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NSDQ100 overbought pullback - dip buying opportunity? Equities saw a sharp reversal yesterday, led by weakness in tech and AI-related names. While it was only a single day’s selloff, sentiment has clearly shifted toward caution, with growing talk of a potential equity correction. Market Dynamics The Magnificent 7 stocks fell -2.28%, driving the Nasdaq 100 lower as investors reassessed stretched valuations. Palantir (-7.9%) and Nvidia (-4.0%) were key drags, emblematic of overextended tech momentum — even positive earnings guidance wasn’t enough to support prices. Broader weakness spread across the market: S&P 500 -1.17% (worst day since Oct 10), equal-weight S&P -0.63%, and Russell 2000 -1.78%. The S&P ex-Mag-7 was down -0.75%, underscoring the narrowness of recent gains and rising concern over market concentration. Macro & Other Drivers The risk-off tone boosted Treasuries: 2yr yield fell to 3.58%, 10yr to 4.09%. Broader sentiment was pressured by a prolonged U.S. government shutdown (now 36 days, the longest ever) with growing economic cost estimates ($10–30bn/week). Bitcoin briefly recovered above $100k, but large holders sold ~400,000 coins (~$45bn), adding to the risk-aversion tone. Political Context Zohran Mamdani’s election as New York’s first democratic socialist mayor and new housing initiatives grabbed headlines but had limited market impact. Takeaway for Nasdaq 100 The Nasdaq 100 faces renewed selling pressure as investors rotate out of AI-heavy leaders and take profits after a long rally. Focus today will be on whether dip-buyers step in or if the correction broadens. Key near-term catalysts: U.S. ISM Services and ADP employment data, plus earnings from Qualcomm, ARM, and DoorDash later today — all potential volatility triggers for tech sentiment. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
USNAS100 / Fed Caution and Earnings Weigh on MomentumUSNAS100 – MARKET OUTLOOK | Futures Stall Near Highs as Fed Turns Cautious 🇺🇸 Wall Street futures held near record levels after the Fed’s 25bps rate cut, as traders weighed Powell’s cautious tone, Big Tech earnings, and a new U.S.–China trade deal. 🔽 Below 26,170: Bearish momentum toward 26,050 → 25,890 → 25,700. 🔼 Above 26,180: Trend turns bullish toward 26,500 → 26,850. Pivot: 26,170 Support: 26,050 · 25,890 · 25,700 Resistance: 26,300 · 26,500 · 26,850 USNAS100 remains bearish while below 26,170, though strong tech earnings could trigger short-term upside volatility.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
Nasdaq slides as volatility growsNasdaq was pushed down to the local support area, as the sentiment for the stock market has worsened due to a certain degree of deleveraging for stocks and investors moving to safety. VIX (S&P 500 volatility index) has climbed above 20, which pushes the market’s volatility expectations higher and may trigger nervous reactions for tech stocks. The longest duration of downswings for Nasdaq is about 15-17 days, which allows us to project the downward move to a longer time period, with a further development of the bullish pullback, as shown at the chart. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
WHSELFINVEST:USTECH100CFDShort
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
NSDQ100 relief rally led by mega-cap tech.Nasdaq 100 Trading Summary Tech sentiment has rebounded strongly after upbeat earnings from Amazon and Apple, reversing much of yesterday’s selloff. Amazon (+13% pre-market): Cloud revenue up +20% y/y, fastest growth since 2022 — a major boost for one of the year’s weakest Mag-7 names. Apple (+2% pre-market): Forecasts 10–12% revenue growth this quarter (vs +6% expected), driven by stronger iPhone demand. US futures: Nasdaq +1.2%, S&P 500 +0.65%, erasing most of Thursday’s losses. Yesterday’s decline stemmed from AI-capex worries after Meta (-11.3%) and Nvidia (-2%) fell on spending and China-sales concerns. Those fears are easing as investors refocus on strong earnings and resilient demand. Other Headlines Universal Music beat estimates on subscription revenue, supporting consumer-discretionary sentiment. Beverage giants continue to struggle — $830 bn in market value lost since 2021 amid shifting habits and tariffs. UK retail: Growing backlash against chatbots may be hurting sales by billions, highlighting limits of AI adoption. Outlook Nasdaq 100 looks set for a relief rally led by mega-cap tech. Focus today: follow-through buying in Amazon and Apple, stabilization in AI names (Meta, Nvidia), and overall positioning into month-end and key US inflation data later in the day. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
Reversal From ATH, Momentum Turns Cautious Reversal From ATH, Momentum Turns Cautious The NASDAQ reversed from its all-time high and remains below 26,175, signaling short-term bearish momentum. ➡️ Below 26,175: Bearish bias toward 25,890 → 25,700 → 25,340. ➡️ Above 26,245: Bullish continuation toward 26,500 → 26,850. Pivot POINT: 26,175 Support: 25,890 · 25,700 · 25,340 Resistance: 26,500 · 26,850 · 27,000 USNAS100 remains bearish while below 26,175, but a 1H close above 26,245 would confirm a bullish breakout toward higher targets.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by NouzTrader
Position Sizing: The Math That Separates Winners from LosersMost traders blow up their accounts not because of bad entries, but because of terrible position sizing. You can have a 60% win rate and still go broke if you risk too much per trade. The 1-2% Rule (And Why It Works) Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade. Here's why this matters: Risk 2% per trade → You can survive 50 consecutive losses Risk 10% per trade → 10 losses = -65% drawdown (you need +186% just to break even) Risk 20% per trade → 5 losses = game over The Position Sizing Formula Position Size = (Account Size × Risk %) / (Entry Price - Stop Loss) Real Example: Account: $10,000 Risk per trade: 2% = $200 Entry: $50 Stop loss: $48 Risk per share: $2 Position Size = $200 / $2 = 100 shares If stopped out → You lose exactly $200 (2%) If price hits $54 → You make $400 (4% gain, 2:1 R/R) Different Risk Frameworks Conservative (1% risk) Best for: Beginners, volatile markets, high-frequency trading Survivability: Can take 100+ losses Growth: Slower but steady Moderate (2% risk) Best for: Experienced traders, tested strategies Survivability: 50 consecutive losses Growth: Balanced risk/reward Aggressive (3-5% risk) Best for: High conviction setups, smaller accounts trying to grow Survivability: 20-33 losses Growth: Faster but dangerous Warning: Never go above 5% unless you're gambling, not trading. The Kelly Criterion (Advanced) For traders with significant backtested data: Kelly % = Win Rate - Example: Win rate: 55% Avg win: $300 Avg loss: $200 Win/Loss ratio: 1.5 Kelly % = 0.55 - = 0.55 - 0.30 = 25% But use 1/4 Kelly (6.25%) or 1/2 Kelly (12.5%) - Full Kelly is too aggressive for real markets. Common Position Sizing Mistakes ❌ Revenge trading larger after a loss ✅ Keep position size constant based on current account value ❌ Risking the same dollar amount regardless of setup quality ✅ Risk 0.5% on B-setups, 2% on A+ setups ❌ Ignoring correlation risk ✅ If you have 5 tech stocks open, you're really risking 10% on one sector ❌ Not adjusting after drawdowns ✅ If account drops 20%, your 2% risk should recalculate from new balance The Volatility Adjustment In high volatility (VIX > 30): Cut position sizes by 30-50% Widen stops or risk less per trade Market can gap past your stops In low volatility (VIX < 15): Can use normal position sizing Tighter stops possible More predictable price action My Personal Framework I use a tiered approach: High conviction setups (A+): 2% risk Good setups (A): 1.5% risk Decent setups (B): 1% risk Experimental/learning: 0.5% risk Maximum combined risk: Never more than 6% across all open positions. The Bottom Line Position sizing is the only thing you have complete control over in trading. You can't control: Where price goes Market volatility News events But you CAN control how much you risk. The traders who survive long enough to get good are the ones who master position sizing first. What's your current risk per trade? Drop it in the comments. If it's above 5%, we need to talk.
IG:NASDAQEducation
by Maaz_BA
NASDAQ 100 Analysis ! The current price of the NASDAQ is $26,127, and my projection points to $32,000 in the coming months, entering 2026. This analysis is based exclusively on price action, following Al Brooks' methodology, through the technical analysis developed by Josias Baltazar, one of his closest students. Use this projection as a reference for your decisions, whether in stocks or wherever you deem it appropriate. I'll leave this analysis here... and I'll return in the future to see how it played out.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by JARTRADING2
NAS100 H1 | Bullish Continuation In PlayNAS100 has bounced off the buy entry at 25,827.05, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to the upside. Stop loss is at 25,593.54, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 26,452.71, which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADU:NAS100Long
by Tradu
NAS100 (1H) Market Outlook📈 NAS100 (1H) Market Outlook NASDAQ is approaching a major resistance zone, with price currently extending within the upper boundary of a rising channel. We may see a short-term bullish continuation into the top trendline, followed by a potential corrective drop back toward the 25,300–25,400 demand zone. 🧭 Key Levels: 🟥 Resistance Zone: 26,100 – 26,200 🟩 Support Zone: 25,300 – 25,400 ⚙️ Potential setup: Wait for rejection confirmation before short entry. 📊 Market structure remains bullish overall, but extended exhaustion near the top trendline could trigger a pullback before continuation. ✨ Precision. Patience. Profit. #NAS100 #US100 #IndexTrading #Forex #StressFreeTrading
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by StressFreeTrading9
NAS100 Forecast: A Fresh Bullish Impulse Toward New HighsThe NAS100 index is currently moving within a classic Elliott Wave structure. After completing wave (3), the market entered a correction phase that formed wave (4). This correction appears to have ended in the highlighted support zone, where buyers stepped in strongly. The five-wave pattern before wave (4) confirms a solid bullish trend. Now, the index seems to be preparing for the final upward move wave (5). This wave often represents the last push of a rally before a larger correction starts. As long as the price stays above the recent support near 24,400 , the next targets could be seen around 25,200–25,600 . In simple terms, the market is expected to continue its uptrend after a short pullback, following the typical Elliott Wave sequence of five upward waves and three corrective ones.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100
by Money_Dictators
Are Institutional Buyers Returning to NASDAQ100 Again?🎯 NASDAQ100 Blueprint: The Thief's Ultimate Heist Setup 💰 📊 Asset Overview NASDAQ:NDX | US100 Index Market Capital Flow Analysis - Swing Trade Setup 🔍 Technical Foundation Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMED The LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) breakout has painted the perfect picture. When institutional money flows align with technical breakouts, you know the smart money is positioning for the next leg up. Current Market Structure: We're witnessing a textbook bullish continuation pattern with strong momentum building above key moving averages. The index is showing resilience at support zones while eyeing psychological resistance levels ahead. 💎 The Thief's Layered Entry Strategy Entry Philosophy: "Why catch one knife when you can catch four?" 😏 This is classic Thief-style layering - multiple limit orders spread across strategic price zones to build a position with optimal average entry: Entry Layers (Limit Orders): 🎯 Layer 1: 24,800 🎯 Layer 2: 25,000 (Psychological level) 🎯 Layer 3: 25,200 🎯 Layer 4: 25,400 Pro tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and capital allocation. Scale in gradually, not aggressively. Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, you can enter at current market price - but layering gives you the edge when volatility strikes. 🛡️ Risk Management Stop Loss Zone: 24,600 ⚠️ Important Notice: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this SL is MY reference point based on market structure. You are the captain of your own ship - set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance and account size. Trade at your own risk! 🎯 Profit Target Primary Target: 26,000 Why this level? Strong historical resistance zone Overbought territory on multiple timeframes Potential bull trap formation area Confluence with Fibonacci extension levels ⚠️ Exit Strategy Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this TP is MY analysis. When YOU see green, YOU decide when to bank it. Take profits incrementally if you prefer safety over maximum gains. Remember: Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered! 🐷 🔗 Correlated Assets to Watch These pairs move in tandem with NASDAQ100 - keep them on your radar: 📈 SP:SPX (S&P 500): The big brother index - when SPX moves, NQ100 often follows 📈 NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq ETF): Direct tracking vehicle for tech-heavy momentum 📈 NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.): Largest NASDAQ component - heavy influence on index direction 📈 NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft): Tech titan with significant index weighting 📈 NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Semiconductor leader driving AI narrative 📈 NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla): High-beta play that amplifies NASDAQ moves 📈 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - strong dollar often pressures tech stocks 📈 TVC:TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield): Rising yields = tech pressure; falling yields = tech rally Key Correlation Insight: Tech stocks (and thus NASDAQ) typically benefit from falling yields and weakening dollar conditions. Monitor these macro factors! ⚡ Key Technical Points ✅ LSMA breakout confirms bullish momentum shift ✅ Volume profile suggests accumulation at current levels ✅ Multiple timeframe alignment (swing trader's dream) ✅ Risk-reward ratio favors long positioning ✅ Institutional money flow indicators turning positive ⚠️ Watch for: Volatility spikes near resistance, macro news events, and Federal Reserve commentary that could impact tech valuations. 🎭 The Thief's Final Words "In the market, you're either the heist mastermind or the one getting robbed. Choose wisely." 😎 This setup is designed for swing traders who understand that patience and proper position sizing beat FOMO every single time. Layer in, manage risk, and let the market come to you. Remember: This isn't financial advice - it's a roadmap drawn by someone who respects the market's ability to humble even the best of us. 📢 Community Support ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #NASDAQ100 #US100 #NQ100 #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #LayeredEntry #ThiefStyle #IndexTrading #BullishSetup #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradingIdeas #StockMarket #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TradingCommunity
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The-Thief