US100 currently showing signs of persistent bearish pressureThe US100 index is currently showing signs of persistent bearish pressure. Following Friday’s pullback, futures rose slightly on Monday as investors reacted to a softer tone from Donald Trump, which eased some concerns over renewed U.S.–China trade tensions. However, broader market uncertainty remains elevated due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and cautious sentiment in equities.
From a technical perspective, the US100 is maintaining a bearish trend structure. If price action fails to sustain above current levels and instead tests the resistance zone before reversing, it could confirm continued weakness. If sellers regain control near resistance, we may expect potential downside targets around 24,200 and also 23,600m Momentum remains on the downside as long as price stays below the resistance threshold, suggesting sellers are still dominating the short-term outlook.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
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Trade ideas
NAS100 H4 | Bullish Bounce from Key SupportNAS100 is falling towards the buy entry at 24,804.95, which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 24,423.43, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 25,500.67, which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Are Institutional Buyers Returning to NASDAQ100 Again?🎯 NASDAQ100 Blueprint: The Thief's Ultimate Heist Setup 💰
📊 Asset Overview
NASDAQ:NDX | US100 Index
Market Capital Flow Analysis - Swing Trade Setup
🔍 Technical Foundation
Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMED
The LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) breakout has painted the perfect picture. When institutional money flows align with technical breakouts, you know the smart money is positioning for the next leg up.
Current Market Structure:
We're witnessing a textbook bullish continuation pattern with strong momentum building above key moving averages. The index is showing resilience at support zones while eyeing psychological resistance levels ahead.
💎 The Thief's Layered Entry Strategy
Entry Philosophy: "Why catch one knife when you can catch four?" 😏
This is classic Thief-style layering - multiple limit orders spread across strategic price zones to build a position with optimal average entry:
Entry Layers (Limit Orders):
🎯 Layer 1: 24,800
🎯 Layer 2: 25,000 (Psychological level)
🎯 Layer 3: 25,200
🎯 Layer 4: 25,400
Pro tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and capital allocation. Scale in gradually, not aggressively.
Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, you can enter at current market price - but layering gives you the edge when volatility strikes.
🛡️ Risk Management
Stop Loss Zone: 24,600
⚠️ Important Notice: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this SL is MY reference point based on market structure. You are the captain of your own ship - set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance and account size. Trade at your own risk!
🎯 Profit Target
Primary Target: 26,000
Why this level?
Strong historical resistance zone
Overbought territory on multiple timeframes
Potential bull trap formation area
Confluence with Fibonacci extension levels
⚠️ Exit Strategy Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this TP is MY analysis. When YOU see green, YOU decide when to bank it. Take profits incrementally if you prefer safety over maximum gains. Remember: Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered! 🐷
🔗 Correlated Assets to Watch
These pairs move in tandem with NASDAQ100 - keep them on your radar:
📈 SP:SPX (S&P 500): The big brother index - when SPX moves, NQ100 often follows
📈 NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq ETF): Direct tracking vehicle for tech-heavy momentum
📈 NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.): Largest NASDAQ component - heavy influence on index direction
📈 NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft): Tech titan with significant index weighting
📈 NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Semiconductor leader driving AI narrative
📈 NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla): High-beta play that amplifies NASDAQ moves
📈 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - strong dollar often pressures tech stocks
📈 TVC:TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield): Rising yields = tech pressure; falling yields = tech rally
Key Correlation Insight: Tech stocks (and thus NASDAQ) typically benefit from falling yields and weakening dollar conditions. Monitor these macro factors!
⚡ Key Technical Points
✅ LSMA breakout confirms bullish momentum shift
✅ Volume profile suggests accumulation at current levels
✅ Multiple timeframe alignment (swing trader's dream)
✅ Risk-reward ratio favors long positioning
✅ Institutional money flow indicators turning positive
⚠️ Watch for: Volatility spikes near resistance, macro news events, and Federal Reserve commentary that could impact tech valuations.
🎭 The Thief's Final Words
"In the market, you're either the heist mastermind or the one getting robbed. Choose wisely." 😎
This setup is designed for swing traders who understand that patience and proper position sizing beat FOMO every single time. Layer in, manage risk, and let the market come to you.
Remember: This isn't financial advice - it's a roadmap drawn by someone who respects the market's ability to humble even the best of us.
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✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#NASDAQ100 #US100 #NQ100 #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #LayeredEntry #ThiefStyle #IndexTrading #BullishSetup #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradingIdeas #StockMarket #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TradingCommunity
US100 (NDQ): Trend in daily time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trends, colored levels,
and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT
USTEC rebounds on trade optimism. Potential for further gains?USTEC rose as confirmation of the Trump–Xi meeting lifted sentiment and offset mixed corporate earnings. Tesla (TSLA) rebounded despite uneven results, while IBM (IBM) slipped on softer software revenue. However, the company's broader performance remained resilient, with strong demand in AI and automation services driving solid growth in its infrastructure and hybrid cloud segments. Investors remain cautious ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting, with sentiment hinging on upcoming policy signals and trade developments.
From a technical perspective, USTEC rebounded from the ascending channel's lower bound and support at 24000. A break above the 25200 resistance may prompt further upside toward the channel's upper bound and 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at 26000. Conversely, a bearish breakout of the channel and a close below 24000 may prompt a further decline toward the following support at 23000.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
23 OCT 2025: MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE DAYUpdate to 20 OCT 2025 Weekly Outlook
The devil is in the detail...
DISCLAIMER:
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The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
US100 Opens the Week with Cautious Optimism After Trade TensionsUS100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: All-Time High
This level represents the current top of the market and a heavy supply region. Until price closes decisively above this range with volume confirmation, it remains a key ceiling. Any push into this zone is high-risk for longs and ideal for short-term fade setups or liquidity hunts.
Zone 2: Pre-Breakout Resistance
This is the immediate resistance just below the all-time high. While a breakout through this zone may appear bullish on lower timeframes, traders should exercise caution. The proximity of the all-time-high resistance above significantly reduces reward-to-risk for fresh longs, price can easily reject from the upper zone and reverse quickly. A cleaner confirmation would require acceptance above both Zone 2 and Zone 1 before considering continuation trades.
Zone 3: Key Demand
This demand zone remains the foundation of the current bullish structure. It marks the origin of the recent rally and continues to attract responsive buyers on dips. As long as price holds above this level, the broader bias stays constructive. A clean break below would, however, shift short-term sentiment bearish and open the door for a deeper correction.
Market Sentiment: Cautious Optimism
After a volatile end to last week, US100 is starting the new week with a tone of cautious optimism. On Friday, renewed tension between the US and China rattled markets, as Washington floated new tariffs and export restrictions while Beijing hinted at countermeasures. However, over the weekend the tone softened, US officials signaled that they did not intend to escalate the trade conflict further, which helped calm investor nerves and lifted sentiment in global markets, particularly in Asia.
Today, the index is trading slightly higher, supported by renewed risk appetite and continued strength in tech and AI-related stocks. Still, confidence remains fragile. Oil prices have weakened, raising questions about global growth, and the ongoing US government shutdown continues to delay key economic data releases. With limited visibility into real fundamentals, investors are largely trading on headlines and policy expectations.
Overall, sentiment around the US100 is positive but delicate, the market is recovering from last week’s uncertainty, yet it remains highly sensitive to any renewed trade tension or negative macro surprises.
NSDQ100 Key trading levelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 24908
Resistance Level 2: 25050
Resistance Level 3: 25200
Support Level 1: 24376
Support Level 2: 24205
Support Level 3: 23920
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US100 on the Edge – Will Bulls Finally Break the All-Time HighZone 1: All-Time High / Major Supply Zone
This area represents the top of the market structure and the current all-time high region. Price has tested this level multiple times, forming a tight consolidation directly beneath it. This behavior indicates strong buying pressure but also clear absorption from sellers. Until the market shows a decisive breakout with volume confirmation, this zone acts as a heavy supply level. Traders should be cautious — breakouts near all-time highs often trigger fake moves before continuation.
Zone 2: Short-Term Demand / Breakout Retest Zone
Zone 2 marks the first layer of demand formed after the most recent breakout attempt. Buyers have consistently stepped in here to defend structure, suggesting it’s a valid short-term support area. If price remains above this level, the bullish structure remains intact. However, a clean break below Zone 2 would likely open the door for a retracement toward Zone 3.
Zone 3: Strong Demand / Breakout Base
This zone represents the base of the breakout — Monday’s low — where buyers aggressively entered and drove price upward through prior resistance. It’s a key liquidity pocket and the foundation of the current move. As long as the market holds above this zone, the bullish bias remains valid. A break below, however, would signal that momentum has faded and could trigger a deeper correction.
Sentiment
After a strong start to the week, the Nas100 is trading with a tone of cautious optimism. Monday’s momentum carried into Tuesday as easing US–China trade tensions and solid performances from major tech names helped maintain positive sentiment. However, with the index hovering near record highs, investors have turned more selective and defensive.
The broader market tone remains constructive — risk appetite is still present, but confidence is fragile. Many traders are waiting for fresh catalysts from corporate earnings and macro data to confirm whether the recent rally has more room to run. The ongoing US government shutdown continues to cloud visibility, delaying key data releases and adding an element of uncertainty.
Overall, sentiment around the Nas100 is positive but tentative: the market is stable and supported by tech strength and improved trade signals, yet stretched valuations and the lack of new macro clarity keep investors cautious at the top.
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for a Decisive Week?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its long-term ascending channel. As long as the Nasdaq is in its range, you can be a seller at the top of the range and a buyer at the bottom. If this range is broken, you can look for new trends in the Nasdaq.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for September 2025 will be released on Friday, October 24 at 8:30 a.m. New York time (4:00 p.m. Tehran time). This release comes as most other economic data have been delayed due to the ongoing federal government shutdown, which has suspended normal operations.
The CPI report is particularly important for the U.S. Social Security Administration, as it serves as the basis for calculating annual adjustments to retirement benefits and other statutory payments.
In a statement released on Friday, the agency confirmed that it would temporarily recall a limited number of furloughed employees to ensure the timely publication of the CPI report. Originally scheduled for October 15, the release has now been rescheduled for October 24.
This CPI release will be among the few remaining economic datasets published by federal agencies during the shutdown. Since October 1, most data-producing institutions have ceased operations amid political deadlock between Democrats and Republicans that has halted large portions of federal services.
With the federal shutdown continuing, U.S. markets are increasingly relying on private-sector data to gauge the state of the economy. In the upcoming week, indicators such as housing sales and private manufacturing surveys will be released, serving as alternative references for traders and analysts.
Without access to official government data, investors, businesses, and consumers face a heightened level of uncertainty, making it difficult to plan for spending, hiring, and saving decisions.
The CPI report could play a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions, as the FOMC will have access to the data ahead of its October 28–29 policy meeting. Fed officials are currently debating whether to cut interest rates further, and if so, how quickly.
In September, the Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate to support a weakening labor market by reducing borrowing costs across short-term loans. Another rate cut is widely expected in October, though elevated inflation could slow or prevent further easing.
The Chief Financial Officer of Bank of America (BOFA) stated that the bank expects two additional rate cuts by the Fed before the end of this year.
Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently warned about downside risks to the labor market, sparking speculation that he might have had early access to the yet-unreleased September employment report. However, a closer examination of his remarks shows no confirmation or denial of such access.
The key takeaway from Powell’s speech was his firm reaffirmation of market expectations for a rate cut later this month, delivered without any sign of hesitation or opposition — a clear and confident signal to investors.
In another commentary, Bank of America highlighted that the current boom in AI data centers is fundamentally different from the dot-com bubble of the early 2000s. The bank attributed today’s expansion to strong semiconductor utilization, healthy cash flows, lower valuations, and a more favorable interest rate environment.
Nonetheless, it acknowledged ongoing concerns about excessive spending and stretched valuations in certain AI sectors.
Finally, the October Bank of America investor survey revealed that recession fears have fallen to their lowest level since February 2022, while optimism about economic growth has seen its strongest jump since 2020:
• 33% expect a “no-landing” scenario (up from 18%)
• 54% foresee a “soft landing” (down from 67%)
• 8% anticipate a “hard landing” (down from 10%).
US100: Breakout signals a strong second bullish leg🧩 Market Context
On the 30-minute chart, SKILLING:US100 index shows renewed bullish momentum after a phase of sideways consolidation. Following a deep correction, price action has started forming higher highs and higher lows, suggesting that buyers are gradually regaining control.
🔍 Price Structure and Breakout
Price has recently broken out above a short-term consolidation zone and a rising trendline.
This breakout reinforces the short-term bullish bias and could mark the start of a second upward leg in the current recovery.
Statistically, when a breakout happens after tight accumulation, the next bullish leg often becomes equal to or larger than the previous one, as momentum builds and buyers gain confidence.
📈 Key Price Levels
• Resistance 1: 24,914 – prior rejection zone in the last upward move.
• Resistance 2: 25,074 – distribution area before the previous drop.
• Support: 24,700 – 24,750 (former resistance now acting as potential support).
⚙️ Trading Scenarios (for observation only)
• After the breakout, price may retest the previous resistance zone (around 24,700–24,750) before continuing higher.
• If buyers defend this level, the second bullish leg could extend toward 24,914 and possibly 25,074.
• Conversely, a close back below 24,700 may trigger a deeper pullback before any continuation attempt.
🧠 Summary
The technical structure on US100 favors a short-term bullish outlook. A successful retest of the breakout zone could pave the way for a second upward leg, potentially matching or exceeding the size of the previous rally.
______________________________________
📌 This analysis is for educational and technical purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
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Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
NASDAQ Did the 1D MA50 just save the day??Nasdaq (NDX) suffered a historically strong daily sell-off on Friday following President Trump's tariff threats and touched (and closed on) its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Last time it hit that trend-line was on September 02 and that was a technical Higher Low on the 5-month Channel Up. Friday's Low was also very close to the bottom of this pattern. At the same time the 1D RSI hit and rebounded on its Lower Lows Support trend-line.
With the market rebounding and opening considerably higher today, it is more likely technically that we have started the pattern's new Bullish Leg. With the last two such sequences rising by at least +11.00%, we expect a new similar uptrend, which as long as the 1D MA50 holds, could hit at least 26000 within a 40 day horizon.
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BEARISH TRADE IDEA - IF THEN ANALYSISMONDAY: 13 OCTOBER 2025
PRE-NY ANALYSIS:
BEARISH INTRA-DAY IDEA FRAMED ON H1 AND REFINED ON M15:
- Market currently in a Premium and just caressed the OTE (62%) of the Fib.
- Price also currently above the True-Day Open.
- Would like to see price trade lower into the Discount of the range (below the True-Day Open) before trading higher into the overlapping H1/M15 -FVG before trading softer, as per scenario 1.
- Otherwise, we look to scenario 2.
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute advice.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
NAS100 in a bearish move and may break 24000NAS100 recently touches all time high to 25200 and sharply retrace back to 24000 level.
The price is now going back to 24800 level. In order to continuous the short term trend , It may move back to 24000 to take the liquidity and it may go further downside to 23800 leve.
NAS100 Forecast: A Fresh Bullish Impulse Toward New HighsThe NAS100 index is currently moving within a classic Elliott Wave structure. After completing wave (3), the market entered a correction phase that formed wave (4). This correction appears to have ended in the highlighted support zone, where buyers stepped in strongly. The five-wave pattern before wave (4) confirms a solid bullish trend. Now, the index seems to be preparing for the final upward move wave (5). This wave often represents the last push of a rally before a larger correction starts. As long as the price stays above the recent support near 24,400 , the next targets could be seen around 25,200–25,600 . In simple terms, the market is expected to continue its uptrend after a short pullback, following the typical Elliott Wave sequence of five upward waves and three corrective ones.
US100 - BEARISH POSSIBILITYPrice is already bearish in higher timeframe (H4). And is currently creating bearish tendency in the lower timeframes. We can observe a slow support breakout which can be a crucial confirmation of a bearish continuation. This is purely ideas purpose only and should not be used alone to take on a trade. Good profits traders.
NASDAQ (US100) Analysis:The Nasdaq index showed a notable recovery yesterday but declined today toward the support zone at 24,475, which is a potential rebound area.
🔻 If 24,475 breaks and holds below, the price is likely to retest the lower support zone at 24,000, which remains the preferred scenario for now.
🔺 If a rebound occurs from the current support, the index may rise to test the resistance zone at 24,780, and a breakout above it would confirm a return to the bullish trend.
📉 Best Sell Zone: Below 24,470 (confirmation of breakdown)
📈 Best Buy Zones: Upon confirmation of rebound from 24,480 or 24,000






















