US30 Trade Plan – Range Breakout + Smart Money ManipulationI’m currently watching the US30 (Dow Jones Index) 🏦. On the 4-hour timeframe, we can see a strong uptrend forming — higher highs and higher lows 📈. Whether this trend continues remains to be seen, but having a solid trading plan is key ✅.
Here’s mine: On the 30-minute timeframe, price is currently moving within a defined range. If we see a break above the range, followed by a retracement and failed retest of the range high, I’ll be looking for a long opportunity 🚀.
If price instead breaks below the range, there could also be a short opportunity, though my preference is to stay long given the higher-timeframe bullish structure ⚙️.
⚠️ Keep an eye out for market manipulation — smart money algorithms often trigger fake breakouts to draw in buyers before sweeping liquidity and continuing the move. Stay alert and manage risk carefully.
📉 Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Trade ideas
Bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) could rise to the pivot, whichis a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 46,211.80
1st Support: 45,274.72
1st Resistance: 46,876.77
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 46,211.24
1st Support: 45,848.06
1st Resistance: 45,759.22
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
The next market crash is nearhello everyone, its been some time since i last posted but i want to post a market update and warn investors/ traders around the world about a near market correction/recession.
for some months already we have seen markets hit ATH back to back showing great market strength and a very bullish trend. i do think this will continue for a bit of time or continue into a range before having a final pump up to another ATH as shown in the charts below.
first i will start off with the patterns that was seen before the 2008 recession.
as we see in the chart from 2008 we enter what i call "the final range" here is where we see markets ranging right at all time high or near it right after a strong bullish movement. after this range we can see markets enter the "final pump up" zone where we see the markets give off the final movement up which usually is the strongest move out of any previous movement in this cycle. typically when you see a market pump up the last candle before a strong sell off is usually a strong pump up.
now looking at these patterns from 2008 we will see how similar the compare to the ones from 2020.
this chart from 2020 we can see a similar pattern forming like we did in 2008.
first we enter that ranging zone near all time highs for a bit of time before entering into a not very strong push up but it did break this zone giving us new all time highs. after that we enter into a sell off phase.
now looking back at these two instances we will look at how they compare to todays market and what we can expect in the upcoming months/ years.
looking at todays market we can see markets are right about all time highs but due to it reaching a important fib level i do think that it is perfect set up for the market to start ranging in this zone as we saw near the 1.68 fib level. here is where i think we will see the final range before we get a final pump up.
taking a fractal back from around 2018-2019 and placing it on the patterns forming in todays market as we see below:
here we can see how similar the fractal and todays market look. i think this is a very important confirmation supporting my claims.
that being said that is not the only thing supporting my idea. next i will show you the yield inversions and what patterns are forming and what they all had in common before a market crash.
in this chart we see the 10 year 2 year yield curve chart. now this chart is very important because before any major crash/ recession usually we see a inversion between these two.
markets don't usually correct right after it inverts but looking at the chart we can see that once it reaches .7-1.0% that is usually when the market tops off and the start of the recession starts.
we seen this happen in 1990, 2001, 2008, 2020, and now present day we see it coming real close to those levels right after a inversion meaning we could be soon see a market recession coming extremely soon after the final steps of this cycle are complete.
in my personal opinion i think markets could reach levels up to 50-60k before selling off but after that i do think a significant market crash will occur.
US30 - Futures Rebound as Trump Calms U.S.–China Trade TensionsUS30 – Overview | Futures Rise as Trump Softens Tone on China
U.S. stock index futures advanced Monday, recovering from Friday’s pullback, as investors shifted back to risk assets following President Donald Trump’s softer stance on China.
Trump signaled a more measured approach, easing concerns over trade escalation after previously announcing steep tariffs and export restrictions tied to rare earth controls.
Market sentiment improved modestly, though caution remains as investors await further clarity on policy direction and upcoming U.S. data.
Technical Outlook
The Dow Jones maintains a bearish bias while trading below the pivot zone at 46,000.
As long as the price holds under this level, momentum favors downside toward 45,680 → 45,470, with increased pressure if a 1H candle closes below 45,680.
A 1H close above 46,120 would shift sentiment to bullish, targeting 46,400 → 46,630, potentially confirming a short-term reversal.
Pivot Line: 45,920
Resistance: 46,120 · 46,400 · 46,630
Support: 45,680 · 45,500 · 45,285
Summary:
US30 remains bearish below 46,000, with a possible retest of key supports at 45,680–45,470.
A break above 46,120 would invalidate the bearish view and open the way for a recovery toward 46,400.
US30: Testing key supply zone, possible pullback ahead
SPREADEX:DJI – Price Reaction at Supply Zone | Possible Short-Term Correction
Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
Analysis Style: Price Action • Supply & Demand • Market Structure
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🧭 Market Context
After a strong rally from the lower demand zone, the Wall Street Index is now approaching a key supply area that previously triggered a sharp downward move.
At this level, sellers are beginning to step in again, and price momentum is starting to fade — suggesting a potential short-term correction ahead.
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🧩 Market Structure & Key Zones
🔴 Supply Zone #1: 46,227 – 46,370
→ The first reaction zone, where previous selling pressure started a strong decline.
🔴 Supply Zone #2 (Major Resistance): 46,572 – 46,700
→ A higher zone where strong bearish momentum originated before.
🟢 Demand Zone: 45,900 – 45,700
→ A previous accumulation area that fueled the recent bullish leg — possible support zone if price pulls back.
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📊 Current Price Behavior
Price has reached the 46,227 – 46,370 area and is showing signs of buyer exhaustion.
Multiple rejections and slower bullish candles near this level indicate a loss of momentum.
If the short-term bullish structure breaks, the market may shift toward a corrective phase.
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📉 Trading Scenario
✅ Primary Scenario (Bearish Reaction Expected):
1. Price might retest 46,229–46,400 once more.
2. Failure to break above this level could lead to a downward “push.”
3. Target zone for the correction: 45,800 – 45,900.
⚙️ Alternative Scenario:
• If price closes clearly above 46,400, the short-term bearish setup becomes invalid.
• In that case, the next resistance to watch lies around 46,600 – 46,700.
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💡 Conclusion
The Wall Street Index is currently testing a critical supply zone with visible signs of slowing momentum.
Unless bulls regain control above 46,400, the market may experience a short-term pullback toward the lower demand area.
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only — not financial advice. Always confirm with your own price action and risk management strategy before making any trading decisions.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
US30: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 46,422.01 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 46,148.32 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dow Jones Returns to the 46,000 Level Since the beginning of the week, the Dow Jones Index has maintained a notable bullish bias, extending a two-day winning streak as the equity benchmark posts a gain of around 2.20% in the short term. For now, buying pressure has supported the price recovery following the sharp correction seen last Friday, which was triggered by the escalation of trade tensions between China and the United States.
Although no major trade agreement has been announced, the aggressive tone of the tariff threats appears to have eased slightly, helping the market regain confidence in the short term. However, it’s important to note that if tensions escalate again, the Dow Jones could once more show heightened sensitivity to such developments, quickly reactivating selling pressure in the coming trading sessions.
Uptrend at Risk
The uptrend line, which had been sustained through much of 2025, has started to weaken following last Friday’s sharp correction. As a result, the average bullish momentum has entered a neutral zone in the short term. Currently, there is a recovery attempt from the previous downward move, though it has not yet been strong enough to bring prices back to recent highs.
If buying pressure fails to remain decisive over the next few sessions, a period of market indecision could emerge, potentially leading to a sideways range in the short term.
RSI
The RSI line continues to hover around the 50 level, reflecting a neutral momentum over the past 14 sessions. As long as the indicator stays within this range, neutrality may dominate the market bias, leading to indecisive price movements in the coming days.
MACD
The MACD histogram also remains near the neutral (0) level, indicating that there is no clear directional strength in short-term moving averages. This reinforces the idea of indecision in the market, suggesting that the price action may remain range-bound without a defined trend in the near term.
Key Levels to Watch:
46,790 points – Major Resistance: Corresponds to the all-time high area of the index. Buying activity approaching or surpassing this level could reactivate the bullish trend and establish a dominant buying bias.
45,741 points – Near-Term Barrier: Aligns with the 50-period simple moving average. As long as prices continue to fluctuate around this level, a new short-term consolidation range could form.
44,834 points – Critical Support: Represents the most stable neutral zone in recent weeks and coincides with the Ichimoku cloud boundary in the short term. A decisive break below this level could trigger a stronger bearish bias, putting the year-long uptrend at risk and potentially signaling the start of a new downward phase in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
US30 (DJI) Technical Forecast: Navigating Critical JunctureThe US30 consolidates near a significant technical inflection point at 46,233.8 . Our multi-timeframe analysis reveals a battle between bullish structure and emerging bearish divergences.
📊 Multi-Timeframe Synthesis & Market Structure
Daily (Trend Bias): The primary trend remains bullish above the key support confluence of 4 5,800 (50 EMA & Rising Trendline). However, price is testing the lower boundary of a bullish channel. A break below 45,800 would signal a deeper correction towards 45,200.
4H & 1H (Swing Setup): The index is forming a potential Bearish Rising Wedge . RSI on the 4H chart shows a clear bearish divergence, indicating weakening momentum. This is a cautionary sign for swing bulls.
Intraday (15M/5M - Precision): Price is trapped between immediate resistance at 46,450 and support at 46,100. The 5M chart shows Anchored VWAP (from yesterday's low) acting as dynamic resistance. A break below 46,100 targets 45,950.
🧠 Key Technical Narratives & Theories
Elliott Wave & Wyckoff: The pullback from the recent high exhibits characteristics of a Wave 4 correction or a Wyckoffian re-distribution phase. Volume analysis on breakdowns will be key.
Gann Angle & Square of 9: Critical Gann support resides near 45,950-46,000. A decisive break below this zone opens the path for a move towards the next Gann square level near 45,500.
Ichimoku Cloud: On the 4H, price is hovering above the Kumo (cloud). The Tenkan-Sen (red line) is flat, indicating short-term equilibrium. A break below the cloud would be a strong bearish trigger.
⚖️ Momentum & Volume Assessment
RSI (14): Reading of 52 on the 1D, neutral but leaning bearish on lower timeframes with divergences.
Bollinger Bands (20): Price is pressing the middle band (20 SMA). A sustained break below it often signals a shift to a short-term bearish phase.
Anchored VWAP & Volume: Recent up-moves have occurred on declining volume, suggesting a lack of strong bullish conviction—a potential bull trap formation.
🛠️ Trade Plan & Levels
Swing Short Idea: Consider shorts on a break & close below 46,100 (15M), targeting 45,800 and 45,500. Stop loss above 46,550.
Intraday Long Idea: Only above 46,450 (with volume), targeting 46,700. Stop loss below 46,300.
Intraday Short Idea: On a rejection from 46,450 or break of 46,100, targeting 45,950.
💡 The Bottom Line
The US30 is at a critical decision point. The bullish trend is under threat until price reclaims 46,700. The weight of evidence from divergences and pattern formation favors a bearish breakdown in the short term. Risk is elevated; position size accordingly.
Disclaimer: This is technical analysis, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
US30 UpdateNext move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades..!
Key Reason:
1. BSL hunting still in pending.
2. Hidden OB formation.
3. When price tap this area and rejected this area along with strong volume. Then we'll see a upside move.
This is not a financial advise. Confirmation is most important. Let's see how it will work.
Us30 Trade Set Up Oct 16 2025Price is trading in between PDH/PDL and has filled a 4h and 1h bearish FVG so for sells id want to see London highs/BSL swept but closed under followed by internal 1m bearish structure to take sells to Asia lows/SSL or PDL but for buys id want to see Asia lows/SSl swept first to then look for bullish structure on the 1m to catch buys to PDH
US30 Eyes 46,200 Support as Bulls Prepare for Next Leg Higher!Hey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re monitoring US30 for a potential buying opportunity around the 46,200 zone. The Dow Jones remains within a clear uptrend, and price is currently in a healthy correction phase, approaching a key confluence of support and trendline structure near 46,200.
A sustained reaction from this level could signal a continuation of bullish momentum in the broader equity market.
Trade safe,
Joe.
The ugliest crash in our history close? I truly believe with western powers developing digital IDs and other technology, etc. to monitor and control the public... and in some cases replace the human race... it's in line with what I believe will be one of the biggest market crashes in human history, equal or bigger to 1929.
GET READY.
IT WILL HAPPEN WITHIN THE BLACK ZONE.
The powers in control know!
The 2030 Agenda is prepared for this.
And they are keeping the public distracted.
History repeats!
There is a purpose to everything!