JPYBasket Bounces Off Central Pivot on H1The JPYBasket retraced to the 38.2% Fibonacci level of its previous impulse move up. This level overlaps with the central pivot and together these levels have supported the index. Moreover, its green 5-hour EMA has moved above its orange 10-hour EMA (green ellipse) and the RSI has pushed above 50 (blue rectangle). Capital seems to be flowing back into the JPY, which is regarded as a safe-haven. Thus, risk-off and fear may still be dominating market participates. If the EMAs develop angle and separation, the JPYBasket's next impulse up may very well be under way.
Trade ideas
JPYBasket Moving Downwards; Risk Sentiment Tending Towards OnThe JPY is regarded as a safe haven and tends to be sold down when there is less uncertainty in the market. This being the case it is interesting to note that FXCM's JPY index - the JPYBasket - is showing signs of weakness i.e. its green 5-day EMA has crossed below its orange 10-day EMA. Moreover, the latest candlestick shows a long range red candlestick suggesting supply. If the EMAs show further angle and separation and the RSI dips below 50, it will be regarded as further weakness. This type of movement would seem to indicate that the market is overcoming the Apple announcement regarding missing its Q1 revenue numbers as per guidance, and that the market sees the coronavirus as plateauing. If these trajectories hold, then market sentiment will be regarded as tending towards risk-on, which typically sees a rotation of capital from havens into risk assets.



