US 100 shortEntry: 23450
Stop Loss: above 1h Trendline: 23550
Target: just above 127 fibo level at 23208
Price clearly rejected from the 23,500 level.
Now I’m expecting a lower high (LH) followed by a lower low (LL) setup.
US100 trade ideas
Nasdaq Under Pressure as Rally StallsThe Nasdaq is showing signs of weakness after its recent surge toward record highs. Profit-taking, especially at the end of the month, has weighed on tech stocks, while the broader market digests Powell’s dovish signals from Jackson Hole.
Despite optimism around potential rate cuts, valuations in the Nasdaq remain stretched, leaving the index vulnerable to corrections. Rising bond yields, even if off their peaks, are still creating headwinds for high-growth sectors.
Geopolitical concerns and renewed tariff discussions add another layer of uncertainty. At the same time, several heavyweight tech names have already reported earnings, removing a key driver of recent upside momentum.
Technically, the index is testing short-term support. If this level fails, a retracement toward 21,500 or even the 50-day moving average could follow. The daily chart has started to print rejection candles, hinting that buying pressure is fading.
While the long-term trend remains intact, short-term risks are building. Unless the Nasdaq can reclaim its highs quickly, a pullback looks increasingly likely as markets rebalance and investors take a more cautious stance.
NAS100 Bullish OutlookHi there,
The NAS100 on the H2 chart appears bullish, following the (B) sequence to HH (C), then potentially pulling back up to 24,431, with two price targets. Price is stretched and unstable. Volatility seems thin but bullish over the H4 and the daily timeframes.
There will need to be monitoring.
Happy Trading,
K.
NAS100 H4 | Bearish drop offNAS100 has rejected off the sell entry of 23,475.21, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 23,575.82, which is a pullback resitance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 23,110.94, which is a swing low suport that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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US100 – London Session Trade LevelsMarket Context
The Nasdaq-100 is currently trading within a consolidation pattern after being rejected around ~23,700. Momentum has slowed, and the market is searching for direction. During the London session, the focus is on intraday reactions around key levels. These zones may act as catalysts for either continuation or short-term reversals, depending on price action.
Sell Zones
23,465–23,480 (Asia high / sideways formation)
This zone represents the top of the Asian range and extends from a sideways structure.
A retest during London hours may trigger short-term selling momentum, especially if volume fades compared to Asian trading.
23,558–23,579 (4H consolidation)
A clear resistance area from the latest 4H consolidation, where several bullish attempts were previously absorbed.
If price fails to break this area with strong momentum, it is likely to act as a solid supply zone.
Buy Zones
23,320–23,338 (Yesterday’s low / sideways formation)
Represents yesterday’s low and a key intraday balance point.
If price dips into this area during London hours and shows absorption (e.g., long wicks / stronger CVD on the bid), it may serve as a springboard for a bounce.
23,115–23,140 (Strong 4H demand)
The strongest buy zone on the chart, aligning with both a structural support level and a prior reaction zone on 4H.
A test of this zone may indicate a “capitulation move,” where stronger buyers could be waiting.
Market Update and Sentiment Analysis
Overall Assessment
The Nasdaq-100 (US100) currently finds itself in uncertain territory. The technology sector, historically the driving force behind the index’s performance, faced headwinds toward the end of August. Rotation into small-cap equities, rising uncertainty ahead of key macroeconomic data and the Federal Reserve’s rate decision, as well as weak technical signals, are all contributing to a mixed sentiment picture.
Market Developments
End of August: The Nasdaq-100 closed the month down approximately –1.2%, bringing the index to around 23,415. Despite the pullback, year-to-date performance remains up by roughly 10–11%.
Sector Rotation: The small-cap segment (Russell 2000) gained 7.3% in August, significantly outperforming the Nasdaq-100. The shift away from technology reflects both concerns about AI profitability and expectations of future rate cuts, which traditionally favor smaller companies.
Earnings Pressure: Weak earnings from companies such as Dell, Nvidia, and Marvell Technology disappointed the market. Margin pressure within the tech sector has raised concerns about growth prospects.
Macroeconomic Context
Data Sensitivity: The market is displaying extreme sensitivity to employment and inflation data. Even minor deviations in key figures can trigger significant price movements.
Federal Reserve: Investor attention is focused on the Fed’s upcoming rate decision. Expectations of a rate cut later in the year serve as a supportive factor, though uncertainty remains elevated.
Historical Pattern: September has traditionally been the weakest month for the Nasdaq index. This increases the risk of additional volatility in the weeks ahead.
For the London session, the focus is on short intraday moves around well-defined supply and demand zones. Given the broader negative bias in the market, traders should be extra cautious with longs — confirmation and strong absorption signals are key before entering buys.
Nasdaq “Tug of war”
Nasdaq 100 has recently shown a significant shift in momentum on the 4hour chart, with bearish pressure taking hold. After a strong upward trend, the index has experienced a sharp decline, now consolidating within a critical range. The key to the next major move lies in the defence or failure of the defined support and resistance levels.
Current Market & Price Action
The price action clearly indicates a period of bearish dominance, marked by a substantial selloff from recent highs. The price is currently contained below a key resistance level at 23,515.6, which had previously acted as support. This consolidation phase is critical and suggests a tug of war between bulls and bears. The current price hovers around 23,406, leaving both a bullish reversal and a bearish continuation as plausible outcomes.
The Bearish Case : Reaching for 23,000
If the price continues to face rejection at the 23,515.6 level, the path of least resistance is to the downside. The next major target for sellers is the significant support zone between 23,000 and 22,900. This level is not only a major psychological number but also represents a strong structural support zone from previous price action.
A confirmed break below the current consolidation range, particularly the 23,331.4 level, would signal a continuation of the downtrend. A move to the 23,000-22,900 zone represents a potential drop of approximately 1.36%, as measured on the chart. Traders should watch for a decisive break of this support, which could trigger a much larger sell off.
The Bullish Case:
Reclaiming Momentum
For the bullish narrative to resume, the index must convincingly break and hold above the 23,515.6 resistance. A strong close above this level on the 4hour chart would invalidate the immediate bearish outlook and signal a potential reversal. If this occurs, the next logical target would be the higher resistance at 23,757.2, marking a potential recovery of the recent losses.
This bullish scenario would likely be fueled by a positive catalyst, such as favorable economic data or dovish comments from the Federal Reserve, which the market is currently anticipating. A successful break and retest of 23,515.6 would serve as a key entry signal for buyers aiming for higher levels.
Key Contextual Factors
Recent economic data and Federal Reserve policy expectations are likely to be major drivers for the Nasdaq's next move. As of early September, a rate cut by the Federal Reserve is heavily priced in, with some analysts predicting a move in the upcoming FOMC meeting. Any surprises to this expectation, either in a more hawkish or unexpectedly dovish direction, could trigger significant volatility. The tech heavy Nasdaq is particularly sensitive to interest rate policy, as it impacts company valuations and financing.
Summary and Outlook
Nasdaq 100 is at a pivotal point. The price is currently trapped between the 23,515 resistance and the 23,331 support.
* Bearish Trigger: A sustained break below 23,331.4 could lead to a test of the 23,000-22,900 support zone.
* Bullish Trigger: A decisive break above 23,515.6 could target the 23,757 resistance.
Given the recent price action and broader market uncertainty, the immediate risk appears to be to the downside. However, the market's direction will be confirmed by which of these critical levels is breached first.
NASDAQ holding the 4H MA200 can initiate the next rally.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since mid May and currently is consolidating on its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). Based on the 4H RSI we might be on a similar Higher Low as on May 30, having previously made a Channel Up bottom near the 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
The Bullish Leg that followed this Low was +6.80%, so we have our Target tailored on it at 24500.
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Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?US100 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 23,289.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 22,983.03
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit: 23,729.56
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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NAS100USD – Holding 23,350 Support, Eyeing 23,700The Nasdaq 100 found demand at the 23,350 support zone, holding the level after recent downside pressure. Price is now consolidating, with bulls looking for a potential push back toward the 23,700 resistance zone.
Support at: 23,350 / 23,100 🔽
Resistance at: 23,700 / 23,880 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A sustained hold above 23,350 could fuel momentum toward 23,700.
🔽 Bearish: A breakdown below 23,350 exposes 23,100 as the next key support.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Nas100 Trade Set Up Sep 1 2025FX:NAS100
www.tradingview.com
Price has made LH/LL and has respected a 1h FVG so id like to see price continue lower to take out SSL
scalping this. didn't break higher high, we usa just found a new high, likely will try to find a new low first.
Slight push up - before a drop on NAS100A point of confluence to first be re-tested, before she'll drop.
I'm pretty confident that we'll see this move play out today... let's see what she does.
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ)At today’s market open, the index tested the 23,320 support level, with a higher probability of retesting the 23,180 area before bouncing upward.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 23,320 and holds beneath it, the index is likely to test 23,180.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price rebounds and breaks above 23,500, holding higher, this could support a continuation towards 23,620 as an initial target, followed by 23,700.
NAS100 - Trade Setup📊 NAS100USD – Multi-Timeframe Outlook
🔎 Monthly (1M)
Price moving inside a bullish wedge structure, with resistance tested near 25,200.
Support trendline holding firm, confirming strong macro bullish pressure.
Larger structure suggests Wave (5) still has room to expand toward 26,000+ if demand zones continue to hold.
🕰 Weekly (1W)
Elliott count clear: (1) → (2) → (3) extended, now correcting into (4).
Demand/FVG zones around 20,400 – 21,000 remain the critical swing support.
Next wave (5) projection aims at 25,000 – 26,000.
⏱ Daily (1D)
Structure consolidating within daily support, reacting from demand.
Breakout above 23,900 – 24,000 reactivates bullish impulse.
Invalidation lies below 22,950, where daily demand would fail.
⏳ 4H
Clear corrective retracement into daily demand (23,200 zone).
Long setup forming:
Entry: 23,222
Stop: 22,942
Target: 23,989
R:R ≈ 2.75
Short-term price action likely resolves higher into Wave (5) unless invalidation breaks.
🎯 Trade Plan
Bias: Bullish continuation into Wave (5)
Entry Zone: 23,200 – 23,300 (daily demand)
Targets: 23,989 (short-term), 25,200 – 26,000 (swing)
Invalidation: Daily close below 22,950
Nasdaq 100 – Key Entry Line at 23,413On this chart, my main focus is the entry line at 23,413.
I expect the price to make a move down toward this level.
The chart is kept simple — no unnecessary indicators — because the most important element here is the VWAP line, which also aligns with the manipulation zone where bigger players often create false moves.
If the market falls into the 23,413 zone, I’ll be watching closely for reactions and possible reversal setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer & Personal View:
This is not a signal service and I am not selling anything.
In my opinion, many signal providers fool their customers by showing only winning trades, promising unrealistic win rates, and hiding real risks.
Trading is never guaranteed — every trader must make their own decisions and manage risk properly.
My chart here is only my personal analysis and opinion, shared for educational purposes.
👉 Do you also want me to add targets (like 23,600 or 23,930) and possible stop-loss placement to make it look more complete for TradingView readers?
You said:
yes
ChatGPT said:
Perfect 👍 Here’s the expanded TradingView idea with entry, targets, and stop placement included:
📉 Nasdaq 100 – Key Entry Line at 23,413
On this chart, my main focus is the entry line at 23,413.
I expect the market to fall into this level, which I see as both the VWAP line and a potential manipulation zone used by bigger players.
Plan:
📍 Entry zone: around 23,413
🎯 Target 1: 23,600 (first reaction level)
🎯 Target 2: 23,930 (upper resistance and recent highs)
🛑 Stop-loss: below 23,300 (invalidation of setup)
The chart is intentionally kept simple, without unnecessary indicators, to highlight the importance of this single level.
⚠️ Disclaimer & Personal View:
This is not a signal service and I am not selling anything.
In my opinion, many signal providers fool their customers by showing only winning trades, promising unrealistic win rates, or using tricks like martingale strategies that can blow accounts.
Trading always involves risk. What I share here is only my personal analysis and opinion, not financial advice.
NASDAQ at Record Highs after US CPI report, but can it last?In today’s video, we break down the major market moves triggered by the July US CPI report. Headline CPI rose 0.2% month-over-month—right in line with expectations and a slowdown from the previous month. Year-over-year, headline inflation came in at 2.7%, just under the 2.8% forecast, while Core CPI rose 0.3% MoM (matching forecasts) but was a bit hotter at 3.1% YoY (vs. 3.0% expected).
These “not as bad as feared” inflation numbers kept hopes alive for a September Fed rate cut, pushing the odds of a cut to 96%. Markets responded strongly: the NASDAQ 100 closed at a record high, just shy of the 24K handle, with broad gains in tech and communication stocks, as traders bet on a more dovish Fed.
We also cover the technical setup for the NASDAQ 100 and key risk factors heading into the second part of August.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
NAS100 - Stock Market, in the Work Week!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its short-term descending channel. If this channel is maintained and the specified range is reached, a close sale can be made with a suitable reward.
Economists anticipate that customs tariffs will push consumer prices higher while slowing economic growth in the coming months. Inflation is expected to accelerate, though not to the extreme levels of the 1970s when the term “stagflation” was coined to describe the combination of high inflation and economic stagnation. Unlike a recession—where the economy contracts and prices fall—stagflation features rising prices despite economic weakness. The U.S. economy could be heading toward a 1970s-style stagflationary environment, though analysts believe this time it will be far less severe.
Many experts argue that the U.S. is on the verge of a period of sluggish growth paired with accelerating inflation. The root cause lies in President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which simultaneously raise consumer costs and weigh on the labor market. However, economists expect this inflationary wave to be much milder than the double-digit annual increases that strained household budgets in the 1970s.
On the corporate front, Nvidia released its second-quarter earnings last week. Revenue reached $46.7 billion, exceeding analysts’ expectations of $46.23 billion. The company’s data center unit—the main growth driver—generated $41.1 billion, slightly below the $41.29 billion forecast. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.05, while the adjusted gross margin stood at 72.7%.
Looking ahead, Nvidia projected third-quarter revenue of around $54 billion, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2%. Its board also approved an additional $60 billion share repurchase program. Regarding China, the company reported zero sales of H20 chips to Chinese clients during Q2 and stated that no shipments are planned for that market in the near future.
In the earnings call, CEO Jensen Huang emphasized that the Chinese market could present a $50 billion opportunity for Nvidia this year. He estimated annual growth in China at nearly 50%, noting that the country is the world’s second-largest computing market and home to half of global AI researchers. Huang stressed that maintaining a presence in China is vital for the company’s long-term future, even amid ongoing political and trade tensions between Washington and Beijing.
On the monetary policy side, UBS warned that weakening the independence of the Federal Reserve—especially following Trump’s threat to remove Fed board member Lisa Cook—could have significant economic consequences. In its analysis of Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, UBS described it as “classic Powell”: hinting at the possibility of a September rate cut to offset tariff effects but lacking a broader long-term framework for the evolving economy.
UBS emphasized that failure to strongly defend Fed independence could heighten political risks and destabilize markets.The bank warned that if the central bank comes under political influence, potential outcomes include the reemergence of inflationary instability, a one-percentage-point increase in real borrowing costs, and negative effects on fiscal policy, corporate investment, housing affordability, household savings, and speculative activity.
This week begins with one fewer trading day due to the Labor Day holiday, yet the economic calendar remains packed, with the labor market at the center of attention. On Tuesday, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August will be released, followed by the JOLTS job openings report on Wednesday.
Thursday will be particularly important, bringing the August ADP private payrolls report, weekly jobless claims, and the ISM Services Index—all at once. These data points are especially significant given the recent large revisions to the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which have renewed focus on the degree of convergence or divergence between ADP and NFP figures.
Historically, ADP and NFP reports have often diverged, leaving traders mispositioned when relying too heavily on ADP data. A recent example occurred in July, when ADP reported a decline of 33,000 jobs, while NFP the following day showed a gain of 147,000—well above expectations of 110,000. However, after NFP revisions, the actual trend proved more consistent with ADP’s numbers.
The most important event of the week will take place on Friday: the release of the August U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. Investors will be monitoring it closely, as any signs of labor market weakness could reinforce expectations for a Fed rate cut in mid-September.
Despite growing stagflation risks and heightened market volatility, Bank of America (BofA) suggested that autumn could be an attractive entry point for bullish investors. The bank cautioned that while volatility may exert short-term downward pressure, potential pullbacks could serve as buying opportunities.
The VIX volatility index fell to its lowest level of the year following Powell’s dovish remarks at Jackson Hole. Still, concerns about stretched stock valuations, a potential AI-driven bubble, and political risks tied to Fed independence suggest that this calm may not last.
NASDAQ (US100) | Bullish Bias - Continuation in Play🔹 HTF (4H): Structure is bullish and respected. Momentum is strong to the upside, and higher lows remain intact — bullish intent confirmed.
🔹 MTF (30M): Refined structure shows price slashed through the recent internal OB but held — structure remains intact. A deeper sweep into an internal OB refined the order block further.
🔹 LTF (5M): Price switched character from bearish to bullish. Previous week we caught a bullish move, now looking for a second continuation setup toward highs this week.
🔹 Execution Plan: Waiting for price to mitigate the OB zone. Once tapped, we’ll attend bullish longs with precision.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is the edge — let smart money reveal itself before taking the next position.
US100: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
US100
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy US100
Entry Level - 23405
Sl - 23349
Tp - 23518
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Change in State of delivery When you look at your daily tf the last closed candle which is Friday's candle has closed bellow the Thursday's candle, which is a signature that the
bullishness is loosing strength, therefore in the coming week we should be looking for sell setups, unless there's no rejection at those two marked gold levels.
MONDAY EYESIt is better to know what we are up against already, I suspect the push has already been exhausted and might take a break through some small buys to the gap that is over the zone and probably continue lower, gathering sellers into what might turn out to be an overall weekly buy, Anyway, we let the market direct us.
Whats your take?
