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XAU/USD Technical Setup ‖ Bullish Momentum or Smart Trap?🏆 XAU/USD: The Golden Heist Blueprint | Swing & Scalp Strategy 💰 📊 Market Overview Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar) Market: Precious Metals Strategy Type: Dual Setup - Swing Trading (Bullish) & Day Trading/Scalping (Bearish) Risk Level: High Volatility Zone ⚠️ 🎯 The Master Plan 🚀 Bullish Scenario: "To The Moon" Setup Breakout Level: $4,400.00 Action: Direct long entry on confirmed breakout above resistance Logic: Clean break = institutional momentum shift 🔻 Bearish Scenario: Scalping/Day Trade Setup Breakdown Level: $4,050.00 Action: Short positions on confirmed break below support ⚠️ Trap Alert: Any pullback above $4,050.00 post-breakdown = potential smart money trap. Watch for false breakouts! 🛡️ Risk Management Zone Stop Loss (Pullback Buy Plan): $3,950.00 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This SL is based on my analysis for the bullish pullback scenario. You're the captain of your own ship! Adjust stops according to your risk tolerance, account size, and trading style. Never risk more than you can afford to lose. 🎖️ Profit Targets Buy Side Target: $4,600.00 Exit Strategy Notes: Strong resistance confluence at this level Overbought conditions likely Potential trap zone for late entries Recommendation: Scale out profits gradually rather than waiting for the full target Sell Side Target: $4,050.00 Exit Strategy Notes: Major support level - expect bounces High probability of liquidity grab at this zone Consider partial profit taking before reaching full target Recommendation: Trail stops as price moves in your favor ⚠️ Disclaimer: These targets are MY analysis, not financial advice. Take profits when YOUR strategy signals, not mine. Trail stops, scale out, or exit based on YOUR plan. Your money, your rules! 💪 🔗 Related Markets to Watch Correlated Assets: DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - Dollar strength = Gold weakness GC (Gold Futures): Direct correlation - Institutional positioning indicator XAUEUR (Gold vs Euro): Alternative safe-haven flow gauge US10Y (10-Year Treasury Yield): Inverse correlation - Rising yields pressure Gold BTCUSD (Bitcoin): Risk-on/risk-off sentiment indicator Key Fundamental Drivers: Fed monetary policy & interest rate decisions Inflation data (CPI/PCE reports) Geopolitical tensions (safe-haven demand) Real yields & opportunity cost 🔑 Key Technical Points ✅ Breakout Confirmation: Wait for candle close above/below key levels ✅ Volume Analysis: High volume breakouts = higher probability ✅ Smart Money Traps: Watch for failed breakouts and liquidity grabs ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Calculate before entry - minimum 1:2 recommended ✅ Market Structure: Respect higher timeframe trends 🎭 Trading Psychology Reminder This strategy has a playful "heist" theme for entertainment, but make no mistake — treat your capital with serious respect. The market doesn't care about our plans. Adapt, manage risk, and preserve capital above all else. Remember: No setup is guaranteed Always use stop losses Never risk your rent money Emotions are the enemy The market pays patient traders ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldTrading #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Scalping #TechnicalAnalysis #PreciousMetals #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #Forex #GoldAnalysis #TradingIdeas #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #Breakout #SupportAndResistance #TradingView #ForexSignals Happy trading, and may the pips be ever in your favor! 🎯💎
SAXO:XAUUSD
by The-Thief
XAU / USD Daily ChartHello traders. I wanted to post a daily chart to show the candle / area of interest that I am watching, if we push down that far. We may fill the wick and continue down, or do a partial wick fill and reject. Watching the 4 hour and the 1 hour chart as well. If all time frames don't line up with my trade idea(s) then it' just an idea. Overnight sessions may push up to take out existing shorts in profit. Let's see how things play out. Be well and trade the trend. Shout out to Big G.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Waiting for the Retest, Not Chasing the MoveGold has pulled back after a strong run, but I’m not interested in buying blindly here. Instead, I’m watching for a clean retest of the previous support zone before looking for a long setup. ⚙️ My plan Wait for price to revisit and retest the blue support area. Look for confirmation: rejection wick, structure shift, or bullish candle close. Enter only after the retest — no guessing, no early entries. Target: around 4 970 Invalidation: below recent lows 🧠 Why Gold has shown strong momentum recently, but every trend needs a healthy pullback before continuation. I prefer to trade reaction, not prediction — waiting for the market to prove it’s ready to move higher. ⚠️ Risk & mindset If support fails, I’m staying flat. Discipline > prediction. The best trades are often the ones you don’t take too early. 💬 What’s your plan on gold this week? Are you buying the dip or waiting for confirmation too? Follow for more structured trade ideas based on clear entries, not emotions. #GOLD #XAUUSD #forex #tradingstrategy #technicalanalysis #retest #priceaction #education #daytrading
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Rendon1
analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) based on your 15-minute chart:he chart shows a descending channel (marked by “TRADE LINE”) that recently broke to the upside, suggesting a possible short-term bullish reversal. A strong resistance zone is visible near 4140–4160, where price has previously rejected multiple times. The target zone below is marked around 4042.57, which aligns with prior swing support. Key Levels Resistance: 4140 – 4160 Support: 4080 – 4060 Target (Downside): 4042 Upside Break Zone: Above 4160 could lead toward 4180+ Analysis Summary The price broke out of a short-term bearish channel, indicating potential for a bullish correction toward resistance (4140–4160). However, this zone is critical resistance; rejection here may trigger a pullback back toward 4080 or even the target at 4042. Momentum indicators suggest the move is reactive (short-term retracement), not yet a trend reversal. ⚙️ Trading Outlook Bearish Bias: Below 4140 → potential retest toward 4060–4040. Bullish Confirmation: Only above 4160 → continuation to 4180–4200. MIL:RACE MIL:LDO MIL:STLAM MIL:ENI MIL:STMMI MIL:STMMI MIL:ENEL MIL:MONC MIL:PRY MIL:TIT MIL:FCT MIL:AZM MIL:WBD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
XAUUSDXAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Price has broken above a descending trendline and is currently retesting the breakout zone, suggesting a possible continuation toward the next resistance target around 4,200. The chart highlights a healthy pullback before an expected upward move, indicating strong buyer momentum reclaiming control after a recent downtrend. Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Pintu_sahu01
GOLD (XAU/USD) – FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS “The Rise of Real Money in a Failing Fiat World” Elliott Waves | Fibonacci | Smart Money | Macro Fundamentals | Market Psychology 📅 Date: October 22, 2025 📍 Current Price: ~$4,039/oz ⏳ Time Horizon: 1970s to post-2050 🎯 Focus: Multi-decade Elliott Wave structure signaling the endgame for fiat currencies 🌐 SUPER CYCLE NARRATIVE – GOLD’S MONETARY METAMORPHOSIS 🔵 Wave I (1971–1980): The Rebirth of Real Money Gold's first major secular rally began when the Bretton Woods system collapsed and President Nixon ended the U.S. dollar’s convertibility to gold in 1971. Gold soared from around $35 to nearly $875 by 1980. This wave was driven by runaway inflation, the oil embargo, and shattered confidence in fiat money. 🔴 Wave II (1980–1999): The Great Fiat Illusion Following the 1980 peak, gold entered a brutal 19-year corrective phase, falling to the $250 zone. During this time, the U.S. dollar gained strength, Volcker’s interest rate hikes reined in inflation, and a new era of debt-based prosperity and stock market euphoria unfolded. Gold was dismissed, even by central banks who sold reserves. Structurally, this corrective phase formed a complex WXYXZ pattern , setting the groundwork for the massive Wave III rally. 🟢 Wave III (1999–~2033): The Fiat Reckoning Has Begun This is the longest and most powerful supercycle wave and the one we are currently in. It is subdivided into five impulsive macro waves. As of now, gold is deep within Wave iii of III , the most explosive phase of the entire structure. The current rally is no longer driven by inflation fears but by existential doubts about the long-term viability of fiat currencies. 📈 Wave I of III (1999–2011): The Institutional Accumulation Gold rose from around $250 to $1,920 over this period. Triggers included the dot-com bust, 9/11, the 2008 global financial crisis, and the launch of the first gold ETFs like GLD. This wave marked the beginning of institutional interest in gold as a systemic hedge. 📉 Wave II of III (2011–2015): The Disbelief Correction Gold corrected nearly 45%, bottoming near $1,050. The narrative shifted — QE hadn't caused hyperinflation, the stock market was booming again, and faith in the dollar resurged. Retail abandoned gold, but institutional buyers quietly accumulated from newly created demand zones. 🚀 Wave iii of III (2015–~2026): The True Price Discovery Phase This is where we are now. Since 2015, gold has exploded upward, driven by COVID-era QE, negative real interest rates, geopolitical instability, and major central banks accumulating gold for cross-border settlements outside the dollar system. We are currently in the middle of this wave — micro wave (3) of iii — with price around $4,039. According to Fibonacci projections, this wave is expected to peak near $6,552 , corresponding to the 2.618 extension level . If bullish momentum continues, gold could overshoot toward $22,744 , matching the 3.618 Fibonacci extension and marking the likely top of macro Wave III. In an extreme scenario where fiat trust collapses entirely, the 4.618 extension projects a possible target of $78,940 . All of these levels align with the upper bounds of the long-term logarithmic channel, validating both structure and projections. But most likely this target is for Wave V TOP . 🟣 Wave IV (Projected: 2026–2033): The Great Shakeout After the parabolic run of Wave iii, a deep multi-year correction is likely. This correction — Wave IV — may retrace toward the long-term red trendline and could coincide with a temporary return to “faith” in fiat through reforms like CBDC rollouts or aggressive fiscal pivots. This wave could resemble a WXY pattern or large ABC structure and may unfold alongside capital controls, deflationary pressure, and a resurgent tech or dollar narrative. However, this will likely be the last major buying opportunity before gold enters its final, euphoric revaluation. 🟢 Wave V (2033–2045+): The Final Blow-Off Top Wave V is expected to be driven by an overt crisis of confidence in the global fiat system. Scenarios could include: Mass adoption of gold-backed or commodity-tied digital currencies Loss of global trust in the USD as the reserve currency BRICS or emerging alliances introducing gold into cross-border settlements Global central banks returning to physical gold as a monetary base The upside potential here is monumental. The 4.618 Fibonacci extension already targets $78,940 , but under full systemic collapse or monetary reset conditions, gold could reprice toward $100,000–$250,000 per ounce — not as a bubble, but as a return to its role as sound, base-layer money. 📐 Fibonacci Milestones and Structure Alignment Each major wave has closely respected its corresponding Fibonacci extension. Wave I topped around the 1.618 level ($1,887) . The ongoing Wave iii appears on track to reach the 2.618 level ($6,552) . From there, macro Wave III could stretch toward 3.618 ($22,744) . If Wave V extends fully, a 4.618 projection leads to $78,940 — all within the bounds of the established logarithmic trend channel. In a full-blown systemic reset, price could break even higher. These levels are not speculative but grounded in structural alignment with Elliott wave geometry , Fibonacci mathematic s, and long-term institutional order flow . 🧠 Smart Money Concepts & Technical Validations Smart money activity has left clear fingerprints across this cycle. Each break of market structure (in 2016, 2020, and 2023) confirmed higher time-frame bullish continuation. Institutional demand zones — especially during the 2018–2019 consolidation and 2022 pullback — were respected to the dollar. This cycle isn’t retail-driven mania — it's a stealth institutional accumulation that’s now evolving into price discovery. 📊 Market Psychology Across the Cycle Investor sentiment has followed classic psychology stages: From 1999 to 2004, disbelief reigned: “Gold is dead.” Between 2005 and 2011 came growing awareness: “Gold might work again.” The 2011–2015 correction brought denial: “It was just a bubble.” Hope returned in 2016–2020 as price quietly rallied. From 2022 to 2026, euphoria dominates: “Gold will never go down.” Wave IV will likely bring fear and capitulation between 2026 and 2033. Finally, Wave V will ignite mania: “Gold to the moon!” 🚨 Final Synthesis: What This All Means We are living through the largest repricing of monetary value in modern financial history. Gold is no longer just an inflation hedge — it’s becoming a hedge against the system itself . The structure on the chart doesn't just map price — it maps the collapse of fiat trust and the return of monetary sanity. Gold is transitioning from: A commodity hedge → To a central bank hedge → To a currency hedge → And finally, to a system hedge The current leg — Wave iii of III — is nearing its climax. After a correction in Wave IV, Wave V could take gold into previously unthinkable territory, not because gold changed — but because everything else did. 📌 Final Position Summary We are currently in wave (5) of iii of III — the most powerful segment of the bull run The next Fibonacci target is $6,552 The broader Wave III could peak near $22,744 After a correction (Wave IV), the final wave could send gold toward $78,940 , or even into the $100,000–$250,000 zone under extreme monetary reset conditions This is not a mere forecast — it’s a macro-monetary blueprint for the coming decades. 🌊 "Those who understand the waves will ride them. Those who don’t will be swallowed by the tide." – FIBCOS 📘 Disclaimer: This is an educational market outlook based on technical and macroeconomic structure. It is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and risk management. #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #Commodities #InflationHedge #MacroEconomics #CentralBanks #BRICS #MonetaryReset
TVC:GOLDLong
by fibcos
1
Bears Overstretched! Gold Ready to Strike Back Toward 4040!During the decline, gold once lost the 4000 mark and continued to fall to around 3971, then stopped falling and rebounded. It is now above 4000 again. It can be seen that after the bears vented their emotions and released space, there is still some buying funds quietly accumulating shares at low levels during the pullback. After gold fell below 4000, market sentiment dropped to freezing point and was in a strong bearish atmosphere; however, after the bears vented their emotions and released space, the bearish force was calmed down, and gold may show mainly shock corrections, and may start to rebound with 3980-3970 area as support; that is to say, in the short term, as long as gold can hold the 3980-3970 area, gold still has a certain rebound potential; on the upside, we first focus on the 4030-4040 resistance area; the second is the 4070-4080 resistance area. However, according to the current market atmosphere and sentiment, it is expected that gold may find it difficult to reach the 4070-4080 area in the short term. Therefore, it's crucial to accurately time short-term trading. 1.Based on the above considerations, the first priority is to short gold after it rebounds to the 4030-4040 area. 2. After gold retreats to the 3980-3970 area, as long as it holds above this area, there's still room for a rebound, so consider going long on gold based on support in this area!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProfitRadar_Emmett
1
XAU/USD | Gold Under Pressure, Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues to trade under pressure, holding below both the MA50 and MA200, keeping short-term momentum firmly tilted to the downside. Price is currently hovering just below the 4,095 support level, with the market remaining range-bound within a broader corrective structure. Buyers will need a confirmed break above 4,137 to trigger a potential recovery toward 4,178 and 4,234. On the downside, the 4,042–3,987 Support Zone serves as an intermediate area to monitor for short-term reactions. A failure to hold this zone could extend the decline toward the Deeper Support Zone, which remains a major reaction area where dip-buyers are expected to re-enter the market. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4095 4136 4178 4234 4285 Support: 4042 3987 3944 🔎 Fundamental focus: Gold remains under pressure as traders weigh ongoing U.S. government shutdown risks and delayed economic data, which have limited visibility into the real state of the economy. While short-term price action remains corrective, safe-haven demand and macro uncertainty are still expected to support gold on deeper dips toward key demand zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAUUSD — The Bounce Zone Is Back!Gold just tapped into a major demand zone (green box) after a clean drop — exactly where smart money starts loading up 👀 📊 Here’s the setup: Buy zone: 4,000 – 4,050 (green area) Target: 4,300 – 4,350 (red zone) Bias: Bullish reversal expected after liquidity grab below the last low Confluence: Previous structure + demand zone + rejection candles 🧠 Watch how price reacts here — if momentum shifts, this could be the next strong leg up. ⚠️ Not financial advice — for educational use only. 📈 Like, share & comment “BUY GOLD 💰” if you’re watching this level too!
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by FrankAgbo
Gold bulls under pressure await reversal News： Spot gold prices fluctuated within a narrow range, consolidating after a sharp pullback from all-time highs. Spot gold traded around $4,133 intraday, rising slightly after two consecutive days of decline, as safe-haven demand remained supported by a combination of economic anxiety and geopolitical tensions. The US-China trade standoff remained a focus for investors, with reports that Washington was considering new export restrictions ahead of the US-China talks. The US government shutdown, now in its fourth week, continued to weigh on market sentiment. Meanwhile, the prospect of further monetary easing from the Federal Reserve also impacted investor positioning. Specifically: The 4-hour level six-month moving average and the 2-hour level 66-day moving average of gold are resonating support at the 4160 line. Today, we will see its gains and losses. The 4-hour 5-day and 10-day moving averages are concentrated at the 4140 line. Breaking below this level today triggered further declines. Currently, the upper side is focused on short-term resistance at 4160, while the lower side is focused on short-term support at 4065-4070. Gold is under pressure and struggling to break through. Trading strategies should prioritize shorting during rebounds and under pressure. For intermediate positions, be cautious in following orders and patiently wait for key entry points. I'll provide detailed trading strategies on the channel, so stay tuned. Trading strategy: Buy: 4165-4160, SL: 4175, TP: 4120-4090
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheodoreSilas
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 22, 2025) 🔹 1. Momentum D1: The D1 momentum is preparing to turn bullish, signaling the start of a new upward trend. → We can expect at least 3–5 consecutive bullish days ahead. H4: We need to wait for the H4 candle to close to confirm the reversal signal. If confirmed, there’s a strong possibility that today will form an intraday uptrend. H1: H1 momentum has already turned upward, but it’s now in the overbought zone. Therefore, the current rise won’t be strong, and a minor pullback is needed to bring momentum back to the oversold area — creating a foundation for a more stable bullish move. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1 Timeframe: Yesterday saw a sharp decline, but D1 momentum is now preparing to reverse upward. Counting the correction candles, we already have five candles, suggesting that the market may soon enter a new bullish phase lasting 3–5 days or more. During this recovery phase, we need to monitor two key scenarios: • If wave movements overlap and lack strength, and when D1 momentum returns to the overbought zone but price fails to break the previous high, then the Wave 4 (yellow) scenario is still in play. • If price rises sharply and decisively, the recent correction might only be part of Wave 3 (yellow), meaning the bullish trend is continuing. H4 Timeframe: Yesterday’s structure was identified as a Flat correction, and it remains valid. Price has retraced into the Wave 4 zone of the smaller degree structure, reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of Wave A. If Wave 5 (purple) is now developing, the ideal target would be around 4476. However, if price rises with overlapping waves, this could instead represent a corrective move within Wave 4 (yellow), targeting the previous high zone between 4381 and 4476. H1 Timeframe: Within Wave W, there is a small Flat correction, where Wave C extended to twice the length of Wave A. Now, Wave Y (blue) has also declined to 2× Wave W, suggesting weakening buying power. Even so, in the short term, we still expect an intraday bullish move today. → The trading bias remains buy-side until H4 momentum reaches the overbought area and reverses. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4101 – 4098 Stop Loss (SL): 4088 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 4190 ________________________________________ 🔹 4. Notes Liquidity and resistance zones are already marked on the chart. → Wait for price to break and retest those areas to confirm a valid Buy setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD: Sharp Pullback Tests $4,000 as Rally Takes a BreatherXAU/USD faced heavy turbulence this week, rallying initially before hitting strong resistance and reversing sharply toward the $4,000 psychological support. The selloff, accompanied by rising volume, signals potential exhaustion following the recent parabolic move. A dip toward $3,900 would not indicate a breakdown, but rather a healthy correction, offering the market a chance to reset momentum and prepare for a more sustainable bullish leg ahead.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
Oct 24, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis: After dipping to 4065 yesterday, gold gradually moved higher in a ranging pattern. I expect today’s price action to remain range-bound between 4106 and 4155. Watch 4155 closely — if price breaks and holds above it, bullish momentum may start to show. I might take a light long position there and look for confirmation near 4162. If price breaks above 4162, I’ll add to my long and shift my bias to buying pullbacks into support. Below 4106, the plan switches to selling rallies into resistance. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 4186 – Resistance • 4170 – Resistance • 4162 – Key bull–bear pivot • 4155 – Critical resistance • 4150 – Mid-level • 4128 – Support • 4106 – Intraday key support • 4100 – Psychological level • 4072 – Support 📈 Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 4106 → target 4100, with further downside toward 4092, 4085, 4080 BUY: If price holds above 4162 → target 4170, with further upside toward 4175, 4186, 4190
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi