XAUUSD: Consolidating the bullish momentumHi everyone, it’s Ken!
At this moment, gold is shining with strong appeal. The market is moving within a steep channel, and price action continues to respect its structure, forming higher highs without showing weakness.
Not long ago, gold broke a key resistance level and might come back to retest it. Interestingly, this area also aligns with the “golden zone” from the last breakout. If buyers defend it well, the bullish outlook remains valid, with the next target aiming toward 3,660 – the channel’s peak.
As long as price stays above the support and the rising trendline, the uptrend remains intact. However, if it slips below, chances of a deeper pullback will rise.
Stay patient, wait for confirmation before entering, and always protect your capital with proper risk management.
Wishing you success!
GOLD trade ideas
Smart Money Order Blocks – Trade Like a Pro in 2025!Welcome to today’s lesson.
Have you ever wondered what an Order Block is? Maybe you’ve heard it mentioned in some analyses on TradingView, and yes, that’s exactly the topic I will answer today. It plays the role of a foundation and a catalyst for stronger trends. Let’s dive in!
What is an Order Block?
In my view: An Order Block (OB) is a block of orders or an important price zone on the chart, where banks and large financial institutions (called Smart Money ) have placed massive buy or sell orders in the past.
Their actions create an imbalance between supply and demand, pushing price to move strongly and leaving a “footprint” on the chart.
That price zone becomes an attractive point for Smart Money in the future. They expect that when price revisits this area, a similar buy or sell force will appear, driving the market in the same direction.
Characteristics of an Order Block
An Order Block typically has three main characteristics:
- A Strong Candlestick: This represents aggressive buying or selling by institutions. Usually, it is a candlestick with a large body and little or no wick.
- A Strong Momentum Shift: Immediately after that candle, price moves very strongly and quickly, creating a new trend or a significant price move. This shows that Smart Money orders have been executed and pushed price away.
- A Defined Price Range : An OB is not a single price point but a zone, often defined by the range of that strong candlestick (from open to close, or the full body of the candle).
Types of Order Blocks
There are two main types of OB:
Bullish Order Block
- Role: Support, buy zone.
- Identification: A strong bullish (green) candlestick that appears right before a strong upward move. When price retraces to this zone, it’s highly likely to bounce back up.
Bearish Order Block
- Role: Resistance, sell zone.
- Identification: A strong bearish (red) candlestick that appears right before a strong downward move. When price retraces to this zone, it’s highly likely to drop again.
How to Trade with Order Blocks
- Identify the Trend: Determine the main trend (Uptrend or Downtrend).
- Find Historical OBs: Look on the chart for strong candlesticks that triggered significant moves in line with the trend. Mark those zones.
- Wait for Price to Retest: Be patient for price to retrace and test the OB.
- Entry: Look for confirmation signals (reversal candlestick patterns like Pin Bar, Engulfing, Bullish/Bearish Divergence...) within the OB.
Enter a BUY when price revisits a Bullish OB with bullish confirmation.
Enter a SELL when price revisits a Bearish OB with bearish confirmation.
- Stop Loss: Place below the OB (for buys) or above the OB (for sells).
- Take Profit: At the next key support/resistance zones, or using a Risk:Reward ratio (e.g. 1:2, 1:3).
Important Notes
- Order Blocks are not a magic bullet: Price doesn’t always react perfectly at OBs. Always combine with other tools (trend, support/resistance, volume) and apply strict risk management.
- Timeframes matter: OBs on higher timeframes (H4, D1, W1) are stronger and more reliable than those on lower timeframes (M5, M15).
- Market Context: An OB is only effective when aligned with the main trend. Trading OBs against the trend is very risky.
Summary
Order Blocks are price zones where Smart Money placed large orders, creating strong price moves. These zones become attractive areas for future entries when price returns, and retail traders can use them to identify higher-probability trading opportunities.
I hope this explanation helps you understand this concept clearly.
Wishing you successful trading!
XAUUSD Liquidity Addiction: Why Your Brain Wants to Get Swept
💫There’s a cruel irony in trading: the cleaner a level looks, the more dangerous it usually is. ATHs, equal highs, perfect lows, and round numbers shine like neon signs saying “enter here.” And your brain, wired for safety and clarity, feels drawn to them like a moth to light. The problem? In SMC, those are not safe zones. They’re bait.
1. The Brain Craves Clarity
The human mind hates uncertainty. When a chart looks messy, hesitation dominates. But on the show of perfect symmetry, you relax because you see something clear. That relaxation is a dopamine hit, and you get addicted to it. But in the markets, the very thing that calms you down is what sets you up.
2. Trap in Action
You’ve seen it before. Price builds a flawless high, traders lean in heavy with sells, certain it can’t go higher — and then Gold rips into new ATHs. The sweep takes them out in minutes. What hurts most isn’t the loss itself, it’s the betrayal. You were so sure and felt safe. And that’s the point: the moment of peak confidence is the moment of maximum exposure.
3. Psychological Addiction
This cycle is repetitive for your brain, giving it a fake feeling of safety. Every “almost win,” every daily plan that looked perfect, every friend who caught that one clean breakout — it all trains you to crave the next hit of certainty. You’re not hooked on trading itself but on the illusion of control. The market doesn’t have to be smarter than you. It just has to let your brain do the 'work', then they take a piece of your account with your SL being hit.
📋 Takeaways
1. Spot the bait, don’t buy/sell it → If it looks too perfect, don’t ask “what am I benefiting?” but ask “WHO’s benefiting from this?”
2. Don’t trade the sweep itself → Wait for the reaction & confirmation after liquidity is taken.
3. Flip the perspective → Ask where the trap is being set, not where the bait is shining.
4. Patience is a position → Sweeps only work because traders can’t sit still.
🔑Liquidity does not hunt you. It waits for you to walk in. The moment you stop chasing certainty and start chasing context — structure, reactions, and intent — the game changes.
The 'traps' and 'baits' are in plain sight, so they cannot fool you so often.
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"XAUUSD | Gold Pullback to Demand Zone Before Next Bullish Leg?Gold (XAUUSD) has shown strong bullish momentum, breaking above previous structure and pushing into the resistance area near 3560–3600. Currently, price is pulling back from resistance and may retest the demand zone around 3480–3500 before continuing higher.
Key points on this chart:
✅ Clear demand zone around 3480–3500 acting as potential support
✅ Previous trendline breakout confirming bullish bias
✅ Resistance zone at 3560–3600 to watch for profit-taking or breakout opportunities
✅ Moving averages showing upward trend confirmation
📈 A potential scenario: price retests demand → forms bullish structure → continuation toward 3600+.
❗ If price breaks below 3480, deeper correction may follow.
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always apply proper risk management before trading.
DeGRAM | GOLD exited from the triangle📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD broke out of a prolonged consolidation wedge, surging above 3,440 and validating a bullish continuation setup.
● Price is targeting the 3,490 resistance; a breakout would open the path toward 3,540, with 3,440 now acting as a strong support floor.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US inflation metrics and a pullback in yields are pressuring the dollar, while heightened geopolitical risks continue to fuel safe-haven demand for gold.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 3,440; targets 3,490 → 3,540. Invalidation on a close below 3,440.
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GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bearish move)(08-09-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (08-09-2025)
Current price- 3620
"if Price stays below 3635, then next target is 3603, 3592 and 3560 and above that 3650".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
XAUUSD Short: Correction Phase Will ContinueHello, traders! The prior market structure for XAUUSD was a bearish descending channel. This trend was decisively reversed by a bullish initiative from the pivot point low near the demand zone 2, which triggered a breakout and established the current bullish market phase, shifting control to the buyers.
Currently, the price auction is being guided by a well-defined ascending channel. A strong impulse has carried XAUUSD to the upper boundary of this channel, which represents dynamic resistance. The market is now testing this ceiling after a sustained rally, a key area where sellers may emerge to initiate a corrective phase against the dominant uptrend.
The primary scenario anticipates a short-term corrective move from the channel's resistance. The expectation is that the upper boundary will hold, leading to a rejection and a downward rotation back towards the channel's median. A failure to break higher would confirm that a temporary pause in the uptrend is likely. The take-profit is therefore set at 3555 points, targeting an intermediate liquidity level. Manage your risk!
Let me share my thoughts on gold!
Gold may face a pullback and correction over the next two days. Don't chase long positions at high levels. I've been saying this for a while now. Let's see if there's a sharp drop in the Asian session today.
The daily chart has already seen seven consecutive days of gains, so a correction is urgently needed. And in the last two days of this week, two important data releases are coming: today's ADP and tomorrow's non-farm payroll figures. Try to avoid data risks.
The non-farm payroll figures for May and June saw significant downward revisions. So, was the 73,000 jobs figure for July inflated? There's also significant uncertainty, and a downward correction is possible. Therefore, this non-farm payroll data may improve, which could be bearish for gold and trigger a correction.
Therefore, gold is bullish over the next two days, but don't chase long positions. Focus on confirming support before turning bullish. Today's support is seen between 3510 and 3500, with upward pressure seen between 3550 and 3565.
However, it's important to note that the two-day pullback is merely a correction in bullish positions, not a reversal of the bearish trend. Even with negative non-farm payroll data, it won't change expectations of a Fed rate cut on September 18th. Therefore, any pullbacks still present opportunities, so wait for the right position to continue buying.
This week, the main trend for gold has been a rally in the Asian session, a correction in the European session, and continued gains in the US session. Therefore, capitalizing on this trend, you can try to trade near key support and resistance levels.
Today, I'll continue shorting at 3560 in the Asian session, capitalizing on this dip. I'm neither exclusively long nor exclusively short. When a trend emerges, I prioritize it. Never chase gains or losses, and avoid putting yourself in potentially dangerous situations. Stability is paramount.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish after Break Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish after Break - 3536
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold: Eyeing a Break Above 3,600Hello everyone, gold is approaching a critical juncture where both fundamentals and technicals appear aligned in favour of further upside.
Weak US labour data combined with growing expectations of a Fed rate cut in September have weighed on yields and the dollar, creating a supportive backdrop for gold. The next key catalysts lie in US inflation prints (CPI/PPI). As long as easing expectations dominate, the metal enjoys a clear tailwind.
From a technical perspective, the bullish structure remains intact: price is holding firmly above the Ichimoku cloud with solid demand layers at 3,565–3,555 and 3,545–3,535. The 3,595–3,600 zone is the immediate psychological barrier, yet selling pressure looks insufficient to derail the trend.
My view: gold is likely to push through 3,600 soon, extending towards 3,615–3,630, with potential to reach 3,650 if momentum holds.
Do you think gold will clear 3,600 decisively this week? Share your thoughts below.
It's time for gold to fallMy dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,635.58Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,617.96.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
Those who have not yet been liquidated and those who are about to be liquidated should hold on because gold is going to fall.
GOLD STEPS UP – HITS NEW ATH AT $3 565📊 Market Overview:
Gold has now reached $3 565/oz, continuing its bullish ascent amid persistent global uncertainty. Safe-haven demand remains strong, and the market reflects near-certain expectations (92%) of a Fed rate cut in mid-September
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3 570 – $3 580
• Nearest Support: $3 555 – $3 560
• EMA: Price remains well above EMA09 & EMA50 → strong bullish momentum.
• Candlestick / Momentum: A breakout above prior resistance accompanied by high volume confirms strengthening upward momentum
📌 Outlook:
Despite modest economic data, gold continues its rally and just hit a new high. A short-term pullback to support zones remains possible, but the upward trend is firmly intact.
💡 Trading Strategy Suggestions:
✅ BUY : $3555 – $3558
🎯 TP: $3570
❌ SL: $3553
XAUUSD: Overbought, will bears take over?Gold (XAUUSD) on the 4H chart is showing strength after a strong rally, but the signs of exhaustion are starting to creep in. The VWAP Dashboard shows price trading well above VWAP at 3,523 vs. 3,492, a classic overextension that often leads to pullbacks. The RSI sits at 76.9, deep in overbought territory, hinting that bulls may soon run out of steam.
The price action has just tapped into a key resistance zone near 3,538, aligning with a Fibonacci confluence. This level previously acted as resistance, and now it creates a high-probability rejection area. Meanwhile, the volatility bands wrapping around price show expansion, a sign of stretched momentum and potential mean reversion.
The Fibonacci retracement levels lay out clear downside targets:
3,508 (38.2%) 🎯 – first potential support where minor buyers may step in.
3,490 (61.8%) 🟡 – the golden pocket retracement, often a strong reaction zone.
3,459 (100%) 🔻 – deeper correction aligning with trendline support.
Unless bulls can break and hold above 3,538, the chart suggests that sellers may take control in the short term, pushing gold down into these Fibonacci zones.
Gold Holds Near Record Highs – Bulls Target 3,572Gold – Update
Gold remains near record highs, gaining more than 5% on the week as demand strengthens. India has been increasing bullion purchases while reducing U.S. Treasury bill holdings, and BRICS-aligned nations continue to diversify reserves away from the U.S. dollar. Combined with renewed inflation and fiscal concerns in the West, these flows are providing strong support for the metal.
Technical Outlook:
📈 The price has printed a new ATH and holds bullish momentum as long as it trades above the pivot zone at 3,540–3,547. Upside targets are 3,572 → 3,588.
🔄 A short-term correction back toward 3,540 remains possible, but while above this level, the bullish bias remains intact.
📉 A confirmed break below 3,528 would shift momentum bearish, exposing downside toward 3,498 → 3,475.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 3,540 – 3,547
Resistance: 3,572 – 3,588
Support: 3,528 – 3,498 – 3,475
Bias: Strongly bullish above 3,540; bearish scenario activates only if 3,528 breaks.
Gold Breakout From Converging Triangle Key SupportLevel to WatchGold (XAUUSD) has successfully broken out of the converging triangle pattern, showing strong bullish momentum. Price action confirmed multiple BOS (Break of Structure) points, followed by a clean breakout rally toward the $3,470+ zone.
Currently, price is consolidating near the highs. If buyers fail to hold this level, we may see a healthy pullback into the support zone at $3,420 – $3,400. A deeper correction could retest the major support level near $3,320 before continuing the bullish trend.
📊 Key Technicals:
Pattern: Converging Triangle ✅
Breakout: Confirmed with BOS
Immediate Support Zone: $3,420 – $3,400
Major Support Level: $3,320
Upside target (if bullish momentum continues): $3,500+
Watch for a retest of the broken resistance (now acting as support).
Possible dip-buying opportunities around support zones.
Bullish bias remains valid as long as $3,320 support holds
Risk Mange has Properly
XAUUSD Update – Resistance Rejection and Market Structure Shift"XAUUSD Update – Resistance Rejection and Market Structure Shift
Price Action: Gold has recently tested the 3550 – 3600 resistance zone, where the market showed signs of rejection. This level represents a significant supply area formed by previous liquidity grabs.
Market Structure: After a strong bullish impulse, the current price behavior suggests a possible correction phase. The rally left behind areas of imbalance that could attract price back downward.
Key Observation:
The first reaction zone sits around 3480, which aligns with a structural support level from past consolidation.
A deeper correction may extend toward the 3330 – 3320 support region, a critical level where historical demand has been observed.
Context: Liquidity above recent highs has been taken, and the chart now shows potential for retracement to restore balance before determining the next directional move.
DeGRAM | GOLD above the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is climbing within an ascending channel, holding above 3,600 support after reclaiming the mid-range trendline.
● Price momentum is targeting the 3,620 resistance; a breakout could extend gains toward 3,640, keeping the short-term structure bullish.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold is buoyed by softer US inflation expectations and a slight pullback in Treasury yields, while investor demand for safe havens remains firm amid geopolitical concerns.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 3,600; targets 3,620 → 3,640. Invalidation on a close below 3,580.
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DeGRAM | GOLD is correcting📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD failed to sustain above 3,558 after a brief breakout, with rejection confirming resistance and signaling renewed bearish pressure.
● The ascending wedge structure broke to the downside, and a retest of 3,550 could lead to a drop toward supports at 3,540 and 3,527.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Renewed strength in the US dollar, supported by firm Treasury yields and cautious Fed rhetoric, is weighing on gold, limiting upside momentum.
✨ Summary
Bearish below 3,558; targets 3,540 → 3,527. Invalidation on a close above 3,560.
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XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar).XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe.
Based on the annotations in My Chart :
Current price: $3,613.28
Support area (green zone): around $3,589 – $3,600
Trendline is intact (uptrend).
Cloud (Ichimoku) is below price = bullish structure.
The chart shows a target point at ~$3,640 (marked with the blue arrow).
📌 Target Zone:
Your marked projection suggests $3,640 as the next resistance/target level.
⚠ Keep in mind:
If price breaks below the green support zone (~$3,589), it could test lower supports around $3,570 – $3,560.
If bullish momentum continues, the next extension beyond $3,640 could be toward $3,660 – $3,670.
👉 target = $3,640.
Gold: Rally Holds After Weak NFP ShockHello everyone, the latest NFP report came in far below expectations (+22k jobs, unemployment at 4.3%), sending USD and yields sharply lower. Gold instantly broke higher, touching the 3,600 mark – a fresh all-time high. Markets now price in a Fed rate cut in September with strong conviction, fueling safe-haven demand.
On the H4 charts, the bullish setup looks intact: price remains above the Ichimoku cloud with stacked demand FVGs supporting below. The 3,595–3,600 area is the key pivot; a clean breakout would unlock 3,615–3,630 and potentially 3,650. Closest supports sit at 3,575–3,565 and 3,555–3,548, while only a daily close under 3,515 would signal weakness.
My bias favors a shallow pullback before continuation, as Fed easing expectations remain the main driver. As long as gold stays above 3,555–3,548, the path toward 3,600+ remains open.
What’s your outlook—do you expect new highs soon?
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not a bad start to the week with the red box defence giving the tap and bounce back up into the red box above completing a majority of the targets given. We did have an extension of the move into the 3630 level which gave us a 90pip short but as you can see we've broken above so no swing to be had.
We have resistance above now at the 3655 level and support below at the 3630 region. Below the red box we would expect an attempt at the 3620 level potentially over the Asian session but that level will need to be watched for the break! Support there, back up, the break however would be ideal.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
The Power of Price Action: Reading the Market Without IndicatorsIn the trading world, many traders get caught up in countless technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, and Stochastic… However, at the core of every price movement lies Price Action – the art of reading the market purely through price and volume, without relying heavily on indicators.
1. What is Price Action?
Price Action is the art of analyzing and making trading decisions based on pure price movement. Traders focus on price patterns, market structure, support and resistance levels, and especially candlestick signals, instead of depending on formula-based indicators.
2. Why is Price Action Important?
Primal nature: Price is the most direct information from the market, not lagging like indicators.
Flexibility: Applicable across all markets (Forex, Gold, Stocks, Crypto…).
Simplicity & effectiveness: Helps traders cut out the “noise” from overly complex tools.
3. Core Elements of Price Action
Support and Resistance Zones: Where supply and demand meet, shaping trends.
Market Structure: Uptrend, downtrend, consolidation, or breakout.
Reversal & Continuation Candlestick Patterns: Offering signals for entries and exits.
4. Key Candlestick Patterns
Doji: Reflects indecision, signaling a possible reversal or continuation.
Pin Bar (Long-tailed candlestick): A long wick shows strong rejection, a reliable reversal signal.
Engulfing: A candle that fully engulfs the previous one, demonstrating dominance from buyers or sellers.