Trade ideas
Given Powell’s mildly dovish tone 4,200 Handle is my next targetPowell acknowledged a firmer economic footing than earlier, but explicitly flagged weakness in the labour market (low hiring, low firing) as a concern. The fact that Powell is leaning more towards softening employment policies than inflation gives the market room to lean into gold’s narrative.
Bullish approach: Buy on dips toward your liquidity base @4,145–4,150 after confirmation (bullish wick, reversal candle)
Stop-Loss: Below 4,135 (below the extreme discount block
Target 1: 4,200 zone
Target 2: 4,230–4,250 if DXY weakens further post-Fed
Summary
Powell’s speech has given the bulls oxygen; the gold structure confirms it.
As long as 4,140 holds, the path of least resistance is north.
First TP is nearly in sight — the market may even overshoot it on volatility.
Wed 15 Oct - Market Update!ATH again!
The market pushed up to new highs & potentially higher.
Expecting retracement lower before eventually pushing in the New York session with volume to the @4250-4275 psychological levels.
#1 Market and price action already indicate the direction.
#2 Support zone created - indicating buyers are strong.
#3 Waiting for a pullback to collect orders & liquidity for then push up again.
Let's see how London Session plays out!
Gold looks like it wants to break the upper resistance again. Gold's momentum don't stop. the move is slow and sort of choppy if you look a the low time frame. Can history repeat itself and poke through the line one more time? Or do liquidity dry up right before it reach and start dumping?
I am bullish overall, at least until we reach the upper trend like. We might break above that line and retest and break out again. That would be my dream scenario, but as a future trader, I am only trying to capture that small momentum from point A to point B. Which is slightly above the upper line in my case.
I think gold in spot will soon hit the 4200 psych level or slightly above it before we see a slow down.
As always trade, only trade with money you can afford to lose, and set a stop loss, even if its below where it might wick down for liquidity.
Gold Eyes New All-Time High
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🟡 Chart Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD) — Daily Timeframe
Overview:
This chart presents a bullish continuation setup for Gold (XAU/USD) on the daily timeframe. The market has recently shown strong upward momentum, forming several large bullish candles after a period of consolidation.
Key Observations:
Recent Momentum:
A strong bullish rally has pushed the price upward, indicating renewed buyer interest and institutional activity.
Retracement Zone:
The highlighted green area represents a potential retracement or re-entry zone. Price is expected to pull back into this area before resuming its upward trajectory.
Stop Loss Placement:
The red zone beneath the retracement area marks the stop-loss level around $4,026, strategically placed below recent swing lows for risk management.
Target Level:
The target zone is aligned with the All-Time High (ATH) around $4,200, which serves as a key psychological and technical resistance level.
Projection Path:
The chart’s white and black arrows illustrate an expected bullish impulse–retracement–continuation pattern, suggesting the price may briefly correct before surging to new highs.
Gold Pullback TimeUS-China trade tensions, the US government shutdown, and global uncertainty have increased demand for safe havens, driving the prices of Bitcoin, silver, and gold upwards.
Looking at the candlestick pattern, the gold price encountered significant resistance, resulting in a bearish engulfing. Let's draw a Fibonacci retracement and see which direction the price continues to resist. The price continues to head towards the golden area, which is also the historical BoS area. We await buy confirmation in this area.
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Market Breakdown
1. ChoCh (Change of Character):
Market shifted from consolidation into bullish control, confirming the presence of institutional buyers.
2. BOS (Break of Structure):
Multiple BOS signals show strength, with price breaking highs and validating bullish momentum.
3. OB-15M (Order Block):
The 15M OB is clearly identified as a liquidity zone where institutions may rebalance before continuing upward.
4. Fake Out + Rejection:
You’re projecting a liquidity grab (fake out) into the OB-15M followed by a rejection. This aligns with typical SMC patterns.
5. Distribution & Target:
After mitigation and rejection, the plan points toward distribution with a new target at 4,180.
• Entry: 4,147.42
• Stop Loss: 4,133
• Target: 4,180
• R/R: Around 1:2 (well-balanced for this setup)
🌟 Motivational Note
“Every BOS and rejection tells the story of institutional flow. 📊
We don’t chase the market—we wait for the liquidity grab and let the setup come to us. 🎯
Patience is the trader’s real edge. 🚀🔥”
GOOD LUCK TRADERS.. ;)
Gold (XAUUSD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown Setup | Short OpportunityGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading within an ascending wedge structure, showing signs of buyer exhaustion near the 4088–4092 resistance zone. Price rejected the upper boundary of the channel and has now started breaking minor structure to the downside.
A potential short setup is forming as the market looks ready to correct towards the 4056 liquidity zone — aligning with previous demand, imbalance fill, and fake-out range retest.
🔹 Bias: Bearish
🔹 Entry Zone: 4083–4088 (on confirmation or retest)
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 4093
🔹 Take Profits:
• TP1: 4074 (minor structure break)
• TP2: 4056 (major liquidity & demand zone)
The setup remains valid as long as price stays below 4092.
A close above this level will invalidate the bearish idea and shift the bias to neutral or bullish continuation.
Gold (XAUUSD) – 13 Oct | Key Supply Zone in Focus🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 13 October
Hello Disciplined Traders,
Welcome to the Chart Is Mirror Community 👋
Market Context
• Gold remains in a H4 pullback phase , with M15 structure bearish after clear ChoCH + BoS confirmation — both aligned to the downside.
• Price is currently trading inside a strong supply + M15 LH zone 4048.8–4058.1 .
Key Observations
• A micro structure shift downside has already occurred on M1.
• Now waiting for a clean break of structure to confirm continuation of bearish momentum.
• Once confirmed, we’ll mark the micro POI and plan a short setup on the M1 pullback.
Execution Plan
• If price respects the current 4048.8–4058.1 supply zone and confirms on LTF, plan for shorts accordingly.
• If price breaks and sustains above the zone, that will be a M15 structure shift upside — no shorts, stay out and reassess for long setups.
Discipline means waiting for clarity — let confirmation lead, not bias.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OUTLOOK XAUUSD 1H Analysis(13th October 2025) Happy Monday Guys,
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Retest the 1h Bullish FVG at the 4032.36 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bullish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG)
3) Retest the 3/5m Bullish CHOCH level to capitalise on BUYS towards the 4100.00 level.
SELLS:
1) Body candle close below the 4020.87 level.
2) Retest the failed 1h Bullish FVG at the 4020.87 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bearish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on SELLS toward the 3945.00 level
Trade smart, trade according to your trading plans!. Cheers
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecase 10/18/2025Gold has been rising for the last 9 weeks including the past week. There is no sign of slowing down from technical point of view. The last time it has 9 continuous bullish run weeks was back to 2020 when Covid just started. And the price was topped then. Could the history repeat itself? Probably.
But if we look at 2D TF, this time was a little bit different. In 2020, the 2D TF printed a large pin bar. This time, the candle didn't turn into red yet.
Therefore, next week, we may see a up spike at the beginning of the week, followed by a sharp decline. Here are two levels to watch for the decline: 4379 ATH or 4480-4500.
Let's see how the market gives us next week. I will have more intraday trading plan next week. Stay tuned.
Gold Price Forming Bullish Triangle – Breakout Targeting 11% UpsPattern: The chart shows a Bullish Symmetrical Triangle (ABCDE structure) after a 5-wave rally.
Wave Count: Labeled as A–B–C–D–E consolidation within converging trendlines.
Current Position: Price is near point E, suggesting the triangle is close to completion.
Projection: A bullish breakout is expected after wave E.
Target:
Price: ~3,826.68 USD
Gain: +406.19 points (+11.88%)
Timeframe: ~29 days remaining (projection into September).
Volume: Moderate (~15.74K) during consolidation.
Technical Context:
Left inset shows a Bull Market triangle breakout schematic, indicating this setup aligns with a bullish continuation pattern.
The April correction (-11.9%) reset the trend, followed by the ongoing consolidation.
📌 Conclusion: Gold is forming a bullish continuation triangle and may rally ~11% toward 3,826 if the breakout occurs within the projected timeframe (about a month).
Potential long opportunity for XAUUSD
XAUUSD is approaching a key demand zone on the 15M timeframe. The price is trading within a clear descending channel, and we are looking for a potential reversal near the confluence of the channel support and the identified LOW RISK / BUY ZONE (approx. 4121- 4147).
🎯 Key Levels:
- Buy Zone: 4147 - 4120
- Target: Channel midline & upper bounds
- Stop Loss: A clear break below 4095.
#XAUUSD #GOLD #Trading #Forex #BuyZone #TechnicalAnalysis
It is not a reversal callback correction to continue to buyGold gapped up at the opening, touched 4379 and then plunged nearly $100 before rebounding quickly. The fluctuations in the Asian session alone are so drastic. In addition, today is Friday and there is a risk of market closure, so intraday trading needs to be more cautious.
From the news perspective, the expectation of a Fed rate cut provides liquidity support, Sino-US trade tensions and geopolitical risks stimulate safe-haven demand, and the weakening of the US dollar and economic uncertainty amplify the appeal of gold. Many investors continue to increase their holdings of safe-haven assets in a complex macroeconomic context, providing solid and strong support for the rise of gold.
Although short-term prices fluctuate frequently, they have not fallen below the daily MA5 and MA10 moving averages. Therefore, it should not be regarded as a trend reversal, but a market shakeout. Therefore, we maintain a trading strategy that is mainly bullish and supplemented by short selling.
From a fundamental perspective, multiple rebound attempts failed to break through, making the upper 4380-4400 range a short-term resistance range. The short-term trend has the tendency to form an M top, so I will give several long trading opportunities during the day.
First of all, we should pay attention to the first support formed by 4315-4305 below, which is also the 61.8% retracement position of gold. If it repeatedly circles this position in the short term without breaking, we can try to go long on gold. For the second chance, I would give the support level of 4290-4280 below, which is near the trend suppression and the 50% dividing line, as well as the 4H MA10 moving average. I think we can try to go long on gold again within this range. The last chance I would give is around 4200, the starting point of this round of rise. Even if gold retaliates and falls, we can still maintain good trading opportunities.
During the day, we can go long on gold in batches according to the strength of gold's retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Interest rate cuts and safe-haven support gold. 4,400 is unstoppInformation Summary:
Spot gold surged strongly in early Asian trading on Friday, surging over 1.2% to a record high of $4,379.38 per ounce. Gold prices have risen nearly 9% this week and are expected to continue rising for nine consecutive weeks. This surge is primarily driven by strong market expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts in October and December, coupled with a surge in SPDR gold holdings, which has boosted bullish sentiment.
In addition to monetary policy expectations, multiple positive factors are fueling gold's upward momentum. The risk of a US government shutdown and the tense international trade situation continue to attract safe-haven funds to gold. At the same time, the continued gold purchases by central banks of many countries around the world and the long-term trend of "de-dollarization" have fundamentally consolidated the support for gold. Amidst increasing geopolitical and economic uncertainty, gold's safe-haven properties are becoming more prominent, and analysts believe that a challenge to the $4,400 mark may be just around the corner.
Market Analysis:
Technically, after a strong breakout above key resistance at $4,200, gold is now approaching the psychologically important $4,400 level, maintaining its short-term bullish trend.
The trading strategy recommends focusing on whether the market can continue to be strong, but be wary of the risk of profit-taking at high levels. A conservative strategy should prioritize buying on dips, with the key support range moving up to $4,310-4,300. If prices fall back to this area and find effective support, it would be a good opportunity to go long with the trend, targeting a new high of $4,400. However, it is crucial to note that an unexpected break below $4,300 could trigger a significant technical correction, potentially leading to a deeper correction towards $4,250.
Therefore, caution is advised when pursuing long positions at current highs, with strict stop-loss orders in place.
Trading strategy:
Buy stocks in batches when the price dips back to the 4320-4315 range. Set a stop-loss at 4310. Profit range: 4360-4370-4390.
Gold price analysis October 17GOLD UPDATE – The uptrend shows no signs of stopping
The gold market is in the most “breathable” phase for the Buyers — almost every BUY strategy has brought profits overnight. The bullish momentum remains strong, showing that money continues to flow into this precious metal.
The next target that Gold is aiming for is around 4450, and any correction can be seen as a “golden” opportunity to join the main trend.
📈 Trading strategy:
BUY Trigger: when a price rejection signal appears at the support zones 4285 – 4242 – 4216
🎯 Target: 4450
👉 In this context, following the Buyers is still the only reasonable option. Observe the price reaction around the support zones and just “press the BUY button” when the signal appears.
GOLD - BULLISH POSSIBILITYSIMPLE. Support level previously broken on the last bearish movement got broken again on the last bullish candle which indicate a possibility that price might be bullish again. High possibility of price using that zone as a valid support zone to then go on a 900+ pips bullrun. This is purely ideas purpose only and should not be used alone to take on a trade. Good profits traders.
XAUUSD 17/10/2025XAUUSD has reached the target of 4275 as analyzed in the previous article. Although the trend is still up, now I expect XAUUSD to fall to 4200, further to 4145 before re-establishing an increase, which would be better. But if XAUUSD continues to increase, the next target is 4345 - 4375.
I am analyzing based on the VolaX method
Gold traders - White House to speak on China shortlyGold’s impressive rally has been powered by a mix of rate-cut expectations, political risk, central bank buying, and dollar weakness.
Gold traders’ focus this week has been on the escalating U.S.–China trade tensions though.
Markets are standing by for a statement from the White House, expected within the hour.
We’ll post updates here once the White House statement is released and markets begin to react.