Trade ideas
NASDAQ Pressure Still to The DownsideI know many a people are anticipating new ATHs here but I beg to differ.
I think pressure to the downside will likely resume. I am just waiting patiently to see how far up the bullish correction goes so I can continue to short. Or alternatively, a break and retest of the current H1 support if price does not pull back up.
My overall bias is still bearish here.
NAS100 H4 | Potential bullish reversalMomentum: Bearish
The price may experience a short-term pullback toward the identified buy-entry level, which aligns with a key pullback-support zone.
Buy Entry: 24,851.44
Pullback Support
Stop Loss: 24,362.73
Multi Swing-Low Support
Take Profit: 25,774.15
Pullback Resistance
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Nasdaq 100 Poised for a Deep Corrective Move After Breaking Key The Nasdaq 100 index has retreated toward a key area after a clear break below the ascending trendline that has held since mid-year, reinforcing expectations of a broader corrective wave. The current decline below the 25,000 – 24,600 zone indicates weakening bullish momentum, especially after breaking the previous low (Point 1), which supports the outlook for the index to move within a multi-leg bearish structure (five-wave decline).
The most likely scenario at this stage is a continued move lower toward the major moving averages, targeting the 22,800 – 22,200 zone as the first stage (Wave 3), followed by a limited rebound (Wave 4), before resuming the decline into Wave 5. This sequence would mark the beginning of a relatively deep correction compared to the prior bullish trend.
SHORT UNTIL LATE APRIL 2026OUR OBSERVATION
NASDAQ made three significant tops in its price action from 2009 to the present in a sequence of an expanding Phi.
February 2020 High = 9736.57 (This is the 1.0 growth level divided into a Log function)
(9736.57 / 10^4) = 0.973657 (Equivalent to 3/3 = 1.0)
November 2021 High = 16764.86
(16764.86 / 10^4) = 1.676486 ( This is the 5/3 Fibonacci sequence or a variation of 1.618)
Current High at 27th October 2025 = 26182.10
(26182.10 / 10^4) = 2.618210 (This level indicates the 8/3 growth sequence or 2.618 level)
TRADE PLAN
If we project a sequence of thirds, (1/3, 2/3, 3/3), then the three tops from 2009 made an expanding sequence along 3/3, 5/3, and 8/3 nodal points , at 9736.57, 16764.86 and 26182.10 levels respectively. Each node effected a correction, and by projection, we expect price to correct steadily until late April 2026. (1,2,3,5,8...) points form the price tops. The zone between 26182.1 and 26880.XX will be our confluence zone to expect a decline.
We projected the 27th October top as far back as April 2025, where we mentioned a broader cross assets decline. If we compare NASDAQ's price to SP-500 and DJIA, then we can create a larger sequence pattern. SP-500 top reached 6920.34 being 2/3 on the sequence while DJIA reached 48040.64, the 13/3 node. Several markets reaching tops at the same time cooks a sharp long decline. Therefore, we will keep short entries for all three markets until the tops break.
NOTE: We do not trade news effects, we only trade measurable facts the charts indicate. However, we look to the news for signals that add strength to our expectations.
Trade safe, good luck
NAS100 Intraday Market Structure AssessmentActionable Trading Framework
Bullish Scenario (Probability: 60%)
Entry: 24,595-24,620 (consolidation breach confirmation)
Target 1:24,680 (+$62 risk/reward)
Target 2: 24,750 (+$132 profit extension)
Stop Loss: 24,550 (-$45)
Trigger: Break above 24,650 with volume confirmation on 5/15-min charts
Bearish Scenario (Probability: 40%)
Entry: 24,680-24,710 (rejection candle formation)
Target 1: 24,600 (-$80 to +$30 range)
Target 2: 24,520 (-$160 reversal)
Stop Loss: 24,760 (+$50)
Trigger: Failed breakout attempt + RSI divergence on 1-hour chart
Key Technical Confluences
✓ EMA 20/50 Crossover Zone → Dynamic support (1-hour timeframe)
✓ VWAP Alignment → Acts as pivot point at 24,635
✓ Harmonic Pattern → Potential bullish AB=CD completion near current zone
✓ Ichimoku Tenkan-sen → Resistance pressure at 24,705
Execution Rules
1. Entry Confirmation: Engulfing or Pin Bar + Volume Spike on 5-min chart
2. Risk Management: Maximum risk per trade = 1% account size
3. Time Window: Optimal trading 08:00-15:00 UTC+4 (high liquidity period)
4. Exit Protocol: Trail stop at 15-pips after Target 1 achievement
Market Watch: NASDAQ at a Critical JunctureToday, all eyes are on the NASDAQ as we head into a key earnings release. The index is approaching a pivotal short-term level — the 55-day moving average at 24,091, which aligns closely with the August high of 23,969. With the daily RSI nearing oversold territory around 30, there's a strong chance this level could hold on the initial test.
But here's the catch: the weekly chart is flashing warning signs.
🔍 The weekly RSI has already topped out, suggesting momentum is fading. If the 55-day MA doesn't hold, we could see a deeper pullback toward the 55-week moving average at 22,035, which also aligns with the late 2024 high of 22,222.
This level could be the litmus test for the broader bull trend. A weekly close below it would be a major technical breakdown — and let’s not forget, the NASDAQ often leads the S&P.
Stay sharp. The next few sessions could be decisive.
Not trading advice
This is a "buy-the-dip" (bullish) strategy for NAS100.Wait for the price to pull back into the support area between the 0.5 Fibonacci level (25,144.7) and the 0.618 level (25,006.7).
Do not buy just because it touches the zone. Wait for a 4-hour candle to close within or above this zone, which confirms buyers are stepping in.
Your targets to take profit are the 0 level (25,725.5) and the -0.5 level (26,306.3).
Your stop loss would be placed below the 1 level (24,564.0), where the move started.
PS. The FIB never lies.
NAS100 - Waiting for buy setup on 4hr timeframeTimeframes Used: Monthly → Weekly → Daily → 4H
Current Market Condition:
Nas 100 is a valid trade according to my system rules:
Monthly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Weekly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Daily: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
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What I’m Waiting For:
I’ll be watching for the next 4H breakout opportunity.
Price to break above the 4hr timeframe.
Tech Sector Pauses|USNAS100 Awaits Direction Between 25430–25700USNAS100 | Overview
The price is currently consolidating between 25430 and 25570, showing a slight bearish bias as momentum weakens near resistance.
As long as the index trades below 25570 and 25700, the outlook remains bearish, with downside potential toward 25430 and 25220.
A confirmed break below 25220 would accelerate losses toward 25010.
However, if the price closes a 4H candle above 25700, it would signal a bullish reversal, opening the path toward 25820 and 25985.
Pivot Line: 25570
Resistance: 25700 · 25820 · 25985
Support: 25430 · 25230 · 25010
US NAS 100DO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Enjoy Trading ;)
NASDAQ - Weekly Chart Opinions? Game Over ? or 🧠 Keep it on watch. Momentum shifting.
Any Opinions on HUGE VEEKLY VOLUME? Game Over? or?
⚠️ Disclosures :
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any securities, cryptocurrencies, or stocks. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.






















