Trade ideas
EURNZD could fall from 2.0300 for a larger correctionEURNZD could fall from 2.0300 for a larger correction
On Friday, EURNZD rose sharply after Trump’s comments to increase tariffs on China. EURNZD retested a strong area located near 2.0300.
I think EURNZD could fall from this area, but again it is a big and complex development overall.
From a technical perspective, I expect EURNZD to create a larger correction so that it can fall back from the top as shown in the chart.
Support targets:
2.0180
2.0130
2.0070
Perhaps the issues with the French Prime Minister could dampen this or any response from China given that this upward movement was related to China.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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EURNZD Consolidation Potential supporting in the Long-termEURNZD reflects uncertainty around trade tariffs on China any increase in tariffs or trade tension could limit NZD strength as NZD is sensitive to Chinese demand potentially supporting EUR in the short term.
However, political issues in France — particularly around the Prime Minister’s leadership — could weigh on the euro, limiting its upside potential. If China responds negatively to tariff developments, we might see renewed risk-off sentiment, which could temporarily lift EUR but eventually bring selling pressure once fundamentals refocus on the eurozone.
If price react to downside we could expect next Support will be 2.00500,
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck buddies.
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EURNZD – Possible Reversal / Buy SetupPrice is testing the 2.0150–2.0180 support zone, which acted as a strong base in the last impulse.
Decreasing volume suggests possible accumulation.
A move back toward 2.0250–2.0300 would align with the previous high and volume node.
🎯 Trade Setup
Buy Entry: 2.0180
Stop Loss: Below 2.0150
Take Profit: 2.0250 – 2.0300
📈 A clean setup if buyers defend this zone — watch for confirmation before entering.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately.
EURNZD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The price of EURNZD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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eurnzd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
EURNZD 4H – Short Setup from Key Resistance ZoneAfter a strong bullish move, price has reached a major resistance area around 2.035–2.037, where several previous rejections occurred. The market is now testing this zone again with RSI approaching overbought levels near 70, signaling potential exhaustion of the bullish momentum.
I’m anticipating a bearish reaction from this zone, supported by:
Confluence of horizontal resistance and previous structure highs.
RSI trendline showing potential for bearish divergence.
A wide liquidity area below that price may revisit.
My plan is to enter short near the resistance zone, placing the stop loss above 2.04, with targets toward 1.985–1.990, aligning with the rising trendline support from the previous lows.
This setup aims for a healthy risk-to-reward ratio (around 1:4–1:5), expecting a corrective move after the impulsive bullish leg.
#EURNZD:Price accumulated now time for distribution! Price completed accumulated and now we expecting a strong bullish price distribution. Next week we can see price going and crossing our target with strong bullish volume kicking in the market. Price may go beyond 2.20 region; let's see how it goes.
Good luck and trade safe!
Team Setupsfx_
EURNZD ENTRY CHARTWe are still BEARISH on this Pair, we have the Trend still pointing to the Down-side,Intra-day trend still BEARISH,then we switched to our structure TF, mark out our Valid zones with other confluences, then we switch to our ENTRY TF, to look for our PATTERN and FORMATION, if this matches with your Trade Idea, Kindly Apply a good risk management on this Trade, we will share our UPDATE in this NOTE SESSION, THANK YOU
EUR/NZD Correction Loading… or Just a Trap? Watch 2.0000 Closely🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders)
Euro Futures: Non-commercial longs slightly decreased (-789) while shorts increased (+2,625) → mild bearish tone on EUR.
NZD Futures: Non-commercial longs rose sharply (+3,044) along with shorts (+6,160) → institutional traders adding exposure on both sides, but still heavily net short on NZD (≈3:1 short/long).
📌 Combined Interpretation: Despite the small decline in EUR sentiment, the strong short positioning on NZD keeps the broader bias bullish for EUR/NZD in the medium term, though near-term correction is likely after recent highs.
🔹 FX Sentiment (Retail Positioning)
82% short vs 18% long.
📌 Retail traders are extremely net short → strong contrarian bullish signal. This suggests the downside could be limited before another potential upside leg.
🔹 Seasonality
October is typically positive for NZD.
EUR tends to be flat to slightly negative in October.
📌 Seasonal bias: mildly bearish for EUR/NZD — NZD’s seasonal strength could fuel a temporary pullback, aligning with the current technical setup.
🔹 Price Action
Rejection from major supply zone 2.0250–2.0350, forming a potential double-top.
Price now consolidating near 2.0050–2.0000, sitting just above key structure and ascending trendline support.
RSI neutral → room for further retracement.
Break below 2.0000 could accelerate the correction toward 1.9850–1.9750 demand zone.
Bullish structure would resume only above 2.0250.
🎯 Outlook: Expect a corrective leg toward 1.9850–1.9750 before potential bullish continuation. Structure remains constructive as long as price stays above 1.9700.
Bullish bounce off?EUR/NZD has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 2.00180
1st Support: 2.98927
1st Resistance: 2.02961
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EURNZD Will Go Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2.008.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.992.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Trade Idea: Short EUR/NZD (Swing TradeThis setup is a classic harmonic-driven short trade, executed on the H4 timeframe with a broader outlook extending into the D1 chart. The chart showcases a well-formed bearish harmonic pattern—likely a Gartley or Bat—anchored at points X, A, B, C, and D. The completion of the pattern at point D aligns with a key resistance zone, suggesting a potential reversal and bearish momentum ahead.
📉 Entry, Stop-Loss, and Target
- Entry Zone: Around 2.0070–2.0173, where price has recently tested the harmonic completion and shown signs of rejection.
- Stop-Loss (SL): 2.0135, placed just above the pattern’s invalidation point and recent swing high to protect against false breakouts.
- Target Zone: 1.9920 to 1.9956, which coincides with a clearly marked Demand Zone on the chart. This area has historically attracted buying interest and could act as a strong support level.
📊 Risk/Reward Profile
This trade offers a Risk/Reward ratio greater than 2, which is ideal for swing setups. With a relatively tight stop and a well-defined target zone, the trade balances risk prudently while aiming for a meaningful reward. The smaller green box within the setup visually confirms this favorable RR profile
🔍 Technical Confluence
- Bearish Harmonic Pattern: Suggests exhaustion of bullish momentum and a high-probability reversal.
- Demand Zone Target: Acts as a magnet for price, supported by historical buying pressure.
- Candlestick Structure: Recent price action shows rejection wicks and bearish candles near the entry zone, reinforcing the short bias.
- Timeframe Synergy: H4 chart provides precision for entry and SL, while the D1 chart supports the broader swing outlook.
🧭 Trade Management Tips
- Monitor price behavior as it approaches the demand zone—partial profit-taking near 1.9956 could be wise.
- If momentum accelerates, consider trailing the stop to lock in gains.
- Avoid over-leveraging; this setup is technically sound but still subject to macroeconomic volatility.
EURNZD finding support at the daily 20SMASimilar to the previous 2 posts regarding GBP pairs, EURNZD is currently riding support at the daily 20SMA (overlayed on this 1H chart). The hourly RSI is also indicating this pair is oversold. RBNZ is expected to cut interest rate tomorrow by another 25 basis points which could be the catalyst to realizing this potential bullish move. Recent weakness in the NZD came after the latest interest rate cut, and if further dovish comments follow the interest rate decision tomorrow, this pair could retest the 2.03xx high hit in late September.
October 05, Forex Outlook: Key Moves to Watch This Week!Welcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
1. Higher timeframe trend analysis
2. Key zones of interest and potential setups
3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉
Ready To Raid This EUR/NZD Bullish Breakout With Me?🦹♂️⚡ HEIST ALERT: EUR/NZD BULLISH BREAKOUT INBOUND! ⚡🦹♂️
Asset: EUR/NZD "Euro vs Kiwi" Forex Bank (Swing/Day Heist)
Plan: BULLISH (Pending Order Layering Plan)
🎯 THE MASTER PLAN:
Dear Money Makers & Robbers! 🤑💰 Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style Analysis🔥, we are plotting a BULLISH HEIST on the Euro vs Kiwi bank! Our intel suggests a major breakout is brewing. Time to load up and ride the lightning! ⚡
📍 ENTRY - THE HEIST IS ON!:
⚡ Phase 1: Breakout Entry @ 2.00200
Wait for the level to get SMASHED! Set a BUY STOP order to catch the explosive move.
♻️ Phase 2: Pullback & Layer Entry @ 1.97500 & ABOVE
True Thief style! We use LAYERS! After the breakout, place BUY LIMIT orders on any pullback toward 1.97500. This is how the pros stack the cash! 💵💵
📢 YO, LISTEN UP! 🗣️ Set a TRADINGVIEW ALARM 🔔 at 2.00200! Don't miss the breakout signal. A true thief is always prepared!
🛑 STOP LOSS - PROTECT THE BOOTY:
• Breakout Entry SL: This is the Thief's secret SL @ 1.99000
• Pullback/Layer Entry SL: Place your hideout @ 1.96000
📌IMPORTANT INSTRUCTION: Do NOT place your stop loss until AFTER the breakout or pullback entry is triggered! Place it only after you're in the trade. Adjust your final SL based on your own risk and strategy, you rebellious pirates! 🏴☠️⚠️
🎯 TARGET - ESCAPE WITH THE LOOT:
• Final Target: @ 2.02500 🎯
The top is a high-voltage area! ⚡ The market will be overbought and the guards will be alert. Take your stolen profits and ESCAPE before the trend reverses! Don't get greedy! Cash out and treat yourself, you deserve it! 🏆💸🍾
⚠️ GENERAL ORDERS:
• News Releases: Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Manage your running positions! 📰🗞️
• This is not personalized advice. This is our heist plan. Your risk is your own! 👊
• Boost this idea! 💥 Hit the Boost Button 💥 to support the crew and help us plot more profitable heists! 🚀🤝❤️
I'll see you at the target, thieves! Stay tuned for the next score! 🤑👊
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