GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bearish move)(08-09-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (08-09-2025)
Current price- 3620
"if Price stays below 3635, then next target is 3603, 3592 and 3560 and above that 3650".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold in Focus: Pullback Sets Stage for Next MoveGOLD has been moving within a rising parallel channel. And recently price just pulled back sharply from the channel’s top and touched the lower boundary, where it was strongly rejected. That rejection wick indicates that buyers stepped in already.
If momentum picks up again, the channel top could even break and extend the rally further. I would target the top of the channel, taking into account the market context, it's achievable.
The risk, however, comes if price closes strongly below the channel’s lower boundary. In that case, the bullish structure breaks and the move could start downwards short term.
FED shaken by politics | Gold eyes new ATH🟡 XAU/USD – 16/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED & US Politics :
S. Miran elected to the FED Board but still serves as Trump’s economic advisor → concerns FED may face White House influence.
Michelle Mills elected with a narrow 48–47 margin.
Appeals Court blocked Trump from firing L. Cook, affirming FED’s independence, but raising the risk of a legal battle at the Supreme Court.
US Economy :
6:30 AM (US time): Retail Sales release – key consumer spending indicator.
Probability of a -50bps FED cut this week is down to 1.2% , nearly ruled out. FED is almost certain to deliver -25bps next week.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Politics create noise, but the macro backdrop (FED easing + weak US data) remains the tailwind supporting Gold’s journey toward new ATH.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) :
3706 – 3714 (Fibonacci resistance)
3722 – 3724 (Strong Sell Zone, potential ATH test)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) :
FVG Dock: 3666 – 3668
OB Harbor: 3643 – 3645
Strong Low: 3611 (deep support)
Market Structure :
After a series of BoS , Gold broke out of sideways EqH/EqL and surged.
Preferred scenario: retrace to FVG 3666 , then bounce toward 3714 – 3722.
If 3722 breaks successfully → confirms new ATH and extends bullish momentum.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy 1 (FVG)
Entry: 3666 – 3668
SL: 3657
TP: 3690 – 3706 – 3714 – 372x
Buy 2 (OB)
Entry: 3643 – 3645
SL: 3632
TP: 3666 – 3700 – 3714 – 372x
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone
Entry: 3722 – 3724
SL: 3732
TP: 3714 – 3706 – 3690
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship has broken free from sideways waters and is heading toward new peaks. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3666 – 3643) is the safe dock for sailors to gather strength before sailing further. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3722 – 3724) is the big wave, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . With dovish winds from the FED, the Golden sails are set toward new ATH.”
The opportunity is right in front of you, don’t miss it!Yesterday, the technical analysis of gold showed a rapid downward retreat in the Asian session, breaking through the 3630 mark and stabilizing and rebounding. It fluctuated and consolidated around the 3630 mark in the European and US sessions, and finally ushered in a strong rise by bulls. The price of gold accelerated to break through and stand above the 3670 mark to set a new historical high. The gold bulls rose as expected, and there are still new highs above, so we are patiently waiting for gold to continue to rise. When it falls back, we will continue to look for opportunities to enter the market and go long. Yesterday, we responded flexibly around the key points, and made precise arrangements with two-way thinking to achieve a double kill of long and short, a steady harvest, and perfectly reach our goals. Today we continue to wait for further declines. After all, all indicators are bullish. Don’t guess the top if the bulls are strong. If the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is on Thursday, then the line around 3700 will also be within reach. At present, don’t blindly chase the longs above the 3680 line. If your current trading is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid investment pitfalls. Welcome to communicate with us!
From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3670-3360. If it pulls back to this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3650. As long as the daily closing level does not fall below this position, any pullback is an opportunity to go long, and the main tone of participating in the trend will remain unchanged. I will provide you with the specific operation strategies at the bottom, please pay attention to them in time.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3675-3360, target 3690-3695. If it breaks, look at the 3700 line.
Gold weekly chart with both buy and sell levelsBuy @ 3652
Sell @ 3636
Here’s the analysis:
1. Buy level: 3652
This sits just above the 0.382 Fib retracement (~3650–3651) from the prior swing.
Price has been consolidating around this Fib cluster and the moving average ribbon, so buying at 3652 is a momentum continuation idea if price reclaims and holds above this level.
Upside targets:
First resistance ~3674–3675 (previous swing high).
Beyond that, 3680–3685 (upper green zone), then potential extension toward 3700.
Risk: This buy entry is vulnerable if price rejects at Fib 0.382 and rolls over — in that case, you could get trapped at the top of a range.
2. Sell level: 3636
This lines up with horizontal structure + mid-zone support.
It’s also just above a deeper retracement area (0.5–0.618 zone around 3630–3612).
A sell trigger here suggests you’re looking for a breakdown below consolidation, aiming for:
First target: 3620–3616
Deeper target: 3595–3580 (red zone below).
Risk: If price bounces from the 0.5–0.618 retracement (classic golden pocket), your short may get squeezed.
3. Macro context from this chart
Macro Delta Volume = +15% (top-right): suggests buyers still have an edge.
Current bias seems to favor buy dips rather than short breakdowns, unless we see strong selling momentum below 3630.
The broad structure looks like a bullish consolidation inside Fib retracement, but the market is choppy — meaning both levels are logical as tactical plays, depending on breakout direction.
✅ Summary
Buy 3652: good if price reclaims momentum above Fib 0.382 → targets 3675–3685+.
Sell 3636: works only if price closes below 3630 (break of support) → targets 3616 then 3595–3580.
Overall bias leans bullish as long as gold holds above 3612 (Fib 0.618) — but be ready to flip short if that level gives way.
As always use proper risk management on these trades , take profit ans start securing at 20+ pips
Gold | H4 Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders,
🧐 Market Overview:
Over the last 3 weeks, gold has rallied just under 10% — a massive move. While my longer-term outlook remains bullish, my system is currently flagging a potential short. On the 4-hour chart, a double top pattern is forming, signaling a possible pullback.
My system looks for rsi divergence, which is currently present. It also needs to see lower volume on the second top, also already confirmed.
My system has given the green light for opening a short. Now I am just waiting for a good entry point. Time to be patient and follow all my rules.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.5
Entry: 3 664.5
Stop Loss: 3 691.4
Take Profit 1 (50%): 3 592
Take Profit 2 (50%): 3 551
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Trading is about probability. This means I need to take every single trade when my edge is available. It also means I need to follow my rules on every single trade.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Follow me for more setups and let me know — do you think gold will respect this double top or continue its bullish momentum?
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts for us with our 1H chart playing out as analysed with our final target completed today.
After completing 3593, 3613 and then 3638, we stated that we would now look for ema5 cross and lock above 3638 to open 3658. We got the lock and confirmation followed with the target hit - PERFECTION!!
We are now seeing rejection on this level and will use the lower Goldturns for support and bounce. If the range above opens further please review our daily chart and weekly chart updates with higher range levels to continue to track the movement until we update a new 1h chart.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3593 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3593 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3613 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3613 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3638 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3638 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3658 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3562
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3562 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3528
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3528 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3492
3470
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3470 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3438
3408
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold at the Edge – Can 3680 Hold Before Retail Sales?🟡 Gold Daily Outlook | September 16
Hello traders, today we’re mapping the Gold battlefield step by step – from the Higher Timeframe structural zones down to intraday sniper levels. With U.S. Retail Sales on the calendar, tomorrow’s volatility could set the tone for the week. Let’s break it down 👇
🔸 HTF Structure (D1 + H4)
Trend: Strong bullish continuation, price extended above 3680. Structure is intact with buyers still in control.
Key Demand Base: 3630–3620 remains the clean foundation from the last retest.
Key Supply Band: 3700–3710 acts as the next major resistance above.
RSI: Daily reading above 80 shows strong momentum but signals stretched conditions.
🔸 Intraday Map
Support floor: 3652–3645, aligned with prior breakout structure.
Decision zone: 3680–3690 – holding above favors continuation; rejection could trigger a pullback.
Momentum: Flow remains bullish, but risk of retracement before the news release.
🔸 Scenarios for Tomorrow
Bullish 📈:
If 3680 holds and Retail Sales data comes in weak, gold may extend toward 3705 → 3720 with strong momentum.
Bearish 📉:
If price rejects 3688–3690 and Retail Sales beat expectations, a retrace toward 3660 → 3650 becomes likely.
✅ Conclusion
HTF: Bullish structure still intact.
Intraday: 3680–3690 is the pivot range.
LTF: Key demand at 3660–3655, tactical supply near 3690–3700.
Tomorrow’s U.S. Retail Sales could ignite the next move. Keep your levels sharp, wait for confirmation, and let the market show its hand.
✨ Will Gold push through 3700 or correct first? Drop your thoughts below 👇, hit like, and follow GoldFxMinds for more daily precision plans 🚀✨
Gold 3697 can activate a short order.After breaking through its recent high yesterday, gold prices continued their upward trend on Tuesday, reaching a new high. The intraday rally briefly approached the 3700 mark. However, due to pressure from this mark, gold temporarily entered a period of volatile correction.
Prior to Thursday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision, short-term trading is the primary focus. With gold prices hitting new highs for two consecutive trading days, the possibility of a brief profit-taking dip cannot be ruled out. Furthermore, the bullish trend in short-term technical indicators is weakening. I plan to initiate a short position around 3695. If you already have a short position, you can add to it. We anticipate a small downward correction.
Gold Trading Strategy:
Initiate a short position at 3697. If you already have a short position at a lower level, add to it to lower the average price.
Interaction:
For those holding short positions around 3650, please leave a comment. I'll respond based on the price action and help you turn a loss into a profit. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAU/USD - Supply & DemandDear Friends in Trading,
Volume based supply and demand levels in case of a correction someday.
I'm not holding my breath, this coming week is FED IR decision.
Gold remains the ENIGMA of our Industry.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
Gold is set to rise above $3700!Gold has entered a corrective phase after printing a new high and is currently consolidating within a clearly defined channel.
The price is fluctuating inside this channel and may even test the lower boundary before continuing higher.
As long as gold remains within the channel, sideways to slightly downward movement can be expected in the short term.
A bullish breakout above the channel would likely act as a trigger for the next impulsive move, potentially leading to a new all-time high.
This week, the U.S. interest rate decision will be in the spotlight, which could significantly impact gold’s next move.
Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering long. Premature entries within the range may face choppy action.
Gold short-term support levels to watch for FOMCInitial support comes in at $3655/50 area, followed by $3564, before the focus turns to the more significant $3,500 level. Will we see a dip to any of these levels today, and get a bounce? Well, a lot depends on the FOMC.
Yesterday saw sold and stock averages both pulled back in unison from record highs ahead of the FOMC rate decision, suggesting the move was driven by profit-taking. The dollar’s renewed drop against the yen and yuan today suggests the gold selling may be limited and the metal could even rally to a new high if the Fed turns out to be a little more on the dovish side of things today.
From a macro point of view, today's housing market data disappointed with both housing starts and building permits fall. This comes on the back of retail sales data from yesterday, which rose more than expected, but does it matter? Well, the retails data suggests it is not all doom and gloom out there, but this is probably too little too late to prevent a rate cut today. The Fed has clearly signalled it will trim rates and everyone expects them to do so. But the recent dollar selling was never about this week’s likely rate cut. It was all about whether we will get one or two more cuts before the year is out. Well, the jury is still out on that, as surely one retail sales report is unlikely to sway the Fed in one or the other direction. So, from a rate cut perspective, traders may take the retail sales beat in their stride and continue to buy dips in foreign currencies and gold.
Should we wait and see or take the plunge before the decision?
Gold has gradually broken through the 3674 high and reached 3685. After consolidating at a high level for several trading days, bulls have launched another strong attack, seemingly attempting to reach 3700. The gold market is currently at a critical juncture and cycle, and I believe both bulls and bears have opportunities in the short term.
Gold may experience a volatile correction in the short term. On the one hand, after breaking through the historical high, bullish signals have weakened, raising the risk of a volatile downward correction. On the other hand, before the Fed's interest rate cut is implemented, the expectation of a rate cut has already been partially priced in.
Ahead of the Fed's interest rate announcement, gold prices have surged, reaching new all-time highs! Anticipation of a rate cut can easily drive market sentiment to a climax! When the market is in a prolonged frenzy, it can also be an opportunity for large investors to quietly exit the market. Therefore, I believe the purpose of gold's sharp rise before the Fed's interest rate announcement is very clear. First, it is to reserve room for the market to fall due to the news, and second, it is to attract the majority of retail investors to take over. Therefore, I believe a turning point for gold is imminent!
Trading Suggestion: For short-term trading, I believe we can short gold around 3684 points, with a short-term retracement target of 3660-3650 points for long positions.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, please comment. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
XAUUSD – Gold Eyes 3,700 Psychological LevelThe latest data shows U.S. jobless claims reached 263k, much higher than the forecast of 235k. This immediately pressured the USD while boosting gold as a safe-haven asset. In addition, the University of Michigan’s preliminary report on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations came out relatively stable, further strengthening gold’s appeal.
Technical Outlook
On the 4H chart, XAUUSD continues to move within a clear uptrend channel. The Price Box around 3,620 is acting as short-term support, while the psychological resistance at 3,700 remains the key barrier. If price sustains its rebound from this box, a breakout toward 3,700 is highly likely.
With the current setup, the uptrend remains dominant, and traders should closely watch the 3,620 – 3,700 zone for opportunities.
Gold Ready for the Next RallyOver the past few sessions, I’ve observed gold consolidating within a Symmetrical Triangle after a strong bullish move. From my experience, this pattern often represents a “pause for breath” before the market resumes its primary trend.
What caught my attention most is that price has just broken above the upper boundary of the triangle, signaling a clear breakout. That said, I won’t be rushing into a trade. I always prioritize safety, so I’ll wait for price to retest the breakout zone. If the former resistance holds as new support and shows strong rejection, that will be my ideal entry point.
Based on my projection, the upside target for this setup is around 3,720 USD. For risk management, I would place the stoploss either below the lower boundary of the triangle or just under the breakout zone, depending on risk appetite.
On the H2 timeframe, this Symmetrical Triangle setup looks highly reliable since it aligns with the broader bullish trend. If the breakout holds, I believe gold still has plenty of room to climb higher.
GOLD (4H) – Short from 3634 into 3614–3600 daily demand (major),
After a ~+300 pt, 3-week run, I’m looking for a corrective leg. The plan is to fade into the daily demand box and book most there, keeping a runner for a deeper flush.
Setup
Entry (sell limit/market): 3,634.2
Stop-loss: 3,666.0 (above supply sweep / top of red box)
Targets:
TP1 (major): 3,614 – top of the daily zone
TP2 (major): 3,600 – bottom of the daily zone (close bulk)
TP3 (aggressive): 3,504 – prior 4H pivot / extension
R/R (approx.)
Risk ≈ 32 pts (3666 – 3634)
To TP1: +20 pts ≈ 0.6R
To TP2: +34 pts ≈ 1.1R
To TP3: +130 pts ≈ 4.1R
Management
Move SL → BE after a clean 4H close ≤ 3614.
Trail above 15m LHs if momentum accelerates beyond 3600.
Invalidation: 4H close > 3666 cancels the idea.
Plan, not advice. Size small around news; I’ll take the majority of profits in 3614–3600 and reassess the reaction.
#3,700.80 mark aheadQuick update: My practical suggestion to keep Buying every dip has proven to be excellent recently as wherever you Buy this market, you won't regret the decision. I repeat once again, do not Sell Gold on this market at all costs. I spotted decent opportunity as before to position myself on Long-term towards #3,700.80 as I Bought #3,618.80, #3,625.80 and #3,630.80 towards #3,700.80 benchmark / all orders running with Stop's on breakeven as I maintain my #3,700.80 benchmark Target. This will be excellent addition to my already made Profits from Buying Gold on the Short-term. Well done if you followed.
Gold price accumulates in uptrend above 3574⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) extends Thursday’s rebound, climbing past $3,650 in Friday’s Asian trade and staying close to this week’s record high. Weaker US jobs data overshadowed hotter inflation, reinforcing Fed rate-cut bets, pressuring the Dollar to its lowest since late July and lifting demand for the metal. Political unrest in France and Japan, persistent trade frictions, and rising geopolitical risks further support safe-haven flows. Despite overbought conditions and a risk-on mood in equities, Gold remains on track for a fourth straight weekly gain, with momentum favoring the upside.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices continue to recover, accumulating in an uptrend. The market is still very excited because of the interest rate cut on September 17.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3674- 3676 SL 3681
TP1: $3666
TP2: $3650
TP3: $3640
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3573-$3575 SL $3568
TP1: $3588
TP2: $3600
TP3: $3610
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD – CPI Today: Liquidity Sweep Scenario & Trading Plan📊 Market View
Gold (XAUUSD) is sliding under short-term resistance (descending trendline), showing sellers are still in control short-term. On the M30 chart, buy-side liquidity levels are clearly stacked: 3,624 → 3,612 → 3,599 → 3,586.
👉 During the European session, expect a breakdown liquidity sweep toward these support zones before any bullish reaction.
📈 CPI View – US Session
Soft CPI (below expectations) → Weaker USD, lower yields → Gold may bounce strongly from 3,612 / 3,599 / 3,586 and retest trendline/resistance.
Hot CPI (above expectations) → Stronger USD, higher yields → Gold may break 3,612, sweep deeper to 3,599 or 3,586, then recover.
⚠️ High risk of news traps: the first reaction can reverse quickly. Wait for retests + confirmation candles before entering.
🔑 Key Levels
Dynamic Resistance (trendline): 3,643 – 3,646
React Zone FIB: 3,650 – 3,654
OBS Sell Zone: 3,665
Support/Liquidity Zones:
3,624.36 (key zone support BUY)
3,612.60 (CP/React FIB)
3,599.31 (BUY ZONE)
3,586.49 (END LIQUIDITY – BUY ZONE)
📌 Trading Plan
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,646 – 3,648
SL: 3,652
TP: 3,640 → 3,635 → 3,630 → 3,620 → 3,610 → ???
🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,612 – 3,610
SL: 3,605
TP: 3,616 → 3,620 → 3,625 → 3,630 → ???
🔵 BUY ZONE (Primary): 3,600 – 3,598
SL: 3,592
TP: 3,605 → 3,610 → 3,615 → 3,620 → 3,630 → 3,640 → ???
Backup BUY: (if liquidity sweep deepens) 3,58x
Hard SL: 3,578
❗ If 3,578 breaks, don’t rush to re-buy—CPI volatility can extend moves further.
⚠️ Notes & Risk
Reduce position size around the CPI release.
Always wait for confirmation (pin bar / engulfing / retest) before entering.
Use staggered TPs to lock in profits early.
An M30 close above 3,654 invalidates near-term shorts and opens 3,665.
✅ Summary
Gold could sweep liquidity into the buy zones before bouncing. Trade the reaction: SELL at 3,646–48 on rejection, BUY at 3,612/3,600 on clean bounce, and reserve backup BUY at 3,58x with tight risk.
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and BIGWIN setups during CPI volatility.
Gold Outlook – Short-Term Pullback, Long-Term Strength📑 Gold (XAUUSD) – Market Report
Gold has shown a strong bullish phase over recent weeks after a long consolidation. The market moved from accumulation into expansion, reflecting renewed participation by larger players. This upward momentum indicates strong capital inflows, supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and shifting investor sentiment.
Technically, price has broken out of a prolonged range and established a clear upward trajectory. Market structure suggests that buyers remain in control, though current price levels are showing signs of potential exhaustion, which could trigger short-term corrective moves before the broader trend resumes.
Fundamentally, global economic pressures continue to boost gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. Concerns over inflation, central bank policy adjustments, and currency volatility are keeping investor demand elevated. With global risk sentiment fluctuating, gold is likely to remain an attractive hedge, sustaining its medium-term bullish outlook despite short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion: Gold is in an expansion cycle, supported by both technical momentum and fundamental demand. Short-term corrections are expected, but the broader trajectory remains upward.
Gold (XAU/USD) - Bullish Continuation in PlayBias: Bullish
High-Timeframe (4H/1H):
Price is showing a strong bullish structure with momentum firmly to the upside. Volume candles indicate imprinted buying, suggesting continuation potential. Smart money is clearly in control of this leg.
Mid-Timeframe (30M):
We’ve spotted a sell-side liquidity sweep. Waiting for the deeper “slash through the courtyard” to properly mitigate the underlying order block. No entries yet—patience is key. This zone shows where smart money absorbs stops before resuming the bullish leg.
Lower-Timeframe (5M):
Once mitigation is complete, we drop to the 5M for precise confirmation. Look for price to hold the mitigated area, showing smart money support. Entry confirmation aligns with micro-structure flips and final inducements.
Entry Zone: Pending proper order block mitigation.
Targets:
• 5M highs for quick continuation trades
• 30M highs for extended bullish movement
Mindset Note:
Let smart money lead the way. No rushing entries—precision beats impulse. Wait for proper mitigation and confirmation before committing.