Gold Bullish Targeting From $4141 NOV2025 To $4761 By APR2026Target Set on 4761
Current Tp's as follows :
1st Tp 4225
2nd Tp 4356
3rd Tp 4489
4th Tp 4624
Reasons are already given in my previous published charts, new things which i see globally is Rare Earth, AI, Space & Victory over New World Formation.
Trade ideas
Gold Breakout Confirmed — New Cycle Targets Ahead(ATH Possible)Today, I analyze Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) on the 4-hour timeframe, building on the previous idea shared. The scenario remains unchanged.
In this analysis, I take a cyclical approach to gold on the 4-hour chart. It appears that gold is completing three similar cycles. For the third cycle to be completed, gold needs to increase.
Another point is that gold previously formed a bull trap when it tested the Resistance zone/Support zone($4,186– $4,133), but now it has successfully confirmed a breakout above that zone. This suggests that the bull trap is no longer a concern, and gold is likely resuming its uptrend.
Additionally, gold could form a bullish channel, but we currently have only one confirmed top and are waiting for a second top to validate the channel.
Moreover, today we’ll see the release of two important U.S. economic indicators, which can significantly impact gold’s movement, especially if the actual figures deviate significantly from expectations:
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
ISM Services PMI
Considering all of the above, we can set an initial target of around $4,267 for gold. If the cycle completes fully, gold might even reach a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and possibly set a new All-Time High(ATH).
Finally, geopolitical tensions, like those between the U.S. and Venezuela, often lead to higher gold prices since gold is considered a safe haven.
First Target: $4,267
Second Target: Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)
Stop Loss(SL): $4,147
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – Week 1 of December 2025
1. Momentum
W1 – Weekly Timeframe
Weekly momentum is currently turning upward, exactly as warned last week: if weekly momentum continues to rise strongly, the market may enter a bullish phase lasting 4–5 weeks.
However, the candlestick structure still shows short, overlapping candles, which do not yet reflect a clear long-term uptrend. Therefore, we need to continue monitoring closely.
D1 – Daily Timeframe
Daily momentum remains compressed in the overbought zone, indicating a potential reversal on the daily chart in the coming week.
H4 – 4-Hour Timeframe
H4 momentum is currently rising, suggesting that early in the Asian session on Monday the market may continue with another upward move or remain in a sideways structure.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure
W1 – Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly chart, the main focus remains on weekly momentum:
• If weekly momentum pushes decisively into the overbought zone and price breaks the 4,396 high, the current corrective structure may be considered complete, and the market could begin yellow wave 5.
• The initial upside target in this scenario would be the 4,592 region.
However, weekly candles still do not support a long-term bullish view, as they lack a pattern of higher highs and higher lows and instead show overlapping behavior.
Therefore, for now, we prioritize monitoring the wave structure and momentum on D1.
________________________________________
D1 – Daily Timeframe
The strong rally on Friday pushed the price higher, threatening the red 1–2–3–4–5 count.
However, to fully invalidate this structure, price must reach or exceed 4,245.
→ Therefore, at this moment, the red 1–2–3–4–5 wave count remains valid.
If price breaks above 4,245, it suggests that purple wave X is still unfolding, forming a W–X–Y Flat correction in purple, with wave Y potentially ending near the previous wave X bottom.
If price breaks strongly above the orange wave 3 high (4,383), the market will enter orange wave 5, and given the nature of commodities—where wave 5 often extends—targets could exceed 4,592.
________________________________________
H4 – 4-Hour Timeframe
Since the red 1–2–3–4–5 count has not been invalidated, we continue to follow this plan.
On the H4 chart:
• Price is currently inside blue wave 5, which itself belongs to black wave 5 of blue wave C.
• Black wave 5 shows a five-wave internal structure in blue, but with overlapping price action, suggesting a possible ending diagonal formation for black wave 5.
If this is indeed an ending diagonal, the market should experience a sharp decline to confirm the pattern.
Key confirmation signals to watch on Monday:
• A H4 candle closing below 4,184
• Ideally, a stronger close below 4,158
If these conditions appear, we will prioritize breakout trading around:
• 4,184
• 4,158
I will provide a detailed update once we have real market data early next week.
XAUUSD: Inverse H&S Points Toward 4270 TargetHi!
Gold has formed a clear Inverse Head & Shoulders structure, signaling a potential bullish reversal. The support zone around the head held strongly, forming the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder in sequence. Price has now broken above the neckline, confirming the pattern and showing renewed bullish momentum.
If price retests the neckline successfully, it can provide a higher-probability long entry. A sustained hold above this level keeps the bullish structure intact, with the measured target projected near 4265–4270 USD.
However, if price dips deeper, the right scenario remains a potential bullish retest, as long as the structure stays above the neckline zone. Only a drop back below the head invalidates the pattern.
Overall, as long as buyers defend the neckline, the market maintains a bullish outlook toward the target zone.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold Hit Both Targets — +440 Buy, +195 SellHello my trader friends,
I'm back with an updated analysis on gold.
We had a great forecast on XAU/USD.
Based on our previous analysis, we expected a bullish move toward our marked zone — and gold followed the chart beautifully. Our buy position delivered +440 pips profit.
After that, we were waiting for a reaction from the sell zone, and that’s exactly what happened. Gold tapped our level and started a corrective move downward, giving us another +195 pips profit from the sell.
Follow me for more updates and upcoming analyses!
Gold buy idea📈 Gold Buy Idea
Gold has been in an uptrend since Friday. Price continues to rise as London provides the main supply expansion, and NY liquidity merges with the London move, creating strong bullish momentum.
How to Trade It
1️⃣ Wait for the 30m candle to close above 4262
You need a full bullish candle closing above this level to confirm continuation.
2️⃣ Volume Confirmation
Volume must be above average or at least match the previous candle’s volume to validate strength.
Invalidation / Avoid Taking the Trade
❌ If the current 30m candle closes below the previous candle, skip the trade.
❌ You can re-enter only if price closes back above 4262, following the same confluences listed above.
XAUUSD (GOLD) I Firm Support Holding Above 4,000Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** XAUUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this on your watch list and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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XAUUSD PredictDisclaimer: Not Financial Advice
The information provided is for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended to provide specific financial or investment advice. The content presented does not take into account your personal investment objectives, specific goals, or financial situation and needs.
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Gold 30-Min — Volume Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4134 Area
☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body.
☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region.
☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally.
☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection.
☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Been a week or so since I took a trade or posted a chart. Been spending time buying dips on BTC and ETH. So I am looking to see if a scalp postion comes around in either direction. Watching the current 4 hour candle. I will see how the overnight session bring. This is just an idea, and not a reason to take a trade. DYOR before clicking that button. Nothing worse than being a new trader, using leverage and taking a trade in hopes that it goes your way, that is not trading that is gambling. Be well and trade the trend. Let's see how things play out. Big G gets a shout out. I will not be renewing my subscription on tradingview when it is up in a few months. Thanks for these last few years, it's been a wild, amazing ride.
Gold Intraday Plan | Bullish Bias ,Watching Reaction ZonesGold continued its upward momentum after breaking out of the recent consolidation range, closing the session around 4215. The moving averages (MA50 & MA200) remain well below current price action, confirming strong bullish momentum and may act as dynamic support on any intraday dips.
The immediate resistance sits at 4232 — a clean break and sustained hold above this level would open the path toward 4274.
If 4,232 holds as resistance, watch the First Reaction Zone for a potential bounce.
Failure of this zone could trigger a deeper pullback into the Support Zone, where buyers may attempt to step back in.
The overall bias remains bullish, and dips continue to offer potential buying opportunities as long as price holds above the key support structure and maintains higher-timeframe trend alignment.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4232
4274
4322
Support:
4185
4168
4141
4102
🔍Fundamental focus:
This week is loaded with key U.S. data that could drive volatility in gold.
We have ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS, ADP jobs data, GDP revisions, unemployment claims, ISM Services PMI, and Friday’s PCE inflation numbers.
With so many high-impact releases stacked together, markets may react sharply to any sign of weakening labour conditions or shifts in inflation momentum — both of which directly influence Fed expectations.
Paid in Full !!I started at seventeen, believing the market was a puzzle to be solved. I now understand it is a mirror, and I was the puzzle all along.
The money I lost was not lost; it was tuition paid to the most rigorous professor of all—experience. It taught me the visceral weight of risk, the quiet erosion of hope in a drawdown, and the stark difference between being right in theory and being profitable in practice. Each loss carved away a piece of my arrogance, leaving space for humility and respect for the unknown.
The countless hours spent studying charts were not about predicting the future, but about learning to read the present with clarity. I was not learning to master the markets; I was learning to master my reaction to them. The charts whispered lessons in probability, not certainty. They taught me that discipline is the only edge that cannot be arbitraged away.
The greatest value I gained was not in the occasional profitable trade, but in the recalibration of my own character. The market forged in me a colder eye for truth, a patience I did not know I possessed, and the resilience to be wrong, repeatedly, without being broken.
I entered as a student of price action. I am becoming a student of myself. The profits and losses are merely the scorekeeper. The real transformation is in the mind—a slow, arduous, and priceless alchemy where fear and greed are gradually refined into discipline and perspective. The journey continues, but I no longer look for an endpoint; I look for a deeper understanding. The master is not a title one earns, but a continuous state of learning, honed in the silent, relentless classroom of the charts.
GOLD ANALYSIS (1 W)To understand the psychology in Gold,
I use only two tools:
Fibonacci retracement,
Trend-based Fibonacci extension.
We will use these two tools to measure the weekly cycles.
Since November 2022, Gold has been forming a pattern that can only be explained by Fibonacci principles.
Using Fibonacci retracement for each swing high and low, you'll realize that each retracement equals around 50%.
In only one example, we see that a higher low reaches the 61.8% level, which is also acceptable.
After these retracements, the next leg of the impulsive move always reaches around the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
According to these two basic technical factors, Gold should first reach around $3,800, and then aim for the $6,600 level during the next impulsive leg in the coming years.
I’m not even going to list all the reasons why Gold tends to go up over time.
Most people reading this analysis are already aware of the fundamentals behind Gold’s long-term bullish nature.
Thanks for reading.
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (02/12/2025, ASIA SESSION)1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold begins the Asia session trading around $4,205–$4,207, following a controlled pullback from the $4,264.58 1H swing high. Yesterday’s decline created a clean corrective structure, now sitting below the 1H Fibonacci Golden Zone.
The market currently shows:
• Bearish corrective momentum
• Lower-timeframe exhaustion
• Untested liquidity below at 4190 → 4181
Asia session is positioned to determine whether price forms a continuation leg down toward deeper liquidity, or if a reclaim of the Golden Zone signals a bullish reaccumulation phase.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Macro bullish trend intact above 4,150.
• Price rejected the 4,262 zone with a long upper wick — a textbook sign of exhaustion.
• RSI ~53 and flattening → market still balanced but favors retracement toward 4,150 if structure weakens.
• A daily close back above 4,230 would shift momentum toward another retest of 4,264 → 4,315.
⸻
🔹 1H Chart
• Corrective bearish structure from 4264.58 is clean and orderly.
• Price sits below the 50EMA, 100EMA, and under bearish CHoCH.
• Fresh supply formed at 4213 → 4223, aligning exactly with the 1H fib 50–61.8% zone.
• Demand zones: 4200 → 4190 → 4181.23.
• Reclaiming 4226 would be the first sign of bullish recovery.
⸻
🔹 15M–5M
• Micro-trend bearish with lower highs under 4213–4216.
• MACD still negative, no sign of bullish momentum shift yet.
• Liquidity layers below: 4195, 4188, 4181 remain untouched → magnets for Asia.
• Reversal requires BOS + strong rejection wick + MACD flip.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (1H Swing: 4181.23 → 4264.58)
• 38.2% = 4232.63
• 50.0% = 4222.90
• 61.8% = 4213.17
🎯 Golden Zone = 4232.63 – 4213.17
(Currently below → bearish pressure confirmed)
This fib selection is ideal for sessions where momentum is corrective but the larger trend is bullish — allowing for both continuation sells AND potential reaccumulation signals.
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 SELL Scenario (Primary Bias)
Best option as long as price stays under the Golden Zone.
Sell Zone:
• 4213 – 4223 (61.8–50% fib retest)
• Secondary: 4230–4233 (38.2 fib + structure flip)
🎯 Targets:
4200 → 4190 → 4181 → 4170
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 4238
⚡ Confirmation:
Bearish rejection wicks + BOS on 5M.
⸻
📉 SELL Breakout Setup
Trigger: Break & close below 4200
Retest: 4203–4205 failing
🎯 Targets:
4190 → 4181 → 4170
🛑 SL: Above 4213
⸻
📈 BUY Scenario (Countertrend)
Valid only at liquidity sweep zones.
Buy Zone:
• 4188 – 4181 (major 1H liquidity + previous structure low)
🎯 Targets:
4200 → 4213 → 4223
🛑 SL: Below 4174
⚡ Must see:
Strong BOS + volume shift + RSI divergence.
⸻
📈 BUY Breakout Setup
Aggressive Trigger:
4226 (clears 5M swing high)
Safer Trigger:
4233 (reclaim of fib 38.2% + structure)
Retest: 4220–4223
🎯 Targets:
4245 → 4260 → 4264.58
🛑 SL: Below 4213
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asia low liquidity but strong positioning ahead of London.
• No major news early, US events later may dictate trend continuation.
• DXY stable; gold reacting primarily to technical structure.
• Key watch today: 4200 support and 4226 resistance.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4213 / 4223 / 4233 / 4260
Support: 4200 / 4190 / 4181 / 4170
Golden Zone: 4232.63 – 4213.17
Break Buy Trigger: > 4226 (aggressive) or > 4233 (safe)
Break Sell Trigger: < 4200
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
Gold remains in a controlled correction under the 1H Fib Golden Zone.
As long as price stays below 4213–4223, bearish continuation into 4200 → 4181 is the highest-probability scenario.
Only after reclaiming 4226–4233 does bullish momentum return meaningfully.
A sweep of 4181 could form the base for the next macro leg up.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📉 Primary Bias: Bearish → toward 4200 → 4181
📈 Alternative Bullish Bias: Only above 4226–4233
🎯 Key Decision Levels: 4200 & 4226
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 02/12/2025 🥇
📌 DAILY RESULTS
✅ BUY +40 PIPS
✅ SELL +40 PIPS
✅ BUY +20 PIPS
✅ BUY +20 PIPS
✅ BUY +470 PIPS
✅ BUY +110 PIPS
✅ BUY +100 PIPS
❌ BUY -60 PIPS (SL)
✅ BUY +70 PIPS
🎯 LIVE SESSION ▶️
✅ SELL +120 PIPS
✅ SELL +40 PIPS
✅ BUY +120 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 SWING TRADES – STILL RUNNING
🔵 BUY → +3,005 PIPS
🟣 BUY → +2,260 PIPS
🟢 BUY → +1,390 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +1,090 PIPS
📊 12 Signals → 11 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 Accuracy: ~92%
Great start to December continues – structured entries, strong swings and solid intraday gains.
Congratulations if you profited ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
BUY ZONE
✅ BUY SIGNAL – XAUUSD
Signal: BUY
Entry Zone: 4201 – 4207 (marked BUY ZONE on chart)
Reason: Price has retraced into a fresh demand zone after a bullish impulse move. Current candles show slowing bearish momentum, indicating potential continuation to the upside.
Targets:
TP1: 4215
TP2: 4222
TP3:4230
Stop-Loss: Below zone at 4195
Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above the demand zone.
Weekly summary and analysis 11/30/225Gold did rise as expected although it didn’t reach 4380 previous ATH. It also closed the month with a positive note. Further rise should be expected for the coming month. I will engage buying orders for the next week. Gold should at least reach 4380. If this level is broken, we can expect 4440.
As I am in holiday travel, I will not post any daily analysis. Please use this as your weekly reference if you agree with me. I will come back with my daily updates after next week.
Enjoy your trading and stay safe.
GOLD retreats slightly, market gains bets on easing cycleOANDA:XAUUSD edged slightly lower after a strong rally yesterday, as the market continued to expand expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin its rate-cutting cycle as early as December. This development occurred despite positive U.S. economic data, indicating that the main support for gold now comes more from monetary policy expectations than from growth signals.
U.S. Treasury yields fell and the U.S. Dollar weakened, with the DXY index down 0.20% to 99.60, helping gold maintain its recovery momentum. Although initial jobless claims fell to 216,000 — the lowest since April — and durable goods orders rose more strongly than expected, these data had little impact on rate-cut expectations.
According to FedWatch, the probability of a Fed rate cut at the December meeting remains near 85%, a sharp increase from below 30% last week.
Geopolitical conditions, however, are shifting in a direction less supportive of gold. Signs suggest Russia and Ukraine are moving closer to a de-escalation agreement, with consultations in Geneva and positive remarks from both sides reducing the geopolitical risk premium that has supported gold for months. A Russian adviser told Al Jazeera that the U.S. plan contains “many positive aspects,” implying that diplomatic progress may be approaching.
Even so, the Fed’s policy outlook remains the dominant driver. JPMorgan Chase has reversed its forecast and now expects the Fed to cut rates in December instead of delaying until January. Michael Feroli’s economics team cited dovish comments from key Fed officials — especially New York Fed President Williams — as the reason for the shift. JPMorgan had previously expected the Fed to stay put after the September jobs report.
A new variable also attracting attention is the selection process for the next Fed Chair. Bloomberg reports that White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett — seen as dovish — has emerged as a leading candidate. The likelihood of a more dovish Fed leadership further strengthens expectations of rate cuts, pressuring the dollar and supporting gold. Treasury Secretary Bessant said the nomination could be announced before Christmas.
Overall, markets perceive that the key question now is how quickly the Fed can implement the rate-cutting cycle. Karl Schamotta of Corpay noted that markets are leaning toward expectations of more aggressive easing. In a similar move, Deutsche Bank raised its 2026 gold price forecast to 4,450 USD/oz, based on steady investment inflows and rising central bank gold-reserve demand.
While geopolitical risks appear to be easing, the outlook for U.S. monetary policy continues to be the primary driver shaping gold’s direction in the short and medium term.
Technical Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold price is maintaining the main uptrend on the daily timeframe, still moving within the ascending channel established since August. The latest session closed around 4,147 USD/oz, trading above the short-term MA21 and approaching the technical resistance zone at 4,128 (Fib 0.236) and the major resistance at 4,216 USD.
• Structure: Series of higher lows + rising channel intact → underlying trend remains bullish.
• Key support: 3,972–4,000 USD (Fib 0.382 + channel lower boundary/MA21). If this zone holds, the bullish outlook remains valid.
• Short-term resistance: 4,128 USD (Fib 0.236). A breakout above this level opens the path toward 4,216 USD and beyond.
• Momentum: RSI rebounded from the neutral zone → buying pressure has returned but remains moderate; no clear bearish divergence.
• Conclusion: Market structure remains bullish, but confirmation is needed via a breakout above 4,128 USD to validate a new bullish cycle.
Summary:
The main trend is still upward, but the market is awaiting a confirmed breakout of the 4,128–4,216 USD zone to enter a strong bullish phase. If price falls below 3,972–4,000 USD, the plan should be reassessed due to the risk of a pullback toward the 3,846 zone (Fib 0.5).
Trading Plan
SELL XAUUSD — 4195–4193 ⚡️
Stop Loss: 4199
Take Profit 1: 4187
Take Profit 2: 4181
BUY XAUUSD — 4109–4111 ⚡️
Stop Loss: 4105
Take Profit 1: 4117
Take Profit 2: 4123
GOLD Elliott H1: waiting for ABC correction in a strong uptrendXAUUSD – Elliott H1: waiting for ABC correction in a strong uptrend
Brian – Short sell correction, prioritize Buy according to the major trend
1. Market snapshot
On H1, gold has just broken the upward Dow structure and completed 5 small waves – a common signal before an ABC correction.
The larger trend is still a very strong uptrend: gold is on track for its best year since 1979, up more than 60% in 2025, with the YTD performance gap between XAU and BTC continuing to widen.
Therefore: selling is only a short-term strategy, while the priority position for next week remains to buy on deep corrections.
2. Technical structure – Elliott H1
H1: 5 upward waves have completed → the base scenario is for the price to create a wave A down – B retrace – C down before continuing the trend.
The price area above 4,227–4,238 is a zone with selling liquidity + retesting the structure after breaking the H1 peak.
The 4,183–4,173 area (Fibo 0.618 of the most recent increase) is the main demand zone, reasonable to watch for buying in line with the trend with a good R:R.
3. Trading plan for next week
Scenario 1 – Short sell ABC correction (counter-trend)
Idea: take advantage of the A/B correction wave after 5 upward waves on H1.
Sell watch area: 4,227–4,238
SL: 4,246
Reference targets:
TP1: area 4,200–4,195
TP2: towards the Fibo/Buy zone 4,183–4,173
Note: this is a counter-trend order, only suitable for accounts accepting intraday risk, volume should be smaller than buy orders.
Scenario 2 – Buy according to the major trend at Fibo 0.618 (priority)
Idea: wait for the ABC correction to complete, buy at the "discount" price area according to Elliott and Fibo.
Buy watch area: 4,183–4,173 (Fibo 0.618 + technical support area).
SL: 4,166
Target direction:
Initially: return to the 4,220–4,230 area
Extended: depending on developments, it may aim for new highs in the context of a record growth year.
4. Fundamental context – Why prioritize Buy on deep corrections?
Gold increased +6% in November, marking the 4th consecutive month of gains.
Previously it was +3.7% in October and +11.9% in September – a very rare series of increases, reinforcing the long-term bull market story.
When an asset has risen strongly but still maintains momentum for many consecutive months, ABC-type corrections on H1 are often just opportunities for new money to participate, rather than trend reversals.






















