EUR/AUD Confirmed Downside Direction,Short Setup To Get 150 PipsHere is My 2H T.F Chart and if we have a look we will see that we have a very good breakout after this sideways movement , the price finally closed below my res and we have a good confirmation with 4H Bearish candle closure below my res so i`m waiting the price to go back to retest this broken res and then we can enter a sell trade . and if the price closed above my res with daily candle then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Trade ideas
EURAUD Resistance retest The EURAUD pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader range-bound sideway consolidation. Recent price action shows a retest of the resistance, (previous rising support)
Key resistance is located at 1.7907, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 1.7907 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 1.7720, followed by 1.7680 and 1.7643 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 1.7907 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 1.7950, then 1.7986.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 1.7907. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURAUD 4H: Long Setup from Fresh Demand ZoneOverview:
OANDA:EURAUD retracing into a newly formed 4H demand zone after a bullish Break of Structure (BoS). Eyes on continuation towards a historically significant supply zone at 1.8000.
🧩 Setup Details
• Asset & Timeframe: EURAUD, 4H
• Bias: Bullish
• Entry Zone: 1.77300 – 1.77700 (DEMAND area)
• Targets:
🎯 T1 = 1.7900 (minor reaction level)
🎯 T2 = 1.8000 (historical supply level)
• Stop-Loss: Below 1.77300 (last valid demand)
• Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:6+
🧠 Why Now? (Trade Rationale)
• ✅ Fresh 4H Demand Zone: Price is retracing into a clear demand zone after rejecting lower prices.
• ✅ Break of Structure (BoS): Bullish BoS confirms shift in order flow.
• ✅ Volume Confirmation: Increasing demand near current price levels.
• ✅ Clear Liquidity Sweep: Price likely swept short-term lows before BoS.
• ✅ Target Supply Zone: 1.8000 is a well-respected historical supply/resistance level — clean magnet for price.
⏱ Multi-Timeframe Context
• Daily Chart: Price is reacting off a larger DAILY DEMAND ZONE. Trend bias is bullish.
• 4H Chart: Structure break + demand formation suggest continuation.
• 1H/Entry Level: Monitor price action in the blue zone for lower-timeframe confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing, flip zones, LQ sweep, etc.) and potentially greater risk-reward.
📉 Risk Management & Duration
• Stop below 1.76315 keeps you protected from deeper invalidation.
• Trade Duration: Short to mid-term (1–4 days).
• Position Size: Scale based on volatility; ideal for swing trade conditions.
📌 Trade Plan Summary
📍 Watch for bullish PA on re-entry into demand (1.77300–1.77700)
📍 Set SL below 1.76315
📍 TP1 at 1.79000 — partials advised
📍 TP2 at 1.80000 — strong historical level
📍 Adjust SL to BE on momentum breakout
EURAUD – Looking to Fade the Rally at Resistance (Counter-Trend EURAUD – Looking to Fade the Rally at Resistance (Counter-Trend Short Idea)
Sometimes markets climb too far, too fast — and that’s when opportunity knocks. EURAUD has been riding a strong uptrend, but it’s now stalling at a key resistance zone. Both the Euro and the Aussie are fundamentally soft, and this looks like a moment to bet against momentum.
🔻 I’m bearish on EURAUD as a counter-trend short from resistance.
Here’s what’s behind my view:
EUR strength is built on shaky optimism around a potential US-EU trade deal.
Eurozone growth is nearly flat (+0.1% in Q2), and household consumption is falling.
ECB is in pause mode after 8 rate cuts, with inflation expected below target until 2026.
AUD weakness is priced in as markets expect an August rate cut from the RBA.
Both currencies are fundamentally soft — but EUR feels overstretched after a 17% rally.
Zooming out, Euro sentiment is cautiously bullish, but it’s a fragile optimism. Positioning is crowded long (123K net longs), and any disappointment on the trade front could trigger a reversal. Meanwhile, the RBA’s expected dovish move is already in the price — and the AUD has already pulled back 1.4% vs USD.
This setup is risky — I’m going against the broader trend — but I like the odds here. EURAUD is overbought, fading momentum, and sitting right at resistance. If price confirms rejection, I’ll be looking to take a short with tight risk.
⚠️ It’s a counter-trend trade — not for the faint-hearted.
Would you fade this rally? Or are you still riding the Euro wave?
One Sweet Bullish Candle Above 50EMA… and I’m All Yours, 1.7940I’ve got a lovely 1H bullish range from 1.7733 to 1.7940 — pure potential.
Market gave me a 100-pip pullback/retracement from 1.7940 to 1.7840 — just a little mood swing. 😒
Now I’m patiently stalking...
If a bullish candle closes above my 50EMA,
I’m not thinking twice — I’m riding the bull! 🐂💥
SL? Depends on the candle’s vibe:
If it’s a strong Marubozu, I’ll trust it like a loyal partner — SL goes just below it.
TP? Straight to 1.7940 — no detours, no drama. 🎯
Wish me luck… and a Marubozu with commitment issues! 😂📉📈
Lower Timeframe Analysis on EUR/AUDWhen analyzing the pair on lower timeframes, there appears to be a potential opportunity for a long position.
Looking at the broader picture on the daily timeframe, the pair may continue its upward movement following the formation of a strong bullish candle on Friday (August 1st, 2025).
Additionally, it's worth noting that the pair recently reached a low around 1.72476 and may now be aiming to establish a new high near 1.85566.
Given that this analysis is based on the daily timeframe, and following the breakout of the resistance at 1.79311 — which corresponds to the upper boundary of a rectangle marking the current range — a long position is considered valid.
Note: Be mindful of the potential for a GAP at the market open.
It is essential to remember that while technical analysis can provide valuable signals, it is crucial to also monitor economic data, news releases, and other fundamental factors that may affect this pair. This analysis focuses solely on the technical aspect.
The long position tool shown on the chart is meant for illustrative purposes only and should not be considered a definitive entry signal.
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects only my personal view of the market and does not, under any circumstances, constitute investment advice.
Loss of Momentum Pattern Into StructureSimilar to the OANDA:GBPJPY that I shared, the OANDA:EURAUD has put in a pretty aggressive and direct move into a previous level of structure. However, what makes this opportunity different than "the beast" is that as price approach our level of resistance we started to put in a rising channel which is a loss of momentum pattern along with other clues such as divergence on the RSI.
If you have any questions, comments or want to share your views, please do so below. Also be sure to hit that like button & give me a follow, that way you don't miss my future trading ideas.
Akil
EURAUD Ready to Bounce? Key Support & Fundamentals Aligned!Today I want to share a Long position idea on EURAUD ( OANDA:EURAUD ) with you.
From a fundamental perspective , both the Euro (EUR) and Australian Dollar (AUD) are currently under pressure. However, the Aussie appears fundamentally weaker in the short term, making the EURAUD Long setup more favorable at this stage.
AUD Weakness :
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has held rates steady at 3.85%, but recent inflation data has dropped to 2.7%, the lowest in over 3 years.
Most economists now expect the RBA to cut rates in its next meeting in August, possibly by 25 basis points.
Slowing economic growth and dovish forward guidance from the central bank are weighing heavily on AUD sentiment.
EUR Outlook :
The European Central Bank (ECB) is also facing weak economic data, but is taking a more cautious approach toward cutting rates.
Despite softer PMIs and sluggish growth in countries like Germany and France, the ECB has not confirmed a near-term rate cut, keeping EUR relatively stable.
This divergence between the RBA’s dovish stance and the ECB’s pause is supportive of EUR strength against AUD.
Summary :
With the RBA likely to ease policy soon and the ECB holding ground for now, the interest rate differential favors EURAUD upside. Fundamentals point toward further weakness in AUD, making the EURAUD Long a strategically sound trade idea for the coming days.
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Now let's analyze the conditions of the EURAUD chart on the 4-hour time frame .
EURAUD is currently trading near the Support zone(1.772 AUD-1.763 AUD) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and near the lower line of the descending channel .
According to Elliott Wave theory , EURAUD appears to have completed a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect EURAUD to rise to at least 1.784 AUD .
Second Target: 1.792 AUD
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.762 AUD
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/Australian Dollar Analyze (EURAUD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Watch this video on CAPITALCOM:EURAUD in order for you to learn more
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EURAUD BULLISH MOVE CONTINUESOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
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EUR-AUD Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD made a bullish
Breakout of the falling resistance
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
On Monday!
Buy!
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EUR/AUD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
EUR/AUD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.777
Target Level: 1.768
Stop Loss: 1.782
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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