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Renault’s €2.2 BILLION Loss SHOCKER: Nissan’s Costs Hit Hard!Renault’s €2.2 BILLION Loss SHOCKER 💥: Nissan’s Turnaround Costs Hit Hard! 🚗💸 Imagine Renault and Nissan are like best friends 🤝 who share a big toy car company 🏎️. Renault owns a big piece of Nissan, kind of like having a lot of the toy car's parts 🛠️. But Nissan had a tough year because fewer people bought their cars 📉, especially in places like China 🇨🇳. To fix this, Nissan is making some big changes, like making fewer cars 🚘 and saying goodbye to some workers 👋. These changes cost a lot of money 💰, and because Renault owns part of Nissan, Renault has to share the cost 😓. This means Renault will lose some money this year, about 2.2 billion euros 💶, which is like losing a giant pile of coins! 🪙 But Renault's bosses think these changes will help Nissan make better cars and sell more in the future 🌟, so both friends can be strong again 💪. Analysis (Up to May 13, 2025): Renault Group’s announcement of a €2.2 billion hit to its first-quarter earnings 📊 stemming from its 35.71% stake in Nissan reflects the interconnected financial dynamics of their strategic alliance 🤝, as well as broader challenges in the global automotive industry 🌍. Below is an institutional-level analysis of the situation, incorporating the provided data and contextualizing it within the current market environment as of May 13, 2025 🕑. 1. Financial Impact and Impairment Context 📉 Renault’s Exposure to Nissan: Renault’s €2.2 billion earnings hit 💥 is directly tied to Nissan’s reported net loss of approximately $5 billion 📅 for the fiscal year ending March 2025. This loss includes impairments (writing down the value of assets like factories 🏭 or inventory 📦 that are no longer worth as much) and restructuring costs (expenses for layoffs 👥 and factory reductions 🔽). As a 35.71% shareholder, Renault absorbs a proportional share of Nissan’s financial setbacks 📉, which are booked as a negative contribution to Renault’s earnings 💸. Accounting Implications: The impairments reflect Nissan’s need to adjust the book value of its assets 📜 to align with weaker market performance 📊, particularly in China 🇨🇳, where sales have significantly declined 📉. Restructuring costs are linked to Nissan’s November 2024 announcement of cutting 9,000 jobs 🚫 and reducing global production capacity by 20% 🔧. These measures aim to streamline operations but involve upfront costs 💰, impacting Renault’s financials due to equity accounting rules for its Nissan stake 📈. Market Reaction: Despite the earnings hit, Renault’s shares rose 1.2% to €48.46 in early trading on the announcement day 📈, suggesting investor confidence in the long-term benefits of Nissan’s turnaround plan 🌟 or optimism about Renault’s core operations 🚗. This resilience may also reflect broader market dynamics, such as stabilizing demand in Europe 🇪🇺 or positive sentiment toward Renault’s electrification strategy ⚡. 2. Nissan’s Turnaround Plan and Strategic Rationale 🔄 Sales Decline: Nissan’s fiscal 2025 sales fell 4.3% to 3.3 million units 📉, driven by weakness in China 🇨🇳, Japan 🇯🇵, and Europe 🇪🇺. China, the world’s largest auto market 🌐, has been a pain point for many global automakers due to intense competition from domestic brands like BYD 🚘 and declining demand for traditional vehicles amid an economic slowdown 📉. Restructuring Efforts: Nissan’s turnaround plan, announced on April 24, 2025 📅, focuses on cost reduction 💸 and operational efficiency 🔧. The 9,000 job cuts 🚫 and 20% reduction in production capacity 🔽 signal a shift toward leaner operations, prioritizing high-margin markets and products 📈. This aligns with industry trends, as automakers globally face pressure to adapt to lower demand for internal combustion engine vehicles 🚗 and invest heavily in electric vehicles (EVs) ⚡. China Strategy: Nissan’s weak performance in China 🇨🇳 underscores the need for a revised market approach 🔄, potentially involving localized EV models ⚡ or partnerships to compete with dominant players 🏆. The impairments likely include devaluing assets tied to underperforming Chinese operations, such as factories 🏭 or unsold inventory 📦. 3. Renault-Nissan Alliance Dynamics 🤝 Historical Context: The Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance, formed in 1999 🗓️, has been a cornerstone of both companies’ global strategies 🌍, enabling shared R&D 🧠, platforms, and cost efficiencies 💰. Renault’s significant stake in Nissan ties their financial fates closely 💸, but recent years have seen tensions 😬, including governance issues and strategic divergences, particularly after the 2018 Carlos Ghosn scandal 🚨. Mutual Dependence: While Nissan’s challenges weigh on Renault ⚖️, the alliance remains critical for both. Renault benefits from Nissan’s scale in markets like North America 🇺🇸 and Asia 🌏, while Nissan leverages Renault’s expertise in Europe 🇪🇺 and EV technology ⚡ (e.g., Renault’s success with models like the Megane E-Tech 🚗). The €2.2 billion hit 💥 underscores the risks of this interdependence but also highlights Renault’s commitment to supporting Nissan’s recovery 🌟, likely viewing it as essential for the alliance’s long-term viability 📅. Potential Risks: If Nissan’s turnaround falters 🚫, Renault could face further financial strain 😓, including additional impairments 📉 or pressure to dilute its stake. Conversely, a successful restructuring could strengthen the alliance 💪, boosting shared EV development ⚡ and cost synergies 💸. 4. Industry and Macro Context (Up to May 13, 2025) 🌍 Global Auto Industry: The automotive sector faces a complex transition in 2025 🔄, balancing the shift to EVs ⚡, supply chain disruptions 🚚, and regional demand variations 📊. European automakers like Renault are under pressure to meet stringent EU emissions targets 🌿, while Japanese firms like Nissan grapple with declining relevance in markets like China 🇨🇳, where EV adoption is accelerating ⚡. China’s Role: China’s market challenges are systemic 🌐, with global automakers losing share to local brands 🚗. Nissan’s sales drop 📉 reflects this trend, and Renault’s indirect exposure via Nissan amplifies its vulnerability to China’s slowdown 😓. EV Transition: Both Renault and Nissan are investing in electrification ⚡, but Nissan’s restructuring may delay its EV rollout 📅, potentially ceding ground to competitors 🏆. Renault, with its stronger EV portfolio in Europe 🇪🇺, may need to lead alliance efforts in this area 🚗. Macro Factors: Rising interest rates 📈, inflation 📊, and geopolitical uncertainties 🌍 (e.g., trade tensions) continue to impact consumer demand and production costs 💰. These factors likely exacerbate Nissan’s sales declines 📉 and Renault’s financial hit 💸. 5. Long-Term Outlook (4-10 Year Horizon) 🔮 Nissan’s Recovery Potential: If Nissan’s restructuring succeeds ✅, it could emerge leaner and more competitive by 2029 📅, with a focus on high-growth segments like EVs ⚡ and markets like North America 🇺🇸. This would benefit Renault through improved equity income and alliance synergies 🤝. Renault’s Strategy: Renault is likely to prioritize its European operations 🇪🇺 and EV leadership ⚡ while supporting Nissan’s recovery 🌟. Divesting its Nissan stake seems unlikely in the near term 🚫, given the strategic importance of the alliance, but Renault may seek to diversify its portfolio to mitigate risks 🛡️. Alliance Evolution: Over the next 4-10 years 📅, the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance could deepen integration in EV platforms ⚡ and autonomous driving 🤖 or face pressure to restructure if financial strains persist 😓. External partnerships (e.g., with Chinese firms for Nissan 🇨🇳) or mergers could reshape the alliance’s structure 🔄. Risks to Monitor: Key risks include prolonged weakness in China 🇨🇳, failure to execute EV strategies 🚫, and macroeconomic volatility 🌍. Regulatory changes, such as stricter emissions rules 🌿 or trade barriers 🚧, could further complicate the alliance’s plans 📜. Conclusion 🎯 Renault’s €2.2 billion earnings hit 💥 reflects the immediate financial burden of Nissan’s restructuring and market challenges, particularly in China 🇨🇳. However, the institutional perspective sees this as a strategic investment in Nissan’s long-term recovery 🌟, critical for the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance’s competitiveness in a rapidly evolving industry 🚗. For a 4 to 10 year old, it’s like Renault helping a struggling friend fix their toy car 🛠️, taking a short-term loss 💸 to ensure both can play better in the future 🎉. Over the next 4-10 years 📅, the success of Nissan’s turnaround and the alliance’s ability to navigate the EV transition ⚡ will determine whether this hit becomes a stepping stone 🪜 or a recurring burden ⚖️.
EURONEXT:RNOLong
by DCAChampion
Renault Accelerates Towards the Electric Future From Shanghai! Renault (Ticker AT:RNO.FR) is taking a decisive step in the electric vehicle revolution by hiring 200 specialized hardware and software engineers in Shanghai, the epicenter of global technological innovation. Although it does not market vehicles in China, Renault is taking advantage of this strategic move to develop an affordable electric Twingo , with the intention of leading the transition to sustainable and affordable mobility. This news has been enthusiastically received by the markets since the European opening. Currently, the share is moving away from its recent low of €38.35 and is trading around €39.50, very close to the checkpoint (POC). In addition, the 50 moving average seems to be heading towards crossing the 100 moving average, which could signal an upward trend reversal. The relative strength index (RSI) is at 51.60%, indicating a possible strengthening in price. It would not be surprising to see the share price recover towards €42 in the short term. With the backing of Chinese technological talent and its focus on innovation, Renault reaffirms its commitment to an electric and promising future in the competitive automotive market. The direction is clear and the upward path seems inevitable! Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
EURONEXT:RNOLong
by ActivTrades
Renault - waiting for a signal Action - Renault is quite difficult to play. They play HH and LL. You need to look at the upper and lower limits of the channel. You can see that they are using the fibo fan. It seems to me that they will go back to the price - EUR 32, and then it may go down to EUR 30 again and quickly bounce back up. As you can see, they have time and they are in no rush to reach the price of EUR 40. SMA - MACD indicator nicely shows the average price. For now, the price remains at the average price and does not want to rise.
EURONEXT:RNO
by WinterManOnTheSky
3
Renault - looking uptrandhi, Renault stock is one very interesting one. It is like a child. It likes to make many funny things. It is full of emotion. It likes to make tricks. Please look on the gan square - our full of color umbrella like a sun. It has got many light rays. Please look on the patterns - it look like that bottom was 23 - 24 eur and it was a test. Right now 31 - 33 eur was also the test. Chart have to come back to the point 1/4 and 1/3 (uptrend) ; 1/2 and 1/1 is the test. Waiting for new waves. Please look on the dax and cac - maybe we will have a new top hill and maybe we will have to go down. Please look on Credit Agricol, BNP - the components of CAC - they look like in the cycle phase - distribution ... I wish all the best.
EURONEXT:RNOLong
by WinterManOnTheSky
Renault going downhi, for those who fell "car manufacturing world", I would recommend for your observation Renault. I suppose that it is going to touch down the support line - around 27 eur - 26.5 eur. Please look on the DAX and CAC - they are right now on the top of the hills. There is a possibility that the index will move down stocks. We are in the middle of recession, PMI is going down and down, manufacturing is very weak, so even if you buy Renault in price 26.5 eur, in two years, it is great probability that with the development of markets the stock will move high. First on 50 and then 70 eur. Look on technical point of view - right now is creating third wave of Elliot. Best regards
EURONEXT:RNOShort
by WinterManOnTheSky
Renault to breakdown.Renault - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 26.79 (stop at 27.56) Short term momentum is bearish. There is no sign that this bearish momentum is faltering but the pair has stalled close to a previous swing low of 26.90. Bespoke support is located at 27.00. A break of 26.90 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum. Daily signals are mildly bearish. The bias is to break to the downside. Our profit targets will be 25.01 and 24.51 Resistance: 28.00 / 29.00 / 30.00 Support: 27.00 / 26.00 / 25.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
EURONEXT:RNOShort
by Saxo
Driving lower in the channel? Renault Short Term - We look to Sell at 25.20 (stop at 26.10) Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 25.50. Our overall sentiment remains bearish looking for lower levels. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Our profit targets will be 21.71 and 19.51 Resistance: 25.50 / 28.00 / 38.00 Support: 21.30 / 20.00 / 15.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
EURONEXT:RNOShort
by Saxo
Renault to Go Low? Renault - Short Term - We look to Sell at 25.49 (stop at 26.70) Price action is forming a bearish flag which has a bias to break to the downside. Bespoke resistance is located at 25.50. Our overall sentiment remains bearish looking for lower levels. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. We look to sell rallies. Our profit targets will be 21.22 and 19.51 Resistance: 25.50 / 29.00 / 35.00 Support: 21.00 / 20.00 / 15.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
EURONEXT:RNOShort
by Saxo
Renault at Resistance? Renault - Short Term - We look to Sell at 34.46 (stop at 35.55) Trading within the Channel formation. Price action has continued to trend strongly higher and has stalled at the previous resistance near 35.00. We look for a temporary move lower. Selling spikes offers good risk/reward. Our profit targets will be 31.88 and 30.29 Resistance: 35.00 / 37.00 / 40.00 Support: 30.00 / 28.00 / 25.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
EURONEXT:RNOShort
by Saxo
Renault SA (RNO.pa) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the French company Renault SA (RNO.pa) at daily chart. Groupe Renault is a French multinational automobile manufacturer established in 1899. The company produces a range of cars and vans, and in the past has manufactured trucks, tractors, tanks, buses/coaches, aircraft and aircraft engines, and autorail vehicles. The Triangle has broken through the resistance line on 10/11/2021, if the price holds above this level you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 24 days towards 36.135 USD. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 30.945 USD if you decide to enter this position. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
EURONEXT:RNOLong
by legacyFXofficial