THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Bullish day's are nothing new lately on gold and today believe it or not, was another one! We had the higher oval as a potential target which was completed, then the red boxes with the break above 4240 which consequently led to all the targets being completed again!
Now, just like yesterday, the same plan. Unless we get a deep pull back, not interested in going long up here unless they're quick scalps level to level. Otherwise, the oval again, potential region to watch for an attack!
Price: 4229
RED BOXES:
Break above 4240 for 4250✅, 4255✅ and 4265✅ in extension of the move
Break below 4220 for 4210, 4203 and 4190 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Trade ideas
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Hmm, a decent day and a frustrating end of the day! We managed to complete our Excalibur targets on gold hitting 4 in a row and then started this range and witnessed a 400pip candle. We decided earlier we're not going to attempt any longs up here now unless we see price settle into a range. So for now, we're not going to give a path, instead, we'll give the two levels of interest to look for during the sessions to come.
If we continue to hold 4180 it's likely we will engulf upside, but that 4230 is sticking out at the moment!
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4041 and a gap below at 3978. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4041
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4041 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4099
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4099 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4154
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4154 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4212
BEARISH TARGETS
3978
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3978 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3916
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3916 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3840
3767
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3767 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3689
3632
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD 4H – Pullback to Test, Then Push HigherHello everyone,
Gold is still maintaining a strong uptrend on the 4H timeframe, even though it shows signs of stalling in the supply zone around 4.34–4.36. Given the wick candle formed there, I lean toward the scenario where price pulls back in the short term to the 4.26–4.24 zone to fill FVG and gather liquidity before moving up again to retest 4.34–4.36. If that area is decisively broken, the upward momentum could extend toward 4.39–4.40 and even into the 4.43x region.
Conversely, only a 4H close below 4.20 will make me consider a deeper decline toward 4.17–4.145.
Macro backdrop: News still backing the bulls
This week, gold has repeatedly hit record highs above 4,200 USD, driven by expectations of Fed rate cuts and intensifying geopolitical/trade tensions. The highs of recent sessions around 4.12k – 4.22k – 4.21k validate the already strong trend.
Fed cut expectations: According to CME FedWatch, the market is nearly certain (97–98%) that the Fed will cut 25 bps in October and possibly again in December. Comments from official Waller — advocating a 25 bps cut due to weaker labor conditions — further underpin this anticipation.
US–China rare earth tensions: Beijing has tightened export licensing, while Washington lashes out — Bloomberg calls this a “rare earth shock,” a new geopolitical lever sustaining global risk.
US shutdown risk: The Treasury estimates that a prolonged government shutdown could cost up to $15 billion a week — this uncertainty often drives safe-haven flows into gold.
Solid base demand: According to WGC, central banks continued net purchases (19 tonnes in August), helping form a resilient floor for gold prices in 2025.
With the macro narrative still tilted supportive, the current pullback on 4H is most likely a healthy retracement to fill FVG and rebalance positions, before price retests 4.36 and eyes 4.40–4.43x.
Short-term risks include a surprise hawkish Fed statement or a strong bounce in DXY / yields. In such a case, gold could dip toward 4.22–4.20 (the 4H trend buffer). However, the larger uptrend remains intact as long as 4.20 holds.
What do you think — will gold successfully retest before climbing again, or see a deeper pullback first?
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Market Opening?!
We got a nice pullback on Gold on Friday
and the price nicely retraced to a key intraday support.
Analysing the market reaction to that, I spotted a cup & handle pattern
and a confirmed violation of its neckline.
With a high probability, the market will rise after the opening.
The price will reach at least 4272 intraday resistance.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bulls continue to pressure new ATH⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) retreats slightly from record highs in Tuesday’s Asian session, though a deeper pullback remains limited by a supportive fundamental outlook. The US Dollar’s three-day rebound weighs on the metal, while upbeat equity sentiment further restricts its safe-haven appeal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
forming a bullish DOW structure on the H1 frame, gold price returns to the old ATH 4380
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4450 - 4452 SL 4457
TP1: $4430
TP2: $4410
TP3: $4390
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $4279-$4277 SL $4272
TP1: $4290
TP2: $4315
TP3: $4330
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Analysis – Volatility Rules the GameYesterday marked another strong bullish session for Gold, as the price completely erased Friday’s losses, confirming that buyers are far from done. Regardless of how high the market has already climbed, momentum remains firmly on the bullish side.
Technically, Gold managed to reclaim and break above the 4285–4300 resistance zone, which triggered a sharp acceleration toward the recent all-time high around 4380.
At the time of writing, the market is undergoing a normal retracement, which is a healthy technical reaction after such an aggressive move. The 4300 area has now turned into key short-term support, and as long as bulls defend this level, the probability of a new ATH remains high.
From a trading perspective, however, volatility has reached extreme levels. This type of price action often favors large players with fundamental reasons rather than discretionary traders. For that reason, I prefer to stay on the sidelines today, waiting for volatility to stabilize before engaging again.
Gold – 24 Hours of Chaos: From 4400 to 4000The last 24 hours in Gold trading were absolutely insane. After retesting the 4400 zone all-time high last night, XAUUSD literally collapsed, dropping straight to the 4000 zone in just one day — a 10% move that’s unheard of for gold (at least I haven't seen).
1️⃣ Technical Picture
Once the price broke back below 4200, it confirmed a double top formation, and the selloff accelerated dramatically toward its measured target around 4000 — a level also supported by the ascending trendline that started in late August.
2️⃣ Current Context
At the time of writing, gold already rebounded nearly 1300 pips from the low, which means there’s no attractive level to enter long right now, even though the recovery might continue in the short term.
3️⃣ Key Levels to Watch
• Resistance: 4200 zone – now turned into a major resistance. If the price revisits this level, I’ll be looking for short setups, ideally on intraday spikes.
• Support: 4000 zone – if the price dips again before testing resistance, it could offer long opportunities from this confluence area.
4️⃣ Trading Plan
In short, we’re in a wide range between 4000 and 4200, both levels offering potential trades but in opposite directions. For now, I’ll stay patient and wait for price to get closer to one of these extremes before taking action.
⚠️ Final Note
Volatility is off the charts, so if you decide to trade XAUUSD these days, adjust your stop losses and targets accordingly. This is not the time for tight stops, is time for patience, and flexibility. 🚀
Gold Consolidation to growth againGold is currently consolidating with a potential bias to the upside. The market is waiting for a breakout from the current consolidation pattern
Recently, price tested the 4265 support level but failed to break below it. This suggests that buyers are still active around this zone. However, price has also struggled to break the immediate resistance, indicating that the market remains in a range for now. If price manages to break above the resistance, it could signal the start of a new bullish move. In this case, the next potential targets would be 4305, followed by 4345.
If price fails to break resistance and forms a bearish rejection candle, we could see another pullback or move to the downside, possibly retesting the 4265 support again.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck,
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Support.
Summary:
Gold remains in a consolidation phase, but a confirmed breakout above resistance could lead to further bullish momentum. Traders should monitor price action around 4305 for confirmation before entering new positions.
Maintain gold buying pressure above 4400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds toward record highs after an earlier dip to the $4,280 zone, poised to close its ninth straight week in positive territory. Persistent geopolitical risks, renewed US-China trade tensions, and the prolonged US government shutdown keep investors cautious, driving safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, dovish Federal Reserve expectations—with markets pricing in two more rate cuts this year—continue to weigh on the US Dollar and bolster the yellow metal. Despite overbought conditions, steady dip-buying suggests the path of least resistance for Gold remains to the upside.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price has almost no significant selling pressure, huge fomo market for strong uptrend above 4400
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4436 - 4438 SL 4443
TP1: $4425
TP2: $4412
TP3: $4400
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $4278-$4276 SL $4271
TP1: $4285
TP2: $4298
TP3: $4310
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Buy gold at 4203-4205, and profit from the deep V bottom again!
Gold has now bottomed out at 4203 and rebounded to 4240, showing clear signs of short-term pressure. A broad decline could lead to a rapid short-term bull-bear reversal. Avoid chasing the upside or selling the downside. If the price breaks back above 4240, gold will likely continue its upward trend around 4250-4260. For now, avoid chasing the upside while it consolidates. In short, if gold breaks above 4200 again, as long as it doesn't break below, buy at 4205-4210, targeting 4225-4230. Short sellers can try selling with a small position after it breaks below 4240, targeting 4230-4220. (But remember: buying on dips is the key strategy, everyone!)
Gold/Copper Signaling Recession & Market Super bubble!We're continuing to see extreme signals from Gold, and that should raise concerns.
Earlier, I highlighted the Gold/Oil ratio — now, I want to draw your attention to the Gold/Copper ratio:
🔗
Historically, such extreme readings in the Gold/Copper ratio have consistently preceded recessions. The only exception? A period of economic stagnation and sideways markets — not exactly a bullish outcome. See the chart from 2014 to 2016
🔗 www.tradingview.com
Quick recap:
Gold = Fear + Inflation hedge
Copper = Economic strength + Inflation signal
Oil = Similar to Copper; reflects growth and inflation expectations
These divergences aren't random — they’re warning signs of a recession & market Super Bubble that's about to POP!
These are not random fluctuations of prices. You can choose to view them as such. I get it. But from a macroeconomic perspective, this is bad JUJU!
Capitalism without failure is like religion without hell! Remember that!
Click boost, like, and subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers! ))
Gold 1H – Slight Correction or Bullish Reaccumulation Ahead?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold extends its rebound near $4 250 as traders weigh the recent uptick in U.S. Treasury yields against growing expectations of a softer Federal Reserve stance.
After the latest mixed U.S. economic data, markets are leaning toward a mildly dovish outlook — rate-cut bets for early 2026 are gaining traction, while the dollar remains steady.
Today’s focus centers on U.S. housing-starts and jobless-claims data, which could steer short-term volatility.
A stronger-than-expected report may trigger temporary selling pressure on gold, while weaker figures could revive safe-haven demand and extend the rally toward $4 380 +.
Expect liquidity hunts before any clear directional move, as institutional players refine positions near the week’s range extremes.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Market structure remains bullish, with previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming continuation after the earlier accumulation phase.
• A short-term Change of Character (ChoCH) signals corrective movement — likely a liquidity sweep before the next bullish leg.
• Liquidity resting below $4 200 has already been taken, aligning with the discount zone around $4 196 – $4 198.
• A potential re-accumulation is forming; buyers may look for confirmation (M15 BOS/ChoCH) inside this demand zone.
• Upside liquidity targets cluster near $4 375 – $4 380, coinciding with a premium supply zone where sellers might re-enter.
🔴 Sell Setup
Entry: 4378 – 4376
Stop-Loss: 4386
Take-Profit Targets: 4325 → 4260
🟢 Buy Setup
Entry: 4196 – 4198
Stop-Loss: 4190
Take-Profit Targets: 4250 → 4370 → 4380 +
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for lower-timeframe BOS/ChoCH confirmation before execution.
• Be cautious around U.S. macro data releases — spreads and volatility can widen temporarily.
• Use partial take-profits at nearby liquidity zones and trail stops once market structure confirms continuation.
✅ Summary
Gold maintains its bullish bias above $4 200 after sweeping liquidity.
A short-term correction could retest $4 196 – $4 198 for fresh buy entries, while the broader trend remains upward.
Only a clean structural break below $4 190 would invalidate the bullish continuation scenario.
FOLLOW RYAN FOR MORE USEFUL TRADING IDEAS!!!
DeGRAM | GOLD formed a bullish takeover📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD shows a bullish takeover after rebounding from the support line near 4,219, confirming buyers’ control in the short-term structure.
● Price is now trading within an ascending channel, aiming toward the 4,240–4,250 resistance area, with intraday pullbacks likely forming higher lows.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold gains support from softer U.S. yields and cautious Fed remarks, improving sentiment for safe-haven assets.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 4,219; objectives 4,240–4,250. Strong bullish candle and favorable macro backdrop confirm short-term upward momentum.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold weekly chart with Buy and Sell levelsAnother great week last week we caught the rise early for 1500 pips, lets see can we catch the sell off this week
Buy Entry – 4264
Context: Price recently retraced toward key Fibonacci support near 0.5–0.618 levels (around 4180–4240 region).
Rationale: 4264 aligns with prior breakout zone and 20 EMA dynamic support. Volume concentration just below adds confluence for a potential rebound.
Targets:
Short-term: 4300 (psychological and structural resistance).
Extension: 4340–4360 (previous swing highs).
Stop-loss: Below 4230 support or under 4180 structure (protect against deeper retrace).
Sell Entry – 4236
Context: Positioned near lower range boundary after bullish exhaustion from 4380 top.
Rationale: Acts as a breakdown confirmation if price closes below 4240, breaking the 20 EMA and invalidating near-term bullish structure.
Targets:
Initial: 4180 (0.5 retracement pivot).
Extended: 4120–4100 (previous accumulation zone).
Stop-loss: Above 4270–4280 resistance area (invalidate short bias).
Summary
Bias: Bullish while price holds above 4230–4240.
A daily close below 4230 invalidates buy bias and favors continuation toward 4180–4100.
If 4264 holds, expect potential retest of 4340–4360 range highs.
ill update throught the week
Gold Eyes 4,200 as Pullback Near 4,070 Sets Stage for Next BreakHey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 4,070 zone. Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and after setting a fresh all-time high, price is now pulling back toward key trend support.
This area has been acting as a critical demand zone, and a bullish reaction here could trigger the next leg higher — potentially toward the 4,200 mark.
With safe-haven demand still elevated and DXY under pressure, the broader context continues to favor further upside in Gold.
Trade safe,
Joe.
GOLD → Correction to 4090. What could this mean?FX:XAUUSD , after updating its high to 4180, formed a correction and descended to the support zone of 4090, forming an intermediate bottom. We have a trading range...
Key drivers: China has introduced controls on rare earth metal exports, and the parties are holding consultations. A meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping is scheduled for the end of October.
Expectations of two rate cuts before the end of the year are strengthening gold's position. The ongoing government shutdown is fueling demand for safe-haven assets.
Today, attention is focused on Powell's speech, which could set the tone for the market.
The bullish trend for gold continues. The absence of bearish factors and ongoing macro risks continue to push the price up. Corrections are seen as an opportunity to buy.
Resistance levels: 4150, 4180
Support levels: 4117, 4090, 4059
The price is testing the 4150 liquidity zone, which could trigger a pullback within the range. A retest of support at 4117-4090 could support the market, and a change in imbalance could lead to another rally to 4180 - 4200
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Near 4,280 as US–China Tensions Fuel Flight to Safety!Hey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 4,280 zone. Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with price currently correcting toward a key structural support area where buyers may look to re-enter.
From a fundamental standpoint, rising US–China geopolitical tensions have pushed investors toward safe-haven assets. Market sentiment is tilting defensive, and Gold — already hovering near all-time highs — continues to reflect that global risk aversion.
A sustained bid above 4,280 could reinforce bullish momentum and potentially open the path toward new highs if uncertainty persists.
Key level: 4,280 (support / trend confluence)
Bias: Bullish while above this level
Trade safe,
Joe.
XAU/USD) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold) – Bullish Continuation Setup (1H Chart)
Technical Overview:
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Current Price: $4,238
Target Price: $4,303
Potential Move: +1.91% (approx. +80 points)
---
Chart Analysis:
1. Key Zone (Yellow Box):
This area represents a bullish order block / demand zone where price previously reacted strongly.
A small Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists within this zone, suggesting that price may retrace to fill it before continuing higher.
2. Price Action:
After a strong bullish impulsive move, price is currently showing a retracement back toward the order block zone.
The expectation is for price to retest this support zone and form a higher low, confirming continuation of the uptrend.
3. Moving Averages:
EMA 50 (Red) is above EMA 200 (Blue) → indicates a bullish trend structure.
Both EMAs are pointing upward, supporting bullish momentum.
4. Projected Move:
Once the retracement completes, a bullish push toward the target level at 4,303 is expected.
This level aligns with previous structure highs and potential liquidity targets.
---
Trading Outlook:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Within the highlighted yellow order block / FVG area
Target Point: 4,303
Invalidation: A 1-hour candle close below the order block would weaken the bullish scenario
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary:
Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, with momentum favoring further upside after a short retracement. Watching for confirmation signals (bullish engulfing, market structure shift) within the order block zone could provide a high-probability long setup.
---
please support boost 🚀 this analysis
XAU/USD: Bullish Surge to 4400?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, OANDA:XAUUSD is setting up for a bullish surge on the 4-hour chart , where price is bouncing off a solid upward trendline, converging with the EMA 50 as dynamic support and a key support zone, signaling potential continuation of the uptrend amid recent consolidation. This confluence creates a strong buying opportunity if buyers hold the line against short-term pullbacks.
Entry zone between 4090-4165 for a long position. Targets at 4380 (first) and 4400 (second) near the resistance zone, delivering a risk-reward ratio close to 1:3 . Set a stop loss on a close below 4090 to mitigate downside risks. 🌟 Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above the entry with building volume, capitalizing on gold's safe-haven appeal in uncertain markets.
Fundamentally , no major news events are observed in the economic calendar today. However, key Chinese data releases such as the PBoC interest rate decision and Q3 GDP could indirectly influence gold through global risk sentiment and commodity demand. 💡
📝 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry Zone: $4,090 – $4,165 (buy zone near trendline + EMA 50)
❌ Stop Loss: Close below $4,090
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $4,380 (initial resistance)
TP2: $4,400 (major resistance / extended target)
💎 Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:3, offering a strong technical edge.
What's your take on this gold setup? Comment below! 👇
XAUUSD-GOLD 1H Chart—SELL Setup with 3 Profit TargetsHello Guys,
Here’s my 1-hour XAUUSD-GOLD analysis for you.
These are the exact SELL levels I’ll be watching:
🔵SELL level: 4285.9
🔴 Stop level:4335.3 (or adjust based on your own margin)
🟢 TP1: 4264.8
🟢 TP2: 4232.1
🟢 TP3: 4185.0
Risk-to-reward ratio on this setup: 2.05
If XAUUSD-GOLD reaches these levels, I’ll definitely take a SELL position.
Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to everyone supporting me!
XAUUSD: Shakeout Before the Next Takeoff?Gold dropped more than 2% on October 17 after hitting a record high above $4,340/oz . The main reason came from a strong rebound in the U.S. dollar and President Donald Trump’s more dovish remarks . He stated that a “comprehensive” tariff on China would be unsustainable and confirmed plans to meet with the Chinese President — a move that helped ease trade tensions and cooled down safe-haven demand.
On the H4 timeframe, gold remains within a steady ascending channel, though currently undergoing a short-term correction after touching the upper resistance boundary. The EMA34 around $4,187 serves as temporary support, while the $4,130 zone — aligned with the main ascending trendline — acts as stronger support. The technical structure suggests a likely pullback before the uptrend resumes.
The preferred scenario is that gold will dip toward $4,130, where buyers may step back in. If this level holds and forms a higher low pattern, price could rebound toward $4,350, a key resistance zone overlapping the previous high.
The overall trend remains bullish, but a technical correction is needed to build momentum for the next rally.
Trading Plan: Wait to buy around $4,130 – $4,140, set SL below $4,090, and take profit at $4,280 – $4,350.
This pullback looks only temporary — the bulls are still in control. Let’s see how gold reacts around $4,130 before its next upward leg.
Xauusd Bullish SetupThis Gold (XAU/USD) analysis presents a bullish setup on the 30-minute chart. The price is expected to rebound from the support zone around 4097, where a buy limit trade is placed. The stop loss is positioned at 4046 to manage downside risk. The analysis targets an upward move towards 4165 (first take profit), 4227 (second take profit), and a final target at 4318, indicating strong potential for a recovery and continuation of the uptrend.