Trade ideas
NAS100 Double Botton Rejection H1 TF - New ATHsPrepare to get sick of me and these double bottom and top rejection patterns but here is another one on NQ.
Get the right entry and ride it to new ATHs
Nas100 Trade Set Up Oct 15 2025i want to see price sweep PDH, make internal bearish structure and target 4h FVG and possibly Asia lows as SSL before continuing bullish
NSDQ100 Oversold bounce back supported at 243761. Volatile Sentiment
Markets have whipsawed since Friday due to shifting US-China trade tensions.
In the last 24 hours, the S&P 500 swung from -1.5% to +0.4% intraday, closing just slightly down (-0.16%), highlighting fragile sentiment.
2. Fed Chair Powell’s Dovish Tone
Powell signaled a likely 25bps rate cut this month, citing soft hiring trends.
His dovish comments helped tech stocks and boosted risk appetite, especially in the second half of the US session.
3. Trump’s Trade Escalation Comments
Trump accused China of not buying soybeans and hinted at ending trade involving cooking oil and other goods.
These late comments undermined risk sentiment, reversing some of Powell's support.
4. Sector Performance
S&P Financials (+1.12%) outperformed on Q3 bank earnings.
Consumer Staples (+3.04%) also led, reflecting a defensive shift amid headline risk.
Tech was more volatile but held up on Powell’s policy support.
5. ECB Commentary
Villeroy hinted at rate cuts, while Makhlouf expressed inflation concerns, showing a split in ECB tone.
This may add uncertainty for European tech sentiment impacting US tech peers.
Takeaway for Nasdaq-100 Today
Supportive Fed signals are a tailwind for tech, but geopolitical risks (US-China) are keeping markets jumpy.
Expect headline-driven volatility to remain high.
Focus on big tech earnings, bond yields, and any new trade developments for direction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 24908
Resistance Level 2: 25050
Resistance Level 3: 25200
Support Level 1: 24376
Support Level 2: 24205
Support Level 3: 23920
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
15 OCT 2025: OUTLOOK2 SCENARIOS TO CONTEMPLATE
- Will observe price action and react accordingly
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
Nas100 - Cautious Rebound: Tests Resistance, Demand Still IntactNas100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: Major Supply / Rejection Zone
This area represents the upper resistance band just below the recent all-time high. It’s where sellers previously absorbed liquidity and triggered the latest strong downside move. Until price can reclaim and hold above this level, it remains a key supply zone. Any retest from below should be watched for signs of exhaustion or rejection, as sellers could step in aggressively again.
Zone 2: Secondary Supply / Intraday Pivot Zone
Zone 2 has acted as both support and resistance in recent sessions. It now serves as a secondary supply zone and an intraday pivot level. If price fails to break cleanly above it, the area could cap upside momentum and trigger another pullback. A decisive breakout above, with acceptance on higher volume, would strengthen bullish control and open the path toward Zone 1.
Zone 3: Key Demand / Structural Support
This zone marks the base of the recent rebound, the origin of the strong bullish impulse following the heavy sell-off. Buyers have shown clear commitment here, defending the level multiple times. As long as price stays above Zone 3, short-term structure remains constructive. A breakdown below would shift sentiment bearish and expose deeper liquidity pools toward 24,000.
The Nas100 is trading with a cautious and slightly bearish tone today after sentiment weakened overnight. Earlier optimism from easing U.S.–China trade rhetoric has faded as fresh tensions resurfaced, including new tariff threats and U.S. accusations that China is manipulating access to key technology resources. These headlines have reignited risk aversion, pulling down tech and growth names that had led the recent rebound.
At the same time, the ongoing U.S. government shutdown continues to delay official economic data releases, leaving markets to trade largely on speculation, headlines, and positioning rather than fundamentals. This lack of clarity has made sentiment fragile and intraday volatility high.
Still, the broader outlook remains supported by strong AI and tech-sector investment, which the IMF recently said is helping shield the U.S. from a deeper slowdown. That theme continues to attract capital to the Nasdaq, even as valuations stay stretched and macro uncertainty lingers.
Overall, the mood on Nas100 is cautiously defensive, investors remain positioned in growth stocks but are increasingly sensitive to geopolitical and policy shocks that could quickly reverse momentum.
USTEC Recovers Within Channel, Can AI Strength Sustain Its RallyUSTEC steadied after recent losses as fresh AI developments reignited tech optimism. AMD (AMD) secured a major order from Oracle (ORCL) for its upcoming MI450 chips, signaling progress in its bid to challenge Nvidia's (NVDA) dominance. The deal, alongside OpenAI's expanded partnerships with Broadcom (AVGO) and Oracle, underscored the accelerating AI infrastructure race. However, lingering caution over trade frictions and US policy uncertainty could cap upside momentum in the near term.
From a technical perspective, USTEC rebounded above the ascending channel's lower bound and support at 24000. The index is holding above the Ichimoku Cloud. If USTEC breaks the resistance at 25200, the price may gain upward momentum toward the resistance at 26000. Conversely, a bearish breakout of the ascending channel and support at 24000 may prompt a further decline toward the following support at 23000.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
14 OCTOBER REVIEW: REVISITING THE NY AM SESSIONFRAMING THE MODEL ON THE LOWER TIMEFRAMES
- All LTF analysis attached were based off the prior HTF "IF-THEN" scenarios
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute advice.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
Can NASDAQ100’s Retest Turn Into a Full-Fledged Rally?⚡ NASDAQ100 — “The Wall Street Engine” Trade Opportunity Guide (Swing / Day Trade)
Plan:
📈 Bullish confirmation awaited at the Hull Moving Average retest.
When price respects that dynamic zone and momentum aligns, the Thief layers up — ready to stack positions like a pro!
💰 Thief Strategy Playbook:
Thief’s weapon? Layering entries — the art of scaling in like a patient hunter.
Multiple buy limit orders are placed around:
🔹 24,400 🔹 24,500 🔹 24,600
(You can adjust or add more layers based on your own trading structure and capital.)
🛡️ Stop-Loss:
This is the Thief’s SL → @24,200
🕵️♂️ Note to all Thief OGs:
I’m not recommending that you copy my SL — risk management is your call.
Remember: Make money, then take money at your own risk.
🎯 Target Zone:
@25,300 — where the POLICE BARRICADE (resistance) stands tall!
⚠️ The zone aligns with overbought levels + liquidity trap potential, so don’t overstay your welcome.
Escape with profits like a smart thief before the market cuffs you! 💨
🕵️♂️ Note again to Thief OGs:
Targets are flexible — adapt based on your execution and structure confirmation.
🔍 Correlated Assets to Watch:
SP:SPX (S&P500) — often mirrors NASDAQ’s overall direction.
TVC:DJI (Dow Jones) — gives early risk-on/risk-off sentiment clues.
TVC:US10Y (US Treasury Yield) — rising yields can pressure tech stocks.
TVC:VIX (Volatility Index) — watch for volatility spikes; they often precede reversals.
Correlation Key Insight:
When the dollar weakens and yields cool, NASDAQ tends to fly 🚀 — liquidity rotation favors growth stocks and tech-heavy indices.
⚙️ Quick Recap:
✅ Bias: Bullish (with retest confirmation at Hull MA)
💸 Entry Zone: 24,400 → 24,600 (Layered limits)
🧱 SL: 24,200 (risk-controlled zone)
🎯 TP: 25,300 (liquidity + resistance zone)
⚠️ Risk: Adjust position size and trail stops as structure evolves
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📜 Disclaimer:
This is a Thief-style trading strategy — designed for entertainment, education, and market storytelling. Trade responsibly; it’s just for fun, not financial advice.
#NASDAQ100 #US100 #IndexTrading #HullMA #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #DayTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #TradingCommunity #ThiefTrader #ChartArt #EditorPickCandidate
US100 - SHORT POSSIBILITYBasically price is showing downtrend tendencies by creating lower lows one after another. Price is currently struggling under the h4 resistence level at 24 748.3, still unbroken which is showing higher chances of price respecting that resistence and pull back down. For an high-risk tolerance trader, right now show a good entry possibility but for a low-risk tolerance trader, you can wait for price to break the lower timeframe support level at 24 628.1 before placing a short entry. This is purely for ideas purpose only and should not be used alone to take on a trade. Good profits traders.
USTEC100 – Buy SetupPrice is attempting to recover after a sharp drop and is now consolidating above intraday support. A break and hold above this level may trigger a bullish continuation.
Buy Entry: 24,470 – 24,370
Stop Loss: 24,250
Take Profit: 25,130 – 25,200
📈 Bias: Bullish
⚠️ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always confirm entries with your own strategy and manage risk accordingly.
#USTEC100 #NASDAQ #Indices #BuySignal #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
US100 Bearish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#US100 made a bearish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 24795.7
Which is now a resistance
And the breakout is confirmed
So after the potential pullback
And retest we will be expecting
A further bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
NAS100Success in forex trading requires a disciplined combination of education, strategy, and risk management. First, thoroughly understand how currency markets work, including technical and fundamental analysis, and stay updated on global economic events. Develop a clear trading plan with defined entry and exit points, and stick to it consistently to avoid emotional decisions. Use proper risk management, never risking more than a small percentage of your capital on a single trade, and always set stop-loss orders to limit losses. Practice patience, as consistent profits come over time rather than quick wins, and continuously review and refine your strategies based on performance and market changes.
NAS100 – Price Action UpdatePrice rebounded sharply from the 24,300.00 support and is now testing the 24,750.00 resistance zone. The overall market structure shows recovery attempts after last week’s sell-off.
Support at : 24,500.00 🔽 / 24,300.00 🔽
Resistance at : 24,750.00 🔼 / 25,000.00 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish : A strong close above 24,750.00 could open the way toward 25,000.00 and 25,170.00.
🔽 Bearish : Failure to break and close above 24,750.00 may trigger a move back toward 24,500.00 or 24,300.00.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Rising Wedge Broken: Is This the Start of a Deeper Pullback?Price on NAS100 has been climbing steadily inside a rising wedge, a pattern that often signals buyer exhaustion and a potential bearish reversal.
As the structure tightened near the top, momentum began to fade, showing signs of weakening bullish pressure.
And then price broke below the wedge support line with a strong impulsive bearish candle.
So my expectation is for price to continue more to the downside with the next downside target at around 23,500.
Order Block @24360 | BuyPrice is in an overall bullish trend, it created an order block that lead to a break of structure. It came back and respected the order block and then created a change of character on that order block on a lower timeframe. No i will wait for price to retest to the order block that caused the CHoCh for entry.
Selling to Gap NAS100The picture says it all. I do not want to talk much. It is what it is. Risky trade as markey is bullish so risking small amount. Let us see.
USNASDEQ100 STRUCTUREThe US100 is showing signs of bearish pressure as price action has tightened near the top resistance zone. Buyers appear to be losing momentum, and the recent structure suggests a potential rejection from the upper boundary.
A break below the current consolidation area could confirm a shift in sentiment toward the downside. If sellers maintain control, we could see a move toward the next major support area around the 23,000 level, which aligns with previous structure support and potential liquidity zones.
However, if the index holds above the current resistance-turned-support area and gains renewed buying interest, the bearish scenario may be invalidated.
"Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts."
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Buy position Nas100Waiting for Gap closure. The market needs to go down and close the gap. Once gap is closed, will take long position and will hold the long position to 26000 (SWING TRADE). Waiting game.
Nas100 Trade Set Up Oct 14 2025Price has swept both PDH and PDL and formed a 4h bearish FVG so i will be trading with the bearish trend waiting for price to sweep London highs as BSL to look for sells to SSL
USNAS100 Extends Losses After Resistance RejectionUSNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Momentum Below 24,510
The index maintains a bearish momentum after dropping from its recent resistance zone.
As long as price trades below 24,510, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 24,350 → 24,150.
A confirmed 1H close below 24,150 would extend losses toward the 24,000 area.
On the other hand, a 1H close above 24,550 would shift the structure bullish, opening the path toward 24,770 → 24,850.
Pivot: 24,510
Support: 24,350 – 24,150 – 24,000
Resistance: 24,700 – 24,850 – 25,000
Institutions Are Hedging Their Longs / A Crash May Be ComingWe have several factors pointing toward a high-risk environment in the market. There are multiple bubbles, a president who has created global drama, high interest rates, and an economy that is so overstimulated that, in principle, a crash is needed to straighten things out and bring the market back to reality.
Right now the market is not rational. We have a tech sector with sky-high P/E ratios, the S&P 500 versus the Fed Funds Rate at levels that have historically led to extreme crashes, and COT data showing how institutions have positioned their futures contracts. It clearly shows that institutions are afraid and have therefore hedged against their long positions.
They are hedging, timing is difficult, and we don’t know exactly when this will happen, but we may already be seeing the beginning. Right now professionals are securing themselves. We are in a perfect storm for a crash; one drop too much and the entire market could flip flat.
I have made great gains this year in gold, the tech sector, and even on several short-term trades. I am currently 50% hedged through various products such as options, futures, and other instruments. I am ready, if the market continues higher I will remain fairly neutral, but if we crash I will make a significant profit. Sure, we could see another bull run, but the data suggests anything but that. Play smart.
