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GER30 trade ideas

DAX INDEX | Elliott Wave + SMC + Fib + Market CycleDAX INDEX | Super Cycle Wave (3) In Progress | Micro Wave (iv) Correction Expected | Elliott Wave + SMC + Fib + Market Cycle This macro outlook on the DAX Index (GER40) combines Elliott Wave Theory , Smart Money Concepts (SMC) , and Fibonacci Analysis , tracking the long-term price structure from the 1990s into the expected 2029 Super Cycle top . We are currently nearing the completion of Micro Wave (iii) inside Super Cycle Wave (3) , with a correction expected as Micro Wave (iv) before a final leg Wave (v) to complete the 20-year Super Cycle advance. 🌀 SUPER CYCLE STRUCTURE (Wave Count Recap) 🔵 Supercycle Wave (1) 📈 Topped in 2000 📐 Five-wave impulse from early 90s 💡 Marked the first major peak of the new macro bull cycle 🔴 Super Cycle Wave (2) 🕰 2000–2009 📉 Multi-year W-X-Y complex correction 🔻 Pulled back to 0.618 retracement of Wave (1) 📍 Bottomed Jan–Feb 2009 — Smart Money accumulation zone 🚀 Supercycle Wave (3) — Now in Progress (2009–2029 Target) This is a multi-decade impulse wave , subdividing into Micro Waves (i) through (v) . 🟠 Micro Wave (i) 🕰 2009–2018 ✅ Clean 5-wave impulsive structure 🔓 Broke above Super Cycle Wave (1) high 📊 Confirmed initiation of Wave (3) 🟠 Micro Wave (ii) 🕰 2018–2020 (COVID crash) 🔻 Pulled back to 0.50 retracement of Wave (i) 📦 Retested key order blocks 💧 Liquidity swept beneath 2016–2018 lows 📈 Smart Money reaccumulation before major expansion 🟠 Micro Wave (iii) — Currently Unfolding 🕰 2020 – Expected top by end of 2025 or early 2026 🚀 Strongest wave in the structure 🔼 Targeting 2.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave (i) 🎯 Target zone: 30,941 (~32K) 📊 Multiple internal impulses have formed 🧠 Price delivery: Consistent BoS Minimal retracement No parabolic blow-off yet → confirming institutional flow 🟠 Micro Wave (iv) — Correction Expected Next 🕰 Expected: 2026 to early 2027 🔻 Projected retracement: 0.382 – 0.5 of Wave (iii) Target zone: 23,350 – 22,165 💧 Confluence with: Sell-side liquidity pools Prior OBs and imbalance zones ⚠️ Reaccumulation phase likely before final rally 🟠 Micro Wave (v) — Final Advance to Complete Supercycle Wave (3) 🕰 Expected top by 2029 🎯 Target range: Above 32,000, possibly toward 35,000+ depending on extensions 🔄 Will mark the peak of Supercycle Wave (3) 📉 Anticipate a major correction in Supercycle Wave (4) after that 📐 FIBONACCI LEVELS OF INTEREST Structure Key Fib Levels Supercycle (2) 0.618 retracement of (1) Micro Wave (ii) 0.50 retracement of (i) Micro Wave (iii) 2.618 extension of (i) → 30,941–32K Micro Wave (iv) 0.382–0.5 retracement → 23,350–22K Micro Wave (v) Possible extension to 38K+ 🧠 SMART MONEY CONCEPTS (SMC) 🔓 Break of Structure (BoS) confirmed trend shifts at Wave (i), (ii), and internal impulses 📦 Order Blocks respected at retracement zones (2020 low, 2022 correction) 💧 Liquidity Grabs below previous lows fuel impulsive breakouts 🧱 Price Delivery = Institutional — no euphoric parabolas yet 🎯 Expect engineered liquidity sweep before Wave (iv) reaccumulation 📌 CONCLUSION We are now nearing the completion of Micro Wave (iii) inside Super Cycle Wave (3) of the DAX. Price is approaching major extension targets (30,941–32,000), from where Wave (iv) correction is due. This pullback (2026–2027) is expected to offer high-probability re-accumulation opportunities within a Smart Money demand zone before the final macro rally to new ATHs into 2029. ⚠️ After 2029 , expect a larger Supercycle Wave (4) correction phase. 📘 DISCLAIMER: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management.
FX:GER30Long
by fibcos
GER40: 24K FORTRESS UNDER SIEGE! European Bull Run 🚀 GER40: 24K FORTRESS UNDER SIEGE! European Bull Run 📊 Current Price: 23,763.00 | Date: Sept 27, 2025 ⏰ 📈 INTRADAY TRADING SETUPS (Next 5 Days) 🎯 BULLISH SCENARIO Entry Zone: 23,720 - 23,780 📍 Stop Loss: 23,650 🛑 Target 1: 23,920 🎯 Target 2: 24,080 🚀 🎯 BEARISH SCENARIO Entry Zone: 23,800 - 23,850 📍 Stop Loss: 23,920 🛑 Target 1: 23,600 🎯 Target 2: 23,450 📉 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN 📊 KEY INDICATORS STATUS: RSI (14): 63.7 ⚡ Bullish Territory Hold Bollinger Bands: Upper Band Test 🔥 VWAP: 23,740 - Critical Pivot 💪 EMA 20: 23,680 ✅ Strong Uptrend Base Volume: Above Average Flow 📊 🌊 WAVE ANALYSIS: Elliott Wave: Wave 3 Impulse Active 🌊 Fibonacci Extension: 24,200 Target 🎯 🔄 HARMONIC PATTERNS: Bullish Gartley Completion at 23,650 ✨ Cypher Pattern PRZ Active 🔄 ⚖️ SWING TRADING OUTLOOK (1-4 Weeks) 🚀 BULLISH TARGETS: Psychological: 24,000 🏆 Weekly Resistance: 24,150 🌙 Gann Square: 24,300 ⭐ 📉 BEARISH INVALIDATION: Weekly Support: 23,500 ⚠️ Critical Break: 23,300 🚨 🎭 MARKET STRUCTURE: Trend: Ascending Channel 💪 Momentum: Building Steam 🔥 Wyckoff Phase: Mark-up Active 📈 Ichimoku: Bullish Breakout 🟢 🏰 24K FORTRESS BATTLE: Resistance Cluster: 23,950-24,050 ⚔️ Volume Spike Needed: Above 24,000 💥 Breakout Confirmation: 24,080 hold 🔓 ⚡ RISK MANAGEMENT: Max Risk per Trade: 1.2% 🛡️ R:R Ratio: Minimum 1:2.5 ⚖️ European Session: Prime Trading 📏 🌍 EUROPEAN CATALYSTS: ECB Policy Supporting Growth 🏛️ German Economic Data Resilient 📈 Export Sector Momentum Strong 🚢 🔥 CRITICAL LEVELS: Breakout: 23,850 decisive close 💥 Support: 23,700 | 23,620 | 23,500 🛡️ Resistance: 23,900 | 24,000 | 24,150 🚧 🎯 FINAL VERDICT: DAX storming toward 24K BREAKTHROUGH! 🚀 European strength driving momentum! 💪 Bull channel intact - trend your friend! 📈 Trade Management: Buy dips to VWAP support 💎 Key Battle: 24K psychological fortress! 🏰 --- ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risk. Use proper position sizing. Educational content only. For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade 🔔 Follow European Markets | 💬 Share Your DAX 24K Strategy
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by sunya
DAX retesting key support at 23400The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 23400 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 23400 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 23950 – initial resistance 24116 – psychological and structural level 24250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 23400 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23250 – minor support 23094 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23400. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation