Just following Trend This is Nasdaq Trend since Monday Low Do think 25,137 is a good short area but Trump speaks at 3pm now so I would just wait.
Trade ideas
NASDAQ (US100) Analysis:The NASDAQ index is moving in a short-term upward trend and is now approaching the 24,900 resistance zone.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above 24,900 and holds, this could support further upside movement toward the liquidity zone around 25,200.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price rejects from resistance, it may retest the 24,700 support level, and a break below it could shift the trend back to bearish.
📈 Best Buy Zones: on a rebound from 24,750 or after a confirmed breakout above 24,900
📉 Best Sell Zone: below 24,700
NSDQ100 Oversold bounce back supported at 243761. Volatile Sentiment
Markets have whipsawed since Friday due to shifting US-China trade tensions.
In the last 24 hours, the S&P 500 swung from -1.5% to +0.4% intraday, closing just slightly down (-0.16%), highlighting fragile sentiment.
2. Fed Chair Powell’s Dovish Tone
Powell signaled a likely 25bps rate cut this month, citing soft hiring trends.
His dovish comments helped tech stocks and boosted risk appetite, especially in the second half of the US session.
3. Trump’s Trade Escalation Comments
Trump accused China of not buying soybeans and hinted at ending trade involving cooking oil and other goods.
These late comments undermined risk sentiment, reversing some of Powell's support.
4. Sector Performance
S&P Financials (+1.12%) outperformed on Q3 bank earnings.
Consumer Staples (+3.04%) also led, reflecting a defensive shift amid headline risk.
Tech was more volatile but held up on Powell’s policy support.
5. ECB Commentary
Villeroy hinted at rate cuts, while Makhlouf expressed inflation concerns, showing a split in ECB tone.
This may add uncertainty for European tech sentiment impacting US tech peers.
Takeaway for Nasdaq-100 Today
Supportive Fed signals are a tailwind for tech, but geopolitical risks (US-China) are keeping markets jumpy.
Expect headline-driven volatility to remain high.
Focus on big tech earnings, bond yields, and any new trade developments for direction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 24908
Resistance Level 2: 25050
Resistance Level 3: 25200
Support Level 1: 24376
Support Level 2: 24205
Support Level 3: 23920
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
15 OCT 2025: OUTLOOK2 SCENARIOS TO CONTEMPLATE
- Will observe price action and react accordingly
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
Nas100 - Cautious Rebound: Tests Resistance, Demand Still IntactNas100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: Major Supply / Rejection Zone
This area represents the upper resistance band just below the recent all-time high. It’s where sellers previously absorbed liquidity and triggered the latest strong downside move. Until price can reclaim and hold above this level, it remains a key supply zone. Any retest from below should be watched for signs of exhaustion or rejection, as sellers could step in aggressively again.
Zone 2: Secondary Supply / Intraday Pivot Zone
Zone 2 has acted as both support and resistance in recent sessions. It now serves as a secondary supply zone and an intraday pivot level. If price fails to break cleanly above it, the area could cap upside momentum and trigger another pullback. A decisive breakout above, with acceptance on higher volume, would strengthen bullish control and open the path toward Zone 1.
Zone 3: Key Demand / Structural Support
This zone marks the base of the recent rebound, the origin of the strong bullish impulse following the heavy sell-off. Buyers have shown clear commitment here, defending the level multiple times. As long as price stays above Zone 3, short-term structure remains constructive. A breakdown below would shift sentiment bearish and expose deeper liquidity pools toward 24,000.
The Nas100 is trading with a cautious and slightly bearish tone today after sentiment weakened overnight. Earlier optimism from easing U.S.–China trade rhetoric has faded as fresh tensions resurfaced, including new tariff threats and U.S. accusations that China is manipulating access to key technology resources. These headlines have reignited risk aversion, pulling down tech and growth names that had led the recent rebound.
At the same time, the ongoing U.S. government shutdown continues to delay official economic data releases, leaving markets to trade largely on speculation, headlines, and positioning rather than fundamentals. This lack of clarity has made sentiment fragile and intraday volatility high.
Still, the broader outlook remains supported by strong AI and tech-sector investment, which the IMF recently said is helping shield the U.S. from a deeper slowdown. That theme continues to attract capital to the Nasdaq, even as valuations stay stretched and macro uncertainty lingers.
Overall, the mood on Nas100 is cautiously defensive, investors remain positioned in growth stocks but are increasingly sensitive to geopolitical and policy shocks that could quickly reverse momentum.
USTEC Recovers Within Channel, Can AI Strength Sustain Its RallyUSTEC steadied after recent losses as fresh AI developments reignited tech optimism. AMD (AMD) secured a major order from Oracle (ORCL) for its upcoming MI450 chips, signaling progress in its bid to challenge Nvidia's (NVDA) dominance. The deal, alongside OpenAI's expanded partnerships with Broadcom (AVGO) and Oracle, underscored the accelerating AI infrastructure race. However, lingering caution over trade frictions and US policy uncertainty could cap upside momentum in the near term.
From a technical perspective, USTEC rebounded above the ascending channel's lower bound and support at 24000. The index is holding above the Ichimoku Cloud. If USTEC breaks the resistance at 25200, the price may gain upward momentum toward the resistance at 26000. Conversely, a bearish breakout of the ascending channel and support at 24000 may prompt a further decline toward the following support at 23000.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
14 OCTOBER REVIEW: REVISITING THE NY AM SESSIONFRAMING THE MODEL ON THE LOWER TIMEFRAMES
- All LTF analysis attached were based off the prior HTF "IF-THEN" scenarios
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute advice.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
US100 - SHORT POSSIBILITYBasically price is showing downtrend tendencies by creating lower lows one after another. Price is currently struggling under the h4 resistence level at 24 748.3, still unbroken which is showing higher chances of price respecting that resistence and pull back down. For an high-risk tolerance trader, right now show a good entry possibility but for a low-risk tolerance trader, you can wait for price to break the lower timeframe support level at 24 628.1 before placing a short entry. This is purely for ideas purpose only and should not be used alone to take on a trade. Good profits traders.
USTEC100 – Buy SetupPrice is attempting to recover after a sharp drop and is now consolidating above intraday support. A break and hold above this level may trigger a bullish continuation.
Buy Entry: 24,470 – 24,370
Stop Loss: 24,250
Take Profit: 25,130 – 25,200
📈 Bias: Bullish
⚠️ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always confirm entries with your own strategy and manage risk accordingly.
#USTEC100 #NASDAQ #Indices #BuySignal #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
NAS100 – Price Action UpdatePrice rebounded sharply from the 24,300.00 support and is now testing the 24,750.00 resistance zone. The overall market structure shows recovery attempts after last week’s sell-off.
Support at : 24,500.00 🔽 / 24,300.00 🔽
Resistance at : 24,750.00 🔼 / 25,000.00 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish : A strong close above 24,750.00 could open the way toward 25,000.00 and 25,170.00.
🔽 Bearish : Failure to break and close above 24,750.00 may trigger a move back toward 24,500.00 or 24,300.00.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Order Block @24360 | BuyPrice is in an overall bullish trend, it created an order block that lead to a break of structure. It came back and respected the order block and then created a change of character on that order block on a lower timeframe. No i will wait for price to retest to the order block that caused the CHoCh for entry.
Buy position Nas100Waiting for Gap closure. The market needs to go down and close the gap. Once gap is closed, will take long position and will hold the long position to 26000 (SWING TRADE). Waiting game.
Nas100 Trade Set Up Oct 14 2025Price has swept both PDH and PDL and formed a 4h bearish FVG so i will be trading with the bearish trend waiting for price to sweep London highs as BSL to look for sells to SSL
NAS100 Do we sell off today? In my opinion if we sell of we just look for short to fair value gap bullish. This is not a signal to calling any trade. I'm just sharing my own analysis. FX:NAS100
US100 - Cautious Optimism Returns?US100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: Key Supply / Lower High Resistance
This is the first meaningful resistance zone below the all-time high. The sharp selloff originated here, making it a tactical “sell zone” on retests. If bulls manage to reclaim and hold above it, it would signal regained momentum and open the door for a reattempt at the highs. Otherwise, repeated rejections here could confirm a developing lower-high structure — a sign of weakening bullish control.
Zone 2: Intermediate Demand / Reaction Zone
This zone has shown reactive buying interest and currently acts as short-term support. It’s where price paused after the last major drop, showing the presence of responsive buyers. Holding above this zone keeps the intraday bias neutral-to-bullish, but a decisive break below would expose the next, stronger demand layer.
Zone 3: Strong Demand / Structural Support
This is the critical demand base for the current structure. Buyers have previously stepped in aggressively here, making it a key defense area for maintaining the broader bullish trend. A clean breakdown below would mark a shift in market structure toward a deeper correction phase.
US100 sentiment as of October 14, 2025
After a volatile start to the week, sentiment around the US100 has turned cautiously optimistic. The tone improved sharply yesterday after President Trump softened his rhetoric toward China, easing fears of an escalating trade war. Markets responded positively, with tech and AI-related stocks leading the rebound, particularly semiconductor and infrastructure names, which had been under pressure from tariff headlines earlier in the week.
The shift restored some risk appetite, but traders remain aware of how fragile the backdrop still is. The government shutdown continues to limit access to key U.S. economic data, leaving investors to trade largely on headlines, corporate news, and policy expectations. Meanwhile, valuations remain stretched, and any renewed trade tension or hawkish commentary from the Fed could quickly reverse the current optimism.
Overall, the US100 is holding a bullish bias, supported by AI momentum and relief over trade tensions, yet sentiment is still built on a fragile foundation, driven more by narrative and liquidity than by solid macro data.
Us100 - Breakout Setup In PlayThe market has formed a rising channel after a significant bullish reversal marked by a Change of Character (CHoCH) and a Break of Structure (BOS). Price is currently consolidating near the midline of the ascending channel.
🔍 Key Insight:
We're in a wait-and-watch zone — a breakout from this channel in either direction could set the tone for the next move.
Trading Plan:
Upside Breakout: Watch for a breakout above the upper boundary of the channel with strong bullish momentum. Target the projected move equal to the height of the channel.
Downside Breakout: If price breaks below the lower channel support, expect a potential bearish move toward the lower target zone marked on the chart.
Important: Wait for a clear breakout and confirmation before entering a trade. Avoid entering inside the channel to minimize risk from false moves.
NASDAQ Index Analysis:📉 U.S. indices witnessed a sharp decline on Friday’s session, with the NASDAQ being one of the most affected, closing at 23,980.
📈 As Monday’s session opened, the market started with a strong bullish gap (Gap Up) at 24,480, then continued to move upward — a trend likely to persist in the coming hours.
🔹 Expected Scenario:
As long as the price remains above the 24,500 support zone, the likely movement is toward the 25,100 resistance level for a potential retest.
🔸 However, if 24,500 support is broken and closed below, we could see a deeper correction before the uptrend resumes.
BULLISH TRADE IDEAS - IF THEN ANALYSISMONDAY: 13 OCTOBER 2025
PRE-NY ANALYSIS:
BULLISH INTRA-DAY IDEA FRAMED ON H1 AND REFINED ON M15:
- Market currently in a Premium and just caressed the OTE (62%) of the Fib
- Price also currently below the True-Day Open.
- Would like to see price trade lower into the Discount of the range before trading higher as per scenario 1.
- Otherwise, we look to scenario 2.
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute advice.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
Nas100 - Pulls Back from Record Levels, Testing Critical SupportZone 1: Major Supply / Rejection Area
This zone aligns with the upper consolidation structure from which the last impulsive sell-off originated. Sellers have shown clear presence here, making it a strong supply pocket. As long as price remains below, it acts as a tactical short zone or at least a reaction point where momentum may fade. A sustained break and acceptance above would neutralize the selling pressure and open the door for a retest of the highs.
Asia Session High: Intraday Pivot
This intraday level marks short-term liquidity and offers a reference point for session-based structure. If price holds below it, short-term bias stays bearish toward the lower demand zone; reclaiming it intraday could trigger a squeeze back into Zone 1.
Zone 2: Key Demand / Buy-Side Liquidity Area
This zone has repeatedly acted as a strong buy-side absorption region. It represents the base of the prior impulse move, where aggressive buyers stepped in to defend structure. A clean hold here could produce a sharp rebound, while a decisive break below would confirm a shift in market control toward sellers and potentially start a deeper correction cycle.
Sentiment
The Nas100 remains near record highs, with sentiment best described as bullish but cautious. The market is still being driven by expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts, falling bond yields, and strong momentum in AI and large-cap tech stocks. Despite a weaker macro backdrop, investors continue to treat the tech sector as a structural growth play and a safe haven in an uncertain environment.
However, the tone is far from euphoric. The ongoing U.S. government shutdown has created a “data blackout,” leaving traders without key economic releases such as CPI or employment figures. This has made the market more headline-driven and prone to volatility. At the same time, renewed U.S.–China trade tensions and rising warnings about overvaluation are keeping risk awareness high.
Overall, sentiment on US100 remains positive, supported by liquidity and tech optimism, but the rally rests on fragile ground - driven more by policy expectations and momentum than by clear fundamental strength.
NAS100📊 NAS100USD 4H Analysis – Reversal Zones Identified
The Nasdaq 100 has seen a sharp bearish drop, breaking below recent highs with strong momentum. Price is now approaching a key support region where a short-term rebound could take place if buying pressure emerges.
Potential Reversal Zones:
🔹 24,446.9 – Primary support / first potential reaction area.
🔹 24,818.4 – 24,970.5 – Resistance range; watch for possible rejection if price rebounds.
The market remains under bearish pressure, but short-term corrections toward 24,800–25,000 are possible before any continuation of the downtrend.
If the current bearish momentum continues below 24,400, we could see further downside movement.
📈 Bias: Short-term corrective bounce within a broader bearish structure.
🕓 Timeframe: 4H
NAS100 4 H🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
NAS100USD 1M – Tariff Shock After Record HighsThe NAS100 reached a new all-time high earlier this month, extending its recovery from the April 2025 low. However, October has turned into a sharp selloff after Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on China starting November 1st, triggering heavy liquidation and breaking multiple support levels. The key focus now is whether the 23,367.28 zone will hold as support or open the way for deeper downside.
Support at: 23,367.28 / 21,800.00 / 16,400.00 / 10,700.00 🔽
Resistance at: 25,249.79 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A monthly close back above 25,249.79 would suggest renewed strength, keeping the long-term uptrend intact.
🔽 Bearish: Failure to hold 23,367.28 confirms October’s selloff continuation, exposing 21,800.00 as the next key downside target.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
