EURNZD trade ideas
EURNZD Is Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.969.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.948 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURNZD Bears Eye Deeper Pullback After RejectionEURNZD has rolled over from the 1.98 region after repeated rejection, and sellers are starting to reassert control. The broader pattern suggests downside momentum is building, especially as NZD gains modest support from improving risk sentiment and firmer commodity tones, while the euro remains pressured by soft growth expectations. A break toward key supports looks increasingly likely if sellers can maintain control below resistance.
Current Bias
Bearish – momentum favors a push lower as rallies continue to stall.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Eurozone: Weak economic growth, dovish ECB tone, and sluggish demand weigh on the euro.
New Zealand: Better export data and steady RBNZ policy provide NZD with relative stability.
Global backdrop: Commodity resilience (particularly dairy) underpins NZD, while euro lags on recession fears.
Macro Context
Interest rates: The ECB is expected to remain cautious with potential for further cuts if conditions deteriorate. The RBNZ, while not hawkish, has less urgency to ease, leaving NZD relatively supported.
Economic growth: Europe’s slowdown vs. New Zealand’s more resilient external sector tilts fundamentals toward NZD strength.
Geopolitical: Trade disputes and tariff headlines continue to weigh more on EUR than NZD.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A surprise hawkish ECB tone, stronger euro area inflation data, or sudden risk-off flows could reverse NZD’s advantage and lift EURNZD higher.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
Eurozone CPI and ECB commentary for signs of policy adjustments.
NZ GDP/Trade balance data to gauge whether the NZD can maintain momentum.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
EURNZD often acts as a lagger, taking cues from broader EUR direction (especially EURUSD and EURAUD). NZD’s correlation with risk assets and AUD also means that AUDNZD and global commodity moves tend to lead shifts in EURNZD.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 1.9547, 1.9300
Resistance Levels: 1.9745, 1.9825
Stop Loss (SL): 1.9825 (above resistance)
Take Profit (TP): 1.9300 (major support)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EURNZD bias is bearish with SL at 1.9825 and TP at 1.9300. The euro continues to struggle with growth concerns and a dovish ECB, while NZD draws support from relative macro stability and firmer commodities. The key watchpoints are eurozone inflation and ECB commentary, as any hawkish surprise could trigger a rebound. For now, downside momentum favors a continuation toward 1.9547 and potentially 1.9300.
EURNZD – Wave Analysis OutlookThe structure on EURNZD suggests the pair is unfolding within a broader impulsive sequence, but the short-term leg appears corrective in nature. Price is currently reacting around the 1.96 – 1.97 zone, which aligns with a cluster of Fibonacci retracements.
From a wave perspective, the decline from recent highs looks corrective, hinting that another upward leg could still develop before the larger cycle turns lower.
If price holds above the 1.95 – 1.96 support region, an extension higher toward the 2.02 – 2.04 zone remains possible.
That zone coincides with Fibonacci projections and could serve as the completion area for the current upward phase.
Once that move matures, the broader structure points to a potential bearish transition, with deeper downside targets unfolding in line with the larger corrective path.
Wave analysis often reveals how markets expand in measured phases shorter-term corrections feeding into higher-degree swings. The key is to monitor whether price respects the current corrective floor or breaks it, which would confirm an earlier shift into the downward sequence.
👉 I’ll be looking for a sell setup if price reaches the 2.02 – 2.04 zone or if we break below the current trendline and consolidate.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This outlook is based on personal wave analysis and shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk—always do your own research before acting.
Bearish drop?EUR/NZD is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance, and could drop to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 1.9477
1st Support: 1.9536
1st Resistance: 1.9751
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURNZD: Ready To Loot 200+ Pips? Breakout Plan Active💰 EURNZD "Euro vs Kiwi" Forex Bank MONEY LOOTING PLAN (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀
📌 Trading Plan (Thief Layer Strategy)
Bias: Bullish (Pending Order Plan) 🟢
Breakout Entry: Watch for ⚡ breakout above 2.04500 (major resistance).
Layered Limit Orders (Thief Style):
Buy Limit @ 1.98800
Buy Limit @ 1.99000
Buy Limit @ 1.99200
Buy Limit @ 1.99500
(You can add more layers depending on your strategy.)
Stop Loss (Thief SL): @ 1.98500 📍
(Adjust SL as per your risk tolerance — this is not financial advice.)
Target: Strong resistance + overbought zone near 2.01300 🎯
(Take profit when satisfied — manage risk, lock profits, and don’t get trapped.)
⚠️ Tip: Set an alert on TradingView at the breakout level to catch moves without stress.
📊 EUR/NZD Market Snapshot (Sept 7, 2025)
Daily Change: +0.01% (Flat, stable vibes)
Current Momentum: Building energy for potential breakout 💥
🧑🤝🧑 Sentiment Outlook
Retail Traders: 61% Bearish 🐻 | 39% Bullish 🐂
→ Retail leaning short, expecting NZD strength.
Institutions: Mildly Bullish 🐂
→ Favoring EUR upside from Eurozone recovery flows.
Overall Mood: Neutral 😐 → Balance of caution + opportunity.
😨📈 Fear & Greed Index
Score: 49 ⚖️ (Neutral Zone)
→ Market is calm, neither overheated nor fearful.
🔍 Fundamental & Macro Overview
EUR Fundamentals: 7/10 💪
→ GDP +0.9%, inflation cooling (2.0%), ECB easing support.
NZD Fundamentals: 6/10 🛡️
→ GDP +1.2%, RBNZ steady, exports steady but China slowdown a drag.
Macro Score: Bullish Tilt 🟢
→ Interest rate gap favors EUR; Eurozone current account +3.4%.
🎯 Thief Strategy Reasoning — WHY THIS PLAN?
Technical: Breakout confirmation above 2.04500 + layered entries (Thief style).
Fundamental: EUR showing resilience while NZD faces export headwinds.
Macro: Eurozone edges ahead with positive balance & easing monetary stance.
Sentiment: Retail shorts fuel potential squeeze higher.
Fear & Greed: Balanced — supports controlled upside moves.
📈 Related Pairs to Watch
Correlated Assets Monitoring:
OANDA:EURAUD (Euro vs Australian Dollar)
OANDA:NZDCAD (New Zealand Dollar vs Canadian Dollar)
FX:EURUSD (Euro vs US Dollar)
OANDA:AUDNZD (Australian Dollar vs New Zealand Dollar)
Why watch these? They provide confirmation signals for EUR strength and NZD weakness across multiple fronts .
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#EURNZD #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #BreakoutStrategy #ThiefTrader #LayerStrategy #ForexCommunity #TradingViewIdea #FXSetups
EUR-NZD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD went down
And made a retest of the
Horizontal support level
Of 1.9656 from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish reaction so a
Further move up is to
Be expected
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Is the market setting up for a bullish reversal?EUR/NZD is reacting off the support level, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.9674
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.9548
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.9796
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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EURNZD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
EURNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.9695 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable (Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.9782
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURNZD Will Go Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.969.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 2.013 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bullish reversal off overlap support?EUR/NZD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.96774
1st Support: 1.96133
1st Resistance: 1.98195
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURNZD Wave Analysis – 9 September 2025
- EURNZD broke daily up channel
- Likely to fall to support level 1.9660
EURNZD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance area between the round resistance level 2.0000 (former powerful resistance from April) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance area started active short-term impulse wave c, which then broke the daily up channel from July.
EURNZD currency pair can be expected to fall toward the next support level 1.9660 (former resistance from July and the start of August).