NAS100 Technical Forecast: Key Levels & Traps🚀 NAS100 Technical Forecast: Key Levels & Traps 🐻
*Analysis as of Sept 20, 2025 (12:50 AM UTC+4)*
📊 Overall Market Context:
Price: 24,610. Geopolitical events remain a key volatility driver. Current price action suggests a cautious market seeking direction after recent moves.
🔍 Key Technical Indicators:
• RSI (14): Neutral zone (~50). No strong overbought/oversold signal.
• Bollinger Bands (20): Price near the middle band, indicating balanced volatility.
• Moving Averages: Watching for a potential bearish crossover on the 4H chart. Key resistance at the 50-EMA.
• VWAP: Current price trading around the session's VWAP; a break above signals intraday bullish bias.
🎯 Critical Support & Resistance:
• Immediate Resistance: 24,800 -> 25,000 (Psychological)
• Strong Resistance: 25,250 (Previous High)
• Immediate Support: 24,500 -> 24,300
• Strong Support: 24,000 (Key Level)
⚠️ Pattern Watch:
• Bull Trap Risk: A false breakout above 24,800 could lure buyers before a drop.
• Bear Trap Risk: A sharp rejection from 24,300 could trap sellers before a rally.
• No clear Harmonic or Elliott Wave pattern on lower timeframes; monitoring for setup.
📈 Intraday Trading (5M-1H Charts):
• BUY (Long): Above 24,650, targeting 24,800. Stop Loss: 24,550.
• SELL (Short): Below 24,500, targeting 24,300. Stop Loss: 24,650.
*Confirmation: Use 5-min RSI divergence and volume spikes.*
📉 Swing Trading (4H-Daily Charts):
• BUY Swing: On a bullish reversal candle at 24,300 support, target 25,000+. SL below 24,000.
• SELL Swing: On a rejection at 24,800 resistance, target 24,000. SL above 25,100.
*Wait for a 4H close above/below key levels for confirmation.*
🎲 Risk Management:
Always use a 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio. Protect your capital.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY/SPX
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
US100 trade ideas
Buy Nas100Nas is bullish and will continue buying. There are two possible buy entries, being the demand zone, or the liquidity grab zone. Do not enter a trade on the demand zone unless there is another confirmation on lower time frames. Remember it is Friday tomorrow, and the market can be very manipulative on Friday. Do not force trades, there is nothing wrong with not having a trading day. Trade what you see, and not what you feel.
17.09.2025 US100 H1 Long
Good morning, everyone,
U100 H1 Long
Only tradable on HTF in my opinion. BP, why waste time and energy on small counter trades when it can be so easy?
Yes, it can go wrong, of course... but the trend is your friend.
Today's news is therefore only tradable in my opinion; everything else is too risky for me.
NAS100 H4 | Bullish continuation in playUS100 has bounced off the buy entry at 23,984.23, which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 23,721.86, which is an overlap support.
Take profit is at 24,853.60, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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Nas100 - Trading zones at all time highWith price pushing into fresh all-time highs, reliable technical zones become harder to define due to the lack of historical data. This increases uncertainty and makes it essential to treat the zones as guidance rather than fixed buy or sell levels. Volatility tends to rise around record territory, so traders should remain cautious.
Zone 1 – Prior All-Time High, Now Support:
Yesterday’s all-time high has now turned into a support zone after being broken to the upside. This level may hold as a launchpad for further bullish continuation, but traders should remain cautious — if price drops back below, it could trigger a sharp reversal.
Zone 2 – Former Resistance, Now Support Base:
This area has been tested multiple times, making it a high-activity zone. Yesterday it acted as resistance, but after being broken, it now serves as support. Buyers may defend this area on a retest, but if it fails, momentum could shift quickly to the downside.
This area has been tested multiple times, making it a high-activity zone. Yesterday it acted as resistance, but after being broken, it now serves as support. Buyers may defend this area on a retest, but if it fails, momentum could shift quickly to the downside.
Market sentiment turned cautiously optimistic after the Fed delivered its first 25bp rate cut of the year, lowering the policy rate to 4.00–4.25%. Hopes for further easing later in 2025 are supportive for growth stocks and the Nasdaq-100, yet Powell’s remarks highlighted lingering risks from both inflation and a cooling labor market. As a result, volatility remains elevated, and while the bias is tilted higher, confidence in sustained momentum is still fragile.
Nas100 – Today's Trading Zones Analysis 17 sep.Trading Zones
As price trades around all-time highs, the amount of historical data to build strong zones is limited. This makes the current levels less reliable, and traders should approach them primarily as guidance rather than decisive turning points.
Zone 1 – All-Time High / Yesterday’s High:
This area marks the recent record peak. While it can act as resistance in the short term, its strength is uncertain due to limited data. Price reactions here may be volatile and driven more by sentiment than structure.
Zone 2 – Yesterday’s Low:
A lighter support level that can provide intraday reactions but lacks deep structural confirmation. Best used as a reference point rather than a major decision area.
Zone 3 – Strong Support / High Profitability for Momentum:
This is the most significant zone on the chart, where strong buyers have previously stepped in. It carries a higher probability of triggering a strong reaction. That reaction could unfold as a bounce higher if demand holds, or as a sharp move lower if the zone breaks decisively.
All eyes are on today’s Fed meeting , where markets widely expect a 25bp rate cut. While the move is largely priced in, the real focus will be on Powell’s tone and the updated dot plot, which will guide expectations for the pace of easing ahead. Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously optimistic, supported by strong tech momentum and softer inflation data, but with price trading at record highs, volatility is likely to spike if the Fed delivers any surprises.
What Could Derail the Nasdaq 100 Uptrend?The chart shows the US100 (Nasdaq 100, daily timeframe) extending its bullish momentum within a rising channel. Here’s the breakdown:
Trend & Structure:
The index has been in a steady uptrend since rebounding from its April lows, with price action respecting the boundaries of the ascending channel. It remains above both the 50-day SMA (23,416) and the 200-day SMA (21,481), confirming strong bullish structure.
Support Levels:
The lower channel boundary around 23,500 is immediate dynamic support.
The 50-day SMA provides further backing below that.
A key horizontal support is at 21,150, near the 200-day SMA, which marks the broader trendline base.
Resistance Levels:
The upper channel boundary near 24,500 is the immediate resistance.
A breakout above this region could extend gains toward 25,000, the next psychological target.
Momentum Indicators:
MACD remains positive, confirming upward momentum.
RSI (68.7) is approaching overbought levels but still has room before signaling exhaustion.
Outlook:
The Nasdaq 100 remains firmly bullish, with higher highs and higher lows supporting the trend. While the RSI hints at stretched conditions, momentum remains strong, and as long as price holds above 23,500, the path of least resistance points toward 24,500–25,000.
-MW
Of course. Here is the English translation of the US100 (Nasdaq Of course. Here is the English translation of the US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index) analysis:
The US100 Nasdaq 100 Index, which aggregates the world's top technology and non-essential consumer giants, is a core benchmark for gauging growth stocks and market risk appetite. Its trajectory is highly correlated with U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy and is exceptionally sensitive to interest rate expectations; any clue about rate cuts can trigger significant volatility. The index's weight is heavily concentrated in the "Magnificent Seven," making their individual earnings reports and progress in the field of AI decisive driving forces for the index.
Currently, the index shows strong momentum after reaching new historical highs, but technical indicators are already showing signs of being overbought, with the 18,000 point level becoming a key psychological and technical resistance. High valuations make it more vulnerable to negative news shocks. Looking ahead, the US100 will be locked in a fierce battle between the narrative of AI innovation and the pressure of high interest rates. Whether the upward trend can continue depends on whether the giants' profits meet expectations and whether the Fed successfully executes a policy pivot. Investors should be wary of pullback risks amid high valuations and closely monitor the earnings of leading companies and inflation data.
NAS100 Trading Zones – Navigating All-Time HighsThe Nasdaq is trading at all-time highs, which means there are no established sell zones above. In this environment, price is in full discovery mode. Every new tick higher sets fresh records, and volatility often picks up as traders probe for tops. That makes it difficult to fade strength, shifting the focus toward demand zones below as key areas for potential pullbacks.
🔹 Zone 1 – Today’s Asia Low (24,278–24,289)
This zone marks the intraday low from the Asian session and serves as the nearest short-term demand. A revisit here could attract buyers for a bounce, while a decisive break lower would signal loss of momentum and invite deeper retracement.
🔹 Zone 2 – Yesterday’s All-Time High, Now Demand (24,133–24,141)
Yesterday’s record high has flipped into a demand zone. As long as price holds above this level, the bullish structure stays intact. A strong rejection here favors continuation higher, but failure to hold could open the door to sharper downside.
Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously optimistic. Softer labor data and easing producer prices have strengthened expectations of Fed rate cuts, while strong momentum in select tech names, including Oracle’s upbeat cloud outlook, continues to drive the index higher. Still, with price trading near all-time highs, volatility is elevated and the backdrop fragile, leaving traders mindful that optimism rests heavily on the Fed delivering on dovish expectations.
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 15 September 2025
- Nasdaq-100 broke key resistance level 24000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 25000.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke above the key resistance level 24000.00 (upper border of the narrow sideways price range inside which the index has been trading from July).
The breakout of the resistance level 24000.00 accelerated the active impulse wave v of the higher order impulse wave 5 from June.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 25000.00, target for the completion of the active impulse wave v.
Nas100 – Trading Zones to Watch Near HighsZone 1 – All-Time High Supply (24,133 – 24,142)
This zone sits right at the all-time high, where volatility and liquidity are elevated. Sellers are likely to defend aggressively here, making sharp rejections common. A clean breakout and acceptance above would show strong buyer conviction and could trigger momentum into new record territory.
Zone 2 – High Liquidity Demand (24,014 – 24,026)
This area reflects a high-liquidity pocket where buyers previously absorbed heavy selling pressure. Pullbacks into this zone may attract renewed demand, offering potential long setups. If the zone breaks decisively, however, it risks flipping into resistance and signaling continuation lower.
Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously constructive. Optimism is fueled by strong tech leadership and expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts, while softer labor data and cooling producer prices have eased pressure on yields. Still, inflation readings surprised slightly to the upside last week, reminding traders that risks remain. With price now testing all-time highs, volatility is elevated and the market’s mood is fragile momentum is there, but it requires confirmation through clean breakouts rather than relying on hope alone.
Professional Analysis of Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) – Daily Timefram
The NDX chart shows that after a strong rally from the 22,200 support zone, the index is now testing a key resistance around 23,950 – 24,100.
Bullish Scenario:
If the daily or weekly candle closes firmly above 24,100, the path opens toward 24,800 – 25,000. Breaking this resistance could trigger a new wave of buying momentum.
Bearish Scenario:
If the index fails to break higher and sellers step in, we may see a pullback toward 23,500 and possibly 22,200.
The 50-day moving average (yellow line) near 23,300 – 23,400 will act as an important mid-term support.
Conclusion:
The market is at a decisive turning point. A breakout above 24,100 signals continuation of the bull run, while rejection here could trigger a deeper correction.
NAS100 Forecast & Projection📊 NAS100 Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀📉 (11th Sept 2025)
🕵️ Market Context
NAS100 closed at 24,096.
Global equities remain volatile due to inflation, Fed policy outlook, and tech earnings season.
Short-term sentiment: Neutral to Slightly Bullish.
Swing sentiment: Bullish while above 23,500 key support.
🧩 Technical Framework
Candlesticks: Bullish engulfing spotted on H4, suggesting buyers defend 23,800 zone.
Elliott Wave: Current move resembles Wave 3 extension with corrective pullbacks near 23,750–23,900.
Wyckoff: Distribution signs absent, market in late accumulation.
Gann Analysis: 24,200–24,250 forms a key resistance square.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price above Kumo (H4/D1), bullish confirmation if 24,300 breaks.
Support/Resistance:
Major Support: 23,500 / 23,750
Major Resistance: 24,300 / 24,750
📈 Indicators Snapshot
RSI (H1): 58 → room to climb before overbought.
Bollinger Bands: Price hugging upper band → momentum bullish, risk of overextension.
VWAP (D1): Holding above daily VWAP → bullish bias intraday.
MA Cross: 50 EMA > 200 EMA (Golden Cross) → swing uptrend intact.
⚡ Intraday Levels & Strategy
🔑 Buy Zone: 23,820 – 23,900 (pullback entry).
🎯 Targets: 24,150 / 24,300 / 24,450.
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 23,700.
⚠️ Bear Trap Alert: A dip under 23,800 with quick rebound signals strong accumulation.
🌀 Swing Trading Levels & Strategy
🔑 Buy Zone: 23,500 – 23,700.
🎯 Medium-Term Targets: 24,600 / 25,000 / 25,500.
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 23,300 (weekly close).
📌 If 24,750 breaks → bullish continuation toward 25,800.
❗ If 23,500 breaks → swing bias shifts bearish to 22,800.
📊 Pattern Watch
🦅 Head & Shoulders invalidated (bullish continuation favored).
🦋 Harmonic Bullish Gartley forming near 23,750 (PRZ zone).
🚨 Watch for Bull Trap above 24,300 → confirmation needed before chasing longs.
🧭 Final Outlook
Intraday Bias: Buy dips toward 23,820–23,900.
Swing Bias: Accumulate above 23,500 for 25,000+.
Market remains buy-the-dip mode while above 23,500.
Risk management 🔑: Keep SL tight as volatility persists.
💡 NAS100 traders should balance intraday momentum with swing accumulation zones. The broader structure favors upside continuation, but resistance at 24,300 must break cleanly for momentum to sustain.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade