Trade ideas
XAU - USD / Wait until take de Pullback in Demand ZoneLet's see this trade until take the first pullback and just check your entry to Sell.
XAU/USD Intraday Analysis – October 8, 2025Gold is currently trading around 4,036 USD, maintaining a strong bullish trend after breaking out of the previous ascending channel. The H1 chart shows clear momentum with higher highs and higher lows, indicating buyer dominance. A minor pullback is expected before the continuation of the uptrend.
Technical Highlights:
Current Price: 4,036 USD
Recent High: 4,049 USD
Recent Low: 4,033 USD
Support Levels:
S1: 4,020 – 4,025 USD (short-term pullback zone)
S2: 3,980 – 3,990 USD (former channel resistance turned support)
S3: 3,940 – 3,950 USD (major intraday support)
Resistance Levels:
R1: 4,060 – 4,065 USD (next intraday target)
R2: 4,100 USD (psychological barrier)
R3: 4,120 USD (projection based on recent momentum)
Indicators & Patterns:
Price has broken above the previous ascending channel, signaling strong bullish momentum.
A minor retracement towards 4,020 – 4,025 could provide a high-probability buying opportunity.
EMA cluster below the current price supports the bullish trend.
RSI indicates slight overbought conditions, suggesting a temporary pullback is possible before continuation.
Trading Strategy:
Aggressive Buy: On minor pullback to 4,020 – 4,025 USD
Stop Loss: 4,010 USD
Take Profit 1: 4,060 USD
Take Profit 2: 4,085 USD
Take Profit 3: 4,120 USD
Conservative Buy: Wait for confirmation of support hold at 4,025 USD
Stop Loss: 4,015 USD
Take Profit: 4,085 – 4,100 USD
Summary:
Gold remains in a bullish trend on H1, with a potential continuation towards 4,100 – 4,120 USD after a short-term retracement. Traders should monitor the 4,020 – 4,025 support zone for high-probability entries and use proper risk management.
Remember: Always confirm momentum with price action and key support before entering new trades. Save this analysis if you find it helpful and follow for further intraday strategies.
Analysis of the latest gold price trends today!Market News:
In early Asian trading on Wednesday (October 15th), spot gold prices continued their upward trend, briefly soaring to $4,170/oz. Yesterday, London gold prices hit a record high of $4,179/oz, before bullish profit-taking triggered a short-term plunge of nearly $90, hitting a low of around $4,090. Although the price briefly dipped below the $4,100 mark during the session, bargain-hunting quickly helped international gold prices regain their upward momentum. The strength of international gold is inseparable from the Federal Reserve's increasingly dovish shift. The Fed Chairman's speech hinted at poor non-farm payroll data and suggested interest rate cuts would support economic employment. With the shutdown bill failing to pass, gold once again experienced a safe-haven resurgence. The ongoing US government shutdown and the risk of a renewed trade war have supported gold prices above the critical $4,100/oz level. The continued rise in spot gold is a milestone driven by the combined forces of safe-haven demand, the Fed's dovish shift, and a weakening US dollar. From the smoke of the trade war to the decline in bond yields and the dollar's decline in the foreign exchange market, gold prices are heading for higher peaks. In the short term, the international trade situation may be a key variable. If signals of reconciliation are released, gold prices may experience a correction; however, if friction escalates, the $4,180 mark will be easily surpassed.
Technical Analysis:
Gold maintains its trend structure, with the daily chart maintaining a consecutive positive trend and continuing to close in a buying trend. The 10-day and 7-day moving averages remain upward. Yesterday, the price retreated near the 5-day moving average at 4,083, but stabilized at 4,090 before regaining support. On the short-term four-hour chart, the price remains within an upward trending channel, with the Bollinger Bands opening upward and extending the price to the upper middle band. The gold trend structure remains unchanged. Trend-following trading remains primarily focused on buying at low prices, supplemented by selling at high prices. Judging from the gold hourly chart, the short-term market has seen another surge in profit-taking following overbought conditions. Any correction or decline could be significant. While there may be room for further short-term gains, it will likely take a while. Furthermore, any correction or decline in the future is likely to be a rapid, sharp decline. Avoid chasing the ups and downs!
Strategy:
Short-term gold buy at 4140-4143, stop loss at 4132, target at 4180-4200;
Short-term gold sell at 4190-4193, stop loss at 4202, target at 4100-4120;
Key Points:
First Support Level: 4132, Second Support Level: 4112, Third Support Level: 4090
First Resistance Level: 4180, Second Resistance Level: 4197, Third Resistance Level: 4213
Gold Reached Its Final Peak? A 50-Year Cycle May End Here!🟡 Gold Macro Structure — The End of a 50-Year Bullish Epoch
Symbol: XAU/USD (OANDA Data)
Timeframe: 1M (Monthly Candles)
Published by: Ping Tech Academy
🕰️ The Story of Gold — Faith, Fear, and Cycles
Gold has always been more than a commodity — it’s the mirror of human belief.
When trust in paper fades, gold rises. When euphoria returns, gold retreats.
Since the U.S. dollar detached from gold in December 1971, every major swing has reflected the balance between fear and faith.
Today, after more than five decades, gold may be reaching the final chapter of its generational bull cycle.
🔹 Historical Structure (1971–2009)
From December 1st, 1971, gold has moved within a long-term ascending price channel,
anchored between $43.50 (bottom) and $1,195.40 (top).
That upper boundary was broken and retested on November 2nd, 2009,
marking the transition into a new bullish macro channel — the one that has guided us for the past 16 years.
🔹 The Second Channel (2005–2024)
The base of this channel formed on July 1st, 2005, at $417.90,
while its upper boundary expanded to around $2,663.50, reached on September 2nd, 2024.
This level was broken and retested — a classical continuation signal —
and from there, gold surged into the $4,165 region (October 2025).
⚠️ Critical Zone: The Completion of the Macro Channel
According to price behavior symmetry and channel geometry,
gold has now fulfilled the structural target of its multi-decade bullish channel:
📍 $4,166.66 (OANDA XAU/USD)
Accounting for margin of deviation, the potential final resistance zone is estimated between:
📉 $4,166.66 – $4,294.43
This area is expected to represent the macro peak of this cycle,
after which a multi-year corrective phase could begin.
🧭 Projected Downside Path (Long-Term Correction Targets)
If price confirms rejection within this resistance cluster,
these levels are projected as sequential macro targets:
$3,940
$3,730
$3,415
$3,072
$2,791 → Key Structural Level
Breaking below $2,791 could unlock the next leg toward:
• $2,438
• $2,227
• $2,089 → Final Macro Target
🧠 Market Psychology & Cyclic Behavior
Every gold supercycle follows a rhythm of human emotion and institutional logic:
Accumulation (Smart Money Phase):
Institutions buy quietly when the world stops caring — at undervalued extremes.
Expansion & Public Awareness:
The trend becomes “obvious,” and narratives such as inflation, rate cuts, or war become convenient justifications.
Euphoria (Public Participation):
Retail capital floods in at all-time highs. Media coverage peaks.
Institutions distribute into optimism, slowly unloading into retail demand.
Distribution → Correction:
Price action weakens, volatility expands, and the illusion of “new paradigms” fades.
Fear replaces greed — and the cycle resets.
Gold is currently showing late-euphoria behavior on the monthly timeframe —
the classic footprint of a distribution phase in motion.
🧩 Conclusion
Gold may be closing the final leg of a 50-year macro expansion,
completing a structure that began in 1971 — an era that redefined global value systems.
While an overshoot beyond $4,294 remains possible,
the reward-to-risk profile now shifts decisively toward defensive positioning.
This could mark the beginning of a generational correction before a new cycle of accumulation emerges.
⚖️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
All projections are derived from long-term historical modeling and price structure analysis.
Financial markets carry risk; always perform your own research or consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
📘 Ping Tech Academy
“Trade Smart. Trade Fearless.”
© 2025 – All Rights Reserved.
October 9 Gold AnalysisOctober 9 Gold Analysis
Looking back at this week's performance, gold, driven by rising expectations of rate cuts and geopolitical risks, has performed exceptionally strongly, breaking through the $3,900 and $4,000 levels in succession and reaching new all-time highs. Despite a sharp drop in Thursday's Asian session due to the sudden news of a ceasefire agreement, gold prices quickly found strong support at the key psychological level of $4,000 and rebounded, having largely recovered the lost ground. This clearly demonstrates that the core driving forces of the current market remain unchanged, with strong buying appetite on dips and the overall upward trend remaining intact.
Analysis of Core Drivers
1. Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts: This is the fundamental driving force behind this surge in gold prices. Market expectations of further Fed rate cuts in October and December continue to build, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold and providing a solid underlying support for gold prices.
2. Spreading risk aversion: The US government shutdown entered its second week, with bipartisan negotiations repeatedly breaking down, and market concerns about a prolonged shutdown intensified. This political risk has triggered widespread panic, driving continued safe-haven flows into the gold market.
3. Strong Technical Breakout: After breaking through $4,000, gold prices have confirmed entering a new price range. Although technical indicators suggest short-term overbought conditions and correction potential, the moving averages are bullish, and the upward trend remains solid.
Trading Strategy
Downward Support:
Primary support: $4,022 (the intraday low of the European session). A breakout here would indicate that market sentiment remains positive.
Core Support: $4,000. This is a key level that has been tested and successfully stabilized multiple times in the past two days and is the lifeline for determining the continuation of this upward trend. As long as gold prices hold above this level, the overall bullish outlook remains unchanged.
Upward Resistance:
Near-term resistance: $4,045 (the morning opening price and the rebound high in the Asian and European sessions). A breakout here would confirm the end of the short-term correction and reassert buying momentum.
Key Resistance: $4,060 (near the all-time high). A successful breakout above this level will open up further upside potential, with the next target likely reaching $4,100.
Trading Recommendations:
We recommend a volatile bullish outlook. Focus on stabilizing signals near the support area.
I've shared strategies earlier on my channel. Profitable traders can continue to increase their positions at lower levels, targeting 4,060-4,100.
Trade with caution and manage risk! Best of luck!
Gold trading plan!BUYS:
1) Retest the 1h Bullish FVG at the 4157.33 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bullish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG).
3) Retest the 3/5m Bullish CHOCH level to capitalize on BUYS towards the 4200.00 level.
SELLS:
1) Body candle close below the 4134.60 level.
2) Retest the 1h bearish CHOCH at the 4134.60 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bearish Engulfing Candle to capitalise on SELLS toward the 4090.70 level.
When Charts Collide with Reality: Powell’s Speech and the Real-Once upon a time, a certain trader glued to chart patterns – head buried in Bollinger Bands, RSI blips, and Fibonacci retracements – decided to ignore “fundamentals” altogether. On October 9, 2025, that hero learned a hard lesson. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s “welcoming remarks” at a community banks conference proved anything but earth-shattering – he avoided all mention of interest rates or the economy. The markets’ reaction was accordingly muted but telling: U.S. indices drifted lower (S&P 500 –0.3%, Nasdaq –0.1%, Dow Jones –0.5%), while Bitcoin and commodities moved on cues from deeper currents. The moral? No chart of a winding stochastic oscillator can capture a government shutdown, a Fed minutes report, or – as traders soon learned on October 10 – a sudden tariff shock.
Oct 9, 2025: Powell’s Murmurs, Markets’ Moves
By 8:30 am EDT on Oct 9, Chair Powell had spoken – and delivered nothing dramatic. He stressed the importance of community banks and scotch-filtered praise for Fed policy, but did not explicitly mention interest rates. In market terms, this was Fed-speak for “status quo until further notice.” Risky assets mostly shrugged. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq, fresh off record highs the day before, inched down a hair (–0.3% and –0.1% respectively).
In equities, the tech-and-AI rally simply paused, not reversed. Nvidia (NVDA) actually hit a new intraday high, closing up +1.8%. Tesla (TSLA) only slipped ~0.7% (to about $405 from ~$408). Momentum traders briefly panicked before shrugging. Meanwhile, currencies and commodities did most of the heavy lifting. Gold fell back ~2%, relinquishing its perch above $4,000 to around $3,990. Oil cooled too, with WTI crude dropping about 1.7% to $61.50/bbl as global demand jitters outweighed tariff threats. Bonds yawned (10-year yields only ticked up to ~4.14%).
Cryptocurrencies provided the day’s juiciest contrast to technical charts. Bitcoin quietly fell ~2%, settling near $121,000. Ethereum, which had flirted with $4,555 intraday, ended up around $4,350. In short: a benign Fed talk and some global calm gave traders little excuse to keep piling on risk. The chart-gobbling skeptic would note: despite all the pattern-bashing and bullish RSI, it was real-world news (fiscal brinksmanship, global politics) that dictated gold’s drop and Bitcoin’s small selloff – not any “sell” signal on a moving-average ribbon.
Oct 10, 2025: Tariff Turbulence Hits the Wires
Then came the next day – October 10. The U.S. Trade Representative’s office announced a surprise tariff escalation on select Chinese electric vehicle components and semiconductor materials, effective immediately. The move rattled supply chain darlings and sent a tremor through risk markets.
By midday, Nvidia dropped 3.6%, Tesla tumbled 4.1%, and AMD shed 2.9%. The S&P 500 sank 1.1%, and the Nasdaq fell nearly 1.8% as traders digested implications for the AI and EV sectors. Bitcoin dipped to $118,500 (–2%) and Ethereum slid below $4,200. Gold, the perennial crisis comforter, jumped 1.5% back above $4,040, while oil reversed earlier losses to climb 2.2% to $62.90/bbl. In one trading day, tariff headlines flipped market sentiment from calm to chaos – and all without a single moving average crossover to foretell it.
The episode underlined what the October 9 non-event hinted at: markets are narratives in motion, not lines on a screen. Macro policies, geopolitical decisions, and institutional utterances move them in ways pure chart logic never predicts.
Institutions at Work: IMF, World Bank, ECB, SEC, and Friends
The Fed is just one club in the financial orchestra. A savvy trader must know the other conductors. In the halls of power – from Washington to Brussels – policy events routinely send ripples through markets. Recall: at the IMF/World Bank annual meetings this past week, IMF head Kristalina Georgieva warned of “exceptional uncertainty” and noted “demand for gold … is surging.” Indeed, gold briefly touched $4,030 on Oct 8, and Bitcoin ticked upward. That rally was not from any RSI oscillator; it was born from safe-haven buying amid a government shutdown and looming Fed cuts.
Europe’s sage is the ECB. Remember Oct 17, 2024? The ECB cut rates 25 bp on “disinflationary progress.” The euro promptly slid and gold jumped – not due to any chart signal, but because traders priced in easier money. In general, ECB policy shifts move FX and commodities: a dovish ECB tends to weaken the euro and buoy gold, boosting global stocks.
Crypto regulation is heavily influenced by G20/FSB/IOSCO. For instance, the G20 asked for international stablecoin standards in 2020; by July 2023, the FSB issued a “global regulatory framework for crypto,” essentially a roadmap for uniform oversight. IOSCO drills into crypto and market structure; its pronouncements can nudge crypto markets. In sum, when these bodies speak, smart traders listen – because “regulation approved” often means “uncertainty down, risk assets up.”
Meanwhile, in the United States, the SEC is the heavyweight. A single SEC rule change can swing billions. On Sep 17, 2025, the SEC voted to open the floodgates for spot crypto ETFs, spurring a bid under crypto prices. Compare that to October 2023, when SEC staff signaled resistance – markets instantly sagged. The SEC’s filings and enforcement releases are trading triggers: when the SEC sued Binance or Coinbase in mid-2023, Bitcoin and altcoins wobbled. When SEC Chair Paul Atkins touted innovation on crypto ETFs, crypto ticked up.
History’s Highlights: Past Shock Events
Our chart-obsessed trader could use a refresher. Real events repeatedly overwhelm technicals. On August 12, 2025, U.S. CPI inflation came in cooler than expected (2.7% YoY vs 2.8% forecast). Ethereum broke above $4,400 from $4,172 intraday, BTC and total crypto cap surged ~1–2%. Stocks rallied too, betting on Fed rate cuts.
Flip the script: in July 26, 2023, the Fed raised rates 25 bp. Stocks and crypto swooned. Meta slid 5% and Bitcoin briefly lost 5% of its value. No candle-stick pattern predicted that.
Other events: Nonfarm Payrolls, FOMC meetings, CPI releases, central bank press conferences. January 2022’s strong jobs report sent gold down and Nvidia down; February 2023’s soft CPI boosted tech and crypto. European examples: Sep 2022, ECB minutes hawkish + geopolitical tension → oil shot up. Banks and institutions also matter: Jamie Dimon’s Sept 2025 warning of a “30% chance of a market drop” briefly wobbled financial stocks.
Commodities Follow Real-World News
US strategic reserve announcements or OPEC meetings can tip oil charts. Gold’s all-time highs this year came from safe-haven flows around shutdowns and trade wars. Historic data show that calendar events and policy shifts matter. They have instant effects on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Nvidia, Tesla, gold, oil, and indices – far beyond any moving average.
Looking Ahead: Upcoming Economic Events
IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings (Oct 13–18, 2025): Growth warnings + debt talks. Gold $3,950–$4,000, BTC $120k–$122k. Historical precedent: dovish updates → stocks down, safe havens up.
ECB Monetary Policy (Dec 2025): Rate path decisions. Potential rate cut → EUR weakness & gold rally.
G20 Leaders Summit (Nov 22–23, 2025): Trade, debt, climate. Communiqué tone → possible volatility.
IOSCO/FSB Meetings (late 2025): Crypto regulation, cross-border payments. Tighter guidance → crypto jittery; benign → stable.
U.S. SEC and CFTC: Ongoing regulatory tweaks. Crypto ETFs, corporate disclosure rules → sector swings.
Economic Data: Delayed data from shutdown → CPI, PPI, retail sales, jobs figures. Each historically jolts markets.
Conclusion
By Oct 10, our chart-chaser had been fully humbled. Markets reacted to a broader story: sticky inflation, global politics, tariffs, and institutional pronouncements. Bitcoin ~$118,500, Ethereum ~$4,200, Nvidia –3.6%, Tesla –4.1%, Gold +1.5%. Real-world headlines trumped chart signals once again. Savvy traders know: the Fed minutes, IMF forecasts, and central-bank calendars are the real compass – technicals are just background noise. Markets move to the melody of policy statements; ignoring them risks dancing off-beat.
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Key Market Events, Price Reactions & Timetables
Date / Event Institution / Trigger Main Theme Assets Affected Approx. Price / Move Market Reaction Timing Notes / Implications
Oct 8 2025 IMF / World Bank pre-meetings Gold surge on safe-haven demand Gold ↑ $4,030 (+2%), BTC ~$123,000 (+1%) 4–6 hrs around IMF headlines IMF’s Georgieva warned of fragility, sparking record gold demand
Oct 9 2025 Fed Chair Powell – Community Banks Speech No rate comment → 'non-event' S&P 500 –0.3%, Nasdaq –0.1%, BTC ↓ ~2% to $121k, Gold ↓ ~2% to $3,990, Oil ↓ 1.7% to $61.5 Within 1–3 hrs post speech Market drifted; risk appetite cooled without new policy cues
Oct 9 2025 (same day) Gaza ceasefire news Geopolitical de-risking Gold –2% to ~$3,990, Oil –1.7% to $61.5 Immediate (minutes – 1 hr) Safe-haven unwinding; traders rotated to risk assets
Oct 10 2025 USTR Tariff Announcement Trade escalation shock Nvidia –3.6%, Tesla –4.1%, BTC –2% to $118.5k, ETH –3% to $4,200, Gold +1.5% to $4,040, Oil +2.2% to $62.9 Within 1–2 hrs Risk-off reaction, supply chain fears, safe-haven inflows
Oct 12–18 2025 IMF & World Bank Annual Meetings Growth warnings + debt talks Gold $3,950–$4,000, BTC $120k–$122k Multi-day gradual move IMF’s 'fragile but resilient' tone supported gold; crypto stabilized
Oct 17 2024 (reference) ECB rate cut (–25 bp) Monetary easing EUR/USD ↓ 0.5%, Gold ↑ ~1.3% 2–4 hrs post meeting Dovish ECB = Euro weakened, commodities lifted
Sep 17 2025 U.S. SEC approves spot crypto ETFs Regulatory breakthrough BTC ↑ ~6% to $118k, ETH ↑ ~7% to $4,400 1–2 hrs after SEC vote 'Watershed moment' — institutional inflows expected
Aug 12 2025 (reference) U.S. CPI data (2.7% vs 2.8%) Inflation cooler than expected BTC ↑ ~2%, ETH ↑ ~3% to $4,400, S&P 500 ↑ 1% Immediate (minutes) Macro data beat → risk assets jump → Fed cut bets increase
Jul 2023 reference Fed rate hike + FSB crypto report Hawkish policy / crypto regulation BTC –5%, Tech –3–4% Same day Macro tightening + new rules = risk-off sentiment
Nov 22–23 2025 (Upcoming) G20 Leaders Summit (Johannesburg) Trade & debt talks + climate agenda TBD: Gold & Oil likely react TBD Potential market volatility depending on communiqué tone
Dec 2025 (Upcoming) ECB Meeting Rate path decisions TBD TBD Possible rate cut → EUR weakness & gold relief rally
Pullback Alert: Gold Feeling the Heat at 4000As expected, gold continued to rise to the 3985-3995 area, reaching a high of around 3991, just a hair away from 4000. According to my calculations, the current resistance area of gold is located in the 3985-3995 area (for the specific calculation process, please refer to the previous trading idea). Therefore, I believe that within this range, we can begin to test the top and short gold.
Moreover, from the short-term performance, although gold still maintains a bullish trend, the short-term rise has been suppressed and the recent rise has weakened. Moreover, after the continuous rise in gold prices, the risk of chasing the rise has increased significantly. We must be cautious about the current rise and guard against signs of profit-taking at market highs. Moreover, gold has repeatedly reached highs in the 3980-3990 area. Repeatedly reaching highs in a limited area is likely to mean that gold will usher in a wave of irreversible pullbacks in the short term.
In addition, we need to focus on the area near 3960. If gold can still stay above 3960 during repeated pullbacks, then gold will still maintain its current strong position, or at least maintain high-level fluctuations; if gold falls below the area near 3960 during the pullback, then gold may continue the pullback trend and is expected to continue to 3930, or even around 3900.
So for the current short-term trading, I think the time is ripe to short gold, and I have already shorted gold according to the above trading plan. Now I just need to wait patiently for gold to pull back and make a substantial profit!
GOLD-SELL strategy Monthly chart Reg. Channelyes, we are still higher as if it will never stop. However, such lofty levels and RSI heights, are not normal, and adding to it the Reg. Channel severe breakout suggest caution. Short is still the way to be for medium-term to long-=term, is my personal view I am happy adding to shorts I already have.
Strategy sell OR add to SELL @ $ 3,950 - 4,100 and take profit on the way down between $ 2,950 - 3,150 for now.
Gold Key upside Levels All the upside levels which ive shared till 3900 $ have been hit. Now these are the levels to 4000$ . Simple to trade if a candle closes above any of these levels buy and if it closes below sell.
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 41 2025Every week I release a Wall Street Weekly Outlook that highlights the key themes, market drivers, and risks that professional traders are watching.
This week promises to be particularly important, with important fundamental developments... 📊 Stay ahead of the curve—watch the video now and get prepared like a Wall Street insider.
Any questions? Drop a comment or reach out directly.
-Meikel
XAUUSD 15m – EW Short SetupHi fellow traders,
On the 15m XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a short setup. Price has completed wave (v) and is now retesting the Fibonacci cluster between the 0.618 and 0.88 retracement levels, which aligns with a potential reversal zone.
I am entering at the current price, with a Stop Loss at 4059.16, serving as the invalidation level. My Take Profit levels are set at 3991.32 (TP1), 3985.71 (TP2), and 3965.74 (TP3), targeting the projected completion of the next corrective leg.
If price moves above the invalidation level, this wave count is no longer valid.
Good luck and trade safe!
#XAUUSD: Will There Be Major Price Correction On Gold? Dear Traders,
Gold has been rallying with strong bullish momentum and has not experienced a major correction since the last few weeks. We have identified a key level from which the price can continue its bullish momentum if fundamentals do not change. Furthermore, we can target $4200 in a few weeks if the current momentum continues.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 300 Pips !Here is My 30 Min Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above our Res 3895.00 And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3895.00 , and we can be targeting 100 to 300 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 4H Closure .
Gold Targeting #4,100.80 - #4,200.80 ahead of #4,500.80 markAs discussed throughout my last week's commentary: 'Technical analysis: Gold reversed on Intra-day basis (even though DX is Trading near multi-session High’s, from now on / main correlation for the fractal) as Price-action was isolated within Neutral Rectangle which has Lower High's / High's - Low's. As I've mentioned before, current slide was nothing more but sweep to cool down Overbought levels however not discontinuation of Ascending Channel on bigger charts.. Hourly 4 chart's timeframe should turn green any minute now and as long as Price-action meets strong Support near #4,000.80 psychological benchmark which is showcasing strong rejection point, I expect test-and-break of the #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 zone which can extend Buying sequence widely above #4,100.80 psychological benchmark, preserving trendline on Hourly 4 chart which is Supporting the uptrend and rejecting every downside attempt since late September / early October fractal. It is worth noting that if #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 Short-term Resistance zone rejects current recovery attempt, #3rd Top on mentioned belt which is guarding the upside will be formed as Gold will be isolated within #2 strong trendlines until one of the levels break and delivers major move on the aftermath (I lean to the Bullish side as well).'
My position: I have been Buying Gold throughout Friday's session all along and Buying Gold firstly in #3,972.80 - #3,992.80 Neutral Rectangle waiting for the break-out to the upside. I had reached my Buying Profit Intra-day quota within the belt and started my usual Medium-term Buy orders positioning. I have Bought Gold (Medium-term) on #3,992.80 Support for the fractal as Gold was unable to break above #4,022.80 Resistance however my Stop was triggered on #3,985.80. I Bought Gold again on #3,978.80 again with #3,962.80 Stop and over the weekend / this morning my #4,042.80 Take Profit is hit, confirming my thesis that Traders shouldn't Sell Gold at all cost and turn to Buying this market. Each Selling momentum is just another sweep before Buyers arise and take Gold on upper levels. I do expect #4,100.80 benchmark to be met within #1 - #2 week horizon before #4,200.80 which is posing as my Medium-term Target. I achieved my weekly Profit and will take it easy from now.
Tariff tensions - the driving force behind gold price increases✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 10/13/2025 - 10/17/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) climbs during the North American session on Friday, trading near $3,997, up 0.6%, as renewed US-China trade tensions, the ongoing US government shutdown, and expectations of further Fed easing fuel safe-haven demand. Risk sentiment deteriorated after President Donald Trump warned of new tariffs on China, which threatened countermeasures on rare earth exports, while Trump dismissed the need to meet President Xi Jinping later this month.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Tariff tensions return, US government remains shut. Gold price maintains bullish momentum above 4000
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $4058, $4100
Support: $3980, $3942, $3895
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3907 and a gap below at 3880. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3907
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3907 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3937
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3937 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3965
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3965 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3993
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4019
BEARISH TARGETS
3880
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3880 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3848
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3848 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3819
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3819 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3683
3654
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3654 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3781
3743
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar), 15M timeframe..XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar), 15M timeframe (FOREX.com).
From my setup:
Current price: $3,960
Price recently made an all-time high test near $3,970.
My drawn a trendline and marked a bearish move projection.
The Ichimoku cloud is acting as near-term support.
📉 Target Analysis (based on my chart):
If price rejects from the top and breaks below the trendline + cloud, my marked Target Point is around $3,920 – $3,925.
This zone aligns with previous support consolidation.
Immediate support before that: $3,945 – $3,946 (cloud base).
If price holds above $3,945, bounce continuation toward $3,970 – $3,980 is possible.
👉 So my downside target = $3,920 area, unless buyers defend the $3,945 support.
Gold MAGIC!As stated back in June, there is still more upside in gold.
MAGIC!
However, we remain in the Eiffel Tower pattern.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 4040
🆚 Reasons To Enter The path
————
➕ Volume Engaged & Confirmed
➕ Time Zone Aligned (London / NY)
➕ Liquidity Cleared Below
➕ Cluster Shield Active
➕ Delta Shift Showing Buyer Control
➕ Reversal Formation Detected
➕ Price Below POC – Ready for Retrace
➕ Entry Prepared with Zero Emotion
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3886
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
