Breakout Alert! Germany 40 Targeting 25400 – Join the Robbery⚡GERMANY 40 INDEX CFD HEIST PLAN⚡
💸 Thief Trader Robbery Blueprint 💸
🎭 Dear Ladies & Gentleman, my Thief OG’s 🕶️🕵️♂️,
Welcome to another market heist – this time we’re targeting the GERMANY 40 INDEX CFD vault!
🚀 Plan: Bullish Breakout Robbery
The lock is weak around 24,500.0 ⚡ – once that vault door cracks open, we raid in style with layer entries.
🔑 Thief Layer Entry Method:
📍 First entry on breakout @ 24,500.0
📍 Layer extra buy limits @ 24,400.0 / 24,300.0 / 24,200.0 (stack your orders like pro robbers 😈)
👉 You can increase your layers depending on your appetite for stolen cash 💰.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):
This is the Thief SL → @ 24,000.0 after breakout confirmation.
📌 Adjust your SL with caution, OG’s, depending on your risk & strategy. Protect the loot at all costs 🏴☠️.
🎯 Target (TP):
⚠️ Police barricade spotted @ 25,500.0 🚔🚨
👉 Escape before the sirens – cash out at 25,400.0 and vanish with the bags 🎒💸.
🏆 Thief Trader Reminder
📌 Stick to the layering strategy – multiple entries spread like a thief’s toolkit.
📌 Manage risk like a pro robber – don’t get caught with greedy hands.
📌 Escape clean – profit secured before the market traps you!
🔥💎 Support the Thief Gang by smashing that Boost Button 💥
Let’s keep robbing the markets together – smooth, stylish, and profitable.
Every heist, every day – Thief Trading Style. 🏆🕶️💰🚀
GER30 trade ideas
GER40 (DAX40) Technical Analysis & Trading OutlookCurrent Price: 23,397.40 | 4th October 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4
📊 MARKET OVERVIEW & STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS
The DAX40 is trading near all-time highs, displaying robust bullish momentum following the breakout above 23,000. The index is currently in a consolidation phase after an extended rally, suggesting potential for either continuation or a corrective pullback.
Key Market Context:
Trend Structure: Primary uptrend intact across all major timeframes
Market Phase: Late-stage expansion with decreasing momentum divergence
Volatility: Moderate; Bollinger Bands showing compression on 4H/Daily charts
Volume Profile: Declining volume on recent highs suggests potential exhaustion
🎯 MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
MONTHLY CHART - Long-term Perspective
Elliott Wave Count: Currently in Wave 5 of a larger impulse structure from 2022 lows
Gann Analysis: Price approaching the 1x2 Gann angle from the 2022 pivot; resistance expected at 23,450-23,500
Ichimoku Cloud: Trading well above the Kumo; Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bullish crossover sustained
Key Support: 22,800 (monthly pivot) | 22,400 (cloud base)
Key Resistance: 23,500 (Gann resistance) | 23,850 (Wave 5 projection target)
WEEKLY CHART - Swing Trading Perspective
Pattern Recognition: Potential Bull Flag formation developing (consolidation after strong rally)
Wyckoff Analysis: Phase D (markup) transitioning to possible Phase E (redistribution)
RSI: 67.2 - approaching overbought territory but not yet extreme
VWAP (Anchored from Jan 2025): 22,950 - price trading above, bullish bias confirmed
Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume on upswings suggests weakening buying pressure
DAILY CHART - Swing & Position Trading
Harmonic Pattern: Potential Bat Pattern completion zone: 23,450-23,550 (PRZ)
Head & Shoulders Watch: No clear reversal pattern yet, but right shoulder formation risk if rejection occurs above 23,500
Bollinger Bands: Price at upper band (23,420); squeeze pattern suggests breakout/breakdown imminent
Moving Averages:
20 EMA: 23,280 (immediate support)
50 EMA: 23,050 (critical support)
200 SMA: 22,400 (long-term trend support)
RSI: 64.8 - neutral to slightly overbought
MACD: Bullish but histogram showing declining momentum
4-HOUR CHART - Intraday/Swing Bridge
Trend: Short-term consolidation within ascending channel
Ichimoku: Price above cloud; flat Kijun-sen at 23,350 = pivot zone
VWAP: 23,365 - current price trading slightly above, marginally bullish
Support Levels: 23,350 | 23,280 | 23,200
Resistance Levels: 23,450 | 23,520 | 23,600
Pattern: Ascending Triangle forming between 23,280 support and 23,450 resistance
1-HOUR CHART - Intraday Focus
Candlestick Pattern: Indecision candles (doji/spinning tops) suggesting hesitation
RSI: 58.4 - neutral zone
Bollinger Bands: Mid-band at 23,370; price oscillating around mean
Volume: Below average - lack of conviction
Gann Square of 9: Next resistance at 23,445 (45° from current pivot)
15-MINUTE & 5-MINUTE CHARTS - Scalping
Micro Structure: Range-bound between 23,370-23,420
VWAP: Acting as dynamic support/resistance at 23,385
Volume Spikes: Watch for breakout confirmation with volume >120% of 20-period average
RSI (15M): Oscillating between 45-60 (neutral range)
🔍 CRITICAL TECHNICAL SIGNALS
Bullish Indicators:
✅ Price above all major moving averages (20/50/200 EMA)
✅ Ichimoku Cloud bullish alignment across all timeframes
✅ Higher lows pattern maintained since September
✅ Golden Cross intact (50 EMA > 200 EMA)
✅ Volume-weighted averages showing institutional support
Bearish Warning Signs:
⚠️ Declining volume on rallies (distribution concern)
⚠️ RSI bearish divergence forming on 4H/Daily charts
⚠️ Approaching Gann resistance and harmonic PRZ
⚠️ MACD histogram declining (momentum weakening)
⚠️ Potential Bull Trap risk if rejection occurs above 23,450
Neutral/Watch Factors:
🔶 Bollinger Band squeeze on daily chart (breakout pending)
🔶 Wyckoff redistribution signs require confirmation
🔶 No clear Head & Shoulders pattern yet (monitoring right shoulder)
📈 INTRADAY TRADING STRATEGY (Next 5 Trading Days)
SCENARIO A: BULLISH BREAKOUT (Probability: 45%)
Trigger: Break and hold above 23,450 with volume confirmation
Entry Points:
Aggressive: 23,455 (immediate breakout)
Conservative: 23,470 (retest of breakout level)
Targets:
T1: 23,520 (short-term resistance)
T2: 23,600 (Gann 1x1 angle)
T3: 23,750 (measured move from triangle)
Stop Loss:
Below 23,350 (4H Kijun-sen)
Time Frames: 5M, 15M, 1H entries | Hold 4H-Daily for swing
Risk:Reward: Minimum 1:2.5
SCENARIO B: RANGE-BOUND CONSOLIDATION (Probability: 35%)
Range: 23,280 - 23,450
Long Entries:
23,280-23,300 (lower range support + 20 EMA)
23,350-23,365 (4H pivot + VWAP)
Short Entries:
23,430-23,450 (upper range resistance)
23,520-23,535 (false breakout rejection)
Targets:
Range midpoint: 23,365
Opposite range boundary
Stop Loss:
Longs: Below 23,250 (range invalidation)
Shorts: Above 23,480 (breakout confirmed)
Strategy: Mean reversion scalping on 15M/1H charts
SCENARIO C: BEARISH CORRECTION (Probability: 20%)
Trigger: Break and close below 23,280 (20 EMA + ascending trendline)
Short Entry Points:
Aggressive: 23,275 (break confirmation)
Conservative: 23,300 (retest as resistance)
Targets:
T1: 23,200 (minor support)
T2: 23,050 (50 EMA + psychological level)
T3: 22,900 (weekly VWAP + gap fill)
Stop Loss:
Above 23,370 (failed breakdown)
Confirmation Signals:
RSI breaking below 50
MACD bearish crossover on 1H/4H
Volume surge on breakdown
📊 SWING TRADING STRATEGY (1-4 Weeks Outlook)
BULLISH SWING SCENARIO
Entry Zone: 23,200-23,280 (pullback to 20 EMA support)
Position Sizing: Build in 3 tranches
40% at 23,280
30% at 23,200
30% at 23,050 (if deeper correction)
Targets:
T1: 23,750 (Elliott Wave 5 target - partial profit 40%)
T2: 23,950 (Measured move + Gann extension - 30%)
T3: 24,200 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension - runner 30%)
Stop Loss: Below 22,950 (daily close basis)
Hold Duration: 2-4 weeks
Ideal Setup:
Bullish engulfing candle on daily chart at support
RSI bounce from 40-45 zone
Volume increase on bounce
BEARISH SWING SCENARIO (Hedge/Counter-trend)
Entry Zone: 23,480-23,550 (harmonic PRZ + Gann resistance)
Confirmation Required:
Bearish reversal candlestick (shooting star, evening star)
RSI bearish divergence
MACD bearish crossover on daily chart
Break below 23,350 on closing basis
Targets:
T1: 23,050 (50 EMA - 40% cover)
T2: 22,800 (monthly pivot - 35% cover)
T3: 22,400 (200 SMA + cloud base - final 25%)
Stop Loss: Above 23,650 (daily close)
Risk Management: Tight stops; favor bullish bias unless clear reversal
⚡ ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS
Current Count:
Primary Wave: Wave 5 of larger impulse from 2022 lows
Intermediate Wave: Subwave 5 of Wave 5 (terminal phase)
Minor Wave: Possible wave (iv) consolidation completing
Wave Projections:
Wave 5 Target (Equal legs): 23,750-23,800
Wave 5 Target (1.618 extension): 24,150-24,250
Corrective Wave A Target (if reversal): 22,800-22,900
Wave C Target (full correction): 22,200-22,400
Key Insights:
Wave structure suggests uptrend continuation likely
Terminal wave characteristics: decreasing momentum, longer time
Watch for five-wave completion signals near 23,750-24,000 zone
🔮 GANN ANALYSIS
Square of 9 (from 23,000 pivot):
45° Resistance: 23,445 ⚠️ (approaching)
90° Resistance: 23,667
180° Major Resistance: 24,000 (psychological confluence)
45° Support: 23,111
90° Support: 22,889
Gann Angles (from September 2024 low):
1x1 Angle: Currently at 23,580 (equilibrium)
1x2 Angle: 23,450 (major resistance) ⚠️
2x1 Angle: 23,100 (support)
Time Cycles:
Next significant Gann time window: October 8-10, 2025 (21 trading days from last pivot)
Potential reversal/acceleration zone
Price & Time Squaring:
Price at 23,400 squares with October 7th time projection
Suggests potential turning point early next week
🌊 ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO ANALYSIS
Current Status (Daily Chart):
Tenkan-sen (Conversion): 23,350 (flat = consolidation)
Kijun-sen (Base): 23,280 (critical support)
Senkou Span A: 23,100
Senkou Span B: 22,850
Chikou Span: Above price (bullish confirmation)
Cloud Analysis:
Price well above cloud = Strong Bull Trend
Cloud thickness = robust support structure
Future cloud (26 periods ahead) shows slight thinning = potential volatility increase
Key Signals:
TK Cross: Tenkan approaching Kijun from above (watch for bearish cross)
Price vs Kijun: Trading above = bullish, but proximity suggests correction risk
Chikou Span: Clear of price = trend continuation likely
Ichimoku Trading Signals:
Buy Signal: Pullback to 23,280-23,300 (Kijun support) with bullish rejection
Sell Signal: Daily close below Kijun (23,280) with bearish TK cross
Strongest Support: Cloud base at 22,850-23,100
📉 WYCKOFF MARKET CYCLE ANALYSIS
Current Phase Assessment: Late Phase D (Markup) / Early Phase E Watch
Characteristics Observed:
Accumulation (Complete): Built solid base 22,000-22,500 (July-August)
Markup Phase D: Strong advance from 22,500 to 23,400 (September-October)
Distribution Signs (Emerging):
Declining volume on rallies
Buying Climax (BC) potential near 23,500
Automatic Reaction (AR) risk if sharp rejection occurs
Secondary Test (ST) of supply likely
Wyckoff Price Levels:
Creek: 22,900-23,000 (major demand zone)
Spring Potential: 23,480-23,550 (if false breakout occurs)
Sign of Weakness (SOW): Break below 23,200 would signal distribution
Trading Implications:
If Markup Continues: Target 23,750-24,000 (Phase E)
If Distribution Begins: First support 23,000-23,050, major 22,800
Volume Confirmation Critical: Breakouts require 30%+ above average volume
Composite Operator Behavior:
Likely testing supply at current levels
Watch for shake-out below 23,280 to trap weak longs
Absorption of supply above 23,450 needed for continuation
🎪 HARMONIC PATTERN ANALYSIS
Active Pattern: Potential Bat Pattern Completion
Pattern Structure:
X: 22,450 (September low)
A: 23,150 (interim high)
B: 22,850 (retracement)
C: 23,350 (rally)
D (PRZ): 23,450-23,550 (reversal zone) ⚠️
Fibonacci Ratios:
AB: 0.382-0.500 retracement of XA ✓
BC: 0.382-0.886 retracement of AB ✓
CD: 1.618-2.618 extension of BC (target: 23,480-23,550)
XD: 0.886 retracement of XA (23,520) ⚠️
Trading Strategy:
Bearish Reversal Zone: 23,450-23,550
Entry: Short on bearish reversal confirmation in PRZ
Targets (if pattern activates):
38.2% CD: 23,200
61.8% CD: 22,950
100% CD: 22,650
Stop Loss: Above 23,600 (pattern invalidation)
Alternative Patterns:
Bullish Butterfly target at 23,750 if breakout sustains above 23,550
Gartley Pattern support at 23,050 on any correction
📊 INDICATOR SYNTHESIS
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Daily: 64.8 (neutral/slightly overbought)
4H: 61.2 (neutral)
1H: 58.4 (neutral)
Divergence: Bearish divergence forming on 4H/Daily (price higher highs, RSI lower highs) ⚠️
Key Levels:
Overbought: >70 (not yet extreme)
Oversold: <30 (correction target)
Support: 50 level = trend strength gauge
Bollinger Bands:
Daily: Squeeze pattern (low volatility = breakout imminent)
4H: Price at upper band (23,420) = short-term extended
Bandwidth: Narrowing significantly = explosive move coming (direction TBD)
Strategy: Wait for band break + close outside, then enter in direction of break
VWAP Analysis:
Session VWAP: 23,385 (dynamic pivot)
Weekly VWAP: 23,290 (critical support)
Anchored VWAP (Jan 2025): 22,950 (major support)
Volume Profile: Highest volume node at 23,300-23,350 (strong support/resistance flip zone)
Moving Average Confluence:
20 EMA: 23,280 (immediate support)
50 EMA: 23,050 (medium-term support)
200 SMA: 22,400 (long-term trend)
Alignment: Bullish across all timeframes
Golden Cross: Active since August 2024 (50>200) = long-term bullish
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
Daily: Bullish, but histogram declining (momentum loss)
4H: Approaching zero line (neutral)
Signal: Watch for bearish crossover on 4H as early reversal warning
Divergence: Confirming RSI bearish divergence on daily chart
🚨 TRAP IDENTIFICATION & AVOIDANCE
BULL TRAP Risk (HIGH ALERT): ⚠️⚠️⚠️
Scenario: False breakout above 23,450-23,500 followed by sharp reversal
Warning Signs:
Breakout with declining volume (no conviction)
Quick spike to 23,500-23,550 with long upper wicks
Inability to hold above 23,450 for more than 2 hours (1H chart)
RSI divergence + MACD histogram declining
Break below 23,350 after failed breakout
Protection Strategy:
Wait for retest of breakout level before entering longs
Require volume confirmation (>120% of 20-period average)
Set tight stops below 23,380 if entering on breakout
Reduce position size by 50% if entering in potential trap zone
Bull Trap Target (if triggered): 23,000-23,050 (trap participants' stops)
BEAR TRAP Risk (LOW-MODERATE):
Scenario: False breakdown below 23,280 followed by sharp recovery
Warning Signs:
Break on low volume
Quick recovery above 23,280 within 1-2 candles
Strong bullish reversal candlestick at support
RSI showing bullish divergence at lower levels
Protection Strategy:
Wait for daily close below 23,250 before aggressive shorts
Watch for volume confirmation on breakdown
Be ready to cover shorts if price reclaims 23,300 quickly
Don't short against major support zones without confirmation
🌍 MARKET CONTEXT & EXTERNAL FACTORS
Macroeconomic Considerations:
ECB Policy: Dovish stance supporting equity markets
German Economy: Manufacturing PMI showing signs of stabilization
EUR/USD: Correlation with DAX; watch 1.08-1.10 zone
US Markets: S&P 500 correlation strong; US data impacts DAX sentiment
Geopolitical: Middle East tensions = safe-haven flows (moderate risk)
Earnings Season:
German corporate earnings (October) = potential volatility catalyst
DAX constituent reporting: watch for sector rotation
Seasonal Patterns:
October historically volatile for European indices
End-of-month portfolio rebalancing (October 31st) = potential volatility
Volatility Indicators:
VDAX (DAX volatility): Currently moderate ~15-16
Complacency risk if volatility spikes above 18
🎯 COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN
INTRADAY TRADERS (5M - 1H Charts):
Monday-Wednesday Outlook:
Primary Strategy: Range trading between 23,280-23,450
Scalp Zones:
Buy: 23,300-23,320 | Target: 23,380-23,400 | Stop: 23,275
Sell: 23,430-23,450 | Target: 23,370-23,350 | Stop: 23,475
Thursday-Friday Outlook:
Breakout Watch: Decision time for triangle pattern
If Bullish: Long 23,460+ | Target: 23,550 | Trail stop
If Bearish: Short <23,270 | Target: 23,150 | Stop: 23,320
Risk Management:
Maximum 1% risk per trade
2:1 minimum risk:reward
No more than 3 active positions simultaneously
Daily loss limit: 2% of account
SWING TRADERS (4H - Daily Charts):
PRIMARY SETUP: Buy the Dip
Entry Zone: 23,200-23,280 (expect pullback next week)
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or hammer on daily chart
Position Size: 2-3% risk per trade
Targets: 23,750 (T1) | 24,000 (T2) | 24,250 (T3)
Stop Loss: 22,950 (daily close basis)
Time Horizon: 2-4 weeks
SECONDARY SETUP: Breakout Long
Entry: Break and hold above 23,480 (daily close)
Confirmation: Volume >1.5x average + consecutive closes above
Targets: 23,750 | 24,000 | 24,300
Stop Loss: 23,350
Hold: Trail stop to 20 EMA on daily chart
HEDGE SETUP: Short from Resistance
Entry: 23,500-23,550 with reversal confirmation
Confirmation: Shooting star + RSI divergence + MACD cross
Targets: 23,200 | 23,050 | 22,800
Stop Loss: 23,650 (strict)
Position Size: 50% of normal (counter-trend)
POSITION TRADERS (Weekly - Monthly Charts):
Long-Term Bullish Thesis:
Entry Strategy: Accumulate on corrections to 23,000-23,200
Core Position: Build over 2-3 weeks
Targets:
24,000 (3-month target)
24,500 (6-month target)
25,000 (12-month psychological)
Stop Loss: Weekly close below 22,600
Rationale: Elliott Wave 5 completion + breakout from multi-year consolidation
Portfolio Allocation:
60% long exposure at current levels
20% cash for pullback buying
20% hedges if approaching 23,800-24,000 zone
🔔 ALERT LEVELS & NOTIFICATIONS
Critical Price Alerts to Set:
✅ 23,480 (Breakout level - LONG signal)
✅ 23,450 (Harmonic PRZ - Watch for reversal)
✅ 23,350 (4H support - Breakdown warning)
✅ 23,280 (Daily 20 EMA - CRITICAL support)
✅ 23,200 (Buy zone activation)
✅ 23,050 (50 EMA - Major support test)
✅ 22,950 (Stop loss trigger for swings)
Indicator Alerts:
RSI crossing 70 (overbought) or 50 (weakness)
MACD bearish crossover on 4H/Daily
Bollinger Band break (either direction)
Volume spike >150% of average
📌 CONCLUSION & BIAS
Overall Bias: CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH 🟢 (60% probability)
Bullish Case (60%):
The primary trend remains intact with price above all major moving averages and strong cloud support. The consolidation near highs is healthy, and a resolution to the upside targeting 23,750-24,000 is the path of least resistance. Elliott Wave structure suggests one more push higher to complete Wave 5.
Bearish Case (20%):
Declining volume, RSI divergence, and approach of major resistance (Gann, harmonic PRZ) suggest caution. A failed breakout above 23,500 could trigger a correction to 23,000-22,800. Wyckoff distribution signs require monitoring.
Neutral/Range Case (20%):
Continued consolidation between 23,200-23,500 for 1-2 weeks is possible as the market digests recent gains and awaits economic catalysts.
Best Trading Approach:
Intraday: Range trade 23,280-23,450 until breakout
Swing: Wait for pullback to 23,200-23,280 for optimal risk:reward longs
Position: Maintain core long exposure with stops below 22,800
Key Success Factors:
Patience: Wait for high-probability setups at defined levels
Discipline: Honor stop losses without exception
Flexibility: Adapt to price action; market is always right
Confirmation: Require volume and indicator alignment before major trades
🎓 FINAL RECOMMENDATIONS
For Aggressive Traders:
Trade both sides of the range
Quick profits (50-100 points)
Tight stops (50-80 points)
High frequency (5-10 trades/week)
For Conservative Traders:
Wait for 23,200-23,280 pullback
Larger position size with better risk:reward
Wider stops (150-200 points)
Target 23,750+ for 1:3+ reward
Low frequency (1-2 trades/month)
For Long-Term Investors:
Accumulate on any dip toward 23,000
Hold through minor volatility
Target 24,500+ over 3-6 months
Stop only on weekly close <22,600
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
GER30 H4 | Extension of Bullish Momentum ExpectedGER30 is falling towards the buy entry at 24,270.66, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this levle to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 24,040.97, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 24,652.43, which acts as a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Bearish reversal off swing high resistance?DAX40 (DE40) is reacting off the pivot, which has been identified as a multi swing high resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 24,550.50
1st Support: 24,231.02
1st Resistance: 24,660.54
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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GER40 Critical Level: Which Way Will It Break?📊 GER40 Critical Breakout Analysis
Hello Guys,
By popular demand, I’ve prepared a GER40 analysis. Every single follower matters to me, and that’s why I’m sharing this breakdown with you.
🔹 Buy scenario: Price needs to break above 23,895 and close a candle there.
🔹 Sell scenario: Price needs to drop below 23,278 and close a candle under it.
I’ll be watching both levels closely. Once a breakout happens, I’ll update you right away.
Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to everyone supporting me!
"DAX 40 Strategy Map — Multi-Layer Entries & Thief Twist"📊 GERMANY 40 Index Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade)
Ladies & Gentlemen (aka Thief OG’s 😎), here’s my fresh DAX roadmap.
🔑 Plan (Bullish Bias):
Triangular Moving Average 382 broken upwards ✅
CCI Oscillator flashing a Golden Cross ⚡
Both signals together = bullish confirmation.
🎯 Entry (Thief Layer Strategy):
This is not a single-entry plan. Instead, I’m layering multiple buy-limit levels:
23800, 23900, 24000, 24100
(You can increase layers if market structure supports it.)
This layering method (Thief Strategy) spreads risk and improves average entry.
🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief Guardrail):
My SL marker: 23700
⚠️ Note: This is my personal map, not financial advice. You can adjust according to your own risk appetite.
💰 Target (Take Profit Zone):
Primary Exit: 24600
Strong barricade & resistance near 24700 🚨 (watch out for overbought trap).
Idea: escape with profits before the police (market sellers) block the road!
📌 Correlations & Watchlist:
FOREXCOM:GER40 (Germany 40 Index)
XETR:DAX (cash market ticker)
CAPITALCOM:DE40 (futures contracts)
ICMARKETS:STOXX50 (Euro Stoxx 50 correlation)
SP:SPX / NASDAQ:NDX (U.S indices often influence DAX intraday flow)
FX:EURUSD (currency correlation can impact European equities via euro strength/weakness)
Keeping an eye on global risk sentiment is essential — strong U.S. momentum often supports DAX upside.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📜 Disclaimer:
This is a Thief-style trading strategy — designed for fun, educational purposes, and market mapping only. This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
#GER40 #DAX #Germany40 #SwingTrade #DayTrading #IndexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #TradingView
Bullish bounce?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 23,479.66
1st Support: 23,317.44
1st Resistance: 23,873.56
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GER30 Trading Plan: Pending Orders, Breakout Levels, and Targets📉 GER30 (Germany Index) – Market Cash Flow Management Strategy 🏦
Hey Traders 👋,
Here’s a swing/day trade plan I’m watching on the GER30 (Germany Index). This setup is designed with a layered pending order strategy once confirmation hits.
🔑 Trading Plan
Bias: Bearish (waiting for sellers to breach the 4H Moving Average ✅ confirmation needed)
Entry Trigger: Breakout of MA @ 23300 ➝ after breakout confirmation, entries can be considered at different price levels.
Layered Entries (Sell Limits):
23500
23450
23400
23350
23300
(You can expand layering based on your own strategy)
⚠️ Important Note: Only activate sell limit layers after breakout confirmation. No confirmation = no entry.
🛑 Stop Loss
Suggested SL: 23650
But remember: risk management is personal! 🎯 Set your SL at your own comfort level.
🎯 Target
Exit Zone: 22900
Why? SMA acting as strong dynamic support, plus oversold conditions & potential liquidity traps.
Again ➝ this TP is optional. You’re in control of your profits. 💰
📌 Core Notes (Read Carefully!)
This plan uses multiple layered sell-limit entries (cash flow layering style).
Don’t jump in blindly! Wait for the moving average breach on 4H to confirm bearish momentum.
SL & TP are not recommendations, just references. Trade at your own risk.
🔗 Correlation / Related Pairs to Watch
FX:GER30 – Core instrument
XETR:DAX – Same Germany Index benchmark (futures)
FX:EURUSD – Often inversely correlated with DAX strength when EUR reacts to macro events
SP:SPX / CAPITALCOM:US30 – Global equity indices; U.S. flows can impact German equities
OANDA:XAUUSD – Gold as a hedge; risk-off flows sometimes push capital out of equities and into gold
Watching these pairs can give better context to the strength/weakness of GER30 📊.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#GER30 #DAX #Germany30 #IndexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #StockIndices #MarketFlow
DAX Bullish resistance breakout supported at 24250 The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 24250 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 24250 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24550 – initial resistance
24650 – psychological and structural level
24800 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 24250 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
24100 – minor support
24000 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 24250. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX: Sideways at ATH, Q3 Coil → Q4 Pop?Since May the DAX has moved sideways at/near all-time highs. Q3 has been chop as expected, but momentum hasn’t broken—buyers keep defending the 23.4–23.7k shelf. I’m leaning into seasonality and prior behavior: staying long for a push into quarter-end, then I’ll reassess. Plan on scaling out into 24,500 → 24,600 → 24,700 (ATH supply), with risk tucked below the recent range floor.
Technicals
• Structure: Multi-month range at the highs; no decisive lower-low. The 4H view shows repeated rejections of a minor descending supply line while the base at ~23,6xx keeps holding.
• Entry zone: 23,620–23,720 (range support / prior VWAP shelf).
• Invalidation: daily close below 23,200–23,300 (range break).
• Targets: 24,000 (psych), 24,300 (mid-supply), 24,600 (ATH line from your chart).
• Breadth/rotation clues (dashboard): Financials firm, tech mixed, autos soft; overall market still balanced rather than risk-off—consistent with consolidation, not reversal.
• Tape feel: Repeated “muted opens” with buyers showing up later in the session fits the grind-higher playbook into month/quarter end.
Fundamentals
• Macro tone: US risk appetite improved after the Fed’s first cut, even as Powell tempered hopes of an aggressive path—enough to cap deep corrections but still supportive of equities. European desk notes point to a restrained start, not a bear impulse.
• Germany specifics: Headlines flag auto-sector warnings (VW/Porsche) weighing on sentiment, but banks and select industrials offset—matching the mixed sector board rather than broad deterioration.
• Flows/seasonality: Quarter-end & Q4 seasonality often favor indices that have consolidated at highs; with DAX still ~1k points off the record, a range breakout toward 24.3k–24.65k is a reasonable path before re-calibrating.
• Risks to thesis: Another round of negative guidance from autos, hotter-than-expected US data re-pricing fewer cuts, or a clean daily close below 23.2k (range failure).
Trade what’s on the chart, respect the invalidation, and pay yourself into strength.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
DAX: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 24,143.24 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 24,058.86 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DAX taps into horizontal supply where Smart Money distributes orders. The rejection signals bearish flow, with liquidity likely drawn toward inefficiency near 24,300 zone. Time Frame 3H.
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DAX breakout retest at pivotal 23600The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23400 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23400 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
23950 – initial resistance
24116 – psychological and structural level
24250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23400 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23250 – minor support
23094 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23400. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Typical Inverse Head and Shoulder PatternPrice Patterns in price action trading is highly effective and profitable, however the main problem is executing the trade. Most traders will learn and test patterns over and over but when it comes at executing the trade, they doubt that it can be as simple as identifying and trusting a pattern to make money.
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 remains in a sideways trend, trading at 23,840, just above its VWAP of 23,629 after rebounding off range support. The RSI at 53.2 suggests mild upward momentum. Support is at 23,396, with resistance at 24,000.
UK 100 continues in a bullish trend and is currently in a correction (triangle) phase. It is trading at 9,317, above its VWAP of 9,245. The RSI of 61.4 indicates steady buying interest. Support is at 9,172, and resistance is at 9,333.
Wall Street remains in a bullish impulsive phase, trading near record highs at 46,380, above its VWAP of 45,984. The RSI at 63.0 supports strong bullish sentiment albeit not overbought. Support sits at 45,379, with resistance at 46,590.
Brent Crude is in the same choppy range-bound conditions with reduced volatility from weeks prior, trading at 6,886, above its VWAP of 6,719. The RSI of 59.1 suggests moderate strength. Support is found at 6,500, and resistance is at 6,939.
Gold is maintaining its epic bullish impulsive phase, trading above the 3800 handle for the first time at 3,806, well above its VWAP of 3,613. The RSI at 79.1 indicates extreme overbought levels. Support is at 3,492, and resistance is at 3,734.
EUR/USD has dropped back into its range after a failed breakout. It is trading at 1.1726, slightly below its VWAP of 1.1750. RSI at 49.9 indicates a neutral stance. Support is at 1.1638, with resistance at 1.1832.
GBP/USD remains in a neutral trend within a range phase, currently at 1.3437, below its VWAP of 1.3514. The RSI of 45.5 shows slightly bearish momentum. Support and price are aligned at 1.3357, with resistance at 1.3673.
USD/JPY is in a neutral trend and remains range-bound, pulling back from the 150 round figure, trading at 148.85, just above its VWAP of 147.93. The RSI at 56.4 shows slightly bullish momentum. Support lies at 146.14, while resistance is at 149.72.