Trade ideas
EURNZD BUY TRADE PLAN**PAIR & DATE:** EURNZD – Aug 18, 2025
**PLAN ID:** EURNZD\_2025\_08\_18\_A
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## 🔎 PLAN OVERVIEW
* **Category:** Swing / Intra-Day blend (H4 anchor, H1 trigger)
* **Trade Type:** Trend Continuation (after corrective pullback)
* **Direction:** Buy (pro-trend, macro-aligned)
* **Confidence:** 74%
* **Min R\:R:** 1:3
* **Status:** ✅ VALID
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## 🎯 LEVELS CARD (Quick Action)
**Primary Setup (High Probability – Buy):**
* Entry: **1.9660 – 1.9650 zone** (H4 demand + OB/FVG)
* Stop Loss: **1.9605** (below OB base & liquidity sweep)
* TP1: **1.9720** (local swing high)
* TP2: **1.9770** (HTF resistance, daily imbalance fill)
* TP3: **1.9850** (stretch target, weekly high)
* Order: **Market on confirmation (H1 engulf/pin/BOS)**
* Session: **London / NY overlap preferred**
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## ✅ EXECUTION CHECKLIST
1. News gate (15m pre / 30–60m post red events).
2. Price taps zone inside London/NY.
3. Confirmation on H1: bullish engulf / pin rejection / BOS.
4. Market execution only if confirmation prints.
5. TP1 partial → SL BE → trail toward TP2.
6. Exit on invalidation close below **1.9605**.
7. Skip trade if zone breaks without reaction.
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## 🌐 FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS
* **CB Bias:** ECB slightly hawkish tilt; RBNZ neutral/dovish.
* **Upcoming Data (7d):** NZD trade balance, RBNZ Gov Orr speech; Euro PMI (Thursday).
* **Cross-Asset:** NZD vulnerable to China growth & risk-off. DXY sideways, equities soft.
* **Flows:** COT → net EUR long build-up; retail crowded NZD long.
* **Macro Lean:** Mild EUR+ tailwind; NZD flat/downside risk via China sentiment.
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## 🗺️ MARKET MAP
* **D1:** Uptrend intact, BOS higher-highs, structure bullish.
* **H4:** Pullback into demand 1.9650–60, last BOS up.
* **H1:** Recent sell-off corrective; pinbars at zone bottom.
* **Liquidity Pools:** Equal highs \~1.9770, clean liquidity above.
* **Play Type:** **Trend Continuation → HTF demand → pro-trend resumption.**
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## 💰 RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT
* Risk: **1% per trade** (max basket 2%).
* SL logic: beyond OB + liquidity.
* ATR filter: H1 ATR(14) \~30 pips; SL \~50 pips acceptable.
* R\:R: min 1:3 (Primary setup → \~1:4 if TP2 hit).
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## 📊 CONFIDENCE (One Line)
**74%** — HTF uptrend intact, macro EUR supportive, corrective pullback into H4 demand, clean R\:R.
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## 📝 FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY / PERSONAL NOTE
* **Zone Status:** Fresh test into 1.9660 band.
* **Action:** Buy only if H1 prints confirmation (engulf/pin/BOS).
* **Re-entry Logic:** If tapped and rejected but not near TP1, may re-engage with pending at 1.9660.
* **Stay Flat:** If H1 candle closes below 1.9605 → invalid, no buy.
* Professional close: **Execute only on elite confluence; skip if not clean.**
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## 📓 POST-TRADE JOURNAL (to be filled after execution)
* Outcome: _
* Lesson: _
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⚡ **EURNZD Primary Plan = BUY from 1.9660 demand zone (HTF continuation), confirmation required.**
EURNZD Bearish Shark Follow-UpFrom my previous post regarding potential Bearish Shark forming on the EURNZD (see Related Publications ->) a shooting star pattern might be forming right around the 1.97500 level. I usually don't trade candlestick patterns, but will look for a handful of certain ones around areas of fib confluence, S/R, S/D, and divergence. The Kiwi is weak relative to all other currencies, but I think the Euro is exhausted. Nevertheless, I would not be surprised if bulls make another exhausted push up towards 1.98500.
Currently short at 1.9755
Looking for our long term sells on EURNZD to continueBack in April we called the sellside trade on EURNZD from 2.00 with the expectation after we took profits at 1000 pips the market would pullback. I believe that pullback is coming to an end.
I have entered here and will be monitoring this trade over the next coming weeks.
eurnzd analysis elliot. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
EURNZD:  Bearish Forecast & Outlook
The price of EURNZD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair. 
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Eurnzd h4EUR/NZD – H4 Buy Setup
On H4 timeframe:
 • Bullish Change of Character (CRT)
 • Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG)
 • Bullish Order Block in confluence
📌 Plan:
If price retests the H4 FVG, I’ll look for confirmation on lower timeframes before entering a buy. This setup aligns multiple bullish signals, so patience and precise entry will be key.
EUR/NZD - Channel Breakout (14.08.2025) The EUR/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of  a Triangle Breakout  Pattern.  This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.  
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. 
Target Levels: 
1st Support – 1.9517
2nd Support –  1.9489
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Strong resistanceWe can see that after a sharp drop, the price is now slowly climbing back up, and sellers are decreasing, suggesting that the drop was likely due to news-driven hype.
It is now facing a strong resistance, and if this resistance is broken, we can expect the price to rise toward the 1.96440 level.
EURNZD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
 My dear friends, 
Please, find my technical outlook for EURNZD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.9570
Bias - Bullish 
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.9595
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.9557
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. 
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
 WISH YOU ALL LUCK 
EUR/NZD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
EURNZD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.961
Target Level: 1.929
Stop Loss: 1.982
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/NZD priming for super upside -Cup of tea!Another LARGE Cup and Handle is forming on EUR/NZD. 
It's the race between the EURO and the NZD - Either way the rand (in south africa) is cooked haha - cry. 
Some reasons for Euro upside may include:
~ Eurozone fundamentals healthier than NZ’s.
~ NZ economy shows lingering softness.
~ NZD is oversold and ripe for correction.
~ Sentiment and models align bullishly for EUR/NZD.
Right now we are waiting for a breakout due to  
Cup and Handle 
Price>20 and 200MA
Target 2.0546
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
August 11, Forex Outlook: What to Expect from This Weeks TradingWelcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Pairs to focus on this Week:
USDCAD
EURGBP
EURJPY
GBPCHF
USDCHF
NZDCHF
EURNZD
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
1. Higher timeframe trend analysis
2. Key zones of interest and potential setups
3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉
EUR-NZD Local Long! Buy!
 Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD  is going down
To retest the horizontal 
Support of 1.9524 from
Where we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound 
And a move up
 Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
 
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.






















