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GOLD.F trade ideas

Monthly Outlook – September 2025 📊 Monthly Outlook – September 2025 (XAUUSD) Hello traders, Gold closed August with a strong full-body bullish candle above 3440, pressing into premium territory. The absence of a lower wick highlights dominant buyer control, but the market is extremely stretched compared to its dynamic supports. September will be decisive: either continuation into fresh highs, or a corrective retracement back into structural demand. 🔹 Monthly Structural Zones Monthly Supply 3460–3500 → premium supply, untested liquidity pocket where sellers may attempt control. Monthly Liquidity Wick 3250–3120 → not an Order Block, but a deep liquidity sweep where institutions previously accumulated. Monthly Demand 2800–2850 → major accumulation area + last higher low on monthly structure. 🔹 EMA Confluence (Monthly) EMA 5 → tightly riding price, confirming bullish momentum. EMA 21 → around 2800, aligning with monthly demand (key confluence if pullback). EMA 50 → 2200, long-term support. EMA 100 → 1843, mid-term anchor. EMA 200 → 1578, ultimate macro support. 💡 Interpretation: Price is extremely extended above all EMAs. A healthy retracement toward EMA 21 (2800) is possible if momentum slows, but as long as candles close above EMA 5, bulls remain in full control. 🔹 Progression Map Bullish path (continuation): Break & hold above 3460–3500 → opens 3550–3600. If momentum persists → expansion toward 3700–3720. Monthly close above 3720 confirms price discovery into new ATH territory. Bearish path (retracement): Rejection at 3460–3500, slip under 3400 → first correction toward 3320. If downside continues → test into 3250–3120 liquidity wick (expect liquidity sweep & re-accumulation, not clean OB mitigation). If 3120 fails → deeper move toward 2850 demand, where EMA 21 adds strong confluence. 🔹 Macro Context Dollar strength and global bond yields remain the main driver. Gold’s parabolic climb increases the chance that September prints at least a corrective wick. Institutions may revisit the liquidity wick 3250–3120 for re-accumulation if a deeper pullback sets in. 🔹 Monthly Bias – September 2025 Primary Bias: Bullish → above 3300, gold remains in strong uptrend with EMA 5 support. Neutral → if price consolidates between 3400–3300 after rejection from 3460–3500. Bearish shift → only if the monthly candle closes below 3120, opening the way to 2850 (EMA 21 confluence). ✨ What do you think about this September map? Drop your thoughts below don't forget to 🚀🚀🚀 and follow GoldFxMinds 👇 and let’s get ready for the big monthly battle 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold encounters a strong pressure level, you can sellAs I said just now, the rise of gold has encountered resistance at 3450. From the previous trend, we can see that there is strong pressure near 3450. It has failed to break through here effectively for four consecutive times. It is hard to say that the gold price will not fall back again when it comes here again. Therefore, I think it is possible to consider shorting near 3450 and set a stop loss at 3460. 📣If you have different opinions, please leave a message below to discuss
TVC:GOLDShort
by Running_Golden_Bull
1
XAU/USD — All Eyes on US Data, Gold Ready for a Big Move! Gold continues to hold strong buying pressure despite the recovery of the USD (DXY). The market is now waiting for today’s key US economic releases during the New York session: 📊 USD Prelim GDP q/q → Forecast: 3.1% (Prev. 3.0%) 📊 USD Unemployment Claims → Forecast: 231K (Prev. 235K) 🔎 Possible Scenarios 1️⃣ If US data comes out strong → Gold could break down from the rising channel, targeting the VPOC 3374, and with heavier pressure even dip towards the 335x zone (though this might be harder to achieve). 2️⃣ If US data is weak / neutral → Gold is likely to continue its bullish leg, aiming at 3392 – 3398 and potentially extending to 342x – 343x to retest the previous ATH. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 3398 – 3400 → breakout could fuel a quick rally into 342x – 343x Support: 3374 → break below opens room to 335x Buy Zone: Watching for a sharp dip into 335x – 337x for clean long setups 🎯 MMFLOW Strategy 👉 Priority remains: wait for a liquidity grab / sharp dip to BUY in line with the broader trend. 👉 Be cautious — with this being the main economic release of the week, volatility can spike aggressively when the numbers hit. 🔥 What do you think? Will Gold break higher into new ATHs, or will we see a liquidity sweep first before the next leg up? 💬 Share your view in the comments — let’s trade smart together!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD about to make new ATH and head to $3800Gold (XAUUSD) is on a huge rebound following the double bounce on its 1W MA20 (red trend-line), a level which has been previously associated with the start of very strong rallies. The 2-year Channel Up that started back in October 2023 has always formed a consolidation Triangle before the next Bullish Leg and on the three past occasions that was initiated after a 1W MA20 contact. Assuming we 'just' repeat the minimum +22.41% Bullish Leg, we are targeting at least $3800 before the current peaks. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
Sells to buy reversal set upXAUUSD Trade Update Currently in a sell position – tight stop, strong RR. Eyeing that 30-min order block & potential liquidity sweep for the next move. Price rejected key zones across multiple timeframes – confluence is stacking. Risk is higher as trade started against momentum, but gold is starting to mirror BTC again… interesting correlation! Risk will be managed as always – moving to break-even when possible. 📊 What’s your bias here – bullish or bearish? 💬 Drop your thoughts below & let’s discuss setups!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PassivePips
2
The rocky roadFundamentals Driving Gold 1. Federal Reserve Policy & Rate Cuts The September FOMC meeting is critical. We.are.watching markets are already pricing in a rate cut, but the debate remains around the size and pace of cuts (25bps vs 50bps). Lower rates weaken the dollar (DXY) and reduce opportunity cost for holding gold interm means bullish for XAUUSD. If the Fed is more cautious (only 25bps, or hints at slower easing), which as I keep saying is the likely option, gold could face rejection and fall. 2. NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls) – Next Week A key catalyst before the Fed. Weak jobs data strengthens the case for aggressive rate cuts bullish for gold. Strong jobs data gives Fed room to stay patient short-term bearish for gold. 3. Inflation & Growth Concerns If inflation keeps cooling but growth data weakens, gold benefits as a hedge. Any upside inflation surprise would pressure gold as Fed may slow easing. 4. Geopolitical Risk & Safe Haven Demand With U.S. election year volatility, geopolitical tensions (BRICS de-dollarization push, ongoing global conflicts), and uncertainty in equities, gold’s safe haven role remains strong. But we are seeing easing in geopolitical tentions and rumoured event are not seen to be effectively moving the market. Technical Picture Monthly Chart Bullish Engulfing close at the highs of a 5 month consolidation zone. This signals momentum shift in favor of bulls. However, September is event heavy (NFP + Fed), so the bullish close needs validation from daily/weekly breakout. Let's remember even tho we have a strong close at the highs we are still sitting in consolidation ATH zone now back in play if resistance is cleared. Adding buyers a chance. But sellers also a chance at this key resistance. Key takeaway: Monthly momentum favors buyers, but confirmation is needed on daily TF. Weekly/Daily Chart Friday’s Close: Price closed directly into a daily resistance zone. This is a crucial “decision area.” Sellers see this as a textbook short setup. Buyers see it as a potential breakout for continuation higher. A clean daily break & close above this resistance opens the road to ATH retests. Rejection here pullback into demand for reloading buys. Levels to watch: Daily Resistance Zone (where we closed Friday): Key supply. Demand Zone (3414–3406): Next week’s main buy opportunity if price rejects & dips. Looking at this structure and demand if we can find a bullish Candle pattern off this zone we can look for buys. Look for bullish engulfing / pinbar / rejection wick off this zone for confirmation. If demand holds upside targets: 3450, 3485, then ATH. If demand breaks deeper correction towards 3400, 3380–3360. DXY Correlation DXY is currently sitting on consolidation support within trend. This is a critical pivot: If DXY bounces gold likely rejects resistance & pulls back. If DXY breaks down fuels breakout in gold towards ATH. Trade Outlook 1. Bullish Case (bias unless daily rejection forms) Buy dips into 3414–3406 demand. First upside target: 3450 → then 3485 → then ATH extension. Watch NFP & Fed could accelerate move. Bearish Case (if rejection forms at daily resistance) Short rejection wicks at resistance with confirmation. Downside target = demand zone 3414–3406, with deeper risk towards 3380 if broken. This aligns with a potential DXY bounce Monthly bullish engulfing close = bullish higher TF structure. (Consolidation) Daily resistance where Friday closed = the key battleground. Fundamentals (NFP + Fed) will decide breakout or rejection. DXY correlation will be vital: watch for bounce vs breakdown. Best buy opportunities next week: 3414–3406 demand zone confirmation candle required. Best short opportunities: Only if strong rejection forms at current daily resistance, aligning with DXY bounce. Bottom line: Gold is at a make-or-break level. The monthly is bullish, but September’s data-heavy events mean we could first see a rejection pullback into demand before any continuation higher. Or even the start of correction.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by samstoobad
1
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3424 and a gap below at 3347. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3424 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3499 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3561 BEARISH TARGETS 3347 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3347 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3277 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3277 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3234 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 2996 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
Gold (XAUUSD) Poised to Break Consolidation, Eyeing New HighsThe short-term Elliott Wave outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) indicates a sustained upward impulse from the July 31, 2025 low. The rally began with wave 1 peaking at 3409.4, followed by a wave 2 pullback concluding at 3311.26. This wave 2 correction formed a double three Elliott Wave pattern. Specifically, wave ((w)) declined to 3340.81, wave ((x)) rebounded to 3374.79, and wave ((y)) finalized at 3310.98, completing the higher-degree wave 2. Gold has now advanced into wave 3, structured as a five-wave subdivision. From the wave 2 low, wave (i) reached 3352.12, with a brief wave (ii) dip to 3321.05. The subsequent wave (iii) climbed to 3378.8, and wave (iv) corrected to 3351.16. The metal is poised to extend higher, targeting two additional peaks to complete wave (v) of ((i)). After this, a correction from the August 20, 2025 low is likely in wave ((ii)) before the uptrend resumes. In the near term, as long as the 3310.98 pivot holds, dips should find support in a 3, 7, or 11 swing, fostering further upside. Gold’s bullish momentum remains intact, with the structure favoring new highs in the ongoing impulse sequence.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
Gold price in uptrend, up to 3405⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) slips during Wednesday’s Asian session, retreating from a two-week high near $3,395 amid profit-taking and a modest US Dollar rebound. However, downside risks remain limited by concerns over Fed independence after President Trump intensified efforts to remove a Fed governor, reinforcing Gold’s safe-haven appeal. Markets now focus on the Russia-Ukraine situation and Friday’s US PCE inflation data. A hotter-than-expected reading could temper Fed rate-cut hopes, while geopolitical tensions may continue to support the yellow metal ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price continues to increase in price according to stable trend line. Price range 3352 - 3405 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3404- 3406 SL 3411 TP1: $3395 TP2: $3383 TP3: $3370 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3350-$3352 SL $3345 TP1: $3360 TP2: $3370 TP3: $3380 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3390 and a gap below at 3365. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3390 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3422 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3439 BEARISH TARGETS 3365 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3365 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3347 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3347 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3324 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3324 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3304 3281 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bearish move)(25-08-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for the day (25-08-2025) Current price- 3368 "if Price stays below 3382, then next target is 3358, 3345 and 33 and above that 3400 ". -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AnupZiddi
11
Gold at the Threshold – Can Bulls Break 3500? | H1 OutlookHello traders, Gold is consolidating just under the all-time high at 3500. On H1, the chart shows stacked supply above and multiple demand layers below, creating a clear battlefield for the next big move 👇 🔹 H1 Supply & Targets (Above Price) Immediate Supply 3461–3449 → secondary block with OB + FVG overlap. Primary Supply 3495–3475 → key rejection zone under ATH, strong OB + liquidity inducement. Liquidity Magnet 3500 → ATH level, buy-stop cluster above. Fibo Extension Target 3520–3530 → first bullish expansion above ATH (1.272). 🔹 H1 Demand & Supports (Below Price) Decision Demand 3435–3425 → aligned with EMA21, first correction pocket. Mid Demand 3415–3405 → OB confluence + EMA50 support. Deep Demand 3395–3380 → OB + imbalance + EMA100. Final Demand 3375–3360 → EMA200 cluster, last major H1 support. 🔹 Bias Bullish bias as long as price holds above 3435–3425. Neutral zone between 3461–3449 demand flip and 3495–3475 supply. Bearish shift only if candles close under 3395–3380. 🔹 Scenarios Bullish Path: Hold above 3435–3425 → retest 3495–3475 supply. Break above supply → sweep ATH 3500 → expansion to 3520–3530. Bearish Path: Rejection at 3495–3475 → correction into 3435–3425. Deeper rejection → cascade to 3415–3405 then 3395–3380. 🔹 Conclusion Gold sits at a pivotal point: ATH magnet above vs. stacked demand layers below. If bulls defend retracements into 3435–3405, upside toward 3500+ stays on the table. If sellers hold both supply zones, correction opens down to EMA100–200 supports. ✨ This map gives a clear 4x4 structure of supply and demand. Where do you stand — breakout of 3500 or deeper retrace? 👇 Like 🚀🚀🚀 Comment below & follow GoldFxMinds for precision sniper maps 🚀📈
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD XAUUSD - Pullback Expected before the Next Leg UpGold (XAUUSD) has been on a solid bullish run, consistently pushing higher after each minor retracement. Now, we’re eyeing a potential pullback toward a key support zone at 3420–3400, where buying interest is likely to resurface. If price action confirms a bounce from this zone, we could see a continuation of the uptrend toward 3450, and if momentum holds, possibly stretching to 3490–3500. 🔻 Trade Setup – Long Opportunity on Pullback Entry: Buy Gold (XAUUSD) at 3420 Add-on Dip: 3400 Targets: 3450, then 3490–3500 (marked on chart) Invalidation: Daily close below 3385 📌 Risk/Reward Outlook This setup presents a tight risk with attractive upside potential. As always, stick to solid risk management and size your positions based on your personal trading plan. 👍 Agree with this view? Drop a like, leave your comments, and let’s discuss this setup together! Your feedback keeps the community sharp and growing. 🔥 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InvestPro_India
1
August 29, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📌 Summary: Bullish momentum remains dominant. The plan is to buy dips into support as long as price holds. However, if price breaks below 3410, the strategy shifts to selling rallies into resistance. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3440 – Resistance • 3434 – Resistance • 3427 – Resistance • 3423 – Resistance • 3410 – Key intraday support • 3405 – Support • 3400 – Psychological level • 3394 – Key support • 3389 – Support 📈 Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 3410 → target 3404, with further downside toward 3400, 3394, 3389 BUY: If price holds above 3410 → target 3415, with further upside toward 3423, 3428, 3434 👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like 👍 would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
2
Is the price of gold really going up? 3500?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) slips in Friday’s Asian session, pulling back from a five-week high near $3,425 as profit-taking and strong US GDP and jobless claims data lift the Dollar. Still, growing expectations of a September Fed rate cut, reinforced by dovish comments from NY Fed’s John Williams, help limit the downside for the non-yielding metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold prices increased thanks to expectations that the FED will cut interest rates in September. However, the large fomo market will cause the market to be too optimistic, requiring adjustments to accumulate before that time. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3437- 3439 SL 3444 TP1: $3430 TP2: $3420 TP3: $3410 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3366-$3364 SL $3359 TP1: $3375 TP2: $3383 TP3: $3390 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Continue to accumulate below 3400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) dips during Thursday’s Asian session, pulling back from a three-week high near $3,400 as the US Dollar rebounds and traders book profits. Ongoing concerns over Fed independence, following President Trump’s removal of Governor Lisa Cook, lend some support to the safe-haven metal. Markets now await the second estimate of US Q2 GDP, expected at 3.1%. A stronger print could boost the Greenback and pressure Gold, while focus will shift to Friday’s PCE inflation data for clues on Fed rate-cut prospects ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold prices continue to accumulate below 3400, according to experts expecting GDP data to support DXY. This could contribute to putting pressure on gold prices. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3428- 3430 SL 3435 TP1: $3418 TP2: $3407 TP3: $3392 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3350-$3352 SL $3345 TP1: $3360 TP2: $3370 TP3: $3380 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
XAUUSD Rejection Signals Potential Pullback Toward Key SupportsGold (XAUUSD) is facing rejection around the upper boundary of its volatility bands near $3,445, signaling potential exhaustion after the recent rally. Sellers are stepping in at key resistance levels, aligning with bearish confluences that support a pullback scenario. ✅ Bearish Confluences: Fibonacci Resistance: Price stalled around the 38.2% retracement at $3,453, unable to extend higher. Volatility Band Pressure: Strong rejection from the upper band highlights weakening momentum and overbought conditions. Lower Timeframe Structure: Short-term resistance formed near $3,441, reinforcing supply pressure. 🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets: TP1 – $3,421 (61.8%): Initial support test and first bearish target. TP2 – $3,409 (100%): Full retracement aligning with key liquidity zone. TP3 – $3,386: Deeper downside extension into lower volatility support. SL: Above $3,446 to invalidate the bearish thesis in case of breakout continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VisionaryInsights
XAUUSD-stick or twist?Here we are another 8 days on….. So after the 1000pip sell, we have seen a fairly steep move back up. 3422 is the highest price has managed so far. This means with London session and NY session of Fri 29th August (2025) still to come, 3430 is a possibility. Let’s not be naive and remember that the entry doesn’t have to be bang on the desired price if a big move is expected. This means price could come short of 3430 before falling. In fact 3422 could be it. Let’s see what happens. This also means that price could shoot above the desired selling zone. Ideally 3430 retest and drop would be perfect. We all know this is not how Gold works on real life. The overspill zones I’m looking at are as follows: 3434-3438, 3440-3446, 3449-3453 and 3460-3470. If price goes past 3430, it does not necessarily mean the continuation of an uptrend, it could be a stop hunt rise before aggressive falling. Targets: 3409, 3399, 3350, 3250, 3209 and 3199. Let’s be very careful and manage risk properly. Good luck 🤞 This is not financial advice amd should be taken with a pinch of salt.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Squeeezy-Trader
2