US30 us 30 will go down tomorrowCommunity discussions
US30 us 30 will go down tomorrow
US30 What's the Struggle All About?The bulls are having to deal with a two-tiered S&R Zone to break through. If they can't, then back down to the other S&R Zone, like a Ping Pong Game.
But if they break through this, the next goal is to rise above the S&R Zone to go up higher.
DJI Gap is ready to get filled
US30 On the Hourly, look at the Major Pivot Low (circled in green) of the very tall Doji. Its low is at 46,630. If the candle still forming closes above this level, then we're likely to see a pivot to the upside. But if there's a candle close past 46,630, then more moves to the downside.
US30 Here we go guys it's getting close to 46400 so be ready.US30 What's Below?A new S&R Zone formed, making it two-tiered on the hourly. A bearish candle is dropping from it and towards another S&R Zone below. Let's see if we get a game of Ping Pong between these two Zones.
As a reminder, there's still an Up swing coming, based on the Popgun pattern on the 4-Hour timeframe. After this bear run is over, we'll see a bull run. After that bull run is over, it will pivot for a last swing to the downside, like a See-Saw.
*Personally, I'm not totally convinced we'll get a deeper drop down more because the bulls already showed themselves in the fight earlier when that tall Doji formed. I see the bulls "waiting in the wings" to take the reigns.
US30 📊 Macro Fundamentals Snapshot• Interest Rates: Fed Funds Target 3.75%–4.00% | Effective Rate 3.87% (post-Oct 25bps cut)
• Inflation Rates: CPI YoY 3.0% (Sep close) | Oct Nowcast 2.96% (monthly +0.3%)
• Economic Growth: Q3 GDP Annualized 4.0% (Atlanta Fed est.) | Q2 Actual 3.8%
• Jobs Market: Unemployment 4.4% (Oct est.) | Layoffs +65% YoY (1.1M cuts thru Oct)
• Bank Orders: FOMC Hold (no Nov meet) | Oct Cut Locked; Dec Cut Odds 75% on Labor Cool
🍂 Seasonal Tendencies
• November Historical Avg Return: +1.5% (top-3 month for DJIA)
• Win Rate: 60% up-months (1928–2025 data)
• Volatility Drop: VIX Avg -5.5% (calmest month shift)
• Pattern: Mid-Nov Buy Bias (post-election lift)
😊 Trader Sentiment Breakdown
• Retail Outlook: 52% Bullish | 28% Bearish | 20% Neutral (cautious inflows + tech dip hesitation)
• Institutional Activity Signal: Neutral (CFTC COT paused—shutdown gap; hedge net flat on futures)
• Crowd Correlation: Retail-Institutional Sync 65% (mild divergence on labor fears)
• Mood Measure: Investors Cooling (no dip buys; gold/BTC fade)
⚖️ Fear & Greed Gauge
• Index Reading: 23.80 (Extreme Fear Zone)
• Key Driver: Shutdown Sentiment Drag + Layoff Spike
🎯 Overall Market Outlook Score
• Net Signal: Bear (Short Bias) – Labor Softens vs. Growth Buffer; Fear Dominates Seasonal Edge
US30 Silver Surfers, Unite!We have a Double Inside Day on the Hourly. That means that a BIG move is coming, sometime during this session.
Also, this tall Pinbar Hammer has a long lower wick. If a bearish candle shows up in the new hour to fill it partially or in full, then the next move will be to the upside. But if this doesn't happen right away, the wick can be filled later on.
*Side Note:
A gigantic W-shaped pattern is forming. Let's see if we get the last leg, which is a long bullish trend.
US30 looks like a falling knife guys do not buy yet.
US30 the day you lose appetite for trading profits will be your friend…there a no way yu can be on the day every day of the week if you your profitable never…..