Trade ideas
20 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPSTUDY!!
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DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
NAS100USD GOLD MIRROR EQ.1) NAS100USD — SNIPER ZONES (live levels from your charts)
Context: previous-week pivots you provided earlier (Tuesday/Thursday) and current price ~ 25,185.
Key levels (use these to draw horizontal zones on 1D / 4H / 1H / 15m)
Pivot Resistance (Prev Tue High): 25,228 (R1)
Immediate Resistance cluster: 25,250 – 25,300 (R2)
Current Bias / Mid: 25,185 (mid)
Support (session swing): 24,800 – 24,750 (S1)
Lower structural support (Prev Thurs Low): 23,998 (S2)
Draw these on 1D and 4H. On 1H/15m use the exact same horizontal lines and highlight the small intraday confluence zones inside them.
A — Bullish Sniper (Breakout + Pullback)
Trigger: Price closes above 25,228 on 15m or 1H and then pulls back into 25,150–25,200 zone (confluence: fib, VWAP or 1H/15m trendline).
Entry: Limit buy in 25,150–25,200 on the pullback (or market on confirmed rejection of the zone).
Stop: 25,100 (15–50 pts below entry depending timeframe; typical stop = 25–50 pts).
TP ladder:
TP1 = +30 pts → ~25,180–25,230 (close partial)
TP2 = +60 pts → ~25,260–25,320 (second partial)
TP3 = +100 pts → ~25,350–25,400 (final take)
R:R guideline: Aim ≥2.5:1 on full ladder (scale out).
Confirmation: Finviz breadth green & TimeMirror projection from Gold (see gold confirmation below) → increase size.
B — Bearish Sniper (Breakdown + Retest)
Trigger: Clear break and close below 24,800 with momentum OR rejection at 25,250 fails and price falls back under 24,800.
Entry: Sell on retest of 24,800–24,770 (rejection candle on 15m/1H).
Stop: 25,020 (approx 220 pts above, tighten for intraday to 25,000 if aggressive).
TP ladder:
TP1 = 24,500 (-30–50 pts)
TP2 = 24,200 (-100 pts)
TP3 = 23,900 (target S2 area)
Risk control: If CFTC shows net-long expanding (small-cap strength) or Finviz breadth strongly bullish, skip or reduce size.
C — Intraday Micro-Sniper (15m / 5m)
Range play between 25,228 and 24,800.
Entries: Look for wick rejections at zone edges on M15/M5. Tight stops (10–20 pts). TP small (20–40 pts). Only 1–2 units max per day.
NASDAQ (US100) Analysis:The NASDAQ index recently tested its all-time high and is now showing signs of a potential corrective pullback after a strong bullish run.
📉 Expected scenario:
The price may retrace toward the 24,900 demand zone, which serves as an important support area.
If the index bounces from this level, it could resume its upward movement to form a new high.
However, if the price breaks below 24,900 and holds, a deeper move toward 24,600 is likely.
📈 Best buy zone: On a confirmed rebound from 24,900
📍 Best sell zone: On a confirmed rebound from 25,100, or Below 24,900 after confirmation
US100 Consolidates Below All-Time Highs-Can Bulls Break Through?US100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: All-Time High
This area represents the current all-time high and a clear supply zone where sellers previously absorbed aggressive buying pressure. It remains the strongest resistance in the current structure, a breakout above must be confirmed by sustained acceptance and volume before it can be trusted. Otherwise, this level continues to offer short opportunities or liquidity traps for late buyers.
Zone 2: Key Demand
This zone served as resistance before the most recent breakout and now acts as the first layer of demand. It’s a technical “flip zone,” where buyers stepped in to defend structure after the breakout attempt. As long as price holds above Zone 2, short-term bullish momentum remains valid. A clean break back below, however, would suggest a failed breakout and likely pull price toward deeper liquidity below.
Zone 3: Strong Buy Zone
This zone represents Monday’s low, the point where buyers stepped in decisively and drove the breakout move higher. It’s effectively the foundation of the current leg up and acts as a strong demand pocket created by institutional buying. As long as price remains above this area, market structure stays firmly bullish. A clean break below would invalidate the recent bullish impulse and indicate weakening buyer control.
Today’s market mood and outlook for US100
The US100 is holding a cautiously optimistic tone today, extending the strength seen on Monday. Yesterday’s rally was fueled by gains in major tech names, particularly Apple, alongside renewed hopes for progress in US–China trade relations and growing expectations of future Fed rate cuts.
That optimism continues into today, though investors remain wary. Falling oil prices and concerns about slowing global demand are tempering enthusiasm, and with the US government shutdown still delaying key data releases, visibility remains limited.
Overall, sentiment stays positive but measured, markets are leaning risk-on, supported by tech momentum and easing trade tensions, yet the rally remains vulnerable to any negative macro or geopolitical surprises.
NASDAQ 100 Resistance Reaction and Countertrend Short SetupThe NASDAQ 100 has rallied strongly and is now trading near the top of its current range 📊. Price is approaching a key resistance level, and I’m expecting a potential reaction from liquidity above the highs, followed by a retracement back to equilibrium — around 50% of the current price swing 📉.|
A countertrend short setup could be considered here, with the option to take partial profits early to reduce risk 💡. Full details of the trade idea and execution are explained clearly in the video.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Us100 Beautiful price action for the Friday
NFP ,data still not released due to the shut down, this will further effect the other major economic data outputs ,
Us100 on a steady close for Friday .
24000-25000 range close .
Took out previous day low in the Asian /London sessions
Trading back above markert open
Potential push to previous week low or continue to previous day highs and Asian day high
Nasdaq100 Breakout Map – Bullish Targets Ahead?🕵️♂️ NDX/US100 “NASDAQ100” Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀
📊 Plan: Bullish Bias (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 Entry Idea (Thief Layering Style):
Using a layering strategy (multiple limit orders). My preferred buy zones are:
🟢 24,300
🟢 24,400
🟢 24,500
🟢 24,600
(Feel free to adjust/add layers based on your own style — flexibility is key.)
🔒 Protective Stop (Thief SL):
❌ Around 24,000 (but note: this is just my map, you can manage risk as per your own plan).
💰 Target Area (Profit Zone):
🚧 25,500 = strong resistance barricade + overbought region + potential bull trap.
✅ My preferred exit: 25,400 (just before the “police barricade” 🚓).
⚠️ Note for Thief OG’s:
I’m not recommending to only follow my SL/TP. This is an educational trade map, not a fixed financial call. Adapt, adjust, and take profits your way.
🔑 Key Catalysts & Correlation Map:
Tech Sector Strength: US100 often mirrors mega-cap tech momentum ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA ).
Risk-On/Off Mood: Watch TVC:VIX — if fear spikes, layers may fill quicker.
Dollar Impact: TVC:DXY weakness often fuels NASDAQ:NDX upside.
Bond Yields: Higher yields = pressure on tech. Keep TVC:US10Y in your radar.
📌 Other Related Charts to Watch:
SP:SPX / CME_MINI:ES1! → Correlated US equity benchmark.
TVC:DXY → Inverse correlation (watch dollar moves).
TVC:VIX → Volatility indicator for risk sentiment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD → Risk sentiment cousin, moves with tech flows sometimes.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy Map — created for fun, educational purposes, and market observation only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, ladies & gentlemen. 🕵️♂️💸
#NASDAQ100 #NDX #US100 #SPX #Stocks #Indices #Trading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader
NASDAQ (US100) Analysis:The NASDAQ index is moving in a short-term upward trend and is now approaching the 24,900 resistance zone.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above 24,900 and holds, this could support further upside movement toward the liquidity zone around 25,200.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price rejects from resistance, it may retest the 24,700 support level, and a break below it could shift the trend back to bearish.
📈 Best Buy Zones: on a rebound from 24,750 or after a confirmed breakout above 24,900
📉 Best Sell Zone: below 24,700
NSDQ100 Oversold bounce back supported at 243761. Volatile Sentiment
Markets have whipsawed since Friday due to shifting US-China trade tensions.
In the last 24 hours, the S&P 500 swung from -1.5% to +0.4% intraday, closing just slightly down (-0.16%), highlighting fragile sentiment.
2. Fed Chair Powell’s Dovish Tone
Powell signaled a likely 25bps rate cut this month, citing soft hiring trends.
His dovish comments helped tech stocks and boosted risk appetite, especially in the second half of the US session.
3. Trump’s Trade Escalation Comments
Trump accused China of not buying soybeans and hinted at ending trade involving cooking oil and other goods.
These late comments undermined risk sentiment, reversing some of Powell's support.
4. Sector Performance
S&P Financials (+1.12%) outperformed on Q3 bank earnings.
Consumer Staples (+3.04%) also led, reflecting a defensive shift amid headline risk.
Tech was more volatile but held up on Powell’s policy support.
5. ECB Commentary
Villeroy hinted at rate cuts, while Makhlouf expressed inflation concerns, showing a split in ECB tone.
This may add uncertainty for European tech sentiment impacting US tech peers.
Takeaway for Nasdaq-100 Today
Supportive Fed signals are a tailwind for tech, but geopolitical risks (US-China) are keeping markets jumpy.
Expect headline-driven volatility to remain high.
Focus on big tech earnings, bond yields, and any new trade developments for direction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 24908
Resistance Level 2: 25050
Resistance Level 3: 25200
Support Level 1: 24376
Support Level 2: 24205
Support Level 3: 23920
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nas100 - Cautious Rebound: Tests Resistance, Demand Still IntactNas100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: Major Supply / Rejection Zone
This area represents the upper resistance band just below the recent all-time high. It’s where sellers previously absorbed liquidity and triggered the latest strong downside move. Until price can reclaim and hold above this level, it remains a key supply zone. Any retest from below should be watched for signs of exhaustion or rejection, as sellers could step in aggressively again.
Zone 2: Secondary Supply / Intraday Pivot Zone
Zone 2 has acted as both support and resistance in recent sessions. It now serves as a secondary supply zone and an intraday pivot level. If price fails to break cleanly above it, the area could cap upside momentum and trigger another pullback. A decisive breakout above, with acceptance on higher volume, would strengthen bullish control and open the path toward Zone 1.
Zone 3: Key Demand / Structural Support
This zone marks the base of the recent rebound, the origin of the strong bullish impulse following the heavy sell-off. Buyers have shown clear commitment here, defending the level multiple times. As long as price stays above Zone 3, short-term structure remains constructive. A breakdown below would shift sentiment bearish and expose deeper liquidity pools toward 24,000.
The Nas100 is trading with a cautious and slightly bearish tone today after sentiment weakened overnight. Earlier optimism from easing U.S.–China trade rhetoric has faded as fresh tensions resurfaced, including new tariff threats and U.S. accusations that China is manipulating access to key technology resources. These headlines have reignited risk aversion, pulling down tech and growth names that had led the recent rebound.
At the same time, the ongoing U.S. government shutdown continues to delay official economic data releases, leaving markets to trade largely on speculation, headlines, and positioning rather than fundamentals. This lack of clarity has made sentiment fragile and intraday volatility high.
Still, the broader outlook remains supported by strong AI and tech-sector investment, which the IMF recently said is helping shield the U.S. from a deeper slowdown. That theme continues to attract capital to the Nasdaq, even as valuations stay stretched and macro uncertainty lingers.
Overall, the mood on Nas100 is cautiously defensive, investors remain positioned in growth stocks but are increasingly sensitive to geopolitical and policy shocks that could quickly reverse momentum.
USTEC Recovers Within Channel, Can AI Strength Sustain Its RallyUSTEC steadied after recent losses as fresh AI developments reignited tech optimism. AMD (AMD) secured a major order from Oracle (ORCL) for its upcoming MI450 chips, signaling progress in its bid to challenge Nvidia's (NVDA) dominance. The deal, alongside OpenAI's expanded partnerships with Broadcom (AVGO) and Oracle, underscored the accelerating AI infrastructure race. However, lingering caution over trade frictions and US policy uncertainty could cap upside momentum in the near term.
From a technical perspective, USTEC rebounded above the ascending channel's lower bound and support at 24000. The index is holding above the Ichimoku Cloud. If USTEC breaks the resistance at 25200, the price may gain upward momentum toward the resistance at 26000. Conversely, a bearish breakout of the ascending channel and support at 24000 may prompt a further decline toward the following support at 23000.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
14 OCTOBER REVIEW: REVISITING THE NY AM SESSIONFRAMING THE MODEL ON THE LOWER TIMEFRAMES
- All LTF analysis attached were based off the prior HTF "IF-THEN" scenarios
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute advice.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
US100 - SHORT POSSIBILITYBasically price is showing downtrend tendencies by creating lower lows one after another. Price is currently struggling under the h4 resistence level at 24 748.3, still unbroken which is showing higher chances of price respecting that resistence and pull back down. For an high-risk tolerance trader, right now show a good entry possibility but for a low-risk tolerance trader, you can wait for price to break the lower timeframe support level at 24 628.1 before placing a short entry. This is purely for ideas purpose only and should not be used alone to take on a trade. Good profits traders.
USTEC100 – Buy SetupPrice is attempting to recover after a sharp drop and is now consolidating above intraday support. A break and hold above this level may trigger a bullish continuation.
Buy Entry: 24,470 – 24,370
Stop Loss: 24,250
Take Profit: 25,130 – 25,200
📈 Bias: Bullish
⚠️ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always confirm entries with your own strategy and manage risk accordingly.
#USTEC100 #NASDAQ #Indices #BuySignal #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis