NDX - POTENTIAL PULLBACK IN PLAY - SHORT SHORT INTO LONGGood Morning,
Always trade with risk assessment in mind. You can lose money quickly without an exit strategy. I choose a 7% stop based on my risk.
We are looking for a .5% exhaustion gap into todays market to show initiation of the pullback.
Trade Safely
Enjoy!
Trade ideas
US100 (NASDAQ 100) Long SetupAnalysis:
The market formed a strong bullish leg earlier and is now pulling back to retest a key support zone around 25,300. If price holds this level and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or structure break), we could see continuation to the upside.
Bias: Bullish above 25,300
Invalidation: Break below 25,145
Setup Type: Long Position
Entry: Around 25,300 (support retest)
Stop Loss: 25,145
Target: 25,720+
#US100 #NASDAQ100 #PriceAction #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartAnalysis #BuySetup #TradingView #SmartMoney #Forex #Indices
Nasdaq Fails to Return to Record HighsOver the past six trading sessions, the Nasdaq index has begun to show a notable bearish correction of more than 2.6% in the short term, reinforcing a downward bias that remains active at this stage. So far, the selling pressure has persisted as the market grows increasingly concerned about the performance of several companies linked to artificial intelligence, which have maintained significant valuations without yet reporting profits strong enough to justify those price levels. This situation has started to raise warning signals and trigger a short-term decline in confidence, which, if sustained, could become a key driver of stronger selling pressure in Nasdaq movements over the coming sessions.
Uptrend Still Holding
Despite recent corrections, the Nasdaq index has managed to preserve a steady upward trendline since around April 14 of this year, and so far, there has not been a strong enough sell-off to cause a meaningful break of this trend in the short term. However, if the current selling pressure continues, it could increase the risk of weakening the buying trendline, which has recently entered a phase of consolidation or pause over the past few sessions.
RSI
The RSI indicator line remains oscillating close to the 50 level, suggesting a technical balance between buying and selling strength over the average impulses of the last 14 trading sessions. As long as this behavior persists, the market may enter a more pronounced phase of indecision in the short term, reflecting the absence of a clear directional bias in price movements.
MACD
The MACD indicator, meanwhile, has started to show a neutral pattern, as its histogram continues to approach the zero line. This indicates indecision in the strength of short-term moving averages and could be signaling the formation of a more significant technical neutrality, where the market seeks an equilibrium point before defining a new directional move.
Key Levels to Watch:
26,000 points – Main resistance: Corresponds to the recent record highs and stands as the most important bullish barrier to watch. Movements that manage to hold above this level could confirm a stronger buying bias, potentially allowing the uptrend to continue on the chart.
25,115 points – Near support: This zone coincides with the most recent price retracements and could act as a technical barrier against potential short-term downward corrections.
23,800 points – Critical support: This level corresponds to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement on the chart. Bearish movements that reach and break below this area could put the current trendline at risk and generate a stronger selling bias in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Nasdaq 100 drops to a new low on the weekWhat a sell-off! The Nasdaq 100 (-2%) has now dropped almost 1,000 points from earlier high, to relinquish its entire gains related to Nvidia (-1.6%) and some to hit a new low on the week. How much more selling in there to come? Judging by price action in the crypto space, I would say a fair bit more.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
NASDAQDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
US Stock Market Danger SignalThere are more and more bearish signals coming in for Nasdaq and S&P 500. Big names started selling, more reports about possible correction, FED staying instead of cutting, market breadth is worse and close to previous correction and now the price is below the trendline.
I will go short with a close stop, do not want to risk too much.
NASDAQNASDAQ Analysis – Possible Early Pullback Before New York Session
The Nasdaq may experience a short-term correction during the London session and pre–New York, especially after yesterday’s explosive 550-point rally driven by Nvidia’s strong earnings.
Price is currently sitting on the 0.786 Fibonacci level, which is acting as a strong support and has been respected multiple times. At the same time, the index is positioned just below the descending trendline formed from the recent highs.
The fractal structure has now been completed, suggesting we could see a small bearish move before the New York session potentially resumes the bullish trend.
If price fails to break below the 0.786 support and instead breaks above the descending trendline, we could see continuation to the upside, targeting 25,300 in the next impulsive leg.
NAS100 Breakout Watch: Compression Before Expansion
The Nasdaq-100 index is trading at 25,130 , and the intraday price action is setting up what could be a high-probability move. Multiple technical frameworks are converging at a critical decision point. Let's dissect what's unfolding across the timeframes. 💹
Market Context & Structure
We're observing a Symmetrical Triangle pattern on the 1H chart that's been coiling for the past several hours. This compression zone between 25,080-25,185 represents a battleground between bulls and bears. The apex is approaching, which historically precedes volatility expansion.
From a Dow Theory lens, the intermediate trend remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows intact on the 4H timeframe. The recent pullback appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting the broader uptrend is still in play.
Wyckoff Analysis 📉
The overnight action exhibits classic Wyckoff accumulation characteristics within our consolidation range. We've seen:
Spring action down to 25,050 (stop hunt below support)
Absorption of selling pressure with diminishing volume
A Last Point of Support (LPS) forming around 25,090
This accumulation schematic suggests smart money positioning for the next markup phase.
Wave Count Perspective 🌊
Elliott Wave structure indicates we're likely completing a wave (4) triangle correction within a larger impulse. The internal labeling suggests:
Wave A-B-C-D-E triangle pattern nearing completion
Wave (5) target zone: 25,350-25,450
Invalidation level: Break below 25,020
The alternation principle supports this count, as wave (2) was a sharp zigzag, making a triangle for wave (4) textbook behavior.
Critical Levels & Zones 🎯
Upside Targets:
T1: 25,245 (initial resistance + prior pivot)
T2: 25,380 (Fibonacci extension 1.618)
T3: 25,525 (measured move from triangle)
Support Foundation:
S1: 25,085 (triangle baseline + EMA cluster)
S2: 25,020 (swing low + psychological)
S3: 24,890 (major demand zone)
Indicator Dashboard ⚡
RSI (1H): 52.4 - neutral, coiling with price
Stochastic: Curling up from 35, bullish crossover forming
VWAP: Currently at 25,118 acting as dynamic pivot
Ichimoku: Price inside the cloud (equilibrium), Tenkan/Kijun bullish twist imminent
Volume: Declining in range (typical pre-breakout behavior)
Harmonic Setup Recognition
A Gartley pattern completed at the 25,050 level with:
- X: 24,890
- A: 25,280
- B: 25,050 (0.618 retracement)
- D: PRZ achieved
This harmonic structure aligns perfectly with our Elliott wave count, adding confluence to the bullish thesis.
Actionable Trading Strategies 💼
Strategy 1 - Triangle Breakout:
Entry: 25,190 (break above triangle resistance + retest)
Target 1: 25,280
Target 2: 25,420
Stop: 25,080
Strategy 2 - Support Zone Buy:
Entry Zone: 25,085-25,095 (limit orders)
Target 1: 25,200
Target 2: 25,320
Stop: 25,035
Multi-Timeframe Sync 🕐
- 5M: Micro pullback entries and exits
- 15M: Trend confirmation via EMA alignment
- 1H: Primary pattern and trade direction
- 4H: Structural bias verification
The Bottom Line
NAS100 is coiled like a spring at 25,130. The technical evidence suggests accumulation is wrapping up, with multiple methodologies pointing toward upside resolution. The 25,190 breakout level is your line in the sand—above it, the path opens to 25,400+. Below 25,080 invalidates the immediate bullish setup.
Stay alert for the breakout, but don't force trades inside the range. Patience now equals profits later. ⚡
---
Risk Disclosure: Trading derivatives carries substantial risk. This analysis is educational only and not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
NSDQ100 under pressure ahead o Nvidia earningsThe tech-led selloff continues to intensify, with the S&P 500 logging a 4th straight decline and NASDAQ-100 futures under pressure again this morning. The core drag remains AI valuation fatigue, with the Magnificent 7 down nearly 8% from their October highs and edging toward correction territory. Weak macro data and disappointing earnings added to the risk-off tone, pushing the VIX up to 24.7, its highest in weeks, signaling elevated demand for downside protection in mega-cap tech.
Global equities are sitting at one-month lows as investors reassess whether the massive AI capex cycle will truly deliver near-term returns. That leaves Nvidia’s earnings after the bell as the pivotal catalyst: analysts expect >50% revenue growth, but with stretched positioning and fragile sentiment, the reaction may hinge more on guidance and sustainability of data-center demand rather than headline beats.
Political noise is also picking up but has limited direct intraday impact on NDX for now. Trump’s White House meeting with Saudi Arabia and hints about his shortlist for the next Fed Chair add background uncertainty, though markets will focus more on how the Fed leadership outlook may influence the 2025–26 rate path.
Bottom line for NDX traders:
Sentiment remains fragile, volatility is elevated, and the near-term direction will heavily depend on Nvidia earnings. A strong print could stabilize AI/tech momentum; a miss or cautious outlook risks accelerating the correction in the mega-cap complex.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25093
Resistance Level 2: 25290
Resistance Level 3: 25510
Support Level 1: 24278
Support Level 2: 24095
Support Level 3: 23910
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ 100
Sells
The market is showing clear signs of bearishness, evidenced by consecutive breaks of previous lows and sustained higher-timeframe downside momentum. With the daily timeframe continuing to push lower—breaking both the previous weekly low and the current daily low—the broader structure supports further selling pressure.
On the 4-hour (240) timeframe, momentum remains bearish, and price continues to form lower highs, reinforcing the downside bias. Although the market is currently ranging, this consolidation appears corrective rather than reversal-based. Because of this, I anticipate the market will likely continue selling, targeting lower pricing levels on the asset.
US100 – Missed Entry, but the Structure Was Perfect. Market Structure
The overall trend remains bearish. Price broke strongly below the previous Order Block, confirming sellers are still in control.
2. Order Block + Volume
The bearish OB was formed by a strong impulsive candle with high volume — a clear footprint of smart money. Price retraced but missed the entry zone by just a few points.
3. Liquidity
Before the major drop, price swept the liquidity above and instantly reversed. A classic pattern: liquidity grab → OB retest → sell-off.
4. Retest Logic
Even though the entry was missed, the V-Shark OB structure remained perfectly valid. When you follow the right logic, another opportunity always comes — no need to FOMO.
Conclusion
A missed entry doesn’t mean a bad analysis. It simply means the market didn’t offer the exact fill. Discipline over impulse — always.
Disclaimer
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
#VNShark #VSharkOB #OrderBlock #SmartMoneyConcept #PriceAction #Volume #Liquidity #US100 #NASDAQ #TradingView
NAS100 – Bullish Shift After LL → HL Structure Change (15M)
Price created a final Lower Low (LL) followed by a clean Higher Low (HL), signaling the start of a trend shift.
Market broke short-term structure with a fresh Higher High, confirming bullish intent.
EMAs are compressing and starting to fan upward, showing building momentum.
RSI is trending above the mid-line, supporting continued upside pressure.
A small FVG (Fair Value Gap) below may act as support if price retests.
Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 24,600 – 24,630
Take-Profit (TP): 24,783.3
Stop-Loss (SL): 24,548 – 24,566 (below FVG + EMA cluster)
Why This Setup Makes Sense
Clear structure transition from bearish to bullish.
Fresh HH confirms continuation potential.
EMAs aligned upward with improving momentum.
Clean upside liquidity target at 24,783.
Invalidation
Break and close below 24,548 invalidates the bullish structure.
NAS100 Algo-Driven Breakout & Volatility Matrix# 🚀 NAS100 19th Nov 2025: 🐂 Algo-Driven Breakout & Volatility Matrix 📊
Asset Class: NAS100 (CFD SPOT) | Price: 24,472 | Time: 10:25 AM UTC+4
Executive Summary
Bias: 🐂 Bullish Continuation / Momentum Breakout
Signal: 🟢 Long on Consolidation Break
Confidence: ⭐ High (Volume Confirmation)
Technical Analysis Methodology
Trend: The macro structure remains strongly bullish with price action respecting the ascending channel on the 4H timeframe. Intraday (15m/1H) reveals a Bullish Pennant contracting near all-time highs. 📈
Momentum: RSI (14) hovers at 58.0, indicating room for upside expansion before reaching overbought territory. ⚡
Volatility: Bollinger Bands are squeezing on the 1H chart, a precursor to a high-volatility expansion. VWAP is currently at 24,450, acting as dynamic support. 🌊
Patterns: A Cup and Handle formation is visible on the 1H chart, with the handle currently testing the 24,450 support zone. A successful breakout targets the 24,600 psychological barrier. ☕
Key Levels
🛑 R2: 24,650 (Fib Extension 1.618)
🚧 R1: 24,580 (Recent Swing High)
📍 Pivot: 24,472 (Current Price / POC)
🛡️ S1: 24,420 (EMA 50 / Handle Low)
🧱 S2: 24,350 (Key Structural Support)
Actionable Trade Plan
Strategy: Momentum Breakout & Trend Continuation 🚀
Entry 1 (Breakout): Buy > 24,510 (Volume Confirmation)
Entry 2 (Pullback): Buy @ 24,425 - 24,440
Stop Loss: 24,380 (Below S1/Invalidation Point)
Take Profit 1: 24,580 🎯
Take Profit 2: 24,640 🎯
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only.
AI-bubble fears dragged USTEC lower.
Alphabet (GOOGL) CEO Sundar Pichai added to the cautious mood, noting that the current AI boom shows signs of irrationality and warning that no company would be immune if the bubble bursts.
Meanwhile, ADP data showed private-sector jobs falling by roughly 2.5k per week over the four weeks to Nov 1, fueling worries about a labor-market slowdown. Fed Governor Waller reiterated his support for a December rate cut, citing ongoing softness and stagnation in the labor market.
This week’s NFP release may shape expectations for further Fed easing and add to market volatility.
USTEC extended its downtrend, breaking below 24525. The diverging bearish EMAs indicate a potential expansion of the bearish structure.
If USTEC breaks below 24300, the index could decline further toward the next support at 24000.
Conversely, if USTEC closes back above 24525, the index may advance toward the next resistance at 25200.






















