SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Trade Recap – GOLD 15M
• Both targets achieved: 4,021 ✅ and 4,060 ✅.
• Price respected the support zone after the institutional reset and followed the SMC roadmap step by step.
• The bullish cycle completed with precision: reset → liquidity grab → rejection → distribution → targets hit.
• This is the kind of setup that shows how patience + structure = consistency.
💡 Motivational Caption (English)
“Both targets smashed 🎯🎯 – structure never lies.
Institutional footprints led us step by step into a perfect bullish cycle.
Patience, discipline, and SMC… that’s the formula 🚀📈.”
GOOD JOB TRADERS……. ;)
Trade ideas
XAUUSD still on upside XAUUSD makes an Recovery as we were on buy from last Friday. As due to uncertainty in the stocks worldwide everyone finds XAUUSD safe heaven.
What will I do Today?
I will took buy trades at 4045-4050 and expecting the upside move.
Make sure H4 candle closes above the mentioned zone
My target will be $ 4092 & 4120 In extension !!
Additional Tip:
-If H4 closed below 4025-4030 then market will drop towards3970.
Buyers Hold Momentum Above SupportGold continues to trade in a bullish structure, forming higher highs after a clean rebound from the support zone. A short term pullback provides a potential swing buy opportunity targeting higher resistance levels as buyers remain active above intraday support.
Key Levels:
Buy Entry: 3960
Take Profit: 3980
Stop Loss: 3945
Reasoning:
Technically, price action shows a sustained uptrend, supported by rising structure and consistent bullish candles. The 1H chart confirms momentum continuation after retesting previous resistance turned support.
Fundamentally, weaker U.S. dollar sentiment and stable Treasury yields continue to support gold demand as investors look for safety ahead of key U.S. data releases.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan before executing any trade.
SMART MONEYN CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After reaching the High (HL) near 4,060, price broke down with a Break of Structure (BOS), creating a clear institutional reset.
• Price tapped into the 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG-1H) and the 15M Order Block (OB-15M) inside the support zone.
• A Change of Character (ChoCH) plus a fake out formed before rejecting strongly back into bullish territory.
• Current projection: institutions may drive price into a new distribution phase, first targeting 4,021, with a second target at 4,060.
• Setup remains valid while price holds above the support zone and the FVG imbalance is respected.
🚀 Takeaway for traders: Institutional resets aren’t the end of the trend — they’re liquidity grabs to fuel the next leg. Stay patient and follow the footprints.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
XAUUSD: Trend in 2-H timeframeThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, channels, and you must know that SETUP is very very sensitive.
(red level as SL)
Be careful
BEST
MT
Gold will reach a new high today!Gold long positions established last week in the 3050-3070 range have yielded strong returns. Gold prices have now re-established themselves above $4,000 and are testing last week's highs. While encountering resistance and retreating, the overall upward trend remains intact. Today's trading strategy recommends continuing with a buy-on-dip strategy. Investors who established long positions below $4,000 last week should consider holding them as a medium- to long-term investment. Those who haven't yet established a position can enter the market in phases between $4,015 and $4,030 to manage risk and capitalize on potential upside. Based on a comprehensive analysis of technical indicators and market trends, gold prices are expected to break through previous highs and reach new highs.
XAUUSD; Continues To Surge Higher..XAUUSD have fulfilled our previous idea on reaching 4000 ATH, it have persistently keep mounting up. The risk of the U.S government closed down has also led investors and traders to move to gold as safe haven, contributing to the remarkable price increase. We might expect a slight retracement down to 4000-3950 as the next key support before a scale toward 4120 as possible highs remains intact.
Meanwhile XAUUSD resume its climb inside the uptrend region with a range of higher lows and higher highs, showing encouraged bullish momentum.
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XAUUSD: The Calm Before the Golden RallyGold (XAU/USD) is currently maintaining a short-term bullish structure after breaking several key resistance levels. Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) on the 15-minute chart signal a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. As long as the price holds above the 3,977–3,970 support zone, the overall bias remains upward. The current formation of higher highs and higher lows suggests buyers are still in control, setting the stage for a potential continuation rally.
The first demand zone lies between 3,944 – 3,955, where the last bullish impulse originated — a critical area for potential re-entry buys if the price retraces deeply. On the upside, the 4,014 – 4,033 range marks a strong supply zone that coincides with the Fibonacci 0.618–0.786 retracement levels. Should bulls manage to clear this supply zone, price could extend toward the 4,057 (1.0 Fibonacci) level, and possibly reach the 4,128 (1.618 extension) as the next swing target.
The primary scenario anticipates a minor pullback toward 3,985 (Fib 0.382) before resuming its bullish move toward 4,024 (supply). A clean break above that zone could accelerate momentum toward 4,057–4,128. Alternatively, if price breaks below 3,977, it might retest the demand base at 3,944–3,955 before another bullish attempt.
The technical landscape points to a bullish continuation setup with well-defined risk. Gold is preparing for a possible surge, but traders should stay patient for confirmation at key retracement levels. As always — trade the plan, not emotions.
Latest Gold Price Update Today👋Hello everyone, let's take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD !
Gold has just experienced an incredible surge, briefly reaching 4059 USD, setting a new historic high. This recent upward movement continues to be supported by the ongoing US government shutdown and various geopolitical uncertainties, which have pushed the price of this precious metal to new heights.
From a technical perspective, at the time of writing, XAUUSD is experiencing a slight pullback. However, the most favorable path remains upward, and there are no signs yet of a deep correction threatening the precious metal. Any short-term correction is seen as a buying opportunity, especially as gold remains a safe haven. The next target is 4100 USD. 💬Do you think this will happen?
Gold - 4H Forecast ☀️ GOLD – 4H Forecast ☀️
Alright gold gang, let’s talk business — XAU/USD is setting up for something clean 👇
🧠 Bias :
Still bullish overall, but we’re chilling in premium territory, and this structure screams “pullback incoming.” Expect a retrace before the next rocket launch 🚀.
🧩 Technical Breakdown:
Price just printed a Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) grab up top — textbook liquidity sweep before a potential correction.
We’ve got a strong impulsive leg pushing off a 4H + Daily demand confluence around $3,850–$3,880.
The 71% fib retracement zone aligns beautifully with that 4H demand, creating a prime reload area if price dips.
The volume profile gap (POI) also hints at untested liquidity sitting below current highs.
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: $3,880–$3,860 (4H & Daily demand overlap)
Target 1: $3,970 (current high retest)
Target 2: $4,010+ (continuation into new impulse)
Invalidation: Below $3,830 (break of structure + demand failure)
⚙️ Risk Management:
Keep risk tight — 1%–1.5% max. If we get a reaction at the 71% level, partials at $3,950 are smart to secure profits before the next leg.
💬 Summary :
Gold just ran buy-side liquidity and looks ready to dip into discount before ripping higher again. If we get a clean 4H or 1H confirmation in the demand, expect another bullish leg to unfold.
Gold (XAU/USD) Resistance Rejection and Bearish Correction SetupChart Overview
Pair: Gold vs. USD (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1H
Current Price: ≈ $4,036.59
Trend: Uptrend channel, but approaching a key resistance zone
🔍 Key Levels
Resistance Zone: $4,066 – $4,123
Price has entered this zone, indicating potential bull exhaustion.
Support / Target Level: $3,833
Marked as the target point, aligning with previous structure support and 5.48% correction potential.
📈 Technical Structure
The price has been respecting an ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows.
Currently, the price is testing the upper boundary of this channel and resistance zone simultaneously.
The chart indicates a potential reversal (shown by the gray arrow) — a bearish correction after testing resistance.
🧭 Projection
Scenario 1 (Bearish Rejection):
If the price fails to break above $4,123, expect a retracement toward $3,833.
This aligns with a 5.48% pullback from the resistance area.
Scenario 2 (Bullish Breakout):
If price closes above $4,125 with strong momentum, next resistance could be near $4,200–$4,250.
⚙️ Conclusion
Primary Bias: Bearish correction from resistance
Short-term Strategy: Look for short setups near $4,070–$4,120 with targets around $3,830
Invalidation Level: Sustained close above $4,130 (channel breakout confirmation)
XAUUSD: long-short battle hinges on 4060-4080📈Today's daily chart shows that after completing a "double bottom" last Friday, Gold stabilized and rebounded, which fully aligns with our weekend forecast. It closed with a long lower wick bullish candlestick, indicating robust buying interest at lower levels and that the medium-to-long-term uptrend remains intact.
📈On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands have started to contract, signaling that gold prices may enter a consolidation range of 3,930 - 4,070. Today, after breaking above 4,070, the price failed to hold this level and pulled back to around 4,069 for consolidation. This reflects strong resistance near 4,080, and in the short term, we need to be wary of a pullback risk triggered by profit-taking among bulls.
💡Intraday, focus on price fluctuations within the 4,060 - 4,080 range. If it breaks above 4,080, you can go long in line with the trend, with targets set at 4,100. If it pulls back below 4,030, be alert to the formation of a short-term top.
Buy 4040 - 4050
TP 4060 - 4070 - 4080
SL 4030
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Gold Update If Candle Break 3999 - on 1 hour Chart"
then we can expect market to fall down "
Target Level - 3948
Can Formed double top chart pattern 🔥🔥🔥
............................
If not market will be on sideways
HI Retail Trader.
Check Below Chart
This subject to Educational Purpose"
Please Do your own Analyzation and Use Proper Risk - Money management
And Trade"
Smart Money Concept
GOLD (15-Min Chart) – Technical Analysis🟡 GOLD (15-Min Chart) – Technical Analysis - EXPECTING SHARP FALL...
Observation:
GOLD has retraced precisely to the 61.8% Fibonacci level, which is a classical retracement zone often associated with the end of a corrective rally within a broader downtrend.
The structure indicates that price faced resistance near the 4020–4030 zone, aligning with the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of the prior impulse fall. The candlestick pattern and volume behavior suggest that this area is acting as a strong supply zone, where buyers are losing strength.
Price Action Expectation:
As highlighted in the chart, GOLD may not sustain above this 61.8% zone.
A breakdown below 3990 will likely trigger an impulsive fall, confirming the next leg of the downtrend.
The immediate target for this downside move is projected near 3850, derived from prior swing supports and Fibonacci extension confluence.
The projected wave structure also suggests a sharp decline followed by a minor pullback before stabilization around the 3850 zone.
Volume Confirmation:
Recent candles show declining buying volume at higher levels, reinforcing weakening bullish momentum. If volume spikes on a red candle below 3990, it will confirm a trend continuation toward the downside.
🔻 Key Levels
Zone Significance
4030–4040 61.8% retracement zone / strong resistance
3990 Breakdown confirmation level
3920 Intermediate support
3850 Target / expected short-term bottom
Bias: Bearish below 3990
Setup Type: Retracement rejection leading to impulsive fall
Confirmation Trigger: 15-min close below 3990 with rising volume
Target: 3850
Stop Loss: Above 4045
🧭 Conclusion
GOLD has completed a 61.8% retracement and is showing signs of exhaustion. If the price slips below 3990, an impulsive fall is likely to unfold toward 3850. Traders should watch for volume-supported breakdowns before confirming short positions.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to trade. Markets involve risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please use proper risk management and consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Gold |US–China Tensions Ease, Gold Eyes a New Breakout Above ATH🌍 Macro Overview: Cooling US–China Tensions
Geopolitical pressure between the US and China appears to be easing after China’s Ministry of Commerce clarified that export controls on rare earth materials do not mean an export ban — a clear attempt to reopen constructive dialogue with Washington.
Meanwhile, US Vice President JD Vance signaled a softer stance toward Beijing, stating:
“We highly value the friendship between President Trump and President Xi Jinping.”
“President Trump hopes the US won’t need to use leverage against China.”
“President Trump is ready for a fair and reasonable negotiation with Beijing.”
➡️ These remarks suggest a temporary de-escalation in geopolitical risks, improving overall risk sentiment and prompting investors to shift focus back to technical structures and liquidity zones on gold.
💎 Technical Outlook (XAU/USD H1)
After a sharp drop from its All-Time High (ATH), gold found strong support at the 3975–3985 Support Zone, coinciding with a Change of Character (ChoCh) reversal area.
Price has since established an ascending channel, moving back toward the upper liquidity zone (4020–4030) — a critical area where short-term profit-taking may occur before another leg higher.
⚙️ Key Technical Levels
Liquidity Zone $$$ (4020–4030): Short-term resistance; potential pullback zone.
Liquidity Zone $$$ (3990–4005): Key demand area where buy orders are likely stacked.
Breakout Support: 4008 — now acting as near-term structure support.
ATH Zone: 4045–4050 — key upside target; a confirmed breakout could open room toward 4100.
📈 Trade Scenarios
Primary Scenario (Buy on Dip):
Look for price to retest the 3995–4005 liquidity zone for long entries.
Target: 4025 → 4050.
Stop loss: below 3980.
Extended Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above 4050, the next expansion target lies at 4080–4100.
⚠️ Risk Notes
The US–China diplomatic tone remains fragile; sudden rhetoric shifts could trigger volatility.
Wait for a confirmed H1 close above 4025 to validate bullish continuation before scaling in.
🧭 Summary
The easing in US–China tensions has reduced safe-haven demand for gold in the short term, but technical momentum still favors the bulls.
As long as the 4000 psychological level holds firm, XAU/USD is well-positioned to retest and potentially break above the 4050 ATH zone, targeting 4100+ in the coming sessions.
BUY SIGNAL; ASSET GOLD /XAUUSDBullish momentum confirmed with strong structure break and rejection from key support zone.
Price showing continuation strength ahead of the London session.
Targeting higher liquidity levels with clear upside potential.
Entry: Active
Stop Loss: Below recent swing low
Take Profit: 1st AT 100 PIPS DAILY SIGNALS
Momentum is building as bulls step back into control!
This setup highlights a high-probability short-term buying opportunity, ideal for traders who thrive on clean structure, momentum, and precision timing.
Market Snapshot
Structure Shift: Price holds a strong higher low — a classic sign of bullish intent.
Momentum Building: Buyers are defending key levels, showing early control.
Entry Zone: A focused area where upside acceleration is likely to begin.
Risk Control: Stop-loss levels kept tight (around 40–50 pips) for efficient capital protection.
Trading Outlook
Consider long entries near the highlighted zone as confirmation builds.
Targets: Short-term take-profits toward recent resistance or liquidity zones.
Tip: Adjust your lot size based on your personal risk plan — precision over size wins.
Trader’s Note
This signal focuses on short-term market momentum. Use it as part of a broader trading plan — not a guarantee. Stay disciplined, follow your risk rules, and let structure guide your trade.
Gold Outlook 2026–2030: The Beginning of a Structural CorrectionAfter a spectacular rally that pushed gold to an all-time high in 2025, the market now appears to be entering a calmer phase — potentially marking the beginning of a long-term structural correction cycle.
Starting in Q1 2026, several key macro fundamentals are expected to reverse course.
The U.S. economy shows signs of solid recovery, global inflation is stabilizing near central bank targets, and real yields are returning to positive territory.
In this environment, gold’s appeal as a store of value is likely to gradually diminish.
Tighter monetary policies, a stronger U.S. dollar, and renewed capital inflows toward bonds and defensive equities are set to act as primary headwinds for gold prices.
Meanwhile, a slowdown in institutional demand — particularly from Asian central banks and sovereign wealth funds — could further reinforce the structural downside.
Over the following years, this persistent macro pressure may steadily guide gold prices down from record highs toward the $2,000 per troy ounce range by the end of the decade (around 2030).
This phase should not be viewed as a short-term correction, but rather as a fundamental realignment of the gold market in response to a more balanced and rational global economic landscape.
📊 Conclusion:
The 2026–2030 period may represent a normalization era for gold — when the safe-haven euphoria fades, and the metal reclaims its traditional role as a long-term store of value rather than a speculative momentum asset.