US30 premarket is down 120 pointsCommunity discussions
US30 premarket is down 120 points
US30 After several weeks of distribution, the Dow Jones Index is showing clear exhaustion at the top.
From a technical perspective, we’re seeing lower highs forming on the H4 chart, signaling that momentum is fading.
I expect the market to test the 46,500 level in the coming sessions.
However, traders should remain cautious — short positions need smaller position sizing until the January window when broader confirmation may appear.
The market might still attempt minor pullbacks, but overall, the bias is shifting to the downside.
⚠️ Stay alert. The bear cycle is about to begin.
#DowJones #StockMarket #Bearish #Trading #MarketAnalysis #FaramarzBahrami
US30 what is this rise?,
US30 If you're still holding on for dear life to trade this going UP, have I got some treats for you: chocolate covered bats, gummy worms, and black licorice. Only the good stuff.
Happy Halloween!
US30 I see some possible good long positions for next week
US30 off topic go and buy German40 now hold it for the rest of the coming weekUS30 Ready for a Ghoulish Surprise?Check out the Popgun pattern on the 4-Hour chart. It's making the first of 3 consolidation swings that will move like a See-Saw.
Here's the sequence of swings: Down-Up-Down. The down swing has already begun.
After the bear run is over, it will pivot for the bulls to swing Up. When the bull run is over, the bears will take it Down for the 3rd and final swing from the Popgun pattern. Fun, huh?!
US30 This week’s swing low has been breached if it’s a true breakout the bears can carry on going down and close the gap up but if it’s a false breakout back up we go.US30 We've had 3 tall Spinning Tops on the Hourly all form within the S&R Zone. That means that the bears and bulls have been fighting it out MMA style for several hours and the Hourly is newly in Bullish (directional) Market Bias.We need to see a breakout from the Inside Day pattern's high of 47,646 or low of 47,476 (shown as two orange lines), along with a breakout from this S&R Zone.
US30 📈 Fundamental & Macro• Overall Macro Score ⚖️: 72/100 (Balanced Growth with Rate Easing Pressures)
Interest Rates Influence +18: Recent 25bps Fed cut to 3.75%-4.00% range eases borrowing costs, supporting equity multiples by reducing discount rates on future earnings.
Inflation Impact -12: Mild uptick to 3.0% YoY adds caution, as persistent pressures could delay further easing and cap re-rating potential.
Economic Growth Driver +25: Robust Q3 nowcast at +3.9% underscores consumer and investment resilience, fueling corporate revenue beats.
Jobs Market Stability +15: Steady 4.3% unemployment holds labor costs in check, preventing wage spiral risks while maintaining spending power.
Sentiment Multiplier +6: Mixed views from retail optimism offset by institutional hedging create a neutral backdrop for near-term trades.
💰 Interest Rates (Fed Funds Target)
• Current Effective Rate 📉: 4.12% (Down from 4.33% in Aug; reflects second consecutive 25bps cut, lowering interbank lending costs and indirectly boosting stock valuations)
• Recent Move ⬇️: 25bps Cut Expected (Range: 3.75%-4.00% Post-Oct Meeting; Powell's pause signal tempers aggressive easing bets, stabilizing yields at 4.10% for 10-year Treasuries)
• Market Read 🧠: Supportive for Risk Assets (Lower Borrowing Boosts Corporates; encourages capex and M&A, though sticky inflation may prolong higher-for-longer environment)
📈 Inflation Rates (CPI YoY Latest)
• September 2025 Reading 🔥: 3.0% (Up from 2.9% in Aug; driven by 4.1% gasoline surge, but core at 3.0% shows underlying stability below Fed's 2% target)
• Monthly Change 📏: +0.3% (Core Stable | Energy Edge Higher; shelter costs +0.2% eased from prior, signaling cooling in key components despite tariff passthrough risks)
• Trend Signal ⚠️: Mild Acceleration (Below 3.1% Forecast | Watch Nov Data; softer-than-expected print supports one more cut, but energy volatility could rekindle upside surprises)