Trade ideas
NASDAQ/SPX – Are We Really in an AI Bubble?This chart compares NASDAQ to the S&P 500 (NASDAQ/SPX) on a monthly timeframe, visualized with Heikin Ashi candles and a logarithmic regression channel for long-term context. It highlights the dot-com bubble, where the ratio reached extreme overvaluation levels far above the regression mean.
Recently, many investors have been calling the current market an “AI bubble.” However, when viewed through this historical lens, the ratio still remains within the long-term growth channel and far below the excesses of the early 2000s. This perspective suggests that, at least relative to the broader market, tech doesn’t appear to be in bubble territory yet.
It would still be valuable to compare the composition of the NASDAQ today versus in 2000, as the market structure has changed dramatically — with more diversified revenue streams, profitability, and balance sheet strength. Without this data, one can only speculate. But visually, this ratio helps challenge the popular narrative of an ongoing bubble and invites a more nuanced discussion about valuation, innovation cycles, and sector dominance.
#NASDAQ #SPX #Macro #Tech #AIbubble #DotCom #LongTerm #RatioAnalysis #HeikinAshi #MarketCycle
USNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Correction From ATH ZoneUSNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Correction From ATH Zone
USNAS100 reached a new all-time high but has now stabilized below the supply zone, suggesting a bearish correction phase.
As long as price stays below 25,180, the index remains under pressure toward 25,035 → 24,960 → 24,860.
🕯 Technical View
A 1H close above 25,230 would shift momentum bullish, targeting 25,400 → 25,600.
Pivot: 25,180
Bias: Bearish below 25,180
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Forgotten Gap 
A week ago, US100 formed a gap up opening.
It looks like the index is finally ready to fill it.
A breakout of a major horizontal support is a strong bearish signal.
Expect a bearish continuation to 25420.
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US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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NASD100 8H time frame potential shortBased on technical analysis, NASDAQ 100 has formed a lower low and broken the previous structure on the 8-hour timeframe. A potential pullback toward the upper level is expected, likely forming a lower high — presenting a strong short opportunity from the marked zone for a sizable target. Ensure you apply proper money and risk management to protect your account.
3 NOV 2025: MARKET RECAP NYKZ PMNYKZ PM SHORT SETUP
BREAD AND BUTTER
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
Nasdaq long then short: Expecting one last wave upIn this analysis, I talk about the wave structure for Nasdaq and highlighted that wave 1 is currently the longest wave and that means wave 5 cannot be longer than wave 3. This gives us a maximum target of 26300 that is already hit on 30th Oct. So while I do expect another up wave for Nasdaq, this will likely be a double top with the same high as 30th Oct before we start on a longer-term move down.
3 NOV 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPNOT YOUR STANDARD DAY - LESSONS WERE LEARNT. ALL TRADES WERE WON
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
NAS BUY 11.3.25Step 1 - Market State
-market consolidated during asian and london, established a test of the low during london, high was created in asian
Step 2 - Location
-price breaks above the support are so we look for a retest, get one at 6am and another around 8am. 
Step 3 - Entry would have been 26000, SL 25975, TP 1 26050, tp 2 26100 TP 3 is trailing stop loss at TP 2 that we adjust using the fib retracement to look for exit
NASDAQ Testing Pivot Zone, Awaiting Breakout The  FOREXCOM:NAS100  is currently testing a key zone called the Pivot Zone (a direction-determining area). The short-term trend will be determined by whether the price manages to stay below or break above this zone.
 Pivot Zone: 26,095 – 26,180 
As long as the price trades below this zone, short-term momentum remains bearish (tending to fall).
 ➡️ Bearish Scenario 
If the price remains below 26,180, the negative bias will continue, with the following main targets:
- Target 1: 25,890
- Target 2: 25,700
- Target 3: 25,340
 ⬆️ Bullish Scenario 
If a breakout and confirmation occurs above 26,180, this could signal the start of a new bullish trend, with the following targets:
- Target 1: 26,500
- Target 2: 26,850
USNAS100 remains bearish below 26,180, but a confirmed break above this level could signal the start of a new bullish leg.
US100 – Key levels in focusUS100 – 1H Technical Zone Analysis
 Zone 1: Friday’s High  
This zone marks Friday’s high and the upper boundary of the current consolidation structure. It represents the point where bullish momentum paused before the weekend, and now acts as immediate resistance. A clean break and hold above Zone 1 would confirm renewed buyer strength and could open the path toward fresh all-time highs. Until then, traders are likely to view this level as a short-term decision point for directional bias.
 Zone 2: Friday’s Low 
This zone defines Friday’s session low — the level where buyers regained control and pushed price higher into the weekly close. It now serves as key intraday support and aligns closely with the ascending trendline structure. Holding above Zone 2 keeps market sentiment constructive and suggests that buyers remain in control of short-term direction. A clean break below would signal fading momentum and could invite a deeper pullback toward 25,700–25,750.
 Market Recap – US100 Overview 
The US100 closed last week on a strong note, extending its rally to fresh all-time highs as optimism spread across global markets. Sentiment was fueled by renewed progress in U.S.–China trade negotiations, with reports suggesting a potential framework deal and discussions over easing tariffs on rare-earth materials and agricultural goods. This reduced geopolitical risk and boosted risk appetite across equities.
Tech and AI-related stocks once again led the charge, highlighted by NVIDIA reaching a record $5 trillion valuation, reinforcing the dominance of the growth and semiconductor sectors. The Federal Reserve maintained a cautious stance, signalling that rate cuts are not guaranteed, but investors largely shrugged off policy uncertainty amid the ongoing government data blackout.
Overall, the tone was constructively bullish: optimism on trade and strong tech momentum outweighed concerns about stretched valuations and limited macro visibility. Heading into the new week, traders remain focused on whether the rally can hold as markets navigate high levels, thin data, and potential volatility from fresh headlines.
31 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPBREAD & BUTTER SETUP
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
30 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPLONDON KILL ZONE 
BREAD & BUTTER SETUP
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.






















