LUMN: entering important resistance zonePrice held the support zone outlined in the September update and has since followed through in line with the suggested trend structure, now approaching a key mid-term resistance area at 8.40–9.70, where some form of topping behavior might develop.
Further clarity on potential mid-term support zones will emerge once there’s evidence of a top forming. For now, as long as the price remains above key EMAs (8/21 dEMA), upside momentum remains intact, with the potential to reach higher resistance levels — or even stage a blow-off move toward the November 2024 highs.
Chart:
Previously:
On support and upside potential (Sep 29):
Chart:
www.tradingview.com
Trade ideas
Outbreak RetracedA 9 months bottom building was followed by a stormy rise and almost tripled prices.
This rise was to fast and could not digested by the market, i.e. it was followed by an also fast retracement down.
Now the market may be in an equilibrium and we can have a closer look to the long term picture.
Since 2014 the stock has lost over 97 % of its value. From a respectable stock it has turned into a penny stock.
This may open chances for buyers. Of course Idon't see an upward correction of the 11 year long loss but even if we only can test the November 2024 level and reach the Ichimoku cloud this would be a gain of far over 100 %. By the way this would also be the previous bottom of 2022 and a natural resistance.
The Hidden Gem of 2025?🚀 LUMN: From Legacy Telecom to AI Powerhouse
Once dismissed as a dying telecom dinosaur, Lumen Technologies (LUMN) has staged a jaw-dropping comeback. With a 700%+ rally since early 2024, the company has caught fire — not from hope, but from $8 billion in AI-related infrastructure contracts with the likes of Google, Amazon, and Meta.
Now trading around $4.39, LUMN has flipped the script. It’s generating real free cash flow ($1.39B), trimming massive losses, and leveraging one of the largest fiber networks in the U.S. to fuel the AI boom.
With analysts slowly waking up (Citi just upgraded it to Buy), the window for smart entries is still open — but closing fast.
📊 Suggested Trade Setup
🎯 Entry Points (based on volatility and fib levels):
✅ $ market price
✅ $3.60 – Strong technical & breakout retest zone
✅ $2.90 – Deep correction buy (high risk/high reward)
🏆 Profit Targets:
📈 TP1: $5.50 – short-term resistance
🚀 TP2: $6.80 – 2023 volume node
🌕 TP3: $8.50+ – AI sentiment & asset monetization rally
📌 Final Thoughts
LUMN isn’t a safe blue chip — it’s a high-volatility, high-reward AI infrastructure sleeper. But if you're willing to embrace the risk, the upside could be explosive. With real contracts, real cash flow, and a transformative story, this may just be one of 2025’s most unexpected comeback plays.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Markets carry risk, and past performance does not guarantee future result
New lows very likley History of LUMN is very likely to repeat. Complacency in this market and especially in this stock is astounding. As the market corrects in the coming weeks and months, the stocks that have rallied the most will collapse the most. The chart says this is just a short covering rally fueled by the AI fairytale of an infinite bull market.
Light up your life with LUMNTicker: LUMN
Key data:
* Market cap: $6.85b
Execution metrics:
* Entry: $6.74
* TP: $7.58
* SL: $4.69
Profit paths:
* Buy shares at market open
* Nov15 $6 call
Technical Support:
* Money flow: Positive
* POI: pivot points
* Justification: Leaving demand. Strong rejection + engulf close. Multiple bullish ranges.
Fundamental Support:
* Analyst 1Y target: $4.62
* Next earnings: Nov 5 2024
* Justification: Debt reducing YoY, net income increasing QoQ, net margin improving QoQ
Massively overbought going into a recessionThe hopium of this stock is that it will help build the AI infrastructure. The problem is that AI infrastructure is already overbuilt and we are going into massive layoffs in the tech sector. Furthermore, the AI bubble is wakeup call is that like back in the internet bull run, most companies that have been buying all the tech to turn into an AI company will go bust, leaving a huge void in sales for everyone. NVDA included.
LUMN - Collaboration with Microsoft - AI driven DatacenterWith 450,000 route miles of fiber, Lumen Technologies is one of the United States' largest telecommunications carriers serving global enterprises. Its merger with Level 3 in 2017 and divestiture of much of its incumbent local exchange carrier, or ILEC, business in 2022 has shifted the company's operations away from its legacy consumer business and toward enterprises (now about 75% of revenue). Lumen offers businesses a full menu of communications services, providing colocation and data center services, data transportation, and end-user phone and internet service. On the consumer side, Lumen provides broadband and phone service across 37 states, where it has 4.5 million broadband customers.
Recent News:
Microsoft and Lumen Technologies partner to power the future of AI and enable digital transformation to benefit hundreds of millions of customers
Breakout Zone: $1.80
Action: If the stock breaks above this area with strong volume, it might signal a continuation of the upward trend.
We might see a pullback first to 1.30 area - where is a great entry.
Overall Market Sentiment:
Currently, the market seems to be in a correction phase. It’s crucial to consider this sentiment when making trading decisions.
Resistance Points:
$2.30
$2.70
$3.40
$4.00
Surpassing these levels could signal a positive trend. Consider taking profits at these stages to realize gains.
Trading Strategy:
Take Profit (TP): Set a target at $5.00 (full gap fill), with a potential for reaching $9.50 if market conditions are favorable.
Stop Loss (SL): Set at under $0.95 to mitigate potential losses.
Chart Analysis:
Please refer to the attached chart for detailed analysis of price trends and movements.
Trading Advisory:
Exercise caution and consider market conditions and your own risk tolerance when trading. It's advisable to conduct comprehensive research or consult with a financial advisor before engaging in trading activities.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Lumen Technologies - Bullish divergenceOn the above 12 day chart price action has corrected over 90% since early 2022. Now is an excellent moment for a long position. Why?
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Regular bullish divergence.
3) Support on past resistance. See 2 month chart below.
Is it possible price action drops further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: 6% or less
Timeframe for long: This month
Return: Not got a clue
2.month
LUMN to $5 - some dayI believe Lumen will reclaim it's $5 price _some_ day. I don't know when, but some day. The internet could not run without Lumen and companies like them. I don't see them going anywhere. The stonk is up today on the news that James Fowler, Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer of Nationwide joined the board. This is a patience play, I'm long-term accumulating via DCA.
LUMN: Bullish Gartley Visible on the 3-Month ChartShares of Lumen Technologies are currently sitting at the HOP Level of a Massive Bullish Gartley that is visible on higher timeframes such as the Monthly and Quarterly Charts. It is also showing Bullish Divergence on the MACD and RSI and looks to be ready to make a move towards $6.00 in the short term, but the situation could evolve into a bigger long term move towards $25.00 and $50.00
Investors run towards disaster -- Lumen is a complete disaster.Lumen *could* be a possible risky bet with a rise in interest rates. A LOT of the risk has been priced out with a complete COLLAPSE of the price. They have a lot of debt, not as much as other companies. What are we buying here? Telecom infrastructure and computing edge technology (google it). Which is physical telephone poles in the good ole' US of A. They are a subcompany of AT&T and the old Bell System (I don't want to use the term 'subsidy' because that's not accurate More Info Here ), which is one of the largest telecom companies in the US -- likely NOT to go under....ever.
We all know what the Fed is likely to do -- the dollars tomorrow will be worth less than today's. However, serious investors understand that they should run towards a disaster instead of hiding -- Lumen could be that disaster, at least in the short term as the chart indicates.
This is a long term play, not a short one. Let's assume the all time high would be challenged, that's almost a 25x from here! It's not going to happy ANY TIME soon, nor should you make the assumption that it will happen. What do we know? That it's a GREAT buying opportunity right now for the long term. We are talking at least 2030 - 2035 timeframe -- at a MINIMUM!
Lumn in Accumulation Phase ?Despite all the negative news around LUMN, negative cash flow, negative EBITDA and finally negative outlook from market analysts, LUMN remains a pioneer in data infrastructure and fiber provider in the US market + the market cap ($1.5B) is far below it is total equity fair value ( MUN:10B ).
in other words, the fair price to the current situation is around 7 time the current stock price with negative outlook, this can be reduced by 50% which means 3,5 * 1,4 == around $5. (this is my personal analysis taking the worst financials case of LUMN for the next 4 quarters).
The weekly and monthly charts show continues sell off with possible accumulation phase just started, in the coming months this can be confirmed if we see price stabilization around $1 and volume remains high.
As per Fintel data, the institutional ownership percentage is dropping for the (at least) second quarter in a row.
This is an opportunity to target 2026/2027 at least, less then 5% of the capital to be allocated.
return may exceed 1000% (not guaranteed in shorter term), loss of 100% is highly possible if the new CEO fails to save the company + worst debt with higher yields.
Position open, target price $10.
Good luck everyone :)






















