whether a renewed phase of strength is underway, last week’s initial weakness found support at lower levels. As the chart above shows, fresh upside attempts may now be emerging, suggesting the possibility of a resumption of the uptrend pattern.
While positive sentiment may still be evident, this week’s upcoming data releases could prove pivotal, with the potential to shift momentum and drive notable price moves across key assets and traders will be watching closely for confirmation, or disruption, of the current US 100 index trend.
As a result, it may be important to identify and then monitor key support and resistance levels in case an increased spell of volatility emerges.
Potential Support Levels:
As the chart below shows, the latest price strength seen on Monday and into this morning, appears to be emerging from an initial support zone between 24211 and 24103. This range is marked by both the rising Bollinger mid-average and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of September’s advance.
A closing break below these levels wouldn’t confirm a downside shift but could pave the way for a test of 23891, the 50% retracement, and possibly even extend towards 23679, which is the 61.8% level.
Potential Resistance Levels:
After marking a new all-time high at 24795 on September 22nd, traders may now be monitoring this level as the initial resistance focus this week.
If the positive trend does remain, fresh attempts at price strength are possible. It could be worthwhile monitoring how the 24795 all-time high is defended on a closing basis, with successful breaks higher potentially leading to a further phase of price strength.
While a closing break above 24795 doesn’t guarantee further upside, it could trigger fresh attempts to push first towards 24971, the 100% Fibonacci extension, and potentially up to 25347, the 138.2% extension level.
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