Trade ideas
NAS100 Trade Plan: Counter-Trend Opportunity Into Friday CloseI’m currently watching the NASDAQ NAS100 📊 and looking for a potential setup as we head into the Friday close. The market has pushed into the weekly low, and I’m anticipating the possibility of a retracement, which could offer a counter-trend opportunity during the New York session. 🚀📉📈 All details are broken down clearly in the video — this is not financial advice. ⚠️
NASDAQ Pressure Still to The DownsideI know many a people are anticipating new ATHs here but I beg to differ.
I think pressure to the downside will likely resume. I am just waiting patiently to see how far up the bullish correction goes so I can continue to short. Or alternatively, a break and retest of the current H1 support if price does not pull back up.
My overall bias is still bearish here.
US100 Price Action Outlook Weak High Target&Liquidity SweepZonesThe chart highlights a weak high above current price action, suggesting potential upside liquidity targets. Below, key downside levels at 25,067 and 24,739 mark liquidity pools and possible retracement zones if price rejects current resistance. The structure shows a recent break of structure with both bullish and bearish scenarios in play.
Price is reacting near a resistance area after a recent bounce. The weak high above suggests liquidity may be targeted before any reversal. If price rejects this zone, the next downside levels to watch are 25,067 and 24,739, where liquidity sits and buyers may step in. Structure remains mixed, with both upward liquidity grabs and potential pullbacks likely
NAS100 Trade Opportunity: Will Buyers Defend the Pullback?📊 NAS100 (NASDAQ-100) Swing Trade Opportunity 🚀
Bullish Pullback Setup | Super Trend ATR + TMA Confirmation
🎯 TRADE SETUP OVERVIEW
Instrument: NAS100 (NASDAQ-100 Index)
Timeframe: Swing Trade (4H-Daily)
Bias: BULLISH ✅
Setup Type: Super Trend ATR Line Pullback + Triangular Moving Average (TMA) Confirmation
🎬 ENTRY STRATEGY - "LAYERING METHOD" 📍
This strategy employs multiple limit order placement (Layer Entry Technique) to optimize entry points during the pullback phase.
Recommended Layer Entry Points:
🔵 Layer 1: 24,500
🔵 Layer 2: 24,600
🔵 Layer 3: 24,700
🔵 Layer 4: 24,800
⚡ Pro Tip: Scale layers based on your account size and risk tolerance. Each layer reduces average entry price.
🛑 STOP LOSS (SL)
Primary SL Level: 24,300
Strategy: Placed below the latest swing low + Super Trend confirmation
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This SL is a guideline only. You must adjust based on your personal risk management strategy and account equity. Risk is YOUR responsibility.
🎁 PROFIT TARGETS (TP)
PRIMARY TARGET (TP1): 25,700 🎯
First resistance zone
Ideal for taking partial profits
Recommended exit: 30-50% position
SECONDARY TARGET (TP2): 26,200 🔥
Strong resistance + Historical overbought zone
⚠️ TRAP ALERT: Expect potential reversal or consolidation
Recommended exit: Remaining 50-70% position
Use trailing stop for final portion
📈 TECHNICAL CONFIRMATION
✅ Super Trend ATR: Aligned bullish
✅ TMA (Triangular MA): Pullback to key level confirmed
✅ Higher Lows Pattern: Intact
✅ Volume Analysis: Supporting move
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 💡
Positive Correlation (Move Together):
🔴 SPY (S&P 500 ETF) - $380-395 Range
Correlation: +0.92 | Often leads NAS100 lower-cap stocks
Key Point: If SPY breaks $390, expect NAS100 momentum confirmation
Watch for divergence signals
🔴 QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust - Nasdaq 100 ETF) - $450-470 Range
Correlation: +0.99 | DIRECT tracking of NAS100
Key Point: Primary barometer for Nasdaq sentiment
Use for volume + volatility confirmation
🔴 TECH Sector ETF (XLK) - $205-215 Range
Correlation: +0.88 | Tech-heavy holdings overlap
Key Point: Tech rotation affects Nasdaq flow
Monitor for sector strength/weakness
Inverse Correlation (Move Opposite):
🔵 DXY (US Dollar Index) - $103-106 Range
Correlation: -0.65 | Stronger dollar = Risk-off mood
Key Point: If DXY spikes, expect NAS100 pullback extension
Monitor Fed rate expectations
🔵 TLT (20+ Year Treasury ETF) - $75-80 Range
Correlation: -0.58 | Rising yields hurt growth stocks
Key Point: Check 10Y yield trend for rate pressure
Watch Fed policy announcements
Key Monitoring Points:
📌 Earnings Season Impact: Tech earnings can create ±2% moves
📌 Fed Minutes/Announcements: Watch for rate guidance changes
📌 Market Breadth: Compare Advance/Decline lines for confirmation
📌 Volatility Index (VIX): Levels above 20 = Caution; Below 15 = Risk-on
📋 BEFORE YOU TRADE - CHECKLIST ✅
Is price currently at/near Layer 1 entry (24,500)?
Does current 4H chart show TMA pullback + Super Trend confluence?
Is volume confirming the setup?
Have you set your SL below 24,300?
Do you understand you're risking X to make Y?
Is this aligned with your trading plan?
🎓 FINAL NOTES
This is a mechanical swing trade setup designed for traders who use limit orders and layering technique. The confluence of Super Trend ATR + TMA creates higher probability entries during bullish pullbacks.
Remember: Trading involves substantial risk of loss. This idea is shared for educational analysis. Your trading decisions are YOUR responsibility alone.
Happy Trading! 🚀💎
NASDAQ NAS100 Under Pressure – Watching for a Break of StructureThe NASDAQ is currently showing signs of weakness on the 4-hour chart. Sellers are gradually stepping in, and we can see US100 bearish momentum starting to take control. The market is under pressure, and price action is hinting at potential continuation to the downside.
I’ll be watching closely for a NAS100 break below the current range low — if price retests that level and fails to reclaim it, that would confirm a bearish market structure shift 🔻. Such a setup could provide a high-probability short opportunity as momentum accelerates to the downside.
⚠️ This is not financial advice — purely for educational and analytical purposes.
NAS100 H4 | Potential bullish reversalMomentum: Bearish
The price may experience a short-term pullback toward the identified buy-entry level, which aligns with a key pullback-support zone.
Buy Entry: 24,851.44
Pullback Support
Stop Loss: 24,362.73
Multi Swing-Low Support
Take Profit: 25,774.15
Pullback Resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
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Nasdaq 100 Poised for a Deep Corrective Move After Breaking Key The Nasdaq 100 index has retreated toward a key area after a clear break below the ascending trendline that has held since mid-year, reinforcing expectations of a broader corrective wave. The current decline below the 25,000 – 24,600 zone indicates weakening bullish momentum, especially after breaking the previous low (Point 1), which supports the outlook for the index to move within a multi-leg bearish structure (five-wave decline).
The most likely scenario at this stage is a continued move lower toward the major moving averages, targeting the 22,800 – 22,200 zone as the first stage (Wave 3), followed by a limited rebound (Wave 4), before resuming the decline into Wave 5. This sequence would mark the beginning of a relatively deep correction compared to the prior bullish trend.
SHORT UNTIL LATE APRIL 2026OUR OBSERVATION
NASDAQ made three significant tops in its price action from 2009 to the present in a sequence of an expanding Phi.
February 2020 High = 9736.57 (This is the 1.0 growth level divided into a Log function)
(9736.57 / 10^4) = 0.973657 (Equivalent to 3/3 = 1.0)
November 2021 High = 16764.86
(16764.86 / 10^4) = 1.676486 ( This is the 5/3 Fibonacci sequence or a variation of 1.618)
Current High at 27th October 2025 = 26182.10
(26182.10 / 10^4) = 2.618210 (This level indicates the 8/3 growth sequence or 2.618 level)
TRADE PLAN
If we project a sequence of thirds, (1/3, 2/3, 3/3), then the three tops from 2009 made an expanding sequence along 3/3, 5/3, and 8/3 nodal points , at 9736.57, 16764.86 and 26182.10 levels respectively. Each node effected a correction, and by projection, we expect price to correct steadily until late April 2026. (1,2,3,5,8...) points form the price tops. The zone between 26182.1 and 26880.XX will be our confluence zone to expect a decline.
We projected the 27th October top as far back as April 2025, where we mentioned a broader cross assets decline. If we compare NASDAQ's price to SP-500 and DJIA, then we can create a larger sequence pattern. SP-500 top reached 6920.34 being 2/3 on the sequence while DJIA reached 48040.64, the 13/3 node. Several markets reaching tops at the same time cooks a sharp long decline. Therefore, we will keep short entries for all three markets until the tops break.
NOTE: We do not trade news effects, we only trade measurable facts the charts indicate. However, we look to the news for signals that add strength to our expectations.
Trade safe, good luck
NAS100 Intraday Market Structure AssessmentActionable Trading Framework
Bullish Scenario (Probability: 60%)
Entry: 24,595-24,620 (consolidation breach confirmation)
Target 1:24,680 (+$62 risk/reward)
Target 2: 24,750 (+$132 profit extension)
Stop Loss: 24,550 (-$45)
Trigger: Break above 24,650 with volume confirmation on 5/15-min charts
Bearish Scenario (Probability: 40%)
Entry: 24,680-24,710 (rejection candle formation)
Target 1: 24,600 (-$80 to +$30 range)
Target 2: 24,520 (-$160 reversal)
Stop Loss: 24,760 (+$50)
Trigger: Failed breakout attempt + RSI divergence on 1-hour chart
Key Technical Confluences
✓ EMA 20/50 Crossover Zone → Dynamic support (1-hour timeframe)
✓ VWAP Alignment → Acts as pivot point at 24,635
✓ Harmonic Pattern → Potential bullish AB=CD completion near current zone
✓ Ichimoku Tenkan-sen → Resistance pressure at 24,705
Execution Rules
1. Entry Confirmation: Engulfing or Pin Bar + Volume Spike on 5-min chart
2. Risk Management: Maximum risk per trade = 1% account size
3. Time Window: Optimal trading 08:00-15:00 UTC+4 (high liquidity period)
4. Exit Protocol: Trail stop at 15-pips after Target 1 achievement
Market Watch: NASDAQ at a Critical JunctureToday, all eyes are on the NASDAQ as we head into a key earnings release. The index is approaching a pivotal short-term level — the 55-day moving average at 24,091, which aligns closely with the August high of 23,969. With the daily RSI nearing oversold territory around 30, there's a strong chance this level could hold on the initial test.
But here's the catch: the weekly chart is flashing warning signs.
🔍 The weekly RSI has already topped out, suggesting momentum is fading. If the 55-day MA doesn't hold, we could see a deeper pullback toward the 55-week moving average at 22,035, which also aligns with the late 2024 high of 22,222.
This level could be the litmus test for the broader bull trend. A weekly close below it would be a major technical breakdown — and let’s not forget, the NASDAQ often leads the S&P.
Stay sharp. The next few sessions could be decisive.
Not trading advice
USNAS1OO Appear Breakout phase, with bullish pressure building.The USNAS100 (NASDAQ 100) appears to be in a consolidation-to-breakout phase, with bullish pressure building.
U.S. stock index futures are advancing on Monday following positive developments in Washington toward ending the U.S. government shutdown the prolonged shutdown had delayed key economic data releases and increased uncertainty over growth. Renewed optimism for resolution has improved risk sentiment, prompting buying momentum in equity futures.
If price sustains above 25,000 and momentum continues, bulls could “shut down” the recent NASDAQ decline by pushing toward 25,750 – 26,005 a strong breakout with volume could trigger further upside toward 26,250–26,500, aligning with the next major resistance zone.
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
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Nasdaq slides down as markets wobbleNasdaq is being pushed down, driven by raising concerns about valuations of AI companies despite strong earnings from NVDA and other giants. Volatility (VIX) stays near 20 but the hard landing for Nasdaq might boost it and lead to another several days of bearish rally as shown at the chart. According to statistical studies, bearish swings for Nasdaq rarely last for more than 19-20 days, so if it continues to move down, it might reverse in 5-10 days at the statistic support level, as shown at the chart.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own reserch and never forget to manage your risk!






















