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NSDQ100 Cautious consolidationNasdaq futures are pointing to a softer open today, as markets lose momentum following a record-breaking run. Investors are growing cautious amid renewed political and geopolitical tensions. Market backdrop: Equities pulled back modestly yesterday, with the S&P 500 down -0.28% and Europe’s STOXX 600 off -0.43%, as questions arose about the sustainability of the recent rally. The Nasdaq 100 also eased from record highs, mirroring the risk-off tone seen across regions and asset classes. Macro drivers: The US government shutdown—now entering its second week—is weighing on sentiment, especially after Trump vowed deeper spending cuts, raising fears of a prolonged fiscal impasse. Rising 10yr Treasury yields (+2.1bps to 4.14%) and wider high-yield spreads (+9bps) suggest investors are turning more defensive. Gold (-1.61%) also reversed sharply, falling below $4,000/oz, signaling some unwinding of safe-haven flows. Geopolitical factors: Tensions are rising ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting, with Beijing launching an antitrust probe into Qualcomm’s Autotalks deal, and new US legislation favouring Nvidia and AMD chip supplies for domestic use. The moves underscore potential risks for tech heavyweights with major China exposure. Meanwhile, the Israel-Gaza hostage deal and Trump’s expected visit add another layer of geopolitical complexity. Nasdaq 100 outlook: Tech stocks may see selective pressure today as investors react to the escalating US–China tech dispute and higher yields. However, recent strength in AI and semiconductors could offer some support. Expect consolidation near record levels, with traders awaiting US consumer sentiment data later in the day for confirmation of demand resilience. Tone: Cautious consolidation — Nasdaq 100 likely to trade sideways to slightly lower as macro and political risks temper recent euphoria. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25200 Resistance Level 2: 25300 Resistance Level 3: 25400 Support Level 1: 24870 Support Level 2: 24730 Support Level 3: 24590 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
Tech Correction Deepens: NASDAQ Flashes Bearish Signal as YieldsThe market today is exhibiting a bearish bias for the technology-heavy NASDAQ (COMP) driven by a confluence of macroeconomic and technical factors. Macroeconomic Headwinds: "Higher-For-Longer" Rates The primary bearish catalyst is the sustained upward trajectory in long-term Treasury yields. High yields pressure growth and technology stocks, which comprise the bulk of the NASDAQ. Higher borrowing costs diminish the value of future earnings (discounted cash flow) for companies that rely on debt for aggressive growth, leading to multiple compression across the tech sector. This underlying fear of sustained high interest rates is keeping institutional capital cautious. Geopolitical Instability and Risk-Off Sentiment Escalating geopolitical tensions have introduced significant market uncertainty. While a direct economic impact is hard to quantify immediately, such events typically trigger a "flight to safety," with investors pulling money out of riskier, high-growth assets (like tech stocks) and into traditional safe-haven assets, pressuring the NASDAQ. Technical Breakdown Trend and Structure The index exhibits a clear intraday uptrend , characterized by higher highs and higher lows. A prominent rising green trendline acts as strong dynamic support, connecting the recent significant low points. The price has respected this trendline repeatedly, indicating bullish momentum. The overall pattern on the right side of the chart appears to be forming an ascending triangle pattern, a continuation pattern that often resolves to the upside, though a breakout confirmation is required. Key Price Levels Resistance: The most critical level is the horizontal red resistance line at approximately 25,160.0. The price is currently challenging this level and has touched it multiple times without a decisive breakout to new highs. A confirmed break above this level would signal a continuation of the rally. Support: Dynamic Support: The rising green trendline provides immediate support. A break below this line would be the first sign of a significant shift in intraday momentum. Key Support Zone: A visible support area is marked by a horizontal green line at approximately 24,790.0, which served as a previous reaction level before the final push higher. Indicators (Moving Averages) The chart shows several Moving Averages (MAs), which generally support the current bullish trend, as the price remains above all displayed MAs: The price is trading well above the short-term MAs (solid light green and light blue lines), suggesting strong current bullish momentum. The MAs themselves are generally sloping upwards and are in a bullish order (shorter-term MAs above longer-term MAs), which reinforces the current strength. A close below these moving averages, particularly the longer-term dashed ones, would indicate a decline in buying pressure. Momentum Observation The price action near the high suggests a slight loss of upside momentum, evidenced by the multiple attempts to break the 25,140.0 resistance without success. This could be interpreted as: Consolidation before a potential breakout above the resistance. A possible formation of a double top or exhaustion if the price fails to break resistance and subsequently breaks the rising trendline.
IG:NASDAQShort
by AhmedAmineMchayaa
NAS 100: Price Surge Potential After Break and RetestHi everyone, Kilian here! Let's take a closer look at the NAS 100 on a 3-hour timeframe, as it’s currently showing some interesting movements. The price has been steadily moving within an ascending channel, with the buyers continuing to dominate and push the price higher. What’s particularly interesting right now is the breakout level. As the price approaches this level, we’ll be watching closely to see if the buyers can maintain control. A break and retest scenario could unfold here. If the price breaks through this level and then comes back to retest it (testing the broken level as support), and the buyers manage to hold it, this would be a strong confirmation that the buyers are still in control, and we could see price continuing to move towards the upper boundary of the channel. However, if the price drops back below this level after the breakout, this could signal a false breakout, which may lead to a short-term correction as the sellers take control. Currently, the momentum is still in favor of the buyers, and as long as the price holds above the breakout level, the bullish structure remains intact. What do you think? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments! And remember, discussions within the TradingView community are a great way for all of us to improve our trading skills and grow together.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Kiliann_Dang
3
Nas100 money4/1 h range on the left. We had a push down to sweep buyers and a new leg to the upside that broke highs and created the range. Waited for price to retrace sub 702 fib to sweep liquidity, mitigate the last time sellers were in control (last down candle). Once we see that we can then expect that price can continue in its desired direction. 15 min tf gave us clear break to that direction taking profit at the creation of sellers (top of higher tf range). Clean cut same thing over and over. I hope someone can learn from the simplicity of this idea.
FX:NAS100
by fx25ms
Bearish Outlook on NQ📉 Bearish Outlook on NQ After completing the manipulation phase, NQ has tapped perfectly into the Bearish FVG (1H) zone around 25,366.45 – 25,392.25, sweeping both SSLs in the process. This confirms premium-level distribution, suggesting the market is ready for a downside move. Scenario 1 – Primary (Bearish Bias): Price rejects from the Bearish FVG 1H, fails to reclaim 25,366.45, and begins its descent. Liquidity below the BSL at 25,293.65 becomes the first target, followed by a clean run toward 25,264.95, completing a liquidity sweep below recent lows. Scenario 2 – Rejection & Re-Test: A short-term push above 25,330.55 (NAS100FT) to re-test the Bearish FVG 1H could offer another entry opportunity before the drop resumes toward 25,293.65 and 25,264.95. Scenario 3 – Deep Liquidity Grab Before Reversal: Should price tap deeper into the Bullish FVG 4H, we could see a final liquidity sweep below 25,264.95 before a stronger bullish reaction emerges. 🎯 Overall Bias: Bearish — targeting liquidity below 25,293.65 and 25,264.95. Manipulation phase complete, distribution underway. Follow and like for more. Greetings, MrYounity
FUSIONMARKETS:NAS100Short
by MrYounity
NASDAQ Bullish Continuation PatternsNAS100 is still pushing to the upside. Currently on the H1 TF I am spotting a bullish flag. Confirmation to enter is on a breakout and a retest. Now, the thing about indices is that they love a nice false breakout, so expect the unexpected. Hence, the arrow points to the downside after the breakout and possibly retesting a support zone before we get a final bullish momentum. Patience will pay you in this market. The trend is still your friend.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Moipone_Phakisi
2
USNAS100 Extends Gains on AI Strength & Fed Cut Hopes?USNAS100 – Overview Wall Street futures rose on Monday, extending last week’s rally as AI-related optimism and softer labor market data boosted expectations for a Fed rate cut later this year. The upbeat sentiment continues to support risk assets, though volatility remains sensitive to policy headlines. Technical Outlook The index has stabilized in a bullish zone, maintaining upward pressure above 24,900, with potential to extend toward 25,175, especially if it breaks 25,040. To confirm a bearish reversal, the price must close a 4H candle below 24,810, which would expose downside targets near 24,580. Pivot: 25,040 Resistance: 25,175 – 25,390 Support: 24,810 – 24,590 – 24,450
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
NASDAQ (US100) Analysis:✴️ Overall Trend: Bullish The NASDAQ index showed strong performance yesterday, reaching 25,190, marking a new all-time high. A price correction toward the Fibonacci golden zone at 25,000 is expected. If this level is broken, the price may move down to the liquidity zone near 24,820. 📌 Best Buy Zones: Watch for a rebound from 25,000 or 24,820 📍 Best Sell Zone: Upon breaking 25,100 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Fadi_radar