US100: Needs a healthy pullback before breaking highs🧭 SKILLING:US100 (30-Min Chart) – The Market Needs a Pause Before the Breakout
After a strong recovery from the 24,200 area , the US100 has shown an impressive upward acceleration, forming a steep speed line that pushed price back toward the previous highs around 25,150 – 25,250 — a major resistance zone where sellers previously dominated.
However, as price reaches this area, the bullish momentum is starting to fade. Smaller candles and indecisive movements reveal hesitation — buyers are still in control, but the strength that carried the market this far is beginning to weaken.
If we look closely at the market structure, it’s clear that the index has been trying to reclaim the entire prior range, but that effort hasn’t come easy. After such a fast rally, the market looks overextended, and bulls may need a healthy pullback to gather enough energy for a real breakout.
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🔍 Technical Outlook
• The 25,150 – 25,250 zone remains the key resistance area. If price keeps getting rejected here, short-term sellers might step in.
• A corrective move toward 24,850 – 24,950 (the pink zone) would not be surprising.
• That area should be watched closely — if buyers defend it strongly, it could become the launchpad for another push toward new highs.
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🎯 Personal View
The overall structure still favors the bullish side, but momentum needs a reset.
A short-term pullback shouldn’t be seen as weakness — it’s an opportunity for the market to rebalance before the next leg up.
If the 24,850 zone holds, the probability of a true breakout above 25,250 increases significantly, potentially opening room toward 25,400 – 25,500 in the next sessions.
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💬 In summary:
The US100 has worked hard to reclaim lost ground, but breaking above the previous top will require fresh momentum. A short-term correction could be exactly what the market needs to build a stronger foundation for a sustainable rally.
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Trade ideas
US100 Consolidates Below All-Time Highs-Can Bulls Break Through?US100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: All-Time High
This area represents the current all-time high and a clear supply zone where sellers previously absorbed aggressive buying pressure. It remains the strongest resistance in the current structure, a breakout above must be confirmed by sustained acceptance and volume before it can be trusted. Otherwise, this level continues to offer short opportunities or liquidity traps for late buyers.
Zone 2: Key Demand
This zone served as resistance before the most recent breakout and now acts as the first layer of demand. It’s a technical “flip zone,” where buyers stepped in to defend structure after the breakout attempt. As long as price holds above Zone 2, short-term bullish momentum remains valid. A clean break back below, however, would suggest a failed breakout and likely pull price toward deeper liquidity below.
Zone 3: Strong Buy Zone
This zone represents Monday’s low, the point where buyers stepped in decisively and drove the breakout move higher. It’s effectively the foundation of the current leg up and acts as a strong demand pocket created by institutional buying. As long as price remains above this area, market structure stays firmly bullish. A clean break below would invalidate the recent bullish impulse and indicate weakening buyer control.
Today’s market mood and outlook for US100
The US100 is holding a cautiously optimistic tone today, extending the strength seen on Monday. Yesterday’s rally was fueled by gains in major tech names, particularly Apple, alongside renewed hopes for progress in US–China trade relations and growing expectations of future Fed rate cuts.
That optimism continues into today, though investors remain wary. Falling oil prices and concerns about slowing global demand are tempering enthusiasm, and with the US government shutdown still delaying key data releases, visibility remains limited.
Overall, sentiment stays positive but measured, markets are leaning risk-on, supported by tech momentum and easing trade tensions, yet the rally remains vulnerable to any negative macro or geopolitical surprises.
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Get Ready for Breakout
Nasdaq index is currently testing a resistance based on a current
all-time high.
With a high probability, the market is going to break that.
A daily candle close above will confirm a violation.
A further growth will be expected at least to 25500 level then.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NASDAQ This bullish squeeze can push it to 26300.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the May 23 Low on its 4H MA100 (green trend-line). It appears that the index is getting out of the red Bearish Leg, which on the whole pattern serves as a Bull Flag for the next rally (Bullish Leg). Once the 4H RSI breaks above its Lower Highs trend-line, it will confirm the new Bullish Leg.
The last such RSI Lower Highs break-out was on June 23 when a similar 4H MA50/ 100 Bullish Squeeze took place. That was almost in the middle of a +14.63% rally in total before the index pulled back to its 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
As a result, once the 4H RSI break-out is finalized, we expect this run to reach at least 26300 (+14.63%).
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USNAS100 | Weakness Persists Below PivotUSNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Bias Below 25,035
USNAS100 has stabilized below the pivot zone at 25,035, indicating potential downside movement toward 24,860.
A break below 24,860 would strengthen the bearish trend, targeting 24,750 → 24,510 in the short term.
On the other hand, if price closes a 1H candle above 25,035, it would confirm a bullish reversal, opening the path toward 25,200 → 25,400.
Pivot: 25,035
Support: 24,860 – 24,750 – 24,510
Resistance: 25,200 – 25,400 – 25,540
NASDAQ 100 Resistance Reaction and Countertrend Short SetupThe NASDAQ 100 has rallied strongly and is now trading near the top of its current range 📊. Price is approaching a key resistance level, and I’m expecting a potential reaction from liquidity above the highs, followed by a retracement back to equilibrium — around 50% of the current price swing 📉.|
A countertrend short setup could be considered here, with the option to take partial profits early to reduce risk 💡. Full details of the trade idea and execution are explained clearly in the video.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for a Decisive Week?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its long-term ascending channel. As long as the Nasdaq is in its range, you can be a seller at the top of the range and a buyer at the bottom. If this range is broken, you can look for new trends in the Nasdaq.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for September 2025 will be released on Friday, October 24 at 8:30 a.m. New York time (4:00 p.m. Tehran time). This release comes as most other economic data have been delayed due to the ongoing federal government shutdown, which has suspended normal operations.
The CPI report is particularly important for the U.S. Social Security Administration, as it serves as the basis for calculating annual adjustments to retirement benefits and other statutory payments.
In a statement released on Friday, the agency confirmed that it would temporarily recall a limited number of furloughed employees to ensure the timely publication of the CPI report. Originally scheduled for October 15, the release has now been rescheduled for October 24.
This CPI release will be among the few remaining economic datasets published by federal agencies during the shutdown. Since October 1, most data-producing institutions have ceased operations amid political deadlock between Democrats and Republicans that has halted large portions of federal services.
With the federal shutdown continuing, U.S. markets are increasingly relying on private-sector data to gauge the state of the economy. In the upcoming week, indicators such as housing sales and private manufacturing surveys will be released, serving as alternative references for traders and analysts.
Without access to official government data, investors, businesses, and consumers face a heightened level of uncertainty, making it difficult to plan for spending, hiring, and saving decisions.
The CPI report could play a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions, as the FOMC will have access to the data ahead of its October 28–29 policy meeting. Fed officials are currently debating whether to cut interest rates further, and if so, how quickly.
In September, the Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate to support a weakening labor market by reducing borrowing costs across short-term loans. Another rate cut is widely expected in October, though elevated inflation could slow or prevent further easing.
The Chief Financial Officer of Bank of America (BOFA) stated that the bank expects two additional rate cuts by the Fed before the end of this year.
Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently warned about downside risks to the labor market, sparking speculation that he might have had early access to the yet-unreleased September employment report. However, a closer examination of his remarks shows no confirmation or denial of such access.
The key takeaway from Powell’s speech was his firm reaffirmation of market expectations for a rate cut later this month, delivered without any sign of hesitation or opposition — a clear and confident signal to investors.
In another commentary, Bank of America highlighted that the current boom in AI data centers is fundamentally different from the dot-com bubble of the early 2000s. The bank attributed today’s expansion to strong semiconductor utilization, healthy cash flows, lower valuations, and a more favorable interest rate environment.
Nonetheless, it acknowledged ongoing concerns about excessive spending and stretched valuations in certain AI sectors.
Finally, the October Bank of America investor survey revealed that recession fears have fallen to their lowest level since February 2022, while optimism about economic growth has seen its strongest jump since 2020:
• 33% expect a “no-landing” scenario (up from 18%)
• 54% foresee a “soft landing” (down from 67%)
• 8% anticipate a “hard landing” (down from 10%).
US100 Opens the Week with Cautious Optimism After Trade TensionsUS100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: All-Time High
This level represents the current top of the market and a heavy supply region. Until price closes decisively above this range with volume confirmation, it remains a key ceiling. Any push into this zone is high-risk for longs and ideal for short-term fade setups or liquidity hunts.
Zone 2: Pre-Breakout Resistance
This is the immediate resistance just below the all-time high. While a breakout through this zone may appear bullish on lower timeframes, traders should exercise caution. The proximity of the all-time-high resistance above significantly reduces reward-to-risk for fresh longs, price can easily reject from the upper zone and reverse quickly. A cleaner confirmation would require acceptance above both Zone 2 and Zone 1 before considering continuation trades.
Zone 3: Key Demand
This demand zone remains the foundation of the current bullish structure. It marks the origin of the recent rally and continues to attract responsive buyers on dips. As long as price holds above this level, the broader bias stays constructive. A clean break below would, however, shift short-term sentiment bearish and open the door for a deeper correction.
Market Sentiment: Cautious Optimism
After a volatile end to last week, US100 is starting the new week with a tone of cautious optimism. On Friday, renewed tension between the US and China rattled markets, as Washington floated new tariffs and export restrictions while Beijing hinted at countermeasures. However, over the weekend the tone softened, US officials signaled that they did not intend to escalate the trade conflict further, which helped calm investor nerves and lifted sentiment in global markets, particularly in Asia.
Today, the index is trading slightly higher, supported by renewed risk appetite and continued strength in tech and AI-related stocks. Still, confidence remains fragile. Oil prices have weakened, raising questions about global growth, and the ongoing US government shutdown continues to delay key economic data releases. With limited visibility into real fundamentals, investors are largely trading on headlines and policy expectations.
Overall, sentiment around the US100 is positive but delicate, the market is recovering from last week’s uncertainty, yet it remains highly sensitive to any renewed trade tension or negative macro surprises.
BIAS FOR THE WEEK: 20 OCT TO 24 OCT 2025AN IDEA OF WHAT I WOULD LIKE TO SEE OCCUR IN PRICE.
IF NOT, THEN I WILL LOOK TO ADJUST MY BIAS ACCORDINGLY.
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US100 A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for US100 below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 24.863
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 24.615
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Weekly NASDAQ Outlook (NQ!)Last Friday, NQ! closed at 23,998.6, after a strong decline into the weekly close. When the market reopened on Monday, it gapped up — likely due to weekend events and news.
That gap has since been completely filled, and price has shown a solid push to the upside during the week.
For the coming week, I’m expecting NQ! to take out the all-time high and possibly form a new high.
However, before that happens, I’d like to see a retracement toward the 24,692.8 level, which could provide high-probability long setups.
There’s also a possibility that price won’t revisit this level and instead continues pushing higher directly, but a clean pullback into 24,692.8 would offer a great entry opportunity for longs.
📊 Outlook Summary:
- Expecting bullish continuation.
- Ideal retracement zone: 24,692.8.
- Main target: New all-time high above previous peak.
Big Bearish Day- A Weakness or Buying OpportunityNasdaq is in a strong uptrend. It broke above 23,966 and shot up to 25,191
As it has been taking support at 50EMA multiple times on daily chart, the recent fall of more than 1200 points was contained exactly near the same level.
From the price action point of view-
The fall ceased near the previous breakout zone near 23966, previous resistance acted as support.
A single candle on the daily chart with no continuation has to be an attempt to sweep liquidity below important swing lows near 24200 and 24000 (see 4H chart).
The action near 24250 is also reflecting absorption.
The psychological round number of 25000 could stay as resistance for some time and again push it back in the 24,400 to 24,500 zone offering a short-term low risk buying opportunity.
In this backdrop, 24000 to 24250 zone, accompanied by the strong trend in the background, may again cushion the price back to new highs.
What is your point of view?
Is the recent fall a sign of weakness or an opportunity to buy?
#Educational post not a recommendation to buy or sell.
NAS100 Technical Outlook (18–25 Oct 2025)Trend Summary:
NASDAQ 100 remains in a corrective phase after rejecting near the 25,200–25,300 resistance zone. Recent price action forms a potential Wave 4 retracement within a medium-term bullish Elliott structure.
1D Chart View:
The index is hovering around key support at 24,750, aligned with the 3 8.2% Fib retracement of the prior leg and near daily EMA50. A bullish reversal from this zone would confirm continuation toward 25,800–26,000.
4H Structure:
A descending channel is observed, acting as a corrective pullback. Ichimoku Cloud shows price testing the lower edge; a break above 25,050 could signal momentum recovery. Volume divergence hints at accumulation beneath.
1H / 30M:
RSI forming a higher low while price prints a lower low — a bullish divergence setup. Bollinger Bands are tightening, suggesting volatility expansion ahead. Watch VWAP reclaim above 25,000 for confirmation of short-term trend reversal.
15M / 5M Intraday Bias:
Short-term traders should monitor the 24,800–24,750 zone for a bounce. Failure below this area exposes 24,620, while a decisive break above 25,050 may trigger an intraday rally targeting 25,250–25,300.
🎯 Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Buy Zone: 24,750–24,800
Targets: 25,050 → 25,250 → 25,800
Stop Loss: 24,580 (below structure low)
Bearish Scenario (alternative):
Sell Zone: 25,250–25,300 (resistance rejection)
Targets: 25,000 → 24,750 → 24,620
Stop Loss: 25,400
🔍 Confluence Factors:
Elliott Wave: Wave 4 correction likely ending.
Fibonacci: 38.2–50% retracement aligning with structure support.
Ichimoku: Testing lower cloud — potential bullish crossover setup.
RSI Divergence: Positive momentum building.
VWAP: Reclaim signals early buyer strength.
Volume: Accumulation noted during low volatility phase.
📘 Outlook Summary:
Bias remains cautiously bullish above 24,750, targeting 25,800–26,000.
Break below 24,620 invalidates bullish structure and opens path to 24,300–24,200.
NAS100 traders should monitor intraday reactions and volume confirmations near key zones. This week may define whether the correction phase transitions into a new impulsive wave or deeper retracement.






















