ER + Option Break-Even = Hidden Support Zone in EURA quick look at my slightly crazy trading chart for the Euro futures — here’s what matters today:
🔸 A naked put at 1.55 (circled) has seen outflows of nearly 1,300 contracts, with roughly 3,000 still open — though not all may be "naked" (some could be part of structured positions).
Important context
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The market confirmed acceptance below the previous H1 dealing range, extending the current bearish efficiency phase.
The supply zone (1.1653–1.1665) sits slightly above the Value Area Low, where aggressive sellers could defend the return to the macro VA, indicating renewed intent
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We are waiting for price to approach the 75 % premium zone (1.1785–1.1800), where prior negative delta clusters align with the POC of the local value area — the origin of efficient selling.
Above this range, the 1.1811 level represents the macro value area of the long-term consol
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The market broke down from the previous dealing range, showing full acceptance below the prior value area.
We are now waiting for price to reach the upper boundary of the new distribution zone, where a prior negative delta at 1.1750 (75% premium line) confirms the origin of effic
Euro May Drop Toward $1.1656FenzoFx—Euro traded higher today, up by 0.33%; however, the uptrend eased after the price reached the equal highs at $1.1807. However, the volume profile formed lower lows, meaning the current uptick in momentum could be fake.
The immediate support rests at $1.1761. From a technical perspective, a
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A representation of what an asset is worth today and what the market thinks it will be worth in the future.
Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.
Frequently Asked Questions
The nearest expiration date for EUR/USD Futures is Sep 15, 2025.
Traders prefer to sell futures contracts when they've already made money on the investment, but still have plenty of time left before the expiration date. Thus, many consider it a good option to sell EUR/USD Futures before Sep 15, 2025.