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EURO REFERENCE RATE / SWISS FRANC

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EUXCHF trade ideas

EUR/CHF: The Trap Is Set!EUR/CHF Full Analysis 1. Seasonality EUR: Historically weak in August–September. The 20y and 15y datasets confirm a negative seasonal bias in September. CHF: Stronger tendency in August–September, historically supported as a safe-haven currency, with September statistically positive. 👉 Seasonal bias: short EUR/CHF (weak EUR vs strong CHF). 2. Retail Sentiment 55% of retail traders are long EUR/CHF, while 45% are short. 👉 Slight long retail positioning = contrarian bearish signal. 3. COT Report (19 August 2025) Euro: Non-commercial net long at 252k vs 133k short (+6.4k new longs, +3.1k new shorts). Still bullish momentum, but slowing down as commercials are selling. CHF: Non-commercial net short (6k longs vs 33k shorts). Strong bearish imbalance, but commercials are long CHF (hedging), reinforcing CHF’s safe-haven status in case of risk-off correction. 👉 COT shows overweight Euro longs and heavy CHF shorts, raising risk of a future reversal in favor of CHF. 4. Technicals Structure: Clear rejection from weekly supply zone 0.9435–0.9450 with a bearish engulfing. Daily RSI cooling after strong impulse → room for further downside. Possible pullback toward 0.9415–0.9425 (Fib 0.62–0.705) before continuation lower. Technical targets: 0.9330–0.9315 (daily demand zone), extended to 0.9260. Invalidation: Weekly close above 0.9450. 📌 Conclusion: Seasonality, retail sentiment, and price action align for a bearish EUR/CHF bias. The COT highlights an overcrowded long Euro vs short CHF positioning, opening space for a structural rebound of the Swiss Franc. Technicals confirm: wait for a pullback to 0.9420 to short, targeting 0.9330/0.9260.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
EURCHF Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Short
by Derry_Trades
EURCHF Stuck in the Range: One More Drop Before September?EURCHF Stuck in the Range: One More Drop Before September? EURCHF has been range-bound since early April 2025, trading between 0.9250 and 0.9450—a wide 200-pip zone. The resistance near 0.9450 remains strong, and with the SNB still actively intervening, there's a good chance the pair could dip again before any real movements in September. Seasonal low volume also makes it harder for bulls to push above resistance. Without strong buying pressure, another drop looks likely. Still, this setup carries high risk, so caution is key. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
1
EURCHF On The Rise! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the EURCHF next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.9405 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 0.9415 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURCHF bullish Flag developing ?The EURCHF remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 0.9384 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 0.9384 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 0.9455 – initial resistance 0.9478 – psychological and structural level 0.9500 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 0.9384 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 0.9360 – minor support 0.9338 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the EURCHF holds above 0.9384 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURCHF What Next? SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on EURCHF and concluded the following: The market is trading on 0.9432 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 0.9418 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURCHF too?In the higher timeframes (monthly) prices have traced a confirmed uptrend. This is also confirmed in the daily timeframe. But prices being in a strong structural and psychological level, we are expecting a significant counter trend, which happens to have been confirmed in the lower time frames. We are risking 13 pips on this trade aiming a potential 1:10+, but still proper trade management is always needed to make sure profits are secured incase targets are not reached. DISCLAIMER: This is not a financial advice, always trade with caution.
Short
by relentlessforex
EURCHF too?In the higher timeframes (monthly) prices have traced a confirmed uptrend. This is also confirmed in the daily timeframe. But prices being in a strong structural and psychological level, we are expecting a significant counter trend, which happens to have been confirmed in the lower time frames. We are risking 13 pips on this trade aiming a potential 1:10+, but still proper trade management is always needed to make sure profits are secured incase targets are not reached. DISCLAIMER: This is not a financial advice, always trade with caution.
Short
by relentlessforex
2
EURCHF overbought pullback support at 0.9384EURCHF overbought pullback support at 0.9384 The EURCHF remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 0.9384 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 0.9384 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 0.9455 – initial resistance 0.9478 – psychological and structural level 0.9500 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 0.9384 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 0.9360 – minor support 0.9338 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the EURCHF holds above 0.9384 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURCHF – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D12 | Y25 📊 EURCHF – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D12 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 📌 NOTE – Market Context Update We’ve seen the daily candle close above the weekly 50 EMA, which suggests bullish intent... BUT 🧠⚠️ Let’s stay mindful — price is currently testing a major higher time frame level, and with 4 trading days left in the week, there’s still room for a rejection from the weekly 50 EMA. 🔍 Be smart with longs — don’t get caught chasing. Personally, I’ll be waiting for a 15-min BOS from my initial level to confirm intent. 🎯 📉 If price breaks back below the weekly 50 EMA, I’ll switch bias to shorts — then wait for a pullback to structure for continuation down. Let the market show its hand. Stay sharp and trade what you see, not what you want to see. 🧘‍♂️📊 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. OANDA:EURCHF
Long
by JCFRGNT
EURCHF – Buy Trade UpdateEURCHF – Buy Trade Update 📈 Our EURCHF long is in profit ✅ and I’m now trailing my stop-loss to lock it in. Price is still moving higher with steady momentum. The bullish push started picking up after Trump’s 39% tariffs came into effect on August 7, which weighed on CHF by dampening Swiss trade sentiment 😬. At the same time, the euro is holding firm on the back of better Eurozone data and the view that the ECB will move cautiously on rate cuts. I’m watching the next resistance around . If price slows down or reverses, I’ll look to take profit. For now, the plan is simple: let it run 🚀 and keep stops tight to protect gains.
Long
by Wainainarobert
EURCHF – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D11 | Y25📊 EURCHF – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D11 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. OANDA:EURCHF
Long
by JCFRGNT