USNAS100 remains in a consolidation phase with a downside biasThe USNAS100 remains in a consolidation phase with a downside bias, following a slight price slip on Friday, as traders turned cautious ahead of the PCE inflation report — the Fed’s preferred gauge for inflation This Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, due pre-market, is highly anticipated and may play a pivotal role in shaping the Federal Reserve's September rate decision.
Price action remains below key resistance levels As long as the index fails to break above resistance, the bias remains bearish A downside break from consolidation could target 22,540 in the short term.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck,
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US100 trade ideas
NAS100 H4 | Bearish drop offNAS100 has rejected off the sell entry of 23,475.21, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 23,575.82, which is a pullback resitance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 23,110.94, which is a swing low suport that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ)At today’s market open, the index tested the 23,320 support level, with a higher probability of retesting the 23,180 area before bouncing upward.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 23,320 and holds beneath it, the index is likely to test 23,180.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price rebounds and breaks above 23,500, holding higher, this could support a continuation towards 23,620 as an initial target, followed by 23,700.
Nasdaq - Preparing for another correction!🚔Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is starting to look weak:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, we witnessed an incredible rally on the Nasdaq. Following this previous price action, it is quite likely that we will soon see another correction. This could start with the current retest of the channel resistance trendline.
📝Levels to watch:
$23.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NAS100 H4 | Heading into pullback resistanceNAS100 is rising towards the sell entry at 23,720.82, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 23,927.51, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 23,097.53, which is a multi swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NAS100 - Stock Market, in the Work Week!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its short-term descending channel. If this channel is maintained and the specified range is reached, a close sale can be made with a suitable reward.
Economists anticipate that customs tariffs will push consumer prices higher while slowing economic growth in the coming months. Inflation is expected to accelerate, though not to the extreme levels of the 1970s when the term “stagflation” was coined to describe the combination of high inflation and economic stagnation. Unlike a recession—where the economy contracts and prices fall—stagflation features rising prices despite economic weakness. The U.S. economy could be heading toward a 1970s-style stagflationary environment, though analysts believe this time it will be far less severe.
Many experts argue that the U.S. is on the verge of a period of sluggish growth paired with accelerating inflation. The root cause lies in President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which simultaneously raise consumer costs and weigh on the labor market. However, economists expect this inflationary wave to be much milder than the double-digit annual increases that strained household budgets in the 1970s.
On the corporate front, Nvidia released its second-quarter earnings last week. Revenue reached $46.7 billion, exceeding analysts’ expectations of $46.23 billion. The company’s data center unit—the main growth driver—generated $41.1 billion, slightly below the $41.29 billion forecast. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.05, while the adjusted gross margin stood at 72.7%.
Looking ahead, Nvidia projected third-quarter revenue of around $54 billion, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2%. Its board also approved an additional $60 billion share repurchase program. Regarding China, the company reported zero sales of H20 chips to Chinese clients during Q2 and stated that no shipments are planned for that market in the near future.
In the earnings call, CEO Jensen Huang emphasized that the Chinese market could present a $50 billion opportunity for Nvidia this year. He estimated annual growth in China at nearly 50%, noting that the country is the world’s second-largest computing market and home to half of global AI researchers. Huang stressed that maintaining a presence in China is vital for the company’s long-term future, even amid ongoing political and trade tensions between Washington and Beijing.
On the monetary policy side, UBS warned that weakening the independence of the Federal Reserve—especially following Trump’s threat to remove Fed board member Lisa Cook—could have significant economic consequences. In its analysis of Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, UBS described it as “classic Powell”: hinting at the possibility of a September rate cut to offset tariff effects but lacking a broader long-term framework for the evolving economy.
UBS emphasized that failure to strongly defend Fed independence could heighten political risks and destabilize markets.The bank warned that if the central bank comes under political influence, potential outcomes include the reemergence of inflationary instability, a one-percentage-point increase in real borrowing costs, and negative effects on fiscal policy, corporate investment, housing affordability, household savings, and speculative activity.
This week begins with one fewer trading day due to the Labor Day holiday, yet the economic calendar remains packed, with the labor market at the center of attention. On Tuesday, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August will be released, followed by the JOLTS job openings report on Wednesday.
Thursday will be particularly important, bringing the August ADP private payrolls report, weekly jobless claims, and the ISM Services Index—all at once. These data points are especially significant given the recent large revisions to the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which have renewed focus on the degree of convergence or divergence between ADP and NFP figures.
Historically, ADP and NFP reports have often diverged, leaving traders mispositioned when relying too heavily on ADP data. A recent example occurred in July, when ADP reported a decline of 33,000 jobs, while NFP the following day showed a gain of 147,000—well above expectations of 110,000. However, after NFP revisions, the actual trend proved more consistent with ADP’s numbers.
The most important event of the week will take place on Friday: the release of the August U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. Investors will be monitoring it closely, as any signs of labor market weakness could reinforce expectations for a Fed rate cut in mid-September.
Despite growing stagflation risks and heightened market volatility, Bank of America (BofA) suggested that autumn could be an attractive entry point for bullish investors. The bank cautioned that while volatility may exert short-term downward pressure, potential pullbacks could serve as buying opportunities.
The VIX volatility index fell to its lowest level of the year following Powell’s dovish remarks at Jackson Hole. Still, concerns about stretched stock valuations, a potential AI-driven bubble, and political risks tied to Fed independence suggest that this calm may not last.
US100 Price Bullish Looks expertise Bounced backThe US100 index has recently shown signs of consolidation that could be interpreted as bullish. Despite experiencing multiple pullbacks over the past months — each ranging from 3.5% to 4% — the index consistently bounced back. These sharp drops were not trend reversals but rather buying opportunities during deep pullbacks.
Last week, the US100 fell approximately 4.3%, echoing previous retracements the market rebounded sharply following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments, which hinted at a potential interest rate cut during the September FOMC meeting This rebound suggests that investors remain confident in the broader uptrend, using dips as entry points. If bullish momentum continues, we could see the US100 retesting its recent highs near the 24,001 level.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
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Nasdaq Under Pressure as Rally StallsThe Nasdaq is showing signs of weakness after its recent surge toward record highs. Profit-taking, especially at the end of the month, has weighed on tech stocks, while the broader market digests Powell’s dovish signals from Jackson Hole.
Despite optimism around potential rate cuts, valuations in the Nasdaq remain stretched, leaving the index vulnerable to corrections. Rising bond yields, even if off their peaks, are still creating headwinds for high-growth sectors.
Geopolitical concerns and renewed tariff discussions add another layer of uncertainty. At the same time, several heavyweight tech names have already reported earnings, removing a key driver of recent upside momentum.
Technically, the index is testing short-term support. If this level fails, a retracement toward 21,500 or even the 50-day moving average could follow. The daily chart has started to print rejection candles, hinting that buying pressure is fading.
While the long-term trend remains intact, short-term risks are building. Unless the Nasdaq can reclaim its highs quickly, a pullback looks increasingly likely as markets rebalance and investors take a more cautious stance.
NAS100 UPDATE - VERY IMPORTANT READ!Dear Friends in Trading,
INVESTING LIVE - IMPORTANT:
Equities start to get hit by bond market rumblings
The blow up in long-end yields is biting at broader market sentiment now
Stocks down
S&P 500 futures are now down 0.5% as markets are seeking shelter amid the blow up in bond yields. European indices are also sinking lower across the board with the DAX now down nearly 1% with the CAC 40 also turning early gains to losses now. It's all coming undone as we see long-end yields surge higher all across major economies.
France's 30-year yields are now above 4.50% for the first time since 2011 and that follows suit from the situation in the UK here. And as warned there, it was only a matter of time before the spillover impact hits at stocks today. And it's not just in Europe, we're seeing the same in Japan and also the US as well. From last week: The US yield curve continues to steepen post-Jackson Hole
These are testing times and if there's ever a good reason for a correction in stocks, this would be it.
Elsewhere, gold is also being dragged back down on the day as traders are seeking safety in the US dollar at the moment. The precious metal has pared earlier gains to $3,478 now. But if it is a case of truly focusing on the blow up in yields with a steepening of the yield curve, I reckon the play will be to buy gold on dips for the long haul.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
Potential Buy Zone for NAS100Trade what you see and not what you feel. This is what I see. There is a demand zone on 15 min which has not been balanced. There is also another demand zone below that one on 1hr time frame that has also not been balanced. Will wait for the market to retrace to the demand zone and if I get proper indications of going long on smaller TF I will take the long. I have a feeling though that the market might go to the lower demand zone because there is a potential formation of a H&S pattern forming. So, stop losses will be tight if I enter on the 15 min demand zone.
Nasdaq 100 (US100) – Short Opportunity Still AliveThe Nasdaq is still showing weakness at it's current level. There’s been more than enough time and news to push this market higher – but nothing happened. That, in itself, is a strong signal.
What we’re seeing now:
Weak jobs data: ADP and JOLTS both came in soft. Job openings hit the lowest level in nearly a year. That boosted rate-cut hopes – but the Nasdaq didn’t move.
Tech underperformance: Broader markets found some strength, but tech keeps lagging behind. Nasdaq isn’t leading like it used to – that’s bearish.
China IPO risks: New Nasdaq restrictions on Chinese listings are adding pressure to overall tech sentiment.
No follow-through: Even with dovish expectations and weak macro, bulls can’t lift the index. That says a lot.
Trade Setup (based on the chart):
Entry: between 23,480 and 23,520
Stop Loss: above 23,600 or if not high leverage even 23,720
Targets:
T1: 23,250
T2: 23,000
T3: will update depending on momentum
Why this short still makes sense:
The Nasdaq had multiple bullish triggers – weak data, Fed expectations, soft dollar – and didn’t move.
Sentiment is shaky, buyers aren’t stepping in.
Tech remains heavy while other sectors rotate.
Price is stalling right at resistance after a weak bounce.
Summary:
Plenty of chances to break out – but nothing happened. That’s a red flag.
I’m shorting between 23,480 and 23,520, with targets at 23,250 and 23,000.
Setup is invalid if we break cleanly above 23,720.
No financial advice – just how I see the chart right now.
Potential move based on ICT analysis for US100Agree or Disagree? Saw a lot of liquidity that the markets did not take out (1H SL). Break out of DAILY bullish trendline and the selling opportunity is starting to enter the room. This was not a fundamental analysis, so anything that goes against this analysis, is all independent on what happens in economic news
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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