Tech Correction Deepens: NASDAQ Flashes Bearish Signal as YieldsThe market today is exhibiting a bearish bias for the technology-heavy NASDAQ (COMP) driven by a confluence of macroeconomic and technical factors.
Macroeconomic Headwinds: "Higher-For-Longer" Rates
The primary bearish catalyst is the sustained upward trajectory in long-term Treasury yields. High yields pressure growth and technology stocks, which comprise the bulk of the NASDAQ. Higher borrowing costs diminish the value of future earnings (discounted cash flow) for companies that rely on debt for aggressive growth, leading to multiple compression across the tech sector. This underlying fear of sustained high interest rates is keeping institutional capital cautious.
Geopolitical Instability and Risk-Off Sentiment
Escalating geopolitical tensions have introduced significant market uncertainty. While a direct economic impact is hard to quantify immediately, such events typically trigger a "flight to safety," with investors pulling money out of riskier, high-growth assets (like tech stocks) and into traditional safe-haven assets, pressuring the NASDAQ.
Technical Breakdown
Trend and Structure
The index exhibits a clear intraday uptrend , characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
A prominent rising green trendline acts as strong dynamic support, connecting the recent significant low points. The price has respected this trendline repeatedly, indicating bullish momentum.
The overall pattern on the right side of the chart appears to be forming an ascending triangle pattern, a continuation pattern that often resolves to the upside, though a breakout confirmation is required.
Key Price Levels
Resistance: The most critical level is the horizontal red resistance line at approximately 25,160.0. The price is currently challenging this level and has touched it multiple times without a decisive breakout to new highs. A confirmed break above this level would signal a continuation of the rally.
Support:
Dynamic Support: The rising green trendline provides immediate support. A break below this line would be the first sign of a significant shift in intraday momentum.
Key Support Zone: A visible support area is marked by a horizontal green line at approximately 24,790.0, which served as a previous reaction level before the final push higher.
Indicators (Moving Averages)
The chart shows several Moving Averages (MAs), which generally support the current bullish trend, as the price remains above all displayed MAs:
The price is trading well above the short-term MAs (solid light green and light blue lines), suggesting strong current bullish momentum.
The MAs themselves are generally sloping upwards and are in a bullish order (shorter-term MAs above longer-term MAs), which reinforces the current strength. A close below these moving averages, particularly the longer-term dashed ones, would indicate a decline in buying pressure.
Momentum Observation
The price action near the high suggests a slight loss of upside momentum, evidenced by the multiple attempts to break the 25,140.0 resistance without success. This could be interpreted as:
Consolidation before a potential breakout above the resistance.
A possible formation of a double top or exhaustion if the price fails to break resistance and subsequently breaks the rising trendline.
Trade ideas
Nas100 money4/1 h range on the left. We had a push down to sweep buyers and a new leg to the upside that broke highs and created the range. Waited for price to retrace sub 702 fib to sweep liquidity, mitigate the last time sellers were in control (last down candle). Once we see that we can then expect that price can continue in its desired direction. 15 min tf gave us clear break to that direction taking profit at the creation of sellers (top of higher tf range). Clean cut same thing over and over. I hope someone can learn from the simplicity of this idea.
Bearish Outlook on NQ📉 Bearish Outlook on NQ
After completing the manipulation phase, NQ has tapped perfectly into the Bearish FVG (1H) zone around 25,366.45 – 25,392.25, sweeping both SSLs in the process. This confirms premium-level distribution, suggesting the market is ready for a downside move.
Scenario 1 – Primary (Bearish Bias):
Price rejects from the Bearish FVG 1H, fails to reclaim 25,366.45, and begins its descent. Liquidity below the BSL at 25,293.65 becomes the first target, followed by a clean run toward 25,264.95, completing a liquidity sweep below recent lows.
Scenario 2 – Rejection & Re-Test:
A short-term push above 25,330.55 (NAS100FT) to re-test the Bearish FVG 1H could offer another entry opportunity before the drop resumes toward 25,293.65 and 25,264.95.
Scenario 3 – Deep Liquidity Grab Before Reversal:
Should price tap deeper into the Bullish FVG 4H, we could see a final liquidity sweep below 25,264.95 before a stronger bullish reaction emerges.
🎯 Overall Bias:
Bearish — targeting liquidity below 25,293.65 and 25,264.95. Manipulation phase complete, distribution underway.
Follow and like for more.
Greetings,
MrYounity
USNAS100 Extends Gains on AI Strength & Fed Cut Hopes?USNAS100 – Overview
Wall Street futures rose on Monday, extending last week’s rally as AI-related optimism and softer labor market data boosted expectations for a Fed rate cut later this year. The upbeat sentiment continues to support risk assets, though volatility remains sensitive to policy headlines.
Technical Outlook
The index has stabilized in a bullish zone, maintaining upward pressure above 24,900, with potential to extend toward 25,175, especially if it breaks 25,040.
To confirm a bearish reversal, the price must close a 4H candle below 24,810, which would expose downside targets near 24,580.
Pivot: 25,040
Resistance: 25,175 – 25,390
Support: 24,810 – 24,590 – 24,450
NASDAQ (US100) Analysis:✴️ Overall Trend: Bullish
The NASDAQ index showed strong performance yesterday, reaching 25,190, marking a new all-time high.
A price correction toward the Fibonacci golden zone at 25,000 is expected. If this level is broken, the price may move down to the liquidity zone near 24,820.
📌 Best Buy Zones: Watch for a rebound from 25,000 or 24,820
📍 Best Sell Zone: Upon breaking 25,100
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
NAS100 can continue higher inside the channelPrice has been moving steadily inside an ascending channel, with buyers maintaining control and pushing higher.
If buyers manage to defend this breakout zone on a retest, it would confirm their control and follow continuation toward the channel’s upper boundary. However, if sellers step in and force a drop back below, that could hint at a false breakout and short-term pullback.
For now, momentum favors the buyers, as long as price holds above the breakout area, the bullish structure remains intact.
Can NASDAQ Hold 24,600 and Push to New Highs?Hey Traders, in tomorrow’s trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a potential buying opportunity around the 24,600 zone. NASDAQ remains in an uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, with price approaching a key support/resistance level at 24,600.
Structure: The broader trend is bullish, with price moving within an ascending channel.
Key level in focus: 24,600 — a critical support area aligning with the lower boundary of the channel.
Next move: Holding above this level could set the stage for a rebound toward 25,100, which represents the channel’s upper resistance and potential higher high formation.
Trade safe,
Joe.
USNASDAQ100 Correction will Trigger growth at 25,000The US100 (NASDAQ) edged slightly higher on Tuesday, with the benchmark index hitting a fresh intraday high. Investors remained cautious, awaiting comments from a series of Federal Reserve speakers for further clarity on the future direction of monetary policy.
Technically, a false breakout below support could signal continued upward momentum. If the index retests that support level and holds, weaker selling pressure may fade, paving the way for a move higher toward the next resistance levels and there target will 25,100.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
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US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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NSDQ100 awaits FOMC minutes and Fed commentaryMarkets saw a cautious tone yesterday, with risk sentiment softening amid political uncertainty in France and ongoing concerns about a US government shutdown. The S&P 500 fell -0.38% from Monday’s record high, while Treasury yields eased, reflecting a mild flight to safety.
Safe-haven demand surged, with spot gold breaking above $4,000/oz for the first time ever, extending a rally of more than 50% this year. Silver is also nearing record highs. The moves highlight growing investor anxiety over the macro backdrop, despite resilience in equities overall.
In tech news, AI-related headlines continued to dominate sentiment. Elon Musk’s xAI is reportedly expanding its funding round to $20 billion, with backing from Nvidia, reinforcing market enthusiasm around the AI theme. Meanwhile, Anthropic announced plans to open its first office in India, underscoring the sector’s global expansion.
For today, Nasdaq 100 traders will watch how the AI rally balances against broader risk aversion, with the FOMC minutes and Fed commentary later in the session likely to drive direction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25090
Resistance Level 2: 25200
Resistance Level 3: 25300
Support Level 1: 24730
Support Level 2: 24590
Support Level 3: 24460
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Beyond the Chart - NAS100 Through Technicals & FundamentalsCAPITALCOM:US100 US100 | Trendline + FVG Setup 🎯
Trend’s still bullish short-term, but momentum’s fading rejection hit right inside that upper FVG.
Below 24,920–25,000, I’m eyeing a pullback toward 24,760s for liquidity sweep.
🔥 Rejection + imbalance fill = bearish continuation on deck.
CPI, PPI & shutdown talks = fuel for volatility this week.