US100 trade ideas
NSDQ100 bullish reaction to rate-cut expectationsUS CPI and a sharp rise in jobless claims (+263k vs. +235k expected, Texas-driven distortions aside) reinforced the narrative of a cooling labour market. Equities rallied on the lower rates outlook: S&P 500 (+0.85%) and Nasdaq (+0.72%) closed at fresh records, with the Magnificent 7 up +1.13%. Breadth was strong (436 S&P advancers, Russell 2000 +1.83%). Oracle (-6.23%) was a notable laggard after recent gains. Meanwhile, OpenAI’s potential $100bn+ restructuring with Microsoft and a UK data center buildout highlight continued AI momentum. On the geopolitical front, US-China talks (Bessent–He Lifeng) and a possible Xi-Trump meeting, plus progress with India, suggest tentative thawing in trade and tech relations.
Conclusion (Nasdaq-100):
The combination of softer labour data, rate-cut expectations, and sustained AI optimism is a constructive backdrop for the Nasdaq-100. Short-term pullbacks (e.g., Oracle) appear stock-specific, while breadth and AI-linked capex support further upside. Near-term, dips remain buyable unless geopolitics disrupt risk sentiment.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 24200
Resistance Level 2: 24380
Resistance Level 3: 24600
Support Level 1: 23500
Support Level 2: 23320
Support Level 3: 23125
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UPDATE: USTEC100 ready to rally through stratosphere to 24,936 USTEC100 is priming itself for some great upside on the daily.
Which means investors are piling into stocks which will drive the prices up and send the index through the stratosphere.
The technicals are very basic, W Formation - Price broken above the 20MA and 200MA and above the neckline.
And so we can easily see the target of 24,936.
🚀 Fed easing hopes → Softer inflation + weak PPI/PPI data raise chances for interest rate cuts, which tend to boost growth/high valuation tech stocks.
💡 AI & innovation tailwinds → Big tech companies keep delivering in AI, semis, cloud etc., giving strong fundamental support.
📈 Strong technicals / trend structure → Price breaking past resistance zones, holding trendline support, indicating bulls are stepping in.
🌍 Risk-on sentiment & dollar weakness → When investors are more willing to take risk (and the USD softens), tech tends to benefit more.
⏳ Pullbacks seen as buying opportunities → Dips have been shallow, and support zones are holding, giving room for further advance.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Nas100 – Today’s Key Trading ZonesTrading zones
Zone 1 – All-Time High Supply (24,014 – 24,026)
This zone sits at the all-time high, where volatility and liquidity hunts are often at their peak. Sellers are likely to defend aggressively here, making sharp rejections common. A clean breakout and hold above would indicate strong buyer conviction and could open the door for further momentum into uncharted territory.
Zone 2 – High Liquidity Demand (23,920 – 23,930)
This demand zone represents a high-liquidity pocket created by prior consolidation. Buyers are expected to step in here on pullbacks, providing potential long setups. However, if the zone fails to hold, it may flip into resistance and trigger continuation downside moves.
With price trading near all-time highs, only two zones are marked today. Volatility at record levels makes price action less structured, leaving limited data to build reliable zones from. As a result, focus remains on the all-time high supply zone above and the high-liquidity demand zone below as the key areas for potential reaction.
Sentiment in the US100 is cautiously positive but fragile. Strong tech momentum and expectations of Fed rate cuts support the index, while softer labor data and cooling producer prices ease pressure on yields. Still, higher-than-expected CPI reminds investors that inflation risks remain, keeping markets on edge near all-time highs.
Daily Trade Plan: US100Trade Plan: US100
Date:9/12/2025
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Smaller Timeframe : Bullish
Medium Timeframe : Neutral Bullish
Larger Timeframe : Bullish
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If price trying to break higher but fail. Price should pull back to 2 day HVN level. Especially "Yesterday value area low" zone. It coud be set as a lounching point of bullish move to make a new all time high.
Futures rise as traders await inflation data, Fed cuts in focusFutures rise as traders await inflation data, Fed cuts in focus
U.S. stock index futures rose slightly on Thursday as traders awaited key consumer price data at 8:30 a.m. ET, expected to show higher August inflation. Wednesday’s softer PPI report fueled bets on Fed rate cuts next week, with markets fully pricing in a 25-bps move and assigning a 10% chance of 50 bps.
Weak labor data reinforced easing expectations, while jobless claims numbers are also due today. The AI trade revived midweek, lifting chipmakers and utilities tied to data centers. Oracle gained 1.6% premarket, while gun stocks extended gains after news of a campus shooting. Despite September’s poor historical record, Wall Street has opened the month on a strong note, with strategists seeing Fed cuts as the key driver of market direction.
NAS100 Trading Zones – Volatility at All-Time HighsZone 1 – 23,980 – 23,991
This zone sits just below the all-time high, making it a critical supply area where volatility tends to spike. Sellers are likely to defend here aggressively, and false breakouts are common as liquidity is swept around all-time highs. A clean breakout and hold above would signal strong buyer conviction and could fuel a momentum push into uncharted territory.
Zone 2 – 23,765 – 23,781
This zone represents a key demand area where buyers previously stepped in to defend intraday lows. A sharp bounce here would confirm renewed buying interest, while a decisive break below would shift control back to sellers and could trigger a deeper correction.
With price trading near all-time highs, caution is warranted. Volatility often spikes in these areas, as liquidity hunts and false breakouts are common. Traders should be selective, waiting for clear confirmation before committing to new positions.
Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously positive, supported by strong momentum in select tech names and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts after softer labor data and a sharp drop in producer prices. Lower input costs are viewed as supportive for corporate margins in the near term, while falling yields continue to benefit growth stocks. Still, the broader backdrop is fragile, as weaker job revisions and signs of cooling demand remind investors that economic momentum is slowing.
NAS100 - Trading Zones and Market SentimentZone 1 – 23,926 – 23,943
This is a critical resistance area sitting just below the all-time high. Sellers are likely positioned here, making it a strong zone for potential rejection. A clean breakout and successful retest, however, would flip the zone into demand and open the path toward fresh highs.
Zone 2 – 23,854 – 23,880
Formed around recent consolidation and breakout structure. Buyers are expected to defend this zone on pullbacks, creating potential long opportunities. If broken decisively, it could turn into resistance, signaling weakening momentum.
Zone 3 – 23,782 – 23,798
A deeper demand level aligned with prior absorption and intraday lows. Likely to attract liquidity sweeps and sharp reactions on first touch. A failure here would shift control back to sellers and suggest a larger corrective move.
Sentiment in US100 Today: Between Optimism and Caution
Retail investors pull back from most Big Tech, except Nvidia and Palantir.
According to Charles Schwab’s STAX activity, retail investors have generally reduced exposure to large-cap tech stocks, with the exception of Nvidia and Palantir, which both saw significant net buying. This points to rising risk appetite, particularly toward select growth names in the tech sector.
Job revision data weakens the economy, but keeps rate expectations alive.
Wall Street remains subdued but continues to lean on the likelihood of a Fed rate cut, after job growth was revised down by nearly 1 million over the past 12 months.
Conclusion: Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously optimistic, driven by a strong tech sector and dovish Fed expectations but the foundation is fragile, especially in light of weaker economic signals.
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 9 September 2025
- Nasdaq-100 reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 24500.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently reversed up from the support area between the pivotal support level 23000.00 (which has been reversing the price from July), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from June.
The upward reversal from this support zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer – which started the active impulse wave iii.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 24000.00 (top of wave 3), the breakout of which can lead to further gains toward 24500.00.
long at support nasim not trading this but i think this is interesting, if 1m holds at entry. think we can pump to this tp. if 1m closes really down. best not enter it as it would be catching daggers. but i would reverse the trade to next zone below. best enter after break, then back up with a wick on top. then enter the short. or middle of the 15m candle body as entry short.
Nasdaq-100: Trading Levels to WatchKey Zones Today
Supply Zones (Red)
Zone 1: 23,926 – 23,943
This is the upper resistance zone, located just below all time high. Sellers are likely positioned here, making it a strong area for potential rejection. A confirmed breakout and retest, however, would indicate buyer strength and could open the path toward new all-time highs.
Zone 2: 23,854 – 23,880
A key intraday supply area with multiple prior rejections. Often acts as a liquidity pool, where failed breakouts can trigger sharp downside moves. A clean break and hold above would flip this zone into short-term support for continuation longs.
Demand Zones (Green)
Zone 3: 23,708 – 23,734
Formed around the recent breakout structure, this zone is expected to attract buyers on pullbacks. A sharp bounce here would confirm demand strength, while a decisive break below flips the area into resistance and could trigger continuation shorts.
Zone 4: 23,551 – 23,577
A deeper support level, aligned with prior consolidation and buyer absorption. Strong bounce potential on first retest, but repeated tests weaken the level. A breakdown here would shift momentum clearly in favor of sellers and open space for a larger downside move.
Nas100 - Cautiously Bullish, Waiting on Momentum
Sentiment in the US100 is cautiously positive but fragile. Large-cap tech continues to support the index, and hopes of imminent Fed rate cuts provide additional tailwinds. Still, the index remains below its all-time high, and uncertainty around economic data and geopolitics keeps investors from going all-in.
In short: there is momentum and optimism, but it rests on a fragile foundation where a single weak data point could quickly shift sentiment.
US100 – Short Setup Near All-Time High US100 – Short Setup Near All-Time High
Price is currently testing a critical resistance zone near the all-time high at 23,979. After rejecting from this level, I’ve identified a potential short opportunity with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Price testing ALL-TIME HIGH (23,979) and rejecting from resistance zone.
🔴 Entry: 23,798 – 23,805
🛑 SL: 23,880
🎯 TP1: 23,613 | TP2: 23,355 | TP3: 23,201
⚡ Strong supply zone + rejection → high R:R setup (~1:5).
❌ Invalidation above 23,880.
#US100 #NASDAQ100 #indices #PriceAction #TradingSetup #SupplyDemand #ShortTrade
US100 Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 keeps growing
In an uptrend but the
Index will soon hit the
Horizontal resistance
Of 23,970 from where
We will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.