“M&M Rides GST Tailwinds: Festive Demand Meets Policy Boost”📖 Crown Point Research – Social Market Update
1️⃣ Date & Time
Date: 5th September 2025
Time: 11:30 AM IST
2️⃣ Fundamental News
GST reform 2.0 cut taxes on vehicles, boosting consumer affordability and sentiment.
Festive demand season adds further momentum to auto majors.
No negative global auto sector headwinds today → rally supported by policy + demand.
3️⃣ Public Sentiment & Human Behaviour
Retail psychology: Traders are chasing auto names, calling them “safe GST winners.”
Institutions: Quietly accumulating near 3,450–3,500 zones, with no heavy distribution.
Social signal: Headlines say “Auto rally unstoppable,” but structure shows controlled continuation with pullback checks.
4️⃣ Current Structure
Macro :
Support: 3,400–3,450 zone.
Resistance: 3,600–3,720.
Micro :
Support: 3,500–3,520 intraday base.
Resistance: 3,580–3,600 ceiling.
Behaviour: Controlled pullbacks; shallow retracements acting as rebalancing fuel.
5️⃣ Projection
Primary Path (70%): Continuation higher → break of 3,600 may extend to 3,720.
Alternate Path (20%): Failure at 3,600 → retest of 3,480–3,500 zone before resuming upward.
Low Path (10%): Breakdown below 3,440 only possible with heavy institutional exit.
6️⃣ Pullback Levels - Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M)
🔹 Shallow Pullback (3,520–3,500)
Light retracement zone.
Represents healthy rebalancing where price cools before continuation.
Usually bought quickly by institutions.
🔹 Medium Pullback (3,480)
Deeper test of demand.
This level acts as a confirmation base → if held, it proves the trend is still intact.
Ideal for accumulation by stronger hands.
🔹 Deep Pullback (3,440)
Last line of defense.
A close below this level would invalidate bullish momentum.
Low probability unless heavy institutional selling appears.
7️⃣ Final View
Bias: Bullish until 3,440 breaks. Macro path open toward 3,720, but near-term consolidation around 3,500–3,600 is expected.
8️⃣ Essence (Philosophy Line)
“Macro runs strong on GST and festive demand, Micro pauses for breath. Pullbacks are gates to continuation, not collapse.”
9️⃣ Disclaimer
⚠️ This analysis is shared for educational and research purposes only. It is not financial advice, trading advice, or investment recommendation. Market decisions are entirely your own responsibility.
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