XAUUSD; Continues To Surge Higher..XAUUSD have fulfilled our previous idea on reaching 4000 ATH, it have persistently keep mounting up. The risk of the U.S government closed down has also led investors and traders to move to gold as safe haven, contributing to the remarkable price increase. We might expect a slight retracement down to 4000-3950 as the next key support before a scale toward 4120 as possible highs remains intact.
Meanwhile XAUUSD resume its climb inside the uptrend region with a range of higher lows and higher highs, showing encouraged bullish momentum.
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Latest Gold Price Update Today👋Hello everyone, let's take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD !
Gold has just experienced an incredible surge, briefly reaching 4059 USD, setting a new historic high. This recent upward movement continues to be supported by the ongoing US government shutdown and various geopolitical uncertainties, which have pushed the price of this precious metal to new heights.
From a technical perspective, at the time of writing, XAUUSD is experiencing a slight pullback. However, the most favorable path remains upward, and there are no signs yet of a deep correction threatening the precious metal. Any short-term correction is seen as a buying opportunity, especially as gold remains a safe haven. The next target is 4100 USD. 💬Do you think this will happen?
Gold consolidating before another attempt for a push higherGold FOREXCOM:XAUUSD faced strong demand in the 3940-3960 area and right now it is consolidating in the 3950-4000 range. An hourly candle closing above 4010 can push us to 4040 and 4060 respectively. I expect this move to happen on Monday or Tuesday
After that, I expect Gold to consolidate further in the 4020-4060 range after that for another push higher towards 4100.
XAUUSD: Trend in 2-H timeframeThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, channels, and you must know that SETUP is very very sensitive.
(red level as SL)
Be careful
BEST
MT
SMART MONEYN CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After reaching the High (HL) near 4,060, price broke down with a Break of Structure (BOS), creating a clear institutional reset.
• Price tapped into the 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG-1H) and the 15M Order Block (OB-15M) inside the support zone.
• A Change of Character (ChoCH) plus a fake out formed before rejecting strongly back into bullish territory.
• Current projection: institutions may drive price into a new distribution phase, first targeting 4,021, with a second target at 4,060.
• Setup remains valid while price holds above the support zone and the FVG imbalance is respected.
🚀 Takeaway for traders: Institutional resets aren’t the end of the trend — they’re liquidity grabs to fuel the next leg. Stay patient and follow the footprints.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
XAUUSD: The Calm Before the Golden RallyGold (XAU/USD) is currently maintaining a short-term bullish structure after breaking several key resistance levels. Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) on the 15-minute chart signal a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. As long as the price holds above the 3,977–3,970 support zone, the overall bias remains upward. The current formation of higher highs and higher lows suggests buyers are still in control, setting the stage for a potential continuation rally.
The first demand zone lies between 3,944 – 3,955, where the last bullish impulse originated — a critical area for potential re-entry buys if the price retraces deeply. On the upside, the 4,014 – 4,033 range marks a strong supply zone that coincides with the Fibonacci 0.618–0.786 retracement levels. Should bulls manage to clear this supply zone, price could extend toward the 4,057 (1.0 Fibonacci) level, and possibly reach the 4,128 (1.618 extension) as the next swing target.
The primary scenario anticipates a minor pullback toward 3,985 (Fib 0.382) before resuming its bullish move toward 4,024 (supply). A clean break above that zone could accelerate momentum toward 4,057–4,128. Alternatively, if price breaks below 3,977, it might retest the demand base at 3,944–3,955 before another bullish attempt.
The technical landscape points to a bullish continuation setup with well-defined risk. Gold is preparing for a possible surge, but traders should stay patient for confirmation at key retracement levels. As always — trade the plan, not emotions.
Gold (XAU/USD) Resistance Rejection and Bearish Correction SetupChart Overview
Pair: Gold vs. USD (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1H
Current Price: ≈ $4,036.59
Trend: Uptrend channel, but approaching a key resistance zone
🔍 Key Levels
Resistance Zone: $4,066 – $4,123
Price has entered this zone, indicating potential bull exhaustion.
Support / Target Level: $3,833
Marked as the target point, aligning with previous structure support and 5.48% correction potential.
📈 Technical Structure
The price has been respecting an ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows.
Currently, the price is testing the upper boundary of this channel and resistance zone simultaneously.
The chart indicates a potential reversal (shown by the gray arrow) — a bearish correction after testing resistance.
🧭 Projection
Scenario 1 (Bearish Rejection):
If the price fails to break above $4,123, expect a retracement toward $3,833.
This aligns with a 5.48% pullback from the resistance area.
Scenario 2 (Bullish Breakout):
If price closes above $4,125 with strong momentum, next resistance could be near $4,200–$4,250.
⚙️ Conclusion
Primary Bias: Bearish correction from resistance
Short-term Strategy: Look for short setups near $4,070–$4,120 with targets around $3,830
Invalidation Level: Sustained close above $4,130 (channel breakout confirmation)
XAUUSD Technical Outlook: Correction Within Ascending ChannelPrice: around $4,077.2.
The price is moving inside an ascending channel, and it has just touched or slightly broken the upper resistance line.
A pullback from this resistance level is likely, as shown by the blue arrow on your chart.
The target (TAEGET) zone is highlighted between $4,020–$4,040, where price may correct before deciding next direction.
Major support lies around $4,006.41 (blue horizontal line).
📉 Possible Short-Term Scenario
Expect a pullback from the top of the channel toward the target zone (around 4,020).
If the correction deepens, price could test the 4,006 level, which aligns with previous horizontal support and Ichimoku cloud support.
A bullish rebound from 4,020–4,006 would confirm continuation of the uptrend.
However, a break below 4,006 would invalidate the short-term bullish structure and may trigger a deeper drop
XAUUSD: long-short battle hinges on 4060-4080📈Today's daily chart shows that after completing a "double bottom" last Friday, Gold stabilized and rebounded, which fully aligns with our weekend forecast. It closed with a long lower wick bullish candlestick, indicating robust buying interest at lower levels and that the medium-to-long-term uptrend remains intact.
📈On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands have started to contract, signaling that gold prices may enter a consolidation range of 3,930 - 4,070. Today, after breaking above 4,070, the price failed to hold this level and pulled back to around 4,069 for consolidation. This reflects strong resistance near 4,080, and in the short term, we need to be wary of a pullback risk triggered by profit-taking among bulls.
💡Intraday, focus on price fluctuations within the 4,060 - 4,080 range. If it breaks above 4,080, you can go long in line with the trend, with targets set at 4,100. If it pulls back below 4,030, be alert to the formation of a short-term top.
Buy 4040 - 4050
TP 4060 - 4070 - 4080
SL 4030
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
GOLD (15-Min Chart) – Technical Analysis🟡 GOLD (15-Min Chart) – Technical Analysis - EXPECTING SHARP FALL...
Observation:
GOLD has retraced precisely to the 61.8% Fibonacci level, which is a classical retracement zone often associated with the end of a corrective rally within a broader downtrend.
The structure indicates that price faced resistance near the 4020–4030 zone, aligning with the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of the prior impulse fall. The candlestick pattern and volume behavior suggest that this area is acting as a strong supply zone, where buyers are losing strength.
Price Action Expectation:
As highlighted in the chart, GOLD may not sustain above this 61.8% zone.
A breakdown below 3990 will likely trigger an impulsive fall, confirming the next leg of the downtrend.
The immediate target for this downside move is projected near 3850, derived from prior swing supports and Fibonacci extension confluence.
The projected wave structure also suggests a sharp decline followed by a minor pullback before stabilization around the 3850 zone.
Volume Confirmation:
Recent candles show declining buying volume at higher levels, reinforcing weakening bullish momentum. If volume spikes on a red candle below 3990, it will confirm a trend continuation toward the downside.
🔻 Key Levels
Zone Significance
4030–4040 61.8% retracement zone / strong resistance
3990 Breakdown confirmation level
3920 Intermediate support
3850 Target / expected short-term bottom
Bias: Bearish below 3990
Setup Type: Retracement rejection leading to impulsive fall
Confirmation Trigger: 15-min close below 3990 with rising volume
Target: 3850
Stop Loss: Above 4045
🧭 Conclusion
GOLD has completed a 61.8% retracement and is showing signs of exhaustion. If the price slips below 3990, an impulsive fall is likely to unfold toward 3850. Traders should watch for volume-supported breakdowns before confirming short positions.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to trade. Markets involve risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please use proper risk management and consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Gold Update If Candle Break 3999 - on 1 hour Chart"
then we can expect market to fall down "
Target Level - 3948
Can Formed double top chart pattern 🔥🔥🔥
............................
If not market will be on sideways
HI Retail Trader.
Check Below Chart
This subject to Educational Purpose"
Please Do your own Analyzation and Use Proper Risk - Money management
And Trade"
Smart Money Concept
Gold Trading Strategy for Next Week✅ Gold has recorded eight consecutive bullish weekly closes, indicating that bullish momentum continues to dominate the market. From the weekly structure perspective, the trend remains strong, and the short-term outlook stays bullish.
✅ On Friday, gold rebounded after a second dip failed to make a new low, reaching as high as 4022 in the evening and closing with a long lower shadow bullish candle, showing strong buying support below.
If the rebound continues early next week, the price could extend higher; however, if a second rally fails to break a new high, gold may face short-term pressure and enter a sideways consolidation phase before launching another upward move.
✅ If the price fails to break above 4059, gold will likely remain in a high-level consolidation range — no need to be overly bearish.
But if it reclaims 4059 decisively, the market could resume its upward trend, with an additional upside potential of 50–100 dollars.
✅ In its latest report, Goldman Sachs raised its gold target from $4,300 to $4,900, reflecting the institution’s strong medium-to-long-term bullish outlook.
As long as there are no clear signs of a trend reversal, the overall strategy should remain “buy on dips.”
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4025–4030 / 4040–4059
🟢 Support Levels: 3970–3975 / 3944–3884
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
Based on both technical and fundamental analysis, the key focus next week will be the 3970 support area.
🔰 If gold pulls back and stabilizes around 3970, it will likely mark the end of the short-term correction, and the price may resume an upward consolidation pattern.
🔰 If gold breaks below 3970, attention should shift to the 3944–3884 defensive support zone.
As long as the price holds above 3970, the short-term structure remains bullish, with potential for another test of the recent highs.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Gold |US–China Tensions Ease, Gold Eyes a New Breakout Above ATH🌍 Macro Overview: Cooling US–China Tensions
Geopolitical pressure between the US and China appears to be easing after China’s Ministry of Commerce clarified that export controls on rare earth materials do not mean an export ban — a clear attempt to reopen constructive dialogue with Washington.
Meanwhile, US Vice President JD Vance signaled a softer stance toward Beijing, stating:
“We highly value the friendship between President Trump and President Xi Jinping.”
“President Trump hopes the US won’t need to use leverage against China.”
“President Trump is ready for a fair and reasonable negotiation with Beijing.”
➡️ These remarks suggest a temporary de-escalation in geopolitical risks, improving overall risk sentiment and prompting investors to shift focus back to technical structures and liquidity zones on gold.
💎 Technical Outlook (XAU/USD H1)
After a sharp drop from its All-Time High (ATH), gold found strong support at the 3975–3985 Support Zone, coinciding with a Change of Character (ChoCh) reversal area.
Price has since established an ascending channel, moving back toward the upper liquidity zone (4020–4030) — a critical area where short-term profit-taking may occur before another leg higher.
⚙️ Key Technical Levels
Liquidity Zone $$$ (4020–4030): Short-term resistance; potential pullback zone.
Liquidity Zone $$$ (3990–4005): Key demand area where buy orders are likely stacked.
Breakout Support: 4008 — now acting as near-term structure support.
ATH Zone: 4045–4050 — key upside target; a confirmed breakout could open room toward 4100.
📈 Trade Scenarios
Primary Scenario (Buy on Dip):
Look for price to retest the 3995–4005 liquidity zone for long entries.
Target: 4025 → 4050.
Stop loss: below 3980.
Extended Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above 4050, the next expansion target lies at 4080–4100.
⚠️ Risk Notes
The US–China diplomatic tone remains fragile; sudden rhetoric shifts could trigger volatility.
Wait for a confirmed H1 close above 4025 to validate bullish continuation before scaling in.
🧭 Summary
The easing in US–China tensions has reduced safe-haven demand for gold in the short term, but technical momentum still favors the bulls.
As long as the 4000 psychological level holds firm, XAU/USD is well-positioned to retest and potentially break above the 4050 ATH zone, targeting 4100+ in the coming sessions.
BUY SIGNAL; ASSET GOLD /XAUUSDBullish momentum confirmed with strong structure break and rejection from key support zone.
Price showing continuation strength ahead of the London session.
Targeting higher liquidity levels with clear upside potential.
Entry: Active
Stop Loss: Below recent swing low
Take Profit: 1st AT 100 PIPS DAILY SIGNALS
Momentum is building as bulls step back into control!
This setup highlights a high-probability short-term buying opportunity, ideal for traders who thrive on clean structure, momentum, and precision timing.
Market Snapshot
Structure Shift: Price holds a strong higher low — a classic sign of bullish intent.
Momentum Building: Buyers are defending key levels, showing early control.
Entry Zone: A focused area where upside acceleration is likely to begin.
Risk Control: Stop-loss levels kept tight (around 40–50 pips) for efficient capital protection.
Trading Outlook
Consider long entries near the highlighted zone as confirmation builds.
Targets: Short-term take-profits toward recent resistance or liquidity zones.
Tip: Adjust your lot size based on your personal risk plan — precision over size wins.
Trader’s Note
This signal focuses on short-term market momentum. Use it as part of a broader trading plan — not a guarantee. Stay disciplined, follow your risk rules, and let structure guide your trade.
Gold Outlook 2026–2030: The Beginning of a Structural CorrectionAfter a spectacular rally that pushed gold to an all-time high in 2025, the market now appears to be entering a calmer phase — potentially marking the beginning of a long-term structural correction cycle.
Starting in Q1 2026, several key macro fundamentals are expected to reverse course.
The U.S. economy shows signs of solid recovery, global inflation is stabilizing near central bank targets, and real yields are returning to positive territory.
In this environment, gold’s appeal as a store of value is likely to gradually diminish.
Tighter monetary policies, a stronger U.S. dollar, and renewed capital inflows toward bonds and defensive equities are set to act as primary headwinds for gold prices.
Meanwhile, a slowdown in institutional demand — particularly from Asian central banks and sovereign wealth funds — could further reinforce the structural downside.
Over the following years, this persistent macro pressure may steadily guide gold prices down from record highs toward the $2,000 per troy ounce range by the end of the decade (around 2030).
This phase should not be viewed as a short-term correction, but rather as a fundamental realignment of the gold market in response to a more balanced and rational global economic landscape.
📊 Conclusion:
The 2026–2030 period may represent a normalization era for gold — when the safe-haven euphoria fades, and the metal reclaims its traditional role as a long-term store of value rather than a speculative momentum asset.
XAUUSD – WEEKLY SCENARIO -ATH CONTINUES TO HOLD THE CHAIN
Hello trader 👋
Gold prices are currently moving sideways after a strong previous rally. The market is temporarily lacking momentum as the US government remains shut down, causing economic data delays – this reduces liquidity and makes many short-term traders hesitant to open new positions.
Currently, the price structure remains within an upward channel, but there are signs of accumulation and tug-of-war around key resistance – support zones. Therefore, the appropriate strategy during this period is “Buy at support zones, Sell at psychological resistance,” combined with POC (Point of Control) on the Volume Profile to identify the highest liquidity price areas.
⚙️ Technical Structure
The overall trend still leans towards bullish, however, short-term corrective waves may appear as the price approaches strong resistance zones.
Thick volume areas clearly shown on the chart are where large investors are accumulating or distributing orders.
RSI is currently in the neutral zone → no overbought signal yet, so the possibility of range-bound movement remains high.
⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenario
🔴 SELL ZONE (Strong resistance – prioritize reactionary selling)
Entry: 3,970 – 3,972
SL: 3,977
TP: 3,952 → 3,935 → 3,920 → 3,905
👉 Note: This is a psychological resistance zone – confluence between the upper edge of the price channel and the previous volume peak.
🔴 SELL SCALPING (short-term selling when support breaks)
Entry: 3,923 – 3,925 (wait for support break confirmation)
SL: 3,930
TP: 3,910 → 3,900 → 3,885 → 3,860
🟢 BUY ZONE (buy at support + POC volume profile)
Entry: 3,883 – 3,885
SL: 3,875
TP: 3,900 → 3,915 → 3,940 → 3,965 → 4,000
👉 This is a strong technical support zone, coinciding with the POC of the Volume Profile – high liquidity, high rebound potential.
💡 Insights & Notes
The upward price channel remains intact, but buying pressure is gradually weakening, making short-term corrections more likely.
Be patient and wait for direction confirmation before entering trades, avoid FOMO during sideways phases.
News is limited this week due to US political situation → market prone to tug-of-war, low volatility.
📌 Summary:
Buy at liquidity support zones (3,883–3,885).
Sell reactionary at psychological resistance zones (3,970–3,972).
Maintain a flexible mindset within the trading range, wait for clear confirmation signals to increase win rates.
Stay updated with new gold articles by following me
Ascending channels trading applied to Gold current situation🔼 Ascending Channel – Explained Simply
An ascending channel is a bullish pattern — but not always a bullish ending.
It shows a market climbing step by step between two parallel rising lines:
the lower trendline (support) and the upper trendline (resistance).
🧠 Market Psychology
Buyers dominate, but sellers still show up at every swing high.
Each dip gets bought, keeping the trend alive —
until one side finally breaks the rhythm.
⚙️ How to Trade It
• Inside the channel:
Buy near the lower rail, take profit near the upper rail.
• Breakout play:
Go long on a confirmed close above resistance,
or short on a clean break below support.
• Stops:
Just outside the opposite rail — below support for longs, above resistance for shorts.
• Targets:
Use the channel height projected from the breakout point.
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
• False breakouts happen often.
• Too-steep channels usually fail faster.
• Volume must confirm — low volume = fake strength.
• Statistically, breakdowns occur slightly more often than breakouts.
________________________________________
Key takeaway:
An ascending channel isn’t a promise of a bull run —it’s a structured climb that eventually ends.
Trade the rhythm, not the hope. 🎯
Statistically, in 57% of cases, up channels are broken to the downside
Gold now situation: the recent 1k pips is way-way-way to steep
Confirmation came with a drop under 3950 zone
Usually, in the case of such a steep channel, all the move is negated, so a drop to the 3850 zone.
However 3900 zone is strong support now, so a break under 3950 zone could lead to "only" a drop to this support.