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TSLA: ShortNASDAQ:TSLA ⚡ Coiling up in a symmetrical wedge right under equilibrium — a textbook indecision zone before expansion. Still trading below premium structure → bias remains bearish unless we see a clean breakout and hold above 434.5. Volume contracting, RSI midline hovering → pressure building for next leg. 🎯 Breakdown targets: 427 → 422 → 416 🚀 Bull case invalidation: Close above 434.5, targeting 444–450 🧠 VolanX DSS Bias: Bearish continuation, awaiting volatility trigger #TSLA #VolanX #SmartMoney #LiquidityZones #PriceAction #AITrading #WaverVanir Not Investment Advice
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
TSLA Slips Despite Record Q3 Deliveries AI Growth Play?TSLA – Financial Performance & SWOT Analysis TSLA Slips Despite Record Q3 Deliveries AI Growth Play? (1/9) Good Morning, folks! TSLA is pulling back 📉, at $ 436.33 up 7.85% YTD per October 10, 2025. AI integration shakes up this EV play , let’s dive in! 📊🔥 Tag a friend who needs this investing hack! (2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE • Last day: $ 436.33, down slightly pre-market 📉 • YTD 2025: up 7.85%, lagging S&P 500 🔄 • Q3 2025: record deliveries, but stock dips 🚀 This EV stock’s volatility, AI hype pops! 💥 (3/9) – MARKET POSITION • Market Cap: $ 1.45T, industry giant 🏆 • Avg Volume: 88.96M shares, high liquidity 💧 • Trend: high P/E amid growth expectations 👑 This asset’s dominance, holding tight! 🔒 (4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS • Q3 deliveries: record highs, beat estimates 💰 • Stock dip: despite beats, tax credits end 🏭 • AI focus: Robotaxi event Oct 22, autonomy push 📈 This EV move, AI-driven surge! ⚡ (5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS • High volatility: beta 2.09 swings ⚠️ • Subsidies end: EV tax credit phaseout 🆚 • Market liquidations: $700M crypto-wide impact 📉 This ticker’s exposure, watch these twists! ⚠️🔄 (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • EV leadership (deliveries.): market share 🌟 • AI integration (FSD/Robotaxi.): growth edge 🤖 • Institutional demand (ETFs.): sentiment boost 👥 This asset’s edge, built tough! 💪 (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: high valuation, subsidy reliance ⚖️ • Opportunities: AI boom, EV rebound 🌍 Can this ticker beat the odds? 🎲 Reply with your take! (8/9) – POLL TIME! TSLA’s $ 436.33 value, your vibe? • Bullish: $500+ soon, AI beats 📈🚀 • Neutral: Steady, risks balanced ⚖️🛡️ • Bearish: $400 looms, subsidy hits 📉⚠️ Chime in below! 💬 Tag a friend for this poll! (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY TSLA’s $ 436.33 position shows resilience 💪, AI fuels it ⚡. Risks bite 🦈, yet dips are DCA gold 💎. We grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust? not advice, just our spin! #TSLA #Investing #Markets #Trading #Finance #ETF #Commodities #DCA #Trends TSLA is mixed as of October 10, 2025, at $ 436.33, up 7.85% YTD per TradingView. Q3 deliveries shape its path in the EV space. Here’s a factual financial and strategic breakdown. **Financial Performance** Price Movement: YTD at $ 436.33, up 7.85%. Broader period shows pullback from highs. Q3 adds upside, with record deliveries. Volume & Market Cap: Avg volume 88.96M shares. Market cap at $ 1.45T. Key Metric: Trailing P/E 256.20, forward P/E 172.41. **SWOT Analysis** Strengths: - Record Q3 deliveries. - AI and autonomy integration. - Institutional interest. Weaknesses: - High valuation multiples. - Subsidy phaseout impact. - Recent stock pullback. Opportunities: - AI and Robotaxi growth. - EV market rebound. - New model launches. Threats: - Intense competition. - Market corrections. - Regulatory changes. **TSLA vs. SPY: Key Comparisons** | Aspect | TSLA | SPY | |--------|------|-----| | Purpose & Scope | EV and AI focus | Broad market index tracking | | Dynamics | Beta 2.09 volatility vs. lower 1.00 | Steady benchmark | | Market Position | Up 7.85% YTD, high P/E vs. S&P gains | Stable exposure | **Investor Considerations: DCA** Dollar Cost Averaging: TSLA’s volatility suits dip-buying. At $ 436.33, $10,000 buys ~23 shares; a 10% dip to $ 393 nets ~25 shares. Time in the market, not timing it, wins. **Outlook & Risks** TSLA’s $ 436.33 position shows AI edge, with delivery beats. Subsidy ends loom, yet dip grabs turn volatility into gains. AI or EV growth could sway it, but time’s our edge. Gem or fade? Depends on autonomy adoption.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by DCAChampion
Breakout Incoming!Tesla remains within a well-defined channel range, consolidating near lower channel support on declining volume, which reflects healthy consolidation after prior momentum. The recent action has formed a symmetrical triangle, with price compressing between rising support and descending resistance — a classic setup for a volatility squeeze and potential breakout. Despite short-term weakness, TSLA has consistently held above prior support levels within the channel. With bullish sentiment building ahead of earnings, it’s unlikely the stock breaks below existing support (~$416–$420). The key resistance to watch is at $455, aligning with the upper boundary of the current structure. A decisive breakout above this level could trigger a move toward $470, which coincides with the previous high and marks a potential continuation of the bullish trend. Notably, the price breakout between September 11 and September 22 offers a useful reference; that move demonstrated TSLA’s ability to accelerate rapidly once volume returns and resistance levels are cleared - this stock is a freight train once it gets moving. Given the technical compression, low-volume consolidation, and improving sentiment, I’d expect a breakout as early as tomorrow or early next week, especially as we lead into earnings. Key Levels: • Support: $416–$420 • Resistance: $455 (breakout trigger) • Target: $470+ (prior high / upper channel objective) • Future Target: Liftoff?
NASDAQ:TSLA
by M0neyMatters2Me
1
TSLA: SHORTNASDAQ:TSLA Setup aligning with VolanX DSS bias → short confirmation zone active. Rising wedge pattern breaking structure CHoCH under equilibrium, signaling early distribution Volume increasing on sell-side RSI divergence + loss of bullish momentum Targeting $415–$412 liquidity zone (discount area). Invalidation above $437.50 — clean risk box. Bias: Short Strategy: Wait for 15m BOS + volume spike confirmation 🧠 #VolanX #LiquidityZones #AITrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #TSLA
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
$TSLA: Symmetrical wedge breaking down. NASDAQ:TSLA Symmetrical wedge breaking down. ⚠️ Volume confirms exit pressure — sellers controlling equilibrium. Lower highs compressing liquidity. Fib confluence supports a leg toward $411–$401 zone (1.0–1.272 extension). RSI momentum flattening under 50. DSS bias = short-term bearish continuation. Target → $401–$400 liquidity pool Invalidation above $436.50 This could be a slow liquidity drain before a bigger displacement. 🧠 #VolanX #LiquidityZones #AITrading #TSLA #SMC
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Tesla – ABC Formation as Trend Continuation#Tesla – ABC Formation as Trend Continuation Current price: $435.8 Tesla is developing an ABC corrective structure that may act as a continuation pattern within the broader uptrend. Price action is consolidating after a strong impulsive leg, preparing for the next directional move. 🧩 Technical Overview • The correction from the recent high appears to have formed a descending wedge, with the last swing down completing near the C-wave low. • Price is now recovering from that area, suggesting a possible upward continuation phase. • As long as the current low holds, the market structure supports bullish continuation through the upper Fibonacci levels. 📈 Scenario • Structure: ABC correction completed; price attempting breakout to resume the dominant uptrend. • Stop-loss: below the C-wave low (~$408). • First upside objectives: – $448–$458 — short-term resistance zone – $470–$483 — key breakout area and prior swing high – $507–$530 — potential extension zone if momentum builds • A breakout above $470 would confirm trend continuation. ⚙️ Market Context • The larger bullish trend remains intact after strong momentum from early September. • Consolidation within the current wedge has reduced volatility — a typical setup before expansion. • The pattern favors continuation as long as price holds above $408–$410 support. 🧭 Summary Tesla is completing an ABC correction that could transition into the next bullish leg. Holding above $408 keeps the structure valid for continuation toward $470–$530. Breakout confirmation above $470 would reinforce the bullish scenario, while a drop below $408 would invalidate it.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by NewOneCrypto
Tesla (TSLA) - Weekly Battle Before The BreakoutTicker : NASDAQ:TSLA Timeframe : Weekly Bias : Neutral (Awaiting breakout confirmation) Range : $410 - $470 🧠 MARKET CONTEXT Tesla is stuck in a wide weekly range as macro uncertainty and earnings expectations collide. Buyers defend the $410 zone while Sellers keep rejecting $470 - a classic coiling phase before expansion. 🔎 TECHNICAL OVERVIEW * Structure: Choppy / Distribution phase ( failed breakouts, heavy wicks, indecision ) * Resistance Zone: $465-$475 ( needs clean close above for breakout confirmation ) * Support Zone: $410-$425 ( critical area maintaining bullish structure ) * Major Support Below: $320-$360 ( long term value area where buyers historically stepped in ) 📈 SCENARIOS 🟢 Bullish Case: * Weekly close above $470 with strong volume = breakout signal. * Targets : $500+ zone, potential retest of 2024 highs. 🔴 Bearish Case: * Weekly close below $410 = structure break. * Targets : $360 - $320 zone. ⚪ Neutral / Range Play: * Between $410 - $470, range strategies work best (fade extremes, tight risk). 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT * The FED's higher-for-longer stance keeps pressure on growth stocks. * Q3 deliveries were strong, supporting long term sentiment. * Competition & margin compression (China & Europe) remain risk factors. * Tech sector volatility + geopolitical headlines amplify TSLA's swings. 📊 WEEKLY OUTLOOK SUMMARY * Short Term (2-4 weeks) : range bound between $410-$470 - watch for volume spikes / breakout confirmation. * Medium Term (1-3 months) : direction depends on Fed & earnings - macro + delivery data key catalysts. * Long Term (Q1 2026+) : bullish bias intact if fundamentals hold - expect volatility during macro tightening. 💬 FINAL TAKE Tesla is coiling between $410 and $470. Whichever side breaks first will likely define Q4's direction. Watch weekly closes and volume confirmation - "The Big Move Is Loading"
NASDAQ:TSLA
by avziofficial
$TSLA | Wave Count Outlook: 2025–2026 Projection👇 🔮 NASDAQ:TSLA | Wave Count Outlook: 2025–2026 Projection The larger structure is forming a clean Elliott Wave sequence, suggesting a potential top near the completion of Wave (5) before a corrective phase unfolds. 🧩 Structure Overview: Primary impulse appears complete between $527–$540 Corrective phase (ABC) projected toward $384 → $332 → $319 If confirmed, this would align with the macro liquidity contraction and potential market re-pricing post-Fed actions 🔍 Technical Confluence: Wave (5) targets align with 1.236–1.618 Fibonacci extensions RSI divergence already forming — early weakness Volume momentum decelerating across higher timeframes 🧭 Outlook: Short-term bias: Neutral to bearish Medium-term (1–3 months): Potential correction toward $380s Long-term (Q2–Q3 2026): Bullish resumption possible if liquidity stabilizes “Wave completion precedes transformation — patience pays.” #TSLA #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #Macro #VolanXDSS #WaverVanir
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
TSLA Breakdown or Bear Trap? Oct. 13TSLA Breakdown or Bear Trap? Watch This Zone Before the Next Big Move Tesla just had one of its hardest sessions in weeks — dropping over 5% on Friday and closing near $408, right on the edge of a major technical breakdown.
But here’s the thing: while the chart looks heavy, there are signs that sellers might be losing steam. Let’s unpack what’s happening from both the 15-minute price action and the 1-hour options (GEX) landscape so you know what to expect when the market opens Monday. 15-Minute Intraday Technical View Friday’s price action was pure capitulation. After losing $430, Tesla slid straight down the channel and found temporary footing near $405–$408.
The 15-minute chart shows a clean descending structure with a trendline connecting lower highs — every bounce so far has been rejected. But now, for the first time in two days, the MACD histogram is turning light blue, and Stoch RSI is curling up from deep oversold territory near 20. That means momentum is trying to flip, even if price hasn’t confirmed it yet. The immediate level to watch at Monday’s open is $410–$415. If Tesla reclaims that area with strength, it could start an intraday reversal move toward $420–$425, where the breakdown started.
However, if it rejects there and breaks below $405, the next support isn’t until $395–$390, and that’s where the next flush could hit fast — especially if VIX spikes above 22 again. The key is to watch volume and confirmation. A weak bounce without strong participation likely fails, but a reclaim above $415 with rising volume could catch shorts off guard and trigger a fast squeeze. 1-Hour GEX Analysis — Options Sentiment The 1-hour GEX chart paints the bigger picture: this entire drop was dealer-driven. The HVL (Highest Volatility Line) sits near $417–$420, which means that’s the line separating calm from chaos. Staying below it keeps TSLA in negative gamma territory — where every move feeds volatility instead of containing it. Below the current price, there’s a massive Put Wall sitting around $395–$390, marking the highest negative GEX zone. That’s the “danger zone” where market makers start shorting more to hedge, which can accelerate a drop.
Above that, there’s heavy Call Resistance stacked around $445–$450, so even if Tesla bounces, it’ll hit resistance hard once it gets near $440+. IVR sits around 29.4 with IVX at 70, showing that implied volatility is still very high. That means options are expensive — traders are paying up for protection, not confidence. Right now, GEX positioning suggests Tesla’s price is trapped between $405 and $425, waiting for direction. If price holds and climbs above $420, gamma flips neutral and a short-term rally could unfold fast. My Thoughts and Trade Ideas Tesla is stuck in a volatility choke zone — but it’s not dead. The 15-minute chart shows potential momentum reversal, while the 1-hour GEX confirms that option flows are balanced on a knife’s edge. Bulls need to push above $420 to break the cycle of dealer hedging and start a relief wave toward $430–$440. If you’re scalping, watch for: * Long setup above $415–$418 with volume confirmation — target $425–$430. * Short setup if it fails $410 or breaks $405 — target $395, then $390. For option traders, the 420C or 425C strike could work for a short-dated bounce play if volatility cools. But if fear continues, the 400P or 390P offers a safer directional hedge. The real pivot for Tesla isn’t price — it’s sentiment. Once VIX calms below 20 and liquidity returns, Tesla usually leads the rebound. Until then, this remains a day trader’s battlefield. Final Take Tesla is coiled inside a descending channel but showing early divergence. Monday will determine if this is just another leg down or the first real reversal from oversold territory.
Above $420 = short-covering bounce.
Below $405 = more pain ahead. Volatility will decide who wins. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade your own plan and manage your risk carefully.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Tesla's New Range. Hello I am the Cafe Trader. Today we are revisiting Tesla (TSLA). Last article we identified the Key seller before this big extension. Today I have identified the last key seller, and how you can capitalize. Price has now entered into the Light Supply Zone , a place where sellers will try to slow things down. It is likely that you will want to play TSLA at the Extremes. Strong Supply , and Strong Demand levels are going to give you the best chance at a stronger reaction. So if you are playing the short term, These two plays marked on the chart will be your best bet. If the Strong Buyers hold at around 417, This will put a lot of pressure on that last strong seller at 461. A push through them should see you ATH's (not without a strong reaction from the Strong Supply first). Missed out on the move and want to add TSLA to your long term? Long Term These Prices should match your conviction on TSLA: Aggressive : 409 - 419.50 (Top of Demand, even better if you get into those strong buyers) Value : 333-344 Extreme Value : 288-294 or the Conservative Trendline. Expect big things from TSLA in the coming years. I would not be surprised to see TSLA reach over 1,000 again. Happy Trading, @thecafetrader
NASDAQ:TSLA
by thecafetrader
TSLA ShortMarket Structure: Tesla is currently in a bearish market structure following a failed attempt to sustain higher highs. After a Change of Character (CHoCH) around $443.55, price shifted from a bullish correctional phase into a downward sequence. The prior upward leg that established short-term higher highs has now been rejected decisively, and price is printing lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish control. The recent Break of Structure (BOS) is expected near $411.44, indicating that sellers regained dominance and are likely targeting liquidity beneath recent lows. Supply & Demand Zones: The supply zone between $435.00 and $439.00 remains significant—price dropped sharply from here after a clean retest, showing strong institutional selling pressure and minimal buying defense. This zone remains structurally strong and continues to cap upside attempts. Below, the demand zone around $425.00–$421.00 has provided short-term support in the past, but the reaction there was weak, suggesting that buyers stepped in cautiously rather than with conviction. The next deeper demand zone lies around $411.00–$407.00, where buyers previously showed more commitment with larger wicks and impulsive upward movement. Current Price Action: Price is currently pushing down toward the $425.00–$421.00 demand zone after rejecting the supply above. The short-term expectation is for a minor pullback toward $428.00–$430.00, potentially forming a lower high, before a continuation lower toward the $411.00 zone. The projection on the chart aligns with this view, anticipating a temporary pause before renewed selling. Bias & Outlook: The trade bias is bearish, with expectation of continued downside movement toward $411.00–$410.00. A confirmed close above $439.00 would invalidate this view and shift short-term sentiment back to bullish. Until that happens, sellers remain in control. Momentum & Candle Behavior: Momentum currently favors the sellers, as seen in consecutive bearish candles with solid body structures and smaller wicks. Bullish candles show limited follow-through, indicating fading demand strength. No strong reversal patterns are visible yet; only mild compression before another expected impulse down.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ProSignalai
TSLA Short1. May/June Inside Bar: Broke to the upside on September with no re-test of break. a. Higher timeframes take longer for this to re-test. b. I have found that 18 days is an average re-test, but this is not 100%. 2. Daily chart shows pullback, but its extremely important to understand that the weekly and monthly show bullish momentum. 3. I have started a TSLQ short position adding slowly, with TSLA shares targeting ATH's. 4. The target is for TSLA to move back into the 5% buffer, where I will start looking for a long position. The inside bar is usually re-tested. If bullish momentum is still there, which the weekly and monthly still show, then the 5% buffer and 25% quadrant are entry zones. However, if something changes, then 50% quadrant should be the target. Happy trading!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Warner_Bear
Tesla: Top Established!Tesla initially hit a new high before quickly reversing course with a notable move to the downside. As a result, we now view the corrective upward movement of beige wave x as complete and anticipate further sell-offs as part of wave y. The stock is expected to gradually break below the support levels at $297.83 and $215.01, ultimately reaching our blue Target Zone between $157.88 and $46.70, which we have identified for the final corrective low of blue wave (II). However, there remains a 40% chance that TSLA will not reach the blue zone at all but instead will break out directly above resistance at $532.92. In this case, we would consider blue wave alt.(II) already complete and locate the stock in a sustained (magenta) upward impulse. Even in our primary scenario, the new uptrend of the regular wave (III) is ultimately expected to surpass the $532.92 resistance.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by MarketIntel
1
Tesla (TSLA) – Final Wave 5 to Complete Cypher HarmonicTesla is progressing through its final impulsive Wave 5, with upside targets aligning at $563–$564, confluencing with the 1.272–1.618 Fib extensions and the completion of the Cypher harmonic (point D). Once this target is reached, a corrective decline is anticipated, forming the Cypher retracement and potentially filling untested gaps below. Key levels to watch: Upside target: $488.5, then $563–$564 zone (Cypher completion). Downside retracement: possible move back toward the $350–$360 region (0.618–0.786 support). Invalidation: A breakout above $565 would invalidate the Cypher completion zone and suggest extended bullish continuation. A breakdown below $400 before reaching $488 invalidates the Wave 5 structure. This scenario blends Elliott Wave 5 projections with harmonic Cypher confluence for a potential high-probability setup.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by msezng
Smart Money Support/Resistance + ATAI Volume Analysis —PracticalApplication When these two indicators work together — Smart Money Support/Resistance (Lite) and ATAI Volume Analysis with Price Action — the chart begins to speak a clearer language: one defines where the reaction zones form, and the other explains what happens inside them. The purpose is not prediction but understanding the balance between smart money pressure and retail momentum. 1. Parameter Alignment On the right side of the chart, the green info panel confirms that both indicators share identical configurations. In this example, the lookback period is set to 52, chosen deliberately because it must be smaller than the total number of LTF coverage bars (65). For the Smart Money Support/Resistance indicator, the projection is set to 26 — extending the detected zones forward without adding excessive visual noise. This alignment is crucial; mismatched parameters can desynchronize volume readings and structural boundaries. 2. Reading the Chart In this sample chart, the upper red area represents a Smart Money resistance zone — a region of concentrated selling pressure detected from lower timeframe volume. Simultaneously, ATAI Volume Analysis signals an Overbought (6/7) condition, meaning multiple oscillators confirm exhaustion while seller volume (S.Max) begins to outweigh buyer volume (B.Min). This overlap suggests that liquidity has shifted and the prior bullish impulse is weakening. From here, price may consolidate within the zone or initiate a structured retracement toward the blue support area, previously defined by accumulation volume. The red projected path simply visualizes one potential structural scenario; it is not a prediction or trade signal. 3. Broader Context This example serves only as a demonstration of how these two tools interact when properly tuned. Different assets and timeframes naturally yield unique structures and behaviors, yet the principle remains consistent: define the territory first with Smart Money Support/Resistance, then interpret market behavior within it using ATAI Volume Analysis. This content is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. User feedback and practical observations play a key role in refining future versions of both indicators.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by ata_sabanci
2
Fibonacci: Theory and Practice (Part 1) RetracementsThe Fibonacci proportions are a widely used technical tool in financial markets. They are based on the Fibonacci sequence, a numerical series introduced to the West by the Italian mathematician Leonardo de Pisa (13th century) after his travels in the Mediterranean (especially in Béjaïa, Algeria): 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144..., where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones. Although Ralph Nelson Elliott incorporated concepts related to Fibonacci ratios in his wave theory (published in 1938), it was Charles Collins who first explicitly used price retracements and extensions in the 1940s. I will divide the content into three parts to enhance understanding of this approach: Fibonacci Retracements, Fibonacci Extensions, and Harmonic Alignments. Fibonacci Ratios In trading, the sequence itself is not used directly but rather its ratios, which approximate natural proportions observed in nature, art, and price patterns. The ratio of any number to the next higher number approaches 0.618 after the first four numbers. For example, 1/1 is 1.00, 1/2 is 0.50, 2/3 is 0.67, 3/5 is 0.60, 5/8 is 0.625, 8/13 is 0.615, 13/21 is 0.619, etc. (pay attention to the value 0.50). The ratio of any number to the preceding lower number is approximately 1.618, or the inverse of 0.618. For example, 13/8 is 1.625, 21/13 is 1.615, 34/21 is 1.619. The higher the numbers, the closer they get to 0.618 and 1.618. The ratios of alternate numbers approximate 2.618 or its inverse, 0.382. For example, 13/34 is 0.382, 34/13 is 2.615. 0.786 is the square root of 0.618. Personal Perspective on Fibonacci Proportions None of the ratios we will explore below possess magical properties. The truly decisive factor is price action, which acts as a mirror of the collective psychology of investors. Fibonacci proportions are excellent for highlighting proportionality and harmony, aspects that directly influence participants' decisions. This is where the importance of this approach lies. Fibonacci Retracement Adjustments In Figure 1, you can see how to correctly draw Fibonacci retracements in an uptrend: from bottom to top, from the low of the impulse (1) (including the lower wicks or shadows) to the upper high (2) (considering its wicks or shadows). The clearer and more defined these impulses are, the greater their influence on market participants' psychology. Clarity ensures better results when studying tools, indicators, or price action. I discard the 0.236 level in my trading, but you can include it and experiment. Timeframe is also important to consider: applying Fibonacci on 5-minute charts, for example, would be like trying to control the ocean with a measuring tape. As I demonstrated in the article “Timeframe is Everything” , lower timeframes degrade the success rate due to the greater influence of news and rumors, high-frequency trading, lower capitalization, and interests, etc. If the drawing is incorrect, the values will not match those in the image, and the diagonal line will point downward. Figure 1 In Figure 2, I show the correct drawing of Fibonacci retracements in a downtrend, from top to bottom, from the high of the impulse (1) (including the lower wicks or shadows) to the low (2) (considering its wicks or shadows). If the drawing is incorrect, the values will not match, and the diagonal line will point upward. Figure 2: Psychology of the Ratios Ratio 0.382 This ratio is extremely useful for avoiding premature entries in favor of the trend. In my experience, in most cases, we should wait for the price to touch the 0.382 level unless a consistent price formation justifies a trend continuation. This level indicates a typical retracement zone, making it ideal for detecting "pauses" in strong trends. It is also necessary that entries at this and other ratios we will study are validated by price action and context. In Figure 3, you can observe how the price offers an excellent reversal opportunity at the 0.382 Fibonacci level. A previously respected 50 EMA and a strong point like the 50% of the body of a weekly engulfing candle increase the robustness of the zone. The confirmation of price action manifests in increased volumes that may signal a likely reversal and a bullish engulfing candle. Figure 3 I won’t provide examples in downtrends for this level, as the buying pressure inherent in market nature makes short entries based on the 0.382 level very unstable. Thus, this ratio is primarily evident in uptrends. Ratio 0.50 It is generally believed that this ratio does not belong to the Fibonacci sequence, but 0.50 is a harmonic starting point in the progression. It marks a balance between supply and demand, thus serving as a psychological magnet that tends to attract the price while delineating a battle zone between buyers and sellers. In Figure 4, you can see the correct use of the level: The 0.50 ratio is perfectly aligned with the presence of a 50 SMA and price action elements like a ceiling test , offering extremely robust resistance. An island gap pattern is an excellent reversal signal to confirm a short entry. Figure 4 In Figure 5, we observe the alignment of the 0.50 level with the presence of a large gap acting as robust support. Additionally, the level coincides with the 50% of the body of a bullish engulfing candle on a weekly chart, adding significant confidence. The price action would confirm an entry with a large bullish engulfing candle. Figure 5 Ratio 0.618 (Golden Ratio) The 0.618 ratio is a universal "equilibrium point" in crowd psychology; the place where many investors expect a bounce, as it represents a deep but not exhaustive correction. Studies and tests (such as those by Robert Prechter in Elliott Wave Principle ) show that the 61.8% level appears in up to 70% of significant corrections in indices like the S&P 500 or Dow Jones, while behavioral economists argue that its "success" is more due to confirmation bias than strict causality. In Figure 6, we observe how the golden ratio (0.618) aligns with a high order volume zone (volume profile). The noticeable weakness in price action, graphically represented in oscillators like the MACD (bearish divergence), combined with a volume spike, could provide clues about a likely rejection in the zone. Figure 6 In Figure 7, we observe a bullish example where the 0.618 level aligns with a strong support generated by accumulation. Note how this zone shows a high order volume (volume profile). This support was also backed by a 20 EMA on a weekly chart. The price action would confirm the entry after several rejection candles. Figure 7 Ratio 0.786 This is my favorite Fibonacci retracement ratio, and I use it exclusively to seek reversals in uptrends. It indicates trend weakness, but I like to consider it a high-probability reaction zone, as selling pressure in such a deep correction tends to be weak, while large participants or institutions may see a good opportunity to buy low. I apply this ratio exclusively to double bottoms, as seen in Figures 8 and 9. Figure 8 Figure 9 In Figure 8, the 0.786 level aligns with the 50% of a monthly engulfing candle and a large gap visible on the daily chart. Additionally, volume and a large engulfing candle pattern would have confirmed the entry well. Figure 9 shows an alignment between the 0.786 level and a strong support on the daily chart. In the same zone, a 20 EMA on a weekly chart coincides. The price action confirmation manifests in compression and an explosion of bullish volatility. Fun Facts 1-Leonardo de Pisa (or Leonardo Pisano) was born around 1170 in Pisa, Italy, and was the son of Guglielmo Bonacci, a commercial official working in North Africa. The nickname Fibonacci comes from "filius Bonacci," which in Latin literally means "son of Bonacci." He signed his works as "Leonardo, son of Bonacci, Pisan," but the term "Fibonacci" was shortened and popularized centuries later. 2-The Fibonacci numerical series actually dates back to ancient Indian texts (such as those by Pingala in the 2nd century BC, used for poetic meter). 3-Leonardo de Pisa popularized the numerical series in Western Europe through his book, Liber Abaci (1202), where he used it to solve practical problems, such as rabbit population growth (the famous example: a pair of rabbits produces a sequence of births generating the numbers 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8...). Conclusions Fibonacci proportions are a valuable complement, but not the holy grail. In my strategies, I find them extremely useful and feel comfortable incorporating them in specific contexts, though not all systems require them. For example, I like having a Fibonacci at hand in patterns like double bottoms to identify key supports or when a price overextends or retraces strongly, delineating potential reversal zones. I recommend that investors avoid chasing mystical numerical alignments and maintain a logical approach to each tool, method, or pattern studied. Final Note If you want to take a look at my analysis record, you can find my profile in Spanish, where I transparently share well-defined market entries. Send your good vibes if you enjoyed this article, and may God bless you all.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Especulador96
Why Most Prop Traders Fail (Even the Skilled Ones)When speaking with Prop Traders, we have found the issue was not about bad setups; it’s emotions under pressure that is the problem Fear after a loss. Greed after a win. That’s when discipline slips and accounts die. Here’s what helps: Before each session, ask ? “Would I take this trade if I weren’t trying to prove something?” This one question has saved more accounts than any indicator I’ve been helping traders stay calm when it matters most. If you’ve ever blown up knowing exactly what you should’ve done, DM me and I’ll show you what’s been working.
BMV:TSLAEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
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