Clown market deserves the best tricksCan Trump save the world again by the end of the day? In this market anything is possible. It looks like the weekly open will hold.
Trade ideas
NASDAQ/SPX – Are We Really in an AI Bubble?This chart compares NASDAQ to the S&P 500 (NASDAQ/SPX) on a monthly timeframe, visualized with Heikin Ashi candles and a logarithmic regression channel for long-term context. It highlights the dot-com bubble, where the ratio reached extreme overvaluation levels far above the regression mean.
Recently, many investors have been calling the current market an “AI bubble.” However, when viewed through this historical lens, the ratio still remains within the long-term growth channel and far below the excesses of the early 2000s. This perspective suggests that, at least relative to the broader market, tech doesn’t appear to be in bubble territory yet.
It would still be valuable to compare the composition of the NASDAQ today versus in 2000, as the market structure has changed dramatically — with more diversified revenue streams, profitability, and balance sheet strength. Without this data, one can only speculate. But visually, this ratio helps challenge the popular narrative of an ongoing bubble and invites a more nuanced discussion about valuation, innovation cycles, and sector dominance.
#NASDAQ #SPX #Macro #Tech #AIbubble #DotCom #LongTerm #RatioAnalysis #HeikinAshi #MarketCycle
$NDX Make or BreakNDX is consolidating in a triangle, and is now re-test 25200 strong level.
Inability to break above the triangle should see a break below the triangle and a move down to 24700 first.
US100 to break Resistance, Bullish Momentum Continues...US100 is showing Bullish Momentum. If it breaks its resistance, it can likely go further up and test its second resistance. We can take a 1:1 buy trade between these two resistances.
Let's see how it goes.
USNAS100 | Weakness Persists Below PivotUSNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Bias Below 25,035
USNAS100 has stabilized below the pivot zone at 25,035, indicating potential downside movement toward 24,860.
A break below 24,860 would strengthen the bearish trend, targeting 24,750 → 24,510 in the short term.
On the other hand, if price closes a 1H candle above 25,035, it would confirm a bullish reversal, opening the path toward 25,200 → 25,400.
Pivot: 25,035
Support: 24,860 – 24,750 – 24,510
Resistance: 25,200 – 25,400 – 25,540
Sell US100NAS100 Support and Resistance Trade. Price is ranging from the resistance to the support at 24000. A bearish flag has been printed. We can expect sharp bearish moves this week
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Get Ready for Breakout
Nasdaq index is currently testing a resistance based on a current
all-time high.
With a high probability, the market is going to break that.
A daily candle close above will confirm a violation.
A further growth will be expected at least to 25500 level then.
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I’m getting ready for potential short position |October 16 2025If today the price goes up and hunts the high from 10 AM yesterday (New York time) — meaning it grabs the liquidity and takes out the stops above that level — and then forms a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) followed by signs of weakness or a rejection structure (like a lower-timeframe break, divergence, or bearish confirmation candle), that scenario would be one of the best short setups of the day.
USNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Correction From ATH ZoneUSNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Correction From ATH Zone
USNAS100 reached a new all-time high but has now stabilized below the supply zone, suggesting a bearish correction phase.
As long as price stays below 25,180, the index remains under pressure toward 25,035 → 24,960 → 24,860.
🕯 Technical View
A 1H close above 25,230 would shift momentum bullish, targeting 25,400 → 25,600.
Pivot: 25,180
Bias: Bearish below 25,180
NAS100 in a bearish move and may break 24000NAS100 recently touches all time high to 25200 and sharply retrace back to 24000 level.
The price is now going back to 24800 level. In order to continuous the short term trend , It may move back to 24000 to take the liquidity and it may go further downside to 23800 leve.
USNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Pressure Below 24,855USNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Momentum Below 24,855
The index shows bearish momentum today as long as price trades below 24,855, after testing the resistance zone twice.
Failure to break higher keeps the pressure on the downside, with potential to drop toward 24,510 in the near term.
A 1H close above 24,855 would invalidate the bearish setup and trigger a strong bullish continuation toward the all-time-high (ATH) region near 25,035 → 25,200.
Pivot: 24,855
Support: 24,660 – 24,520 – 24,350
Resistance: 25,035 – 25,200 – 25,400
US100 Bearish Bias!
HI,Traders !
#US100 keeps growing
But a horizontal resistance
Level of 25039.3 is nearby
So after the retest of the
Level we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
On Monday !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
NASDAQ Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is my 4H Chart on Nasdaq , We Have A Clear Breakout and the price closed above my old res and new support with daily candle and we have a very good bullish Price Action on 1 And 2 Hours T.F Also the price trying to retest the area now and giving a good bullish price action on smaller time frames , , So i see it`s a good chance to buy this pair when it back to retest the broken res and we can targeting from 100 to 200 pips . and if we have a daily closure again below my new res then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 4H Closure .
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
two scenarios for NQ on October I currently have two scenarios for NASDAQ, and both are bearish.
Scenario 1: The downtrend has already started. If we see a pullback around the 0.5 Fibonacci level, I’ll look to short again and keep stacking sell positions
Scenario 2: NASDAQ might retest the previous high — the one where the sharp drop started — move sideways for a while, and then start another leg down.
P.S. Success depends on proper risk management.
#NASDAQ #NASDAQ100
NAS100 4h Bearish move confirmed across multiple timeframes
Based on the breakout observed on the 4-hour timeframe and its confirmation on the 30-minute chart — which itself was validated by the M5 structure break within the highlighted golden zone — we expect the price to continue its decline toward the first daily support level.
This setup provides a strong risk-to-reward ratio, as illustrated on the chart.
As always — stay patient, follow your plan, and trust your analysis.
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Bearish Outlook Explained
US100 stopped growing after a test of the underlined intraday horizontal supply zone.
A formation of a bearish engulfing candle after its test suggests a strong
bearish pressure from that.
I think that the market will drop at least to 24030 level.
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NAS100 SELL WITH LIMIT ORDER!!!!!NAS100 Sell limit order will be after my inducement liquidity sweep at 25k then confirmation with min chart for sniper setup entry and will be selling down to new low...
NAS100 Technical Outlook (18–25 Oct 2025)Trend Summary:
NASDAQ 100 remains in a corrective phase after rejecting near the 25,200–25,300 resistance zone. Recent price action forms a potential Wave 4 retracement within a medium-term bullish Elliott structure.
1D Chart View:
The index is hovering around key support at 24,750, aligned with the 3 8.2% Fib retracement of the prior leg and near daily EMA50. A bullish reversal from this zone would confirm continuation toward 25,800–26,000.
4H Structure:
A descending channel is observed, acting as a corrective pullback. Ichimoku Cloud shows price testing the lower edge; a break above 25,050 could signal momentum recovery. Volume divergence hints at accumulation beneath.
1H / 30M:
RSI forming a higher low while price prints a lower low — a bullish divergence setup. Bollinger Bands are tightening, suggesting volatility expansion ahead. Watch VWAP reclaim above 25,000 for confirmation of short-term trend reversal.
15M / 5M Intraday Bias:
Short-term traders should monitor the 24,800–24,750 zone for a bounce. Failure below this area exposes 24,620, while a decisive break above 25,050 may trigger an intraday rally targeting 25,250–25,300.
🎯 Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Buy Zone: 24,750–24,800
Targets: 25,050 → 25,250 → 25,800
Stop Loss: 24,580 (below structure low)
Bearish Scenario (alternative):
Sell Zone: 25,250–25,300 (resistance rejection)
Targets: 25,000 → 24,750 → 24,620
Stop Loss: 25,400
🔍 Confluence Factors:
Elliott Wave: Wave 4 correction likely ending.
Fibonacci: 38.2–50% retracement aligning with structure support.
Ichimoku: Testing lower cloud — potential bullish crossover setup.
RSI Divergence: Positive momentum building.
VWAP: Reclaim signals early buyer strength.
Volume: Accumulation noted during low volatility phase.
📘 Outlook Summary:
Bias remains cautiously bullish above 24,750, targeting 25,800–26,000.
Break below 24,620 invalidates bullish structure and opens path to 24,300–24,200.
NAS100 traders should monitor intraday reactions and volume confirmations near key zones. This week may define whether the correction phase transitions into a new impulsive wave or deeper retracement.
US100: Price action around important imbalance📊 SKILLING:US100 Analysis: Detailed trading scenario at key price level 24,443.6 🚀
The US 100 30-minute chart is currently illustrating a clear picture of price movements with significant support and resistance zones. At the moment, the price is undergoing a strong correction after a deep decline and is approaching crucial price areas, creating multiple potential trading opportunities for investors.
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Support Zone 24,284.6 – The starting point for a potential bounce 💥
Currently, the price is nearing the technical support level around 24,284.6 – a key support area that is expected to hold considerable buying interest, potentially triggering a short-term bounce. Buyers may step in here to prevent further declines and initiate a recovery trend.
Careful observation of price action around this zone is essential as it will determine the market’s next momentum: whether the price will rebound or break lower.
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Immediate Resistance Levels and the Imbalance Zone at 24,443.6 🔍
Following a bounce from the 24,284.6 support, the expected scenario is a gradual move upwards to test important resistance levels:
• First at 24,369.9, where initial selling pressure may emerge, challenging the upward momentum.
• Next at 24,443.6, identified as a significant imbalance zone on the chart — a price level where price previously moved rapidly, creating a notable supply-demand gap.
• This zone acts as a technical “wall,” a crucial checkpoint before the price can continue its upward trend or get pushed back down.
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Detailed Price Movement Scenario 🔄
1. Price bounces from the support at 24,284.6, setting the stage for a recovery leg.
2. Price moves up to test the first resistance at 24,369.9; the reaction here indicates the buyers’ strength.
3. Price then challenges the imbalance zone at 24,443.6 — where significant selling pressure may occur.
4. At this level, two scenarios may unfold:
• Price breaks above 24,443.6, confirming the uptrend and targeting the next resistance at 24,621.9.
• Price rejects this zone, leading to selling pressure that pushes price back to retest the 24,284.6 support or even lower.
________________________________________
Downside scenario if support at 24,284.6 fails 🛡️
In the worst case, if price breaks below the crucial support at 24,284.6, further declines toward a broader support zone at 24,067.5 are likely. This level may act as the next key area for price stabilization and buyer interest before any potential rebound.
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